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The Annual Forecast - Part 2

The Web Bot Run

Introduction:  As the second part of Urban Survival's Annual Forecast I'm pleased to present a little New Year present from the Think Tank. I'll update the charts for this week's report after the close on Friday.  Here's their report:


2003 Web Bot Project Predictive Analysis and Interpretation

 

Prologue

The Web Bot Project began a number of years ago. It is based on a web spyder and crawler technology that ‘reads’ the web and attempts to make meaningful predictions extracted from the hidden sub-texts of what people en masse discuss. This project is based on the theory that the trends and indicators of future behavior of omni-populi will ‘leak’ out of the conversations of millions through the constantly changing nature of the words that they choose to use to discuss the Universe enclosing their lives.

 

Initially, the Project used a 110 thousand word English language lexicon. Over time, this lexicon grew to over one quarter million words including place names. The unique form of data mining that the WBP robots perform is done within a prolog program developed using LPA’s  (Logic Programming Associates out of London) excellent pure prolog for the Windows computing environment.

 

As the lexicon grew over the first few years of our work, so did the number of associations between words which are the real targets of our data mining. These inter-word webs are our archetypes from which our entities are built in the modeling phase of the analysis of the data extracted by our ‘reading spyders’. Archetypes in our project are not archetypes as may be found in Jungian psychology. In our work, the archetype is merely the highest level of association to a primal descriptive noun target.

 

Archetypes

For instance, one could build the archetype associated with say the word ‘terrorism’ as an example. To build this archetype, the spyder would read perhaps hundreds of thousands of web pages which had the primary descriptive noun target word ‘terrorism’ in them. In every case, the spyder would locate the target word within each web page, and then jump back an appropriate number of words, say 2048 (or to the beginning of the document, which ever came first). The spyder then starts reading forward again for a pre-set number of words, say 2048 * 2, or until it reaches the end of the web page. As it reads, it streams the words over in order to a prolog processing engine which does some sophisticated discrimination to resolve meaning from the text. For further, related processing, the spyder recognizes URLS and other links, and streams those back to its own navigation engine to have these links placed in its relevant target queue.

 

The prolog program takes the stream of words, and seeks both lexical, and proximate associations with our primary target word ‘terrorism’ and other words which have been pre-assigned various levels of associative value. So in the case of ‘terrorism’ we might reasonably expect that many of the pages might well also contain the word ‘evil’. If so, this word then goes into the set of prime descriptors which make up our entity set. This set of words and phrases which may well number in the thousands, are the defining characteristics of the archetypes which become entities. Other words, with lesser associative values become our entities’ aspects.

 

Aspects

In our Web Bot predictive modeling, each entity gains several layers of words associated with the primary target word(s) which form its core definition. Those words which are also prime descriptors (*usually nouns with high levels of emotive values), become this entities forming archetype. The entities’ aspects is that word set which modifies either the primary target word, or which modify any of the archetype words. So in the case of our target ‘terrorism’ which has an archetype word of ‘evil’ we might expect to see words associating with either place names or descriptive emotive contexts. So in this case, we might find that ‘chechen’ or ‘bosnian’ show up as aspects modifying our entity ‘terrorism’.  Of course,  modifiers which will become aspects may be merely emotion charged descriptors such as ‘bastards’ or ‘murderers’. In the case of place names or geopolitical descriptors, these aspect identifiers are put through additional processing to impart specific values affecting the entities’ placement or movement within the model. Words which are found in the first order of processing and become Aspect identifiers are then fed back through the spyder processing in conjunction with the primary target descriptor word to further extract and ‘flesh’ out their relationship to the prime descriptor.

 

Attributes

In this second and further processing, Aspect words will draw their own levels of associations which we term Attributes. It is within the attribute modifiers that we seek for our timing and importance clues during the interpretation phase of the processing. Each Aspect word may have several tens of thousands of attributes. As these attributes are processed by the prolog engine, analysis is performed which attempts to reduce the volume of attributes to meaningful condensed sets which represent cross cultural, enduring human context understandings.

 

Processing

The  Web Bot Project reads the web for understanding, but unlike government agencies, our project does not care who says what, rather we care what is being said now, and how do the words being used to say it change over time. Specifically, once a base line of word associations is established, we care far more about how these associations change than how they stay the same. In fact, our processing algorithms use rate of change as one of the key determinants for entity viability. In other words, the more that prime through tertiary relationships change, the higher the likelihood that we have defined a significant archetype or entity which is occupying the consciousness of those who contribute to the web.

 

Our basic premise is that millions of minds, contributing hundreds of millions of words, will include some measurable level of prescience of the near future of those archetypes which raise the most emotional level within the correspondents. Said another way, we are betting that people writing for web publication will ‘leak’ foreknowledge from their subconscious through the change of the words that they use to describe those things/concepts/events which are most important to them. This level of foreknowledge of events is demonstrated repeatedly though usually is not a controllable skill by those who experience it. Our methodology is an attempt to detect and extract foreknowledge waves as they may appear through their influence on what words are chosen in our writings.

 

Predictive Interpretation for 2003

 

Our processing run this time used background processing to acquire the 55 million inputs that we used for both the base line and for the time impact processing. This processing consumed the month of December and specifically sought for the entities identified below and specifically developed attributes for a predictive descriptor reaching as far into 2003 as was possible.

 

The nature of the processing run this time itself has changed. In the past, the rate of change being modeled was itself internally consistent, in this processing the change rate itself appears to be undergoing an acceleration. There is some possibility that the new form of spyder reads has induced a change to the model, however, the models’ internal referential integrity checks succeeded, so at this point, the interpretation assumes that the rate of primary change issue is a valid indicator.

 

Notes about interpretation and display of results.

Entities are enclosed within Brackets :: [War]

Aspects are enclosed within Parentheses :: (Weaponry)

Attributes are enclosed within Braces :: {Unique}

Editorial notes are preceded and terminated with dashes :: - note –

 

2003- A period of rapid, profound change.

 

[War] –specifically exempting terrorism-

(Enthusiasm) for war is being led from the top. An attribute of {weakness} on lower levels facilitates the (enthusiasm from the top) for war. (Demonstrating) enthusiasm for war at the highest level has an attribute of {misfortune}. Some –of the populace- are (Swept away) by {rhythms and fads}, some remain {steadfast –in support of the enthusiasm for war from the top-}. (Waiting –for cues from the enemy in order to act-) removes {independence and self-reliance}. (Alliances) {strain}. (Internal Harmony –political-) is {obstructed}. Some of the populace become aware of the {fracturing} of (purpose). 

 

This entity under goes significant change. New aspects arise, but so do new primary archetypal associations. The rate of change within the archetype of the entity suggests that many, rapid, and fundamental changes will take place.

 

Within the [War] entity, a new archetype association with the primary aspect of (Change) arose almost immediately during the processing. Further, attributes of {Decay}, {Deterioration} arose and were significantly reinforced by volume of references. Attribute modifiers of –total- and –rapid- were associated with the deterioration. Also in a negative vein, the aspect of (artifice) with {failure} emerged. So the (Change) aspect is predicting that the change will be negative for the prosecution of the war. The many aspects provide a picture of entering a period of rapid (Change) within which the populace will consider it to be a (Difficult Time) requiring {Caution}. (Reserves –as in inner strength or will or preparations-) will be tested. (Confrontations –against the war?-) have produce {negative or undesirable} obligations.

 

Within the [War] entity, we see a discrete component of a [Personality] who will gain in (personal power) through the (propagation) of a (vision). This entity will (reach –for goals-) through (endurance). A (Coup de tat) against this [Personality] will flare up (suddenly) to occupy the world stage. This (Coup) will be both {violent} and {assertive –perhaps best thought of as persistently occupying global attention?-} and will be seen as an attempt to (usurp –power from an authority). The {struggle} will be (violent –this word arose both as aspect and attribute repeated-) resulting in {injury} and {degradation} to both parties. The (blood) will {flow} in the {meadow}. Large (organizations) {die}. As there are some small but noticeable number of aspects and attributes of a financial nature which appear in this entity, it cannot be ruled out that this (Coup) aspect may refer to a financial crises at the very top of the power structure during or immediately preceding movements toward war. Of course, an alternate reasonable interpretation would be another attack against the financial structure. However, in the case of this aspect, the naming is quite clear from the processing an (Coup de tat) was chosen deliberately to reflect this. As some of the financial aspects include references such as (inflation), it might be reasonable to predict that with the immediate future, a [personality] associated with (inflation) at a high level will face a crisis of power. Obviously, Al Greenspan springs to mind. In the end, the aspects seem to be suggesting that the [Personality] fails to (hold together) and {misfortune} results. Curiously, the {misfortune} applies to all, that is, both participating factions within the (Coup) and also, us poor observers from the sidelines. While it is notoriously difficult to predict the timing of events within our project, this aspect of the [Personality] does have modifiers indicating something on the immediate horizon but most certainly within the first quarter of 2003. Curiously, there are also strong geographical associations with South Africa. As though the spark for the (Coup) will arise from this area. Significantly, if the (Coup) is of a financial nature, that is seemingly entirely financially focused, it nonetheless will have its greatest impact on the ability or direction of war.

 

Within the [War] entity, an aspect of (Ridgepole –as in support-) will {break} causing a {fracturing} of purpose. This is a separate modifier of the entity from the (Coup) aspect affecting the [Personality] embedded entity. However, this aspect may result from ripples from the [Personality] (Coup).

Further modifiers from the aspect of the (ridgepole) {breaking} show the [War] entity being (underwater) though this might best be thought of in the financial sense of the term, meaning that the war effort would lose funding momentum. Included as attributes to the (underwater) aspect are {misfortune}, and {over –ones’ head-}. Also, curiously, arises (Drowning) is {blameless}. As though the event will be seen as attaching no blame to whatever misfortune arises, as though it ‘is no one’s fault’ and instead will be attributed to circumstance. An alternative interpretation does include an attempt to ‘cover up’ an association with the misfortune as there are attributes such as {artifice} connected here.

 

Linked to the aspect of (Drowning) are other aspects which share a common attribute base. These include (Embarking) and (Endeavor). In all three aspects, the attribute base includes {Caution}, {details}, {missed step}, {lost sight} and {attention}. As though a small oversight relating to detail will set in motion some change which will result in the {breaking} of the (ridgepole) of support for the [War] entity. The timing clues for this are focused prior to June of 2003 with the ‘detail’ being over looked as already having past (early December 2002).

 

Other aspects of the [War] entity also carry {misfortune} as attributes. Some, such as (Force) with a modifier of {political} also have attributes of {obstacles}, {failure –to overcome}, {underneath}, and {inevitable –or ‘fated’}.

 

Further complicating the changes occurring within the [War] entity over the period of the processing are the arising of aspects indicating a general perception of the (goals) being {worthwhile} and even {admirable} but even these positive attributes are within clusters modifying toward (sacrifice) {enormous}, {disproportionate}, {extraordinary} and {unobtainable}. Suggesting that there will be very significant changes to the perception of the costs of war arising in the near future. Again, before mid-year period of 2003.

 

The [War] entity contains a number of references at all layers to the [Great] which is interpreted as in ‘the powers that be’ or the ‘ruling elite’ as these archetypal references have been reliably interpreted that way in the past. In the embedded entity of the [Great], we see a preponderance of references to (misfortune), and (failure) this coming year. As this entity is embedded within the [War] entity, it may reasonably be interpreted to mean that war in the next year will result in general misfortune to those in positions of authority. Of course, it could as easily be interpreted to mean that the prosecution of war goes badly, resulting in misfortune to those authorities involved.

 

The [War] entity undergoes significant building and growing followed by a sudden change over a very short period,  and begins to dissipate. Modified by aspects of (cleansing) and (rain –following thunder or storm), and (resolved), the [War] entity rapidly shrinks, appearing to separate and dissolve over a very short course. The model appears to be suggesting that several crises relating to the prosecution of war will occur within the first few months of 2003, followed by a period of (quiescence) modified by {withdrawal} and associated with (reduction) of {tensions}. As a participant in this period, a [Prince] entity arises which has aspects of (high wall), (shooting), (birds of prey –specifically a hawk as a symbol of opposition to the prince?-). Within the [Prince] entity is embedded a smaller entity, the [inferior] who nonetheless occupies a (high position) of (power) and is standing as a (blockage) to (deliverance).  All of these aspects have common attribute sets of {inner influences}, {wickedness}, and {hardened}. Of course, one easy interpretation would be that Saddam Hussein falls leading to a rapid dissipation of tensions and a de-escalation of the possibility of war. This is appropriate to the situation as the [Prince] entity in this case is in an inferior position to someone represented by the (hawk) aspect. Further, the changes seen within the [Prince] entity also indicate that there is struggle to overcome this (inferior) position. There are modifiers to this struggle which associate {force}, {great adversary –as though long term enemy}, {careful planning}, {clever timing}, {obstacle –in the past tense as in removed}, and {success}. However, not all is well within this entities development as it picks up aspects of (power not controlled), (out of depth), (water over head), and (humiliation) with –again- (usurp – with immediate future tense modifiers indicating that the prince entity may succeed and then faces immediate challenges for power).

 

As an aspect of [War] we have many embedded sub-entities. One of the more pertinent in these times is the entity [Cauldron] which is the broad catch basin for weaponry. It is more inclusive than merely weaponry, as it also has associations to that part of society which is involved in weapon manufacture, and its deployment/use, and those planning for its use. Further, the [Cauldron] entity also carries aspects affecting the raw materials and other financial entities in our model. Note that in previous runs, this entity was titled Forge.

 

The [Cauldron] entity, specifically more the production side of weaponry will suffer some serious calamities this year. The aspects indicate natural, rather than man-made disasters. And this entity partially leaves the over-all parentage of the [War] entity to merge with the [Economy] entity about mid-way in the model. An interpretation of this collision with the [Economy] entity has to be done carefully as the model might be indicating that economic problems seriously cripple the military-industrial complex, rather than the other way round as first perceived. However, at this point, the latter case does seem to be indicated. That is, the model shows that the military-industrial complex including and singled out (raw material acquisition) will run into (disasters) which are {earth} focused. Further modifiers indicate that these disasters will be more severe than moderate, but not total. The indications are for wide-spread impact. The aspect of (life-impeding) among other high emotive value changes indicate that these disasters will have an almost universal impact on way-of-life. There are references indicating that the changes will be profound and long lasting. That the core elements of the [Cauldron] will be impacted to the point of irrevocable change of a fundamental nature. These changes will be (earth) {disaster} related and will propagate to the [Economy] at large and last for the entire year if not beyond. The [Cauldron] entity disaster modifier is also found in the (digestion –as in of raw materials on their way to becoming products-) aspect. This suggests that the problems may result to raw materials shortages due to weather or other earth centered problems.

 

The progress of the changes to the [War] entity over the course of the model run lead to the arising of aspects of (break-through) with modifying attributes of {king}, and {court}. Also the entity [War] develops new aspects of (danger) as in a primary position, which is to say, a Universally Impacting kind of danger. We also see the rising of an embedded sub-entity of [City] which has modifying aspects of (danger), and (arms –as in soldiery), and (notify – as in announce in a serious way). In the case of the (arms) aspect, the attributes show that the (arms) are {refused}, and {perceived useless}.  As primary aspects of the [City] entity, we find curious links back to the (Coup) against the [Personality] in that the [City] entity shows internally embedded entities of [opposition] with aspects of (underground), (hiding), (deep), (wide – or pervasive), and (adversaries). All the aspects have reinforcing attributes back to the (Coup) aspect suggesting that one of the outcomes of the (Coup) will be the driving underground of persistent adversaries.

 

[Economy]

The model is predicting that 2003 will bring significant changes to the [Economy] entity. This entity will manifest these changes immediately and it will seem continuously throughout the year. Embedded sub-entities such as [Great] – which acts as proxy for The Powers That Be or The Ruling Elite- will be under pressure right from the outset. The aspects are suggesting that (power) will {revert to } or be {seized by} the (toes – frequently arising as a cross cultural symbol for the lowest levels of society). That this pressure begins with the baseline of the model population and leads the [Economy] entity throughout the processing is not a good sign for the [Great]. This sub-entity, [Great] also is modified by aspects of (Fed) as in Federal Reserve Bank of the US of A, and (currency). In both cases, the modifying attributes are not good. Specifically we find high instances of {continuity} associated with {threats}, {lack}, {failing}, and {brings} being associated with {misfortune} and {collapse}.  In the case of (currency), the attribute {collapse} had an instance value which was higher than mid-point at the start of the model and within the first quarter scales up to near peak thereafter remaining at that level.

 

Further complicating the picture for the [Great] entity are aspects of (losing), (blockage) and (frustration – as in no movement possible). Attributes suggest that the [Great] will attempt to use (excessive force) in a {misappraisal} of the situation, resulting in an {impasse} in which the [Great] (suffer). It is also indicating that the [Great] will soon realize that (everything) they do in response to the situation further  {complicates}  or {exacerbates} and that the only effective response is to stop reacting. This awareness will arise within the first half of the year -actually seems to be shown near the end of the first quarter-. Afterward, the situation rapidly dissolves. However, this dissolution is not a good thing in the short term as it precipitates change at a core level.

 

These core level changes lead to a Turning Point in the movement of the [Economy] entity within the model. This Turning Point is a new development within our modeling. The overall shape and dimension of the entity remained the same, but the direction and placement within the space of the model changed. Almost as though watching a school of fish suddenly change general direction while remaining the same basic school and even though fish within the school changed their relative positions to each other. A remarkable development.

 

Within the Turning Point period for the [Economy] entity, modifiers indicating (old) and (decay) drop from sight and others indicating (replacement) of the (old) by (naturally) occurring (new forms) in an (easy) manner arise.  However, as an integral aspect of the Turning Point, the collision into this entity of the changing [Cauldron] entity brings a ‘cloud’ of negative associations.

 

These associations include (misfortune) clearly associated with (armies) and (marching) which are also contain attribute clusters indicating {defeat} and {disastrous}. This last is also populated with references to {great country –actually ‘wide land’-} and {ruler}. In the cluster with {defeat} are references to {isolation} and {ten years}. Note that {ten years} brings with it a cross-cultural connotation of ‘enduring’ that is not associated with the alternate wording of ‘decade’. So in this instance, we are interpreting the reference as {enduring ten years}. Further implying negative, are the modifiers for {impotence}, {non-aggression –as in, not possible to attack} and {crushed –as in ‘crushed spirits’}.

 

The way in which the model developed, a reasonably safe interpretation of the [Economy] entity is that the global economy will reach a point of significant ‘turning’ of direction at a core level due at least in part to the impacts of some pending disaster to the military-industrial complex and/or its supply chain. Further, that this turning will impact for a period of ten years or more in a negative way requiring endurance to overcome. There are some indications that the core level changes are business cycle related and that the endurance required is necessary as an opportunity for change has been {missed} at the beginning of the cycle.

 

Specific points of distress are singled out within the [Economy] entity. The Turning Point for the global economy has already begun in the sense that the Tipping Point event –that is, a small, seemingly isolated event triggering other, larger events in a chain like fashion- has already occurred. The model brings this out with an embedded entity titled [Casserola]. This references the form of protest seen arising in Venezuela where the citizenry ‘voice’ their protests through the banging of pots and pans. It stands for a general level of discontent affecting the working segment of the populace at large. As the [Economy] entity is globally focused –though primarily US driven-, the [Casserola] entity is proxy for those feelings within the population as a whole. The [Casserola] entity is in direct opposition to the [Great] entity and in the development of the model, presses on, and threatens to subsume the [Great]. The model is indicating a rising popular pressure on the existing power structure to the point that this structure fractures this coming year. Change will arise from the fractures.

 

One of the indicated fracture lines which lies right at the beginning of the Turning Point for the [Economy] is an embedded entity titled [Old Age]. This entity represents all those factors affecting an aging population including both retirement and health-care. The [Old Age] entity arises and strengthens at the point of fracture and is a prime mover for changes within the [Economy] during and after the Turning Point. This entity contains an overwhelming preponderance of financially associated references, even those health care aspects are populated with attributes financially linked.

 

The [Economy] entity will start the year out under pressure from events which will arise from Venezuela. These events will coalesce into a movement and spread to other parts of the world. Geographic references are not only for Venezuela but also for the US and South Africa. The [Casserola] entity gains strength in the early part of the year with significant growth linked to the Spring Equinox. At that point, the [Great] entity is being pressured both by the [Casserola] and then by the [Old Age] entity. In the case of the latter, this entity experiences a spurt of growth in the early part of the year, enlarging about the end of the first quarter. The growth of this entity is initially driven by a (scandal) affecting {retirement} which arises from an (island –no specific geographic reference, merely to an island in the West with minor associations to Setting Sun so may indicate a retirement scandal in Japan). This (scandal) will become visible shortly after the new year holidays are over. The scandal will flame up suddenly, then burn brightly but die down just as suddenly as other changes/scandals  overtake it. By the end of the year, the beginning will not be remembered.

Oddly, there are aspects of a (man) linked to aspects of a (meteor) who will be prominent in the emergence of the scandal, and will be consumed by it.

This scandal leads to year long (floods of tears) and (sighing) and (lamenting) what {was lost}.

 

As the model developed, the number of references indicating a retirement scandal rose as did those referencing Japan as the start. However, the implications from the model are that the [Government] –likely of the US of A- will use this scandal to (chastise) and (preach). The goal will be to induce (discipline) but this will {fail} due to the (leaders) of the scandal being too {lightly} disciplined. This occurs just as the [Old Age] entity and the [Casserola] entity start to merge in their pressure on the [Great]. At this point, the [Great] will attempt to (rescue) itself by (condemning) the leaders of the scandal. The [Great] will be seen to be (running) around and being {rejected} by (everybody). Such excessive behavior leads to (nothing) and is itself (rejected) as being {impossible} to {bear}.

 

The embedded entity [USA Econ] within the [Economy] entity has a number of odd aspects. These include (molting) as in shedding of old, discarded skin or feathers. These aspects arise in conjunction with the [Economy] marking a Turing Point. These aspects would suggest that [USA Econ] will shed some significant part of itself in this coming year as being no longer worth the burden of carrying. There are aspects of threats associated with the changes of the [USA Econ] as though changes made in haste will surely be repented. However, these aside, the general tone of the entities development is that within the greater turning point, the [USA Econ] is about to do its own turning point. The development indicates more of a building pressure for (reform) which is {ignored} leading to (revolution) due to {sustained} and {unrelieved} (pressure) from {below}. The problems facing the [USA Econ] are (large) and (fundamental) and will {win} the {spontaneous support} of the {people}. The [USA Econ] entity shows that early in the year (patterns) are recognized showing that (change) is both {necessary} and {timely}. The (pressure) for (change) will become apparent and clear before the mid-year period. The model also shows that a [Personality] will arise who will find it appropriate to (act) and who can (clearly) {state} the (vision) for {solutions}. This [Personality] has associations with (farming), (plowing), (oxen), and (yellow earth –a geographic reference?).

 

The progress of the [USA Econ] entity over the course of the year is a travel from (insecurity) and rapidly developing (chaos) into a (safe) period in which some small progress toward (stabilization) is made. This (stabilization) will be tested during the later part of the year. This (stabilization) will be the foundation for future growth. During this period of time, there will be increasingly strident calls for {continued} (reform) beyond that which is required.

 

As a counterpart check to the economically focused entities, we modeled the historic precious metals. This entity was named [Gold].

 

The [Gold] entity starts the year with two strong aspects of (transition) and (order) signaling the movement from disorder toward order. This is a beginning. Aspects of (completion) with attributes of {before} and {stepping into} argue for an interpretation of the precious metals markets moving out from under their recent manipulations. As to the [Gold] entities development, there are several large areas associated geographically with weighted strength toward China, Bahrain, and South Africa. There are aspects indicating (caution) and (differentiation) modified by {success}. In the early part of the year, the precious metals and commodity markets will be in a period of transition moving from a period of excessive control toward free market equilibrium. A (new collective –as in action, perhaps indicating class action lawsuits) of {like minded companions} will lead the transition. The aspects of gold suggesting a large change are numerous. Many such as (freshly changed), (good fortune), (glorious) by {contrast}, (standing) over {ruins from fire –indicating maximum change-} and many others indicate significant changes in the precious metals market which will ripple through the entire economy.

 

Further aspects of (oppression) are tempered by attributes of {exhaustion}. Aspects associated include (adversity) and (restraint), and are also tempered or canceled by their attribute clusters. This is interpreted as the reverse of times of oppression. What was pressed down long will be lifted up and sustained.

 

Curiously (joy) shows up as an aspect of the [Gold] entity. This is rare as primary emotions are not usually able to pass through the input aggregation. This indicates a large level of emotional inputs and perhaps a very wide spread, and positive effect to be felt from the {exhaustion} of the (oppression) of the [Gold] entity.

 

One specific and anomalous aspect is (frustration) which is modified by {lack of information}, and {closed minded}. This frustration may not last much longer as the [Gold] entity moves forward and grows significantly in early February.

 

There are also significant values for aspect of (justice) and (timing) and (progress) associated with [Gold]. The (case) to be {decided} is {not  easy} and yet is {perfectly clear}. The model is clearly indicating that the case of the oppression against gold will break this year. Those prosecuting the case will persevere in spite of clear indications of danger. Though inclined {toward leniency}, the case must be allowed to progress to its logical conclusion. Indications are that a crack-up with rapidly unfold in which the lower rungs of the guilty attempt to sell out their fellow for lessor sentences. The modifiers for the (oppression) aspects include {poisonous}, and {dried or withered – of purpose-}. Further modifiers suggest {ineffectiveness} and {tired}.

 

The general interpretation for the precious metals markets symbolized by the [Gold] entity is for illumination as to the situation to reach some pivotal level early in the new year, the market will open up and not look back the rest of the year while (justice) trails along behind trying to clean up the mess.

 

The [Populace] entity is intended to model general popular movements and trends that may develop. In this processing, the [Populace] has aspects indicating that a major shift is coming between populace and ruler/governors. This shift appears as there exists currently the conditions in which sudden and fundamental change can and will occur. These aspects are global in nature and are undoubtedly appearing in the model due to the rise of noticeable and news worthy situations in many countries political structures. This is a developing trend as in times of uncertainty and especially depressions, people will seek for wisdom and guidance in strange and unusual places. While some might infer revolution, the interpretation is for a considerable change in status, and slavery also fits that description.

 

The prognosis is not good for the [Populace]. Aspects of (structure) modified by {collapse}, {falls back}, and {sinks – into mud}, as well as (humiliation) modified by {continuance} indicate problems expected at a period of deep change that seems to indicate a period of mutual need. This latter arises from aspects suggesting that ‘all will be leveled’ as though reaching a period when wealth or its lack will no longer define status within the [Populace]. Could be both good or bad, depending?

 

The projection of the [Populace] over the next year within the model shows that (conflict) becomes the dominate aspect over time. After that, little is cohesive, not only indicating that the concept of conflict is on the ‘global mind’ at some continuous churn level, but that there is also a level of emotional bonding rising in disproportionate levels to the scope of the ‘meme’. But, that said, the attribute cluster for the (conflict) aspect is both diverse and large. This indicates the group consensus to be yet unformed with nearly equal weights distributed amongst several alternatives. It is worth noting that the absolute doom, multiple war front position is very thinly supported. So the base interpretation is that the [Populace] entity is further supporting the idea that there will arise some event to diffuse war unexpectedly.

 

[Terrorism]

The [Terrorism] entity shows major changes coming here as well. If interpreted correctly, a major player in the world of international terrorism will be caught/defect and cause a fracturing and scattering of the terrorist specialists. A period of withdrawal will occur after the failure of a serious effort at some destructive task. It may be that the task actually succeeds in its target, but that the world is so horrified that the [Terrorism] entity is universally reviled as sub-human and [Terrorism] is shunned even by its supporters.

 

As is typical of entities associated with subjects carrying deep emotional attachment and long duration persistence, there are elements of contradictory and confusing crossover within the primary aspects. The [Terrorism] entity is exhibiting those signs for the coming year. In this case, the entity suggests two paths of development. In one, some rift, defection, or capture of a senior participant in Global Terrorism Inc decides to cooperate and a (snake hunt) gets underway. In the other path, just as this course begins to complete, (armies) are sent (marching) leading to the {great} (defeat) of the (rulers) of the country, and a period of (ten years) of (wound licking), (rebuilding), and (salvaging of the waste).

 

The [Terrorism] entity also carries an aspect set indicating (renewal), (cautious growth), (beginning), (beginning of opportunity), (danger in haste), (anxiety for failure), (lifting –of stagnation), and (removal –of frustration). Further the attributes are concept reinforcing to a maximum extent. This component of the entity may be suggesting that a renewal of activity -associated with January- is growing toward an event which, regardless of success or failure, will cause some significant level of backlash against global terrorism. Unfortunately for the targets, there are aspects to this entity which suggest biological attack will be used. Now, this is the primary fear of the populace at large from whose subconscious signals these reports are derived, therefore, it is to be expected that biological attack would be present in that it is occupying that primary fear spot in the ‘corpse populi’. This is not to dissuade from the idea that the entity is predicting a biologic attack, but there is also a high probability for error on fear based changes.

Unusually, the [Terrorism] entity is offering a warning or caution, whatever the nature of the actions of the terrorists. The entity is clearly indicating that the best response to the action will be to (disregard) the (first instinct) and (instead) (do nothing), (not treading fast), do (not immediately) {throw oneself into energetic response). As though, the clue is that perhaps this action or attack contains a feint or ‘draw’ to (trap) the (primary nature) of the first responders, thus drawing them into becoming a second wave of victims.  Something to consider.

 

Basically the [Terrorism] entity is suggesting that we are approaching the crucial period for global terrorism, sort of the end their first ‘business’ cycle and a period of both potential opportunity but also of maximum risk for failure.

 

One of the entities that continuously asserts itself into the model, and rightly so, is the [Weather] entity. In this model run, the [Weather] is both prominent as in fully populated, and volatile. Both in the dynamics of size and the propensity for impact, the [Weather] entity occupies as much of the model as does the [Economy] entity.

 

According to the [Weather] entity, 2003 will be a year of (manifestation) in {great measure}. The entity is predicting a huge impact on humanity primarily through (exposure) to the {unknown} and again in {great measure}. The entity is also populated with further reinforcing aspects of a cross cultural vein indicating ‘large measure’ or ‘great proportions’ and these include (heavy load), (big cart), (large wagon), (many beasts –as in drawing animals like oxen or horses).

 

The [Weather] entity also has many timing clues indicating that the year will start off with large [Weather] impacts and then experience further (disproportionate) weather events throughout the year. The entity also carries a number of aspects related to both (change) and the (unexpected). Again, both of the aspects contain core attribute sets reinforcing the idea of large quantities as in ‘huge changes’.

 

The [Weather] entity also indicates some propensity toward or commonly felt sense of impending catastrophe. This entity may be standing proxy for a general sense of global unease rising to the state of active foreboding. This entity carries timing clues indicating a disaster of some large measure that is weather related occurring in the end of the second quarter or the beginning of the third. As this would coincide with hurricane season, such a prediction would seem even likely, however, the [Weather] entity is overwhelmingly populated with aspects indicating (surprise) and (unexpected shock) and so the obvious may not be what is being forecast. And as there are also linked aspects to the (Coup) and to a time when (usurpers battle), it may be that a coincident weather event will occur in close proximate to the (Coup) referenced earlier, and that the [Weather] (catastrophe) {surprise/unexpected} will have an impact lasting until the third quarter.  Further, the entity reinforces repeatedly the concept of (calamity) and then magnifies every aspect with {great measure} stating that something very unpleasant is coming in the way of a natural disaster. As if that were not enough, aspects depicting (cooperation) between (neighbors) and (cousins) and (tribes) in an (unexpected) {battle} for (survival) of {great measures} –presumably of humans-.

 

 

Conclusions:

After processing and interpreting the output from this run and reviewing yet again the components and referential integrity, the conclusion arises that a perfectly obvious prediction of vast quantities of change is in store for 2003. There were a number of other entities, which spontaneously developed during this processing. As many were focused on specific personalities, and as many contained negative aspects with reinforcing attributes, the year 2003 will bear watching for a great many people rising to the (attention) {of the crowd}. As this concept supports the previously examined changes anticipated within the [Populace] entity, it would seem a very safe prediction to suggest that many in high places will be brought down this coming year.

 

Every entity modeled, unlike any previous run, was completely populated with attributes of a change concept modifying all aspects. This included those entities for [religion] and [politics] among others. In the case of these two, the numbers of aspects indicating rapid and deep change are significant. Further, both of the entities have associated aspects sets for (Personalities) which have been reinforced with numerous attributes for death. The suggestions for timing are the preponderance in the first quarter and the last quarter of 2003. Again, further modification of the aspects includes the attributes for {unexpected} and {shocking}.

 

To conclude, it would seem that the Web Bot processing is saying that we will find 2003 will be best described as ‘The shock of change’.

 

 

The above contents (C) 2003 George A. Ure, www.urbansurvival.com on behalf of people who have generously provided this perspective and must remain unnamed. No reproduction or use in any form is allowed without previous permission.  For information contact george@ure.net.

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