Had an interesting conversation with my colleague Cliff at www.halfpasthuman.com on Thursday – author of the Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis (ALTA) reports which have been skinnied up to the smaller “Shape of Things To Come” (SOTTC) reports. The sequence, which often gives useful information about future events, seems to be in process of making another ‘hit’ as in the early December report there was this outlook for the ‘context change’ we’re now in:
“On both sides of the Pacific basin, that is to say in Asia, specifically China, and in the USofA, the data sets that accrue for the Terra entity around the 29th of December, and the context change that occurs at that point [ed note" to the populace of the USofA], also are indicating that the [diaspora] or [dispersing of the peoples] will once again be [prevalent] and [visible] within the [main stream | (propaganda) media]. While the [(propaganda( is indicated to be [flowing thick], and even [overwhelmingly], and to be directed to the discredited [humans as cause for global warming], the data also indicates that the [extreme cold] and [disrupted/disjointed winds] will be [thrown back (into the) face] of the [propagandists] by the [popular reactions]. Nonetheless, the [diaspora] sub set is indicating that [hundreds of thousands (of humans)] will be [on the road (or relocating)] due to the [extreme(s) of climate] that will [descend (from the jet streams)] in very late December and continue through into January.
“This episode is but 1/one of 3/three [storm] occurrences though [winter 2009/2010] that will trigger [diaspora] at levels that are significant for both [populations involved] as well as [visibility] levels.”
In earlier runs (ALTA and SOTTC) the data had been messy in the sense that the diaspora/relocation language was temporally concurrent with the clamp-down by the PTB (hear them jackboots?) as they try to enforce ever-higher level of control in order to maintain position/power through events that promise to be very disruptive out into the foreseeable future. But significantly, in the early views it looked like the humans would be fleeing north to Canada. Now, however, looks like the flow of bodies could be south; perhaps from the Canadian plains into the US, and/or from the northern US states to the (hopefully warmer) mid and southern states. Directionals (like north & south) are way down in the noise in the data and hard to get right…
With the caveat that the ALTA/SOTTC reports tend (by their very linguistic-dependent) nature to err on the side of grim and extreme, we nevertheless have our eyes watching for next weather systems and along with that the interesting possibilities that shutting down (even substantially delaying) Canadian and northern States grain operations would have on the global food supply.
Once again, I’d draw your attention to the continuing theme around encouraging people to plant whatever they can from heritage/heirloom plant stocks in order to build a personal buffer as best you can for what could be a scarcity of food later this year.
Conceptually, at the extreme end of contingencies, the planning framework that emerges revolves around delayed, or at least shrinking, harvests in 2010. With that could come what? Higher prices? Almost without doubt. What else? Food controls/rationing? If the PTB are struggling hard to maintain control, perhaps a staged event of some kind that would justify seizing control of food distribution wouldn’t be out of the question.
At the ‘mellow end’ of the scale, delayed and slightly reduced harvests with limited food price impacts, substantial flooding and some belt-tightening, but within the ability of systemic recovery is the more probable.
Still, the prudent person, already beginning the opt-out process, would spend more time developing ‘out of system’ food and water alternatives to ensure self-preservation.
We continue, meantime, to catch just ‘whiffs’ of discussion surrounding the Gulf Stream slowing to nil. We recalled in our conversation Thursday that in the times of Tulip Mania in Holland (1634-1637), sports like skating (and speed skating) arose because Europe used to get so cold that skates on canals was a grand way to travel.
A little study of the period suggests that it’s “It is generally agreed that there were three minima, beginning about 1650, about 1770, and 1850, each separated by intervals of slight warming.“
IPCC climate data jiggering aside, the written record from the medieval period suggests a much colder Europe and if we’ve just been through a planet-wide warm spell, even a reversion to the mean could be disastrous for people used to an excess of calories in North America and West in general. Study of “Global Cooling” once vehemently brand hypocrisy to Carboneers/scammers and their unquestioning followers is no longer ‘thinking the unthinkable’ – a favorite pastime around here.
For now, the predictive linguistics are maybe 1/3′rd fulfilled with headlines like “Amid record cold, Feds prep more heating aid.” and place like “Polk (Florida) sees another night of record cold.” I suppose this means the price of screwdrivers will go up this year…
No need to mention no sunspots again, is there?
Doing A Job On Us
I put this morning’s Job Report second because work is nice, but eating a couple of squares a day is even nicer and more necessary than a job. That said, amidst all the talk about ‘green shoots’ and the ‘happy talk’ inside the Beltway, here’s the latest ‘official’ word on unemployment:
“Nonfarm payroll employment edged down (-85,000) in December, and the unem- ployment rate was unchanged at 10.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statis- tics reported today. Employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and wholesale trade, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.
Household Survey Data
In December, both the number of unemployed persons, at 15.3 million, and the unemployment rate, at 10.0 percent, were unchanged. At the start of the re- cession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons was 7.7 million, and the unemployment rate was 5.0 percent.
Unemployment rates for the major worker groups–adult men (10.2 percent), adult women (8.2 percent), teenagers (27.1 percent), whites (9.0 percent), blacks (16.2 percent), and Hispanics (12.9 percent)–showed little change in December. The unemployment rate for Asians was 8.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted.
Among the unemployed, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27
weeks and over) continued to trend up, reaching 6.1 million. In December, 4 in
10 unemployed workers were jobless for 27 weeks or longer.
As usual, the two most important numbers are not discussed in the ‘mass consumption/dumb-down’ press release. They leave it for aware/awakening people to figure out that there are two more reliable indicators of what’s really going on.
The first of these is called the CES Birth Death Model. The theory behind this is that there are lots of jobs created that involve people going to work. Since I’m a consultant by trade, for example, somehow my employment (however irregular) has to be estimated since I’m not a discouraged worker (except when a client doesn’t understand something, but let’s not go there).
Today the CES report estimates that 59,000 were estimated into being in December including 18,000 new jobs in trade, transportation, and utilities although that’s not nearly as mysterious as 12,000 news jobs being created in the leisure and hospitality category, unless there’s been a helluva boom in ski lodge operations because with so many unemployed there’s a huge increase in snow boarding? Sometimes I just don’t understand…
More revealing (but I’m not sure what to make of it) is the note on the CES birth death model page that asserts the “2009 Total nonfarm over-the-month change, not seasonally adjusted (in thousands)” dropped 406-thousand jobs in December.\
Aha! This loops me back to the Employment Situation report which alleges that the civilian workforce in December dropped by 661,000…with no explanation of where they went! Did they go back to Mexico? Was there a partial Rapture I missed (that’d be understandable, I suppose…) or WTF?
Assuming there really were as many people willing to work as there were in November: If these 661,000 disappeared people were to show up, that would have made the unemployment rate 10.4% and by golly, we can’t have that now, can we?
Keep your eyes open: We should be seeing people [statistically] disappearing all over the place. Get it on video and send it in! Sell it to the networks!
The second number is the number of unemployed plus the severely under-employed people. I usually call this the PhD’s Flipping Burgers index because it delineates waste of human capital. In today’s report we find the percentage of the workforce officially in this category is 17.1 percent which is up from 16.4 last month. (Did someone just yell “Change!”?)
If you still believe in the put-up myth of right/left politics, people on the right will no doubt be convinced the Obama administration is lying less about the jobs picture than the Bushista regime previous. And people on the left will no doubt believe the Bushistas deliberately cratered the economy when it became obvious McCain wasn’t CiC material and the Obama folks have been pushing on a noodle/wet string (or whatever your favorite metaphor is at this ungodly hour) every since.
Related: This weekend’s Peoplenomics.com report for subscribers will review the role of “Marketing: The Root of All Evil?” Interesting question to pose….
I see where senator Bob “Nelson: We should have waited on health care” and he tells the Fremont (Nebraska) Tribune (you’ll love this…)
“…it was a mistake for the Obama Administration to take on massive health care reforms in 2009, and suggested efforts would have been better spent addressing the economy.”
Fire up the laser printer quick! I need to print a “No Shit Sherlock” award. Wonder if they have people living under overpasses in Nebraska?
When The Going Gets Tough Department
Been watching the headlines around a top security official and vacation time under headlines like ” Source: Counterterrorism direction vacationed days after failed attack“. Michael Leiter got the job as NCTC director in 2007 and was asked to stay on by the Obama administration and was in constant secure communications with the office. Hard sorting out whether this is grousing (or sniping at the Obama administration) or a bad judgment call. But the kind of hours people in that kind of position put in and the stress on families, my guess is a little from column A, a little from column B. But it sells papers, like they used to say in the print media business once upon a time.
Meantime, the FBI has announced the arrest of two suspects in what’s described as a conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction on U.S. soil. Apparently there was a plan being hatched for a 9/11/2009 attack.