The Site They Don't Want You To Read Which Outs the Big Game.
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MajorQuake - Hawaii Warning
Magnitude initial 7.5 quake - downgraded to a 7.0 - has happened down in Vanuatu...
Big quake... a bit off the 17-th area in the predictive linguistics, but a big one nevertheless...
Reader Note: OK, we've made it to Saturday, so the weekend content is available on the www.peoplenomics.com site about the reg'lar time. That's what keeps this site going, too, so if you've got a spare $40 laying around, cloick over to www.peoplenomics.com/subscribe.htm and give it a try...
Kinda Ended the Wave 4 Bounce (of I of P3B), Huh?
I apologize in advance for some of the remarks this morning, since by the time you read this, I will be three landings, a bunch of stalls, and some back-to-back high bank turns and a recovery from unusual attitude into my recurrent airplane driving project. In order to be at the airport because the cockpit turns into a solar oven, we're going up early...so once again, an update later on today is possible, depending on how things go in the sweat box this morning. Besides, with Japan down 2½ percent overnight, China down 3 percent and Europe down similarly, I figure the odds of a crash are higher on a trading platform than at the airport.
BofA may be about to axe 10,000 more jobs, so whatever the rhyme off the previous Depression's "good times are just ahead" will be, it needs to show up sooner than later, or there won't be anyone left to say it.
That said, you'll want to refer to some of my past notes here - which I'll point out (referring to the blog version of this site where it's easier to find things).
As we survey the latest round of retirement account wreckage, you might get a fair sense of how this developed by rereading some of my older posts from this month.
For example, before the open on August 3, with the Dow closing the previous day at 11,866.42, I suggested we were about to go "Back into "Bear Country".
The on August 8, I presented a "Guide to: Black Monday?" and a second update "Monday: Red, Gray, or Black? which raised some of the same issues and on that day the Dow opened at 11,433.93 and obediently feel to 10,809.85.
Then while up in Marysville, Ohio last week, picking up the old Beatcraft to fly home, we got to talking "About that "Four" - an Elliott Wave count that was about stepping back and seeing the Big Decline from the July 12,719 area high as a progression of declines, including the "fourth wave" which sure seems to have ended with yesterday's action.
Shortly after the market close, stories started popping up wondering "Is this Leman Again? No, But It Sure Feels Like It..."
My personal account (and this is not investment advice) is back up for the year over 60% but I haven't taken any money off the table, deciding instead to 'let it ride' and see what comes. Admittedly, it's like letting a mid-sized win in slots ride but that's the nature of anyone who sails boats, flies planes, or lives in a big city. World's full of risk.
I'm still expecting the market to take out 10,000 on the downside before we do the Big Rally back up to the 11,500 Dow to 12,000 Dow range before we seriously hit the skids in October into late December'ish, or so a dull dart, thrown by your even duller reporter, would seem to indicate after it's Thursday after-market throw.
Why Today Should Be Lower
I hope you noticed that the Dow, at its worst was down to 10,881.60 intra day, but closed at 10,990.58.
So here's my crackpot theory why we had this Jesus raised Lazarus bounce:
Since this is options expiration week, let me explain how some of the boyz (and maybe girlz) on the Street can print up a 'lil lunch money. Let's say that you operate a stock index fund. And you noticed at the lows yesterday, you could buy all the stock needed for your fund (when the index options expired at the close Thursday). So follow this: At 10,990 you can cover for an average of $10/share for all 50 shares in your index.
Now, comes today and you want to make a little more? Run down prices further, perhaps so you can cover at $9.75 a share instead of $10 and what do you have? <lunch> and a little left over for a pop if you have enough style to be invited to the friends of fermentation met together after the close, which you don't. I mean, if there was such a thing, of course.
Totally off the record - all unofficial like - seems like there may not be a QE3 coming if things work out like they may. Reason? Veep Joe, in China, has been probably begging China not to foreclose of us for all that paper we've pedaled them over the years and he might has promised something like, oh, no QE3 to get them to lighten up for now.
I get a kick out of commentaries like "Biden's Trip to China Makes U.S. Look Weak, Not Strong" posted as a Fox op-ed. Like we have some other choice?
Maybe I know too many people in too many sensitive positions watching China (and greater Asia) but nope, don't see an implosion of China coming any time soon and to see otherwise sort of ignores the world's current reigning industrial giant which is quickly replacing the West.
Oh, also China is acing out the West in enough deals that "Barclays sees "Real Competition' from China" according to a Bloomberg report. Wishing China will just 'go away' ain't gonna happen and you notice the former Soviet Union hasn't exactly been banging our doors down trying to gain statehood.
In return, China seems to be indicating we're maybe not a hopeless economic train wreck and orchestrating the release of how "We're all palsy-walsy again" could maybe get the market further than all the ink in Tim's Mint.
Don't know if I'm supposed to mention this, but against this background, the spiders out for a possible September Shape of Things to Come report seem to be pointing to a big metals move Wednesday or next week, plus or minus a few days. Don't know which way, though, or for that matter, what the paper abstractions will be doing in sympathy with it. But we'll be watching close-like.
I hear Jim Sinclair's got an eye on the $1,845-$1,850 area. His recent commentary which could have been called "Faltering Western World Financial System Fuels Gold Price" deserves careful study.
Silver may be starting to play catch-up, too, up over $40.60 on Thursday. Next week could be fun. Or not.
Gosh, outing all this stuff...no reason to hack my websites is it? LOL
Do It Yourself News
We used to have a sick (gallows humor) joke in the newsroom back in the day. I called it "Fill In the Blanks News. Even wrote up some examples of how FITB News works:
Simple, huh? All parts of this Victims of Process book of mine.
This is why 13-years of running a big city news department wears on the liver till you figure out it's just a fill-in-the-blanks deal to abhor people - but that builds ratings and the rest doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure. Ure Axiom from yesterday has an extension: RATINGS=Money=Sex....but 'cha knew that, right?
So, in keeping with this morning's George gone flying, report you'll have to work at my own information gathering, Let me walk you through it with easy to check Fill In the Blank News headlines.
Other stories take a little more work. Different forms, but you get the idea.
Drought and About
Reader tip from the Colorado steppes:
Straw Man Notes
Remember the show tune "If I only had a brain"? Wiz of Oz, wasn't it? Well here comes a headline "IBM unveils chips that mimics the human brain".
Oh? They empty? Have sexual urges? Political back-biters? Help me here...
The claim at ars technica that all the computing horsepower in the world is equal to one human brain maybe old, but it's very much on point.
Have IBM get back to me when computers start inventing new and creative stuff...like new categories of crime. New operating system update required scams not included, that's a human crime, subcategory greed.
Well, OK, the border is still there, still teeming with AK-47 packing coyotes running drugs and God knows what else into America. But here's DHS halting deportations on a case by case basis for illegals who meet certain criteria.
Great. No need for a fence, is there? Pliers, please. Need to pinch myself and my ViceGrips are in the shop. Worn them out, so having new jaws put in.
Rad Deaths A Comin'
Oh, just so you know it: A reader who meditates a lot (and knows the stream) says in the next week - two at the outside - we should start seeing the radioactive volcano stuff from Japan when the Fukys hits the aquifers and Japan goes from worse to horrible.
And you saw The Australian piece on how long-haul air passengers could be exposed to radiation? Ah, but you stand there on the banks of that river a while longer...no problems on the Sun and none in Japan...juss move along, suspect...take your shoes and your belt off. Now, say your name....
Money is the Root of All Politics
And just to show it, the BIGGEST STORY OF THE WEEK is like Howard Schultz of Starbucks calling for withholding of contributions to U.S. lawmakers until they get their (you figure it out) together on debt, revenue, and spending.
Don't know what's happened, but I may start buying split shot Americanos tall from them again, even if it means a 40-miles drive to get to the nearest one. Sounds like Schultz has come around to the "Get Real!" POV.
Shake of nutmeg, pleeze.
coffee=ratings=money=sex...yeah, this economic axiom stuff ain't so hard after all.
More after this....
Coping: Friday at the Office
While you're munching der Wheaties heute morgen...er, this morning, I'll be facing the following array of dials plus two new ones, not shown - the new iFly 700 GPS which will be on the left-hand yoke (no yoke, lol) and the new collision avoidance gear.
Only major squawks so far on the plane are:
I will try to shoot some video on final and maybe grab some audio, too, since the audio panel has both an iPod in and a record out... like I said, for a $20k airplane, not bad.
Main focus this morning is getting my approach speeds down - have a tendency to come in too hot (80 mph) instead of an easier to land from 70 or so. Figured out my reason for the error is over-correcting for turbulence on final and the added speed is really not necessary most times.
Practice makes perfect. Haven't been flying for a while so getting sharp enough to get signed off is something I'm not pressing. Rather be properly prepped than just signed-off and gone off half prepped.
Looking for a TFR (temporary fright restrictions) to come out for the Plano, Texas balloon festival September 16-18. Damned if I can figure out why Plano. Hell, I'd figured Austin - far more hot air down that way, especially here lately.
Ham radio special event station is planned: Frequencies plus or minus QRM: 7.255, 14.255, 21.355 and on the club repeater, WD5ERD on 147.180 + PL 107.2 and via Echolink at K5PRK. QSL with SASE to K5PRK
Wonder if I will have two meters mobile by then...hmmm...hell, what's more cockpit gear at this point?
Time as a Phase-Locked Loop?
We'll have more from the WuJo on this time stuff and all the disappearing stuff come Monday morning (at least that's the plan, anyways).
But for now, here's a dandy ponder to toss into your weekend thinking spells:
Most interesting - Oh: BTW if Clif or I actually do anything, it's purely by accident, I assure you.
Friday Food for Thought
From an alert East Texas household:
Zeus might consider it an upgrade: I've had him tearing up junk mail for his. He usually gets huffy about it, goes outside, where the big Southern Pine trees dying of the drought are dropping more needles than junkies in Central Park. Leaves me the damn mess to clean up.
Send Ure comments to firstname.lastname@example.org
Reader Action Department:
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Spontaneously Ventured Companies
We have a tremendous amount of territory to cover this weekend: To begin with we'll be talking about some major philosophical groundings, which I believe will be important as the second depression unfolds before us. As part of this exercise we will review some of the conflicts between socialism and raw capitalism as well as some newly emergent technologies which may provide workable alternatives. But the real guts of today's report will involve the formation of spontaneously ventured companies. This should be an extremely useful thing to keep in mind. Especially if you become unemployed and the economy falls to pieces. Like it didn't do that already.
Cookies Are Dangerous
If your computer runs slowly, you may have a problem with cookies. These little code snippets are how some websites (and spyware) recognize you, track your movement on the web and so forth. Here lately, as new class of super cookies has been evolved by the admen (and worse) that are resistant to normal cookie deletions through your browser's interface. Flash cookies, persistent cookies, and super cookies...all easily managed with the Maxa Research Cookie Manager.
Take it for a test drive by clicking here - and it you like it, activation is easily done. If you're a heavy web user (who ain't?) you may find like I do that you've accumulating a hundred or more cookies per day. Only a handful need to be white-listed, like your brokerage account or your bank. The rest? Software designed to spy on you that robs you of computer performance. Been using it for several years and pleased as the Dickens with it.
The "Do Drop Inn"
Amazing gardens in about 2 square feet of floor space: www.mygroponics.com
Post your weird dreams to help our research along:
"Live on $10,000" A Year
Having a hard time making ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on $10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic download. It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too..... Click here for the index and details.
Pass It On
Please pass along word of this site to your friends by simply clicking here to send 'em a short email. - Thanks!
Thursday August 18, 2011
Number Stew for Poochie
Hiya, Pooch! No surprise to our first item: Jobless situation sucks. But we knew that much. What we didn't know was the numbers out this week on jobs and the Consumer Purgatory Index, so we start this morning's tripping through the minefield of government data with these...
Remember the data drifts around but the bottom line is peace, harmony, and a million jobs didn't fall out of the sky this week. Yet, anyway. But we live in constant hope. Dumb, huh?
THE COST OF LIVING is also hot of the wire:
This is the part where I remind you again about the fallacy of government leadership believing that there's some economic value to the index less food and energy which is often referred to as showing the 'core rate' of inflation.
Near as we have it figured it's only meaningful to humans who don't eat or use any form of energy.
Which is why "official" and "academically approved/peer-reviewed economics" is such a load of crap. It's a fiction-writing exercise. Dee lue shun.
I didn't get time to do the Producer Price report yesterday (sorry), but here was the deal on that:
But the real story on PPI comes from looking at the Year-on-Year (YoY) changes in the BLS table:
Unadjusted finished goods are up 7.2% July to July. Crude materials are actually down 1.2% Year on Year.
Which means what? The companies in the middle are becoming very, very profitable. I mean think about it: They sell for 7.2% more and buy their raw goods for 1.2% less which means profits oughta be up 8.4% compared with year-ago!
So if - along in here - you figure that manufacturing is taking real advantage of their pricing power to 'screw the pooch' congratulations, poochie.
Have a dog biscuit with your latte and shut up. If you owned gold, today's data would upgrade you to a T-bone. Gold up $25 plus and back over $1,800.
Tail of the Beast
We've always held to the notion that there's never much gained by 'stepping on the tail of a dragon.' Oh, sure, you may have every right to step where you want to step, but the dragon, once offended will fry your sorry butt. Oddly, most of the time when I use this analogy in my book "Victims of Process: How unwritten recipes run your life" (which I have to publish one of these days) it usually comes up associated with examples of process-driven control organizations like multi-national corporations, churches, and government.
Still, it's with this metaphor in mind that there's what may turn into an interesting 'war' may be on the verge of breaking out between Standard and Poors and the US Government.
You see, in what looks like "pay-back" the US government is now investigating the whether S&P improperly rates mortgages securities.
I expect S&P may be a little more powerful than the US government reckons, in this 'battle' since S&P could ask a lot of highly embarrassing questions about government finance which they haven't done so far. As a semi-education (MBA) onlooker, seems to me S&P has been pretty even-handed and that the mortgage products debacle was a self-organizing frenzy of greed outside of S&P's control, although I'll defer to Howard Hill's expertise for guidance on this.
Gold: Hugo's There
What's this? Price of gold going up again this morning? Is it 'safe-haven' buying since the markets are set to decline and retest the recent lows (or lower)?
Maybe - we'll see how the market takes the latest CPI figures here shortly. But another factor not to be missed if how Venezuelan 'strong man' dick-tater Hugo Chavez is planning to nationalize the Venezuelan gold industry.
Not only that, but he's also planning to move gold reserves out of western countries and this is where we will maybe see the answer to two rather LARGE questions which circulate around the office here (me & Zeus the cat talk about this all the time, lol):
I can just see the issues and hear the crowds if Chavez were to get stiffed with T-Bars in place of G-bars and make an issue of it...
The Chavez gold move indicates something much more esoteric (or sinister) to the aware and well-read observer who caught the NY Times piece last week about how "Chavez loyalists push to close golf courses" as a vestige of capitalism.
What's apparent is that Chavez is stuck in the "G" section of the dictionary.
Working on little words like gold and golf. He's already figured out a couple of other, too: gas and gonads.
Might want to keep an eye on zealous city bureaucrats in the wake of a most interesting story out of the Pilot Online back in Hampton Roads, VA about how people are getting BOHICA'ed on after-hours towing charges.
We all know that the average incomes are down, and the unemployment rates are
up, so is it really in government's interest to up fees, taxes and so forth?
Or, is deficit spending the 'right' thing to do to keep services going so people
can move along with Life interrupted by economic circumstance?
There's times when the conflict between "balance budgets' -- a kind of republicorp/tea party mantra here lately -- collides smack into the common sense need to keep up services like public health, welfare, and not trying to screw over the governed by balancing revenue on the backs of regular folks.
What we see - and it's common to all depressions, I suppose - is how government gets tighter and tighter as deflation comes along, and finally, when things get so miserable that uprising is in the wings, decides that inflating their way out of troubles is the only course.
It's then that paper is printed (massively) and while it hurts from an inflation standpoint, it's great for gold and the metals. Which is why gold and silver were both called in the last Depression.
What we have to look forward to, until perhaps next summer, will likely be the continuing cratering of the economy until things get bad enough to turn on the printing presses again.
In the meantime, a useable word for the PTB's minions, at least in Hampton Roads, might be "towed's."
People Versus the PTB
Also an interesting development out of Germany, speaking f government and cars, where arsonists are setting high end cars on fire. Nine more set ablaze last night, brining the three night total to 35 so far. It's being called a 'prelude to terrorism' by some locals (in Germany) and sounds like the authorities are planning to make an example out of any suspected perps. Fair trial before hanging, kinda thing by the tone of it.
Seems to be sympathetic to the London riots, timing-wise. Pardon me for saying it: Yo! shit's on fire.
Citizens to Suspects Department
YOU are the problem if you're an average middle-aged, middle-incomed white family. At least that's the take away from the latest preemptive attack on social behavior launched by the Department of Homeland Security.
I wonder "If you see something - say something" extends to paranoia in government?
The emphasis on middle class whites is curious if the InfoWars story is correct asserting that "that the 126 people who were indicted on terrorist-related charges in the United States over the last two years were all Muslim. Less than half were US citizens. And we won't even mention the agent provocateur issues, but there's that, too.
Fundamental ponder: Would we even have terrorism except for blowback from Black Ops in 'Stan back in the Ruskie occupation effort, where we trained OBL and dozens of others?
And no it wasn't pipeline right of ways. It's opium money. Get frigging real.
Speaking of Howard
Thinking on that CMO/S&P article earlier and such... I can't figure out why no major publisher has yet scarfed up Howard's first book "Mortgage Market Mayhem" except, perhaps, it is a little too telling. Or they're idiots which is another possible.
Nevertheless, Howard's insights are [often] better than mine (me not being a Yalie math grad could have something to do with it) and his observations about Pixel Power in his column this morning is a gem.
Who would ever have though that a handful of pixels on a computer screen - either green, yellow or red could drive people, states, governments, and even the whole world to such madness?
The Sports Section
Reader Note: From time to time we will occasionally cover only one major sport - sex - which last time I checked was almost everyone's favorite indoor sport. There is so much 'sex news' sometimes, I just can't help but comment, since the underlying (underlaying?) product has not seen any major hardware releases from Ma Nature (LLc?) since, oh, maybe 200,000 years ago and not sure even then what the revisions were.
Still, where there's ink, there's think:
CNN's Piers Morgan has former GOP senate candidate Christine O'Donnell walk off his show for asking about gay marriage.
We won't burden you with daily coverage of our national sexual preoccupation, though it would be great for page rankings. We'll try to stick with just the long and short of it now and then.
When we do so it will be driven by one of the famous Ure Axioms, specifically my "conservation of energy" law which states:
Money=Sex and it's corollary Sex=Money. But then you knew that, I suppose. Appetites are appetites in one for or 'nother.
Coping: With the Drought of Eleven
Most readers don't know this, claimed an email from a reader, but the drought that started the Dust Bowl period of the 1930's was actually started in middle/western Texas. From there, it spread cancer-like until it had reach as far east as Tennessee, as far north as the Canadian prairie, the base of the Rockies to the west, and the Gulf coast on the south.
But, technically, the 'dust' part was along the Texas-new Mexico border, up over the Oklahoma pan handle, Colorado, Kansas and a bit into Nebraska. (map)
Since we have some access to the predictive linguistics work of www.halfpasthuman.com, we can see in advance of this year's late fall bond collapse event which seems to peek out of the data, that the conditions are setting up for a replay of the 1930's in a most terrible way. A reader email on point:
The most likely explanation for the drought is the periodic perturbations of the Sun. I assume you know that this afternoon, NASA will be holding a press conference about new findings related to solar storms and such, but there is a reasonable correlation that goes to the idea that the much talked about eleven year economic cycle (the upper end of the Juglar cycle) which happens to also run in the 11-year range.
Shakespeare observed that "There is a tide in the affairs of men' which, when taken on the flood, leads to fortune..." which may explain why Clif & I are so fascinated with messing about with boats...and always keeping an eye out for high tides. And the penalty for not "seeing the flow?" "Omitted, all the voyage of their life Is bound in shallows and in miseries."
The crop implications are significant - and while I apologize for this data being a whole week old, the USDA Crop Progress report summarized this year's farm output picture this way as of last week:
The increase [overall] is likely due to the very good rainfall which is being experienced in the area from about the middle of Arkansas eastward. That flooding on the White River we wrote about during our first-hand tour of the area earlier this year, and subsequent rain, has been very good for folks, like corn-growers in Alabama, although sources tell me they'd be a helluva lot happier if they'd get some nights with overnight lows under 72ºF, but that's a different problem.
My personal 'best guess' at the cause of the drought would normally be that something is going on with El Nino or La Nina - those sea temperature hot/cold spots out in the Pacific.
However, this doesn't mean things are ideal for generating moisture from the Pacific, especially this page in the NOAA update:
Obviously, if the sea surface temps are down, the evaporative rate will be slowed and west you toss in anomalous westerly wind flows in the eastern tropical Pacific, there goes a major moisture source.
In the longer term, the development of La Nina as fall arrives is expected and since La Ninas are 'cold episodes' of sea surface temps, cooling will likely result in generally decreased evaporation & rainfall in 2012 such that lack of water/drought talk could increase. I'm a shade-tree scientist, but it's something to consider.
Main thing to be aware of is their outlook or now through the end of October which also looks 'normal' except for the continued high heat in the South:
That high heat may keep general precip levels down, as rain doesn't happen when the temps are so high (at altitude) that cloud cover doesn't develop.
And, since we're just barely getting started on the build-up of Solar Cycle 24, the Sun's output may not rise fast enough to warm the water to generate the moisture to create the clouds to cool the South and return things to 'normal' as least for a while.
My gut feeling - after looking at all this stuff - is that the lack of precip and the high temperatures will continue at least into mid fall in the south and that we'll then see a very damaging winter from ice storms and such. Just a guess, mind you, but at least in our neck of the woods, lots of trees are dying for the lack of moisture and maybe these cyclical drought are why the Great Plains were plains not forests.
Anecdotally, there have been a lot of "Property for sale" signs showing up on the road to town and the airport. Makes me wonder if the relatively insulated property values in Texas may be sooner than later 'catching up' with economically damaged parts of the country up north.
And a word to those locally who are praying for rain: Maybe we oughta be praying for hot water in the Eastern Pacific and that some tropical storms make their way in the Gulf.
Tomorrow wouldn't be too soon.
The local ham radio club is recirculating the Red Cross heat pamphlet which (among other things) talk about how to cope with the signs of heat related medical issues:
Good stuff to be on the lookout for.
Meantime, my personal list of heat coping tools includes:
Except changing tanks on the BBQ, of course. Real Americans at least maintain a high state of readiness in this department.
We're expecting another cold snap here next Wednesday just 99ºF. Got the long johns laid out just in case.
Though seriously, or nearly so, air conditioning "cooling degree days" are 2,627 this year compared with "normal" down around 1,681, so a 56.3% increase in cooling demand.... and you wonder why I write up strategies like solar panels?
Eye in Ohio
Might want to keep an eye on the Buckeye state:
Thanks for the tips - I mentioned the healthcare suit outcome a week, or so back, but the right of people to form unions, I agree, has really been under the radar.
A follow-up on the Wednesday at the WuJo piece will be up tomorrow morning. And tomorrow's report will be posted super early.
Although I had fun flying Wednesday, I will be making some early posts in order to get out to the airport earlier. Want to be taking off at 7 AM because by 9:30 yesterday, cockpit temperatures were into the low 90's and there's enough stress doing crosswind landings as is. Don't need to be sweating like a pig/wiping sweat out of my eyes doing them. Which is why only steep turns and 3-landings yesterday.
I sweated off two pounds, though. So many I need to do this...er....17 more times?
Wednesday August 17, 2011
The Big Slide, Part V of (1)
With the usual (monotonous, but necessary) rejoinder not to try this with your own hard-earned real money and realizing I just trade for fun (and 40% this month) I just went short the market Tuesday in order not to miss what I've penciled in at the next big down to finish up leg one down from the top of primary wave three which should lead to financial chaos (and thus big profits) this fall into the December solstice.
On reason for my bearish glee? Industrial production numbers from the Fed:
Or, as I read it: Something a ham sandwich short of 'recovery'.
( I will post an update this morning 11-12 ish after I get back from flying - too damn hot to fly later in the day in this heat....) PPI will be here then...
Say, Here's a Surprise
Why we don't just announce the West is claiming all oil resources on the planet except for the Russian/Chinese keep-out zones and be done with it is beyond me. And why we didn't just annex Iraq and make them, Israel, and Libya all states at the same time seems equally inefficient.
No doubt, this is why I don't seem to have a Ure for Congress committee.
Biden Our Dollars
Veep Joe in China for what are called "economic talks". Wonder if he brought a kneepad so he can kneel down and beg China for continued Treasury purchases?
Meantime, China says it didn't really see that secret laden Blackhawk chopper in Pakistan left by ST-6 popping OBL. You betcha! And the checks in the mail...
So Long, Euro Democracy
Why sure! Take even more power away from the peasant class who are being screwed to the financial wall and making firebombs in (check as many as you care here) Italy, Greece, Portugal, Ireland, and England.
Yeah, that's gonna fix shit, you betcha. Remove any vestige of accountability! yeah haw.
Am I the only gray (hair) to remember the French Revolution? Or that Germany's governmental track record is...er...spotty?
Kiss My Asteroid
Of course, t'ain't never gonna happen. The EPA I'm just certain will claim jurisdiction and then we're all TF'd.
The Body Politic
Turnabout being fair play, I expect a Perry retort and as long as we're going to body parts.... Man, this is election's gonna be ugly.
Gone to the Dogs
Next time someone says America has gone to the dogs, admit they're right. CBS out of LA reporting dog thefts are up 32 percent. Say, you don't think the homeless are making puppy chow, do you? Naw...dog flipping for cash, by the sound of it.
Offshoring of a Different Kind
PayPal founder and early Facebook man Peter Thiel has started an initiative to get floating, offshore, 'libertarian islands' going - which should be massively popular with seasteading types.
Wonder if they could get Kevin Costner to be the advert. spokes?
Good coping section this morning - am off to the airport to shoot some landings, more later on...my old Beech being slightly less pricey than that new Chinese J20 stealth they're whipping up. Wonder if their GPS is as good as mine? And if people love the people's republic, why all the arms?
I'm waiting for what Congressman Allen West called "a Chamberlain moment'.
First the Depression gets worse, and by the time the echo of WW II shows up, China oughta be ready. Doesn't anyone read history?
Coping: Wednesday at the WuJo
This morning's report is being created a big earlier than normal so I can be at the airport by 8:30 to shoot more landings with my fright instructor. Under normal conditions that wouldn't be so hard to do, but I'm anxious to be done flying by 9:30 or 10 AM since we're headed for another chilly day here with only 101º in forecast and I want to get home and bundle up well in advance of that.
So we get ruminating on high strangeness in water reported by this reader:
Hmmm...might want to go back to the calendar and check moon cycles.
Clif & I got to talking about the role of waning and waxing moons yesterday and for [whatever reason] both of us are for some strange reason really operating in high synch with moon cycles.
If you're not familiar, the idea is that when the moon goes from dark to full it's called waxing (as in on, eloquently) while the stage from full to dark is waning (as in confidence waned).
The time to begin new projects is the waxing moon. The time to finish, complete (and both Clif & I are in "office cleaning mode" presently) and clean-up.
What does this have to do with the missing water you're wondering? Well, me too. Except that I've made a big note to try and get lunation included when we get into this strange kinda stuff.
Only thing that comes to mind is that maybe what we're talking about is the same kind of phenomena that has been often recounted here: Just like keys, pencils, and other things seem to occasionally "drop out" of existence on our space-time line - only to reappear some months later, we have to wonder if this isn't somehow what happened to the water?
So we need to ask this reader "Have you had an experience where either you - or the spousal unit - said in the following months - or even thought to yourself - boy! That fish tank sure is full! Maybe the water came back...or it's going to."
My alternate hypothesis is that you've discovered where 'wet spots' come from, but I've done enough wild oat sowing to have an alternate explanation that seems...er....repeatable.
Sidebar: As for the Fuki-sized tomatoes, no telling. You've have to go a good distance to keep up with the legends from the Mutanuska Valley. The region has mild temps (65 to 81 F in summertime), fertile soil, and 21+ hours of daylight.
Don't know if I mentioned it, but when I went up to Ohio to pick up the plane, we drove right past the Scotts/Miracle Grow facility up there. Wow! What lawns! Not only that, but since it's business related, I'm sure they write off lawn care.
Came home, depressed, and thinking I should buy some weed & feed. Fortunately, I consoled myself by remembering that those great lawns need mowing. Suddenly I felt a great rush of relief and my depression quickly passed.
Screwed in the WuJo?
On to our next little dash of reality gone missing...this is a dandy email report:
Don't know what to make of it...screwy report. But wait! There's more!
Now here's a really interesting one - from a reliable fellow (ex Marine Sgt kinda guy) not prone to making things up:
Maybe here's the thought that someone didn't want me to get around to noodling out and thus may explain the attacks on my website:
I think it's possible - just possible that these events of disappearing/reappearing keys, toys, phones, and now this report of bi-location while an object decided where it was going to be is actually - here comes the weird part - evidence of time travel being invented and perhaps quite recently!.
CoastToCoast AM had a really amazing show on Monday night where George Noory interviewed a fellow named Dr. Ronald Mallett who has made it his life quest to build a real time machine.
Mallett, who's a faculty member at the University of Connecticut, is highly expert in particle and field theory. And if a fellow with his scientific pedigree thinks time travel is possible - which kind of infers getting around in it is -- then it's just an engineering problem, and those we can deal with.
So the local follow-on would be to assemble these various disappearing/reappearing objects that get reported and then work backwards to commonalities between events over the historical past. I think they'll point somewhere.
I know this is gonna be a head stretch, but let's suppose for a moment that 100% of the reports in the WuJo are true. Like this ex-marine fellow's report of actually seeing a bilocation of a physical object take place.
Or the keys that were dropped on the upstairs bedroom floor and which were later found to have 'fallen through the floor' seemingly to the livingroom floor below!
Now, what IF all of these things were happening because of time travel? A kind of temporal pollution problem!
We would expect that the act of going back in time would, itself, not be a cause for massive mutation of the future. Standing on a plain beach, for example, perhaps leaving a footprint in the sand wouldn't necessarily change the future. Provided you didn't kill a key 'butterfly effect' bug. If no one was there to observe the event, no behaviors modified and the tide washes our footprints, and so forth, then seems to me the safest place to flip through time would be on an uninhabited low wildlife count beach.
Now let's suppose for a moment that time travel actually does go on and that some of the concepts in The Adjustment Bureau movie are either true, or near enough to it, since we know from one of our sources at the lower PTB level in the entertainment industry that the message is in the movie.
And let's go even further and suggest the far-out notion that maybe there is a secret organization which is used for "adjustment bureau" kinds of work. Why, such a bureau would need secrecy, oath to obey and follow, and all kinds of other controls, not the least of which would be a "cut-out" so as to keep the general membership of such a club thinking they were following an ancient order which - unbeknownst to them - could have a temporal loopback!\]
The "minor" changes made all over the world - even small ones, perhaps something as simple as calling someone in the middle of the night to wake them up, or some such - might be all the 'nudge' a timeline needs to change. And because such a club/society would be temporally disperse (being around forever, right) and geographically dispersed, then tracing causals to it would be kinda tough to prove. Still, an interesting hypothesis: Learn travel, go back and find a small club, imbue it with tiny bits of knowledge of the future such that it grows and there's your control structure.
Cool - graceful - and oh, dangerous to speak openly about.
Thus, any time (sorry) that time needed an adjustment, the Club would be activated at a very high level and things kept 'in check'. Order flow, but the mask continues in place.
Except, of course at some distance out in the very distant future, life would be really wonky becoming almost incomprehensible as the 'adjustments' needing to be done more and more frequently would be betrayed more often, too, by events like those that pop up in the WuJo section here.
Of course, it could be much more complicated, especially if there is anything to temporal inertia which we'll sneak into by reading this rather intriguing report...
Not so sure about the temporal inertia concept, because it would explain 'time classes'. But classification of the phenomenal seems much more likely to lead to productive research.
A word here about this: Near as I can tell there are various 'classes' of temporal adjustments taking places. I'll run through them small to large for you.
Now, here's an example of a Class 1 report (been saving this for last this morning):
So this is a hot one! This is one where I have asked (by copy of this column) for this reader to go back to Blaise and do a short history workup on this Blaise person (not real name, duh).
What we would be looking for would be a list of all the people in his life in Japan during the period where he lived at the aforementioned address and what kind of people he knew, what he said to them, and what they were all about.
If we can get an assortment of such reports together - and tell your friends the concept, although it may take some explaining - and perhaps - just maybe - we could pull all the pieces together to at least give us some serious pointers in the right direction to find out who's running the time-changing and then we can look into what their motives are.
Maybe this Blaise dude knew someone who was a geologist (think Japan quake, right?) or a government official who is now in radiation monitoring or whatever in the wake of Japan's mess and the move of Blaise was necessary to keep him from saying something or doing something, or meeting someone on an alternate timeline.
And if this isn't odd enough? I have a most mysterious system crash this morning which wiped out a fine and somewhat lengthy Coping report on adventures with my new airplane.
So it is entirely coincidental that I got up at 2 AM to write that piece and update the onboard GPS only to have the whole thing disappear? If so, maybe this is just a little Class 4 event - the kind barely above the perception threshold.
Like Lead Zeppelin sang.. "Oooo and it makes me wonder...." Yes, indeed, it does. Wonder if that's why Universe seems to favor George who is entirely non-deserving of such Bounty...maybe because I'm supposed to be pointing you here?
Gets me remembering the old saying: If you have a pulse, you have a purpose.
Observe, Watson, the game's afoot!
If anything befalls you know who...moi...send this to everyone you know. It's big, it fits, and since CERN is spending more money than WW II or any war in history, they are going to find something. Only question is how the workout happens and I think we got a sketch of something which is logically consistent coming together and an overarching framework that encompasses observed data.
To call some of this stuff woo-woo is to ignore the possibility that much of the unexplained to us heathen may simply be temporal displacement ripples. And haven't I always told you that Gary Zukav pointed out in Dancing Wu Li Masters that the 'end times' might show up about the time science and religion start to agree on 'miracles' and work out their source?
Yup - that'd CERNtainly be interesting.
Tuesday August 16, 2011
Waiting on That Recovery
With the return of the www.peoplenomics.com server to 'normal' our recovery from the vindictive/vicious hack attack on our servers this week is just about done. That done (at least by this afternoon) life here at Uretopia Ranch will return to normal...one of these first days. But things are near 'nuff that we can get back to playing Robin Hood and try to take a little money from The Rich as I'm looking at timing to get short the market again.
Most mornings, I'd preoccupied with MACD histograms and a flock of technical indicators and what have you. What's really got my attention, instead, is seeing how fast 'the crowd' wakes up to that missing economic recovery and worse....figures out the second dip is not too far out there.
As you know, oftentimes we guided by data like the West Coast Ports data to gain some real insight into things: Since we depend so much on Asia and third world imports, the traffic through ports may be considered a decent proxy for the overall health of the economy; unfettered by bureaucratic overhead.
Inbound cargo through the Port of Long Beach was down 1.2% in the most recent data, although the 'viaduct' rivalry between the Port of Los Angeles often sees a tug-of-war over who's going to offload what. It's a kind of bidding war that goes on. The LA statistics ought to be up here in the next day or two, but we notice that last month, Port of LA inbound was down 10.22 percent this year compared with last. Since the YTD comparison at Long Beach is up 9.5% seems that means the traffic might be running flat to slightly down and the LA report will sort things out for us.
Portland and Oakland will also have their monthly-July numbers up in a matter of days while the Port of Seattle has already listed their July numbers and they are plain bad.
Port of Seattle was down 20.2% for July overall and when you push out some of the numbers, it's even worse: Loaded inbound was down in July a whopping 27.8%!
Can't blame the port of Tacoma, just down I-5 if you're driving, or well south of VTS buoy Sierra-Tango if you're reading this on a containership this morning: Tacoma traffic was up only 4.9% YTD in June, and I'm sorta thinking flat for July.
So looking at the West Coast Port data overall, as a kind of bellwether, we can't get really excited about demand in the US.
As long as we're munching Wheaties and data points for breakfast, a glance at the Housing Starts just out from the Commerce Department this morning is in order here:
And, last but not least, the global Big Bounce, which I'm guessing to be just an Elliott Wave "4th" wave up as part of the five waves of the May 12,807 kind of arena in the Dow could be counted by someone (like the local East Texas nutjob) as a first wave down May's high to about June 15, a wave 2 bounce up to the late July 12,724, the down from there to finish out wave 3 around 10,719 about August 10, and if we are finishing, or finished with the fourth wave bounce, then I'd be left expecting a fifth wave down to finish the whole mess from here with a wave 5 equal wave 1 decline which would imply something like 850 points down and then panic is possible.
If that comes about (and remember: THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, just how I plan to play things, but that's subject to change within seconds) that would put us under the 10,000 level on the Dow by a bit and as Robin Landry told me back in early 2002 - crashes seems to come in the fifth waves nowadays, just like in commodities.
So that's why I've got 9,500-9,600 penciled in, but we could still have one last push to the upside before that gets organized.
Not that you can do much with a 401K account, except I suppose it's time to call my little sister and have the 'might want to switch to a cash fund' while this next leg down works out, and if 9,500 holds, then back into stocks for a run back to 12,000 into mid September before the horrors of late October and into December if our tea leaves are correct. I won't tell you what to do, and you're on your own, but Big Brother talking to Little Sister might be along these lines.
I don't want her getting hurt by having her life savings in stocks given how bad October could be. THIS IS NOT FINANCE ADVICE...JUST HOW I'M TRYING TO HOLD ONTO MY OWN MONEY.
Headlines are suggesting the turn down may be at hand, since AP just ran a story on Yahoo Finance: "Global stocks lose steam on weak German growth."
Must be getting near time for me to go 'all in' on the short side again. We still all live on a strange planet where people trade paper of all things(!) for useful goods like food, gasoline, and airplanes.
Whatever... Seems to be the only game in town, and as long as we're all waiting for the Grim Reaper, might as well try a little more 'stealing from the rich' while we're waiting on that recovery.
Don't know if you read my commodity guy's website ( www.fortwealth.com ) and JB's daily trader blog, but I got to looking at the big decline in copper over the past couple of commodity sessions (it has rebounded slightly).
There are two ways to read the copper decline and which one you want to hold depends if you're a normalcy-bias afflicted optimist, or a manic depressive short a hit of lithium. You make the call, OK?
Like I said...take the one that suits you best. Looking at the oil chart makes me wonder if a drop to $65 oil might not be in the cards when the market goes down to test 10,000 or below. Interesting ponder.
That's leave both remaining employed Americans able to save money on fuel. Whoever they are.
I'll save commodity options for when the ban of short selling comes to the US markets, as it could (though a long shot, since it only will make things worse) if it looks like Dow 6,000 is threatened by say, December'ish.
Dribs and Drabs
The Twitter-in-Chief is out on the road with the Washington Examiner headlining a Byron York piece "Obama: I reversed recession until 'bad luck' hit.
Since he's out on the road, I should reiterate my offer to host a Presidential Round of Golf over at Pine Dunes. I'm not a very good golfer, but here lately seems he's not being a very good...well, let's not go there. Still, I think a discussion about reversing jobjacking would be worthwhile. He's got policy options and unless we get serious about job creation, we're just going to keep auguring into the Second Depression which will be evident by Christmas.
The Buffer Coming to His Senses?
Say, what's this? The WB hisself is suggesting taxing the mega-rich. Those with taxable income of $1 million and more with a further bump at $10-million.
So is he coming to his senses? Well, I'm not betting on it. The catch is what?
The Key Gotcha here is the phrase taxable income. And we all know the rich aggressive structure in order to have millions but keep their taxable amounts low. Like zero, but then I must know some real scoundrels.
Lemme see here: So the phat cats with the offshore options coming due and brining in a million or less per year as 'living expenses" would slide?
Not in Georgeland. We'd be a little more forthright and put a higher tax on the top line, say over $5-million, end the punitive Self Employment Tax which stifles business formation, and instead go after companies which get over $5-million and somehow pay no tax.
Sheesh! OK, still, the WB's thinking about it...a good thing.
Coping: Time to Buy Solar!
Expansion plans of Evergreen Solar have been dashed on the rocks of low energy prices. And oh, sure, the Obama Administration is taking a hit on this, but this is precisely the kind of situation I'd mention in a Presidential golf round.
I don't normally plug companies, on such things, but since I bought our solar panels (20 of them) and our grid-tied Outback Power Systems sine-wave inverters and MMPT charge controllers from Sunelec down in Miami, I'd point you to their web site in general and note that the price of serious solar panels are down as low as 74¢ per watt. And the American-made Evergreen panels are as low as $1.48 per watt.
I think Dave Shapiro is still with them - (305) 358-7601. They do system quotes if you're not up to it. Peoplenomics subscribers can go reread Peoplenomics #362, from August of 2008 for details on how we designed and built-out our system here which is a modest 3.5kW of panels, a couple of 2 kW sine waves grid tied, etc. And been quite happy with the Interstate 6-volt golf cart batteries. All 16 of them (eight per bank).
Since we run all kinds of computer, televisions, satellite receivers, and have been holding our AC around 75-76, the power bill of $250'ish goes to show how nice sun power can be. I reckon without it, we'd be somewhere north of $400-$450 on the power bills.
So just to pencil out an idea or two, suppose you put in a system which consisted of 10 panels around 200 watts each. This would produce maybe 2 kW of solar peak and annualized maybe 15 kilowatt hours per day.
Although it will vary, the system ought to save you $800 a year, or so, on power bills and this would cost what? $3,500 for the electronics, $3,500 for panels and maybe $1,500 for wire and batteries? Toss in a couple of thousand for an electrician and you've got a one time sunk cost of $11,000 (I added some beer money in there, too).
OK, Why Bother?
This is something we'll be discussing (when Survival Woman and I get the conversion of Independencejournal.com to www.strategic-living.com done: What other investment can you think of that has this high a rate of return with virtually no risk?
I mean think about it: Saves you maybe (depending on solar zone) $800 per year in power costs. Doesn't take an MBA to figure that's a payback of 7¼ percent with no risk.
In fact, it's even better than no risk since it is a non-dollar asset. In other words, I may be sniping the market and doing just fine there, but all the paper in the world might not matter if we get runaway hyperinflation in 2012 in order to keep the economy from collapsing (which it will anyway, but that's a different discussion).
Oh - that 7¼ percent return assumes power doesn't go up in price. And think of it this way: once you own a solar power system, you can guesstimate its useful life at 25-years for most of it, except the batteries which with proper system settings should give 8-10 years of service.
So there you have it: A simple way to spend $11,000 with little (or no) market risk, which in addition to purely the money angle, also means you may never have to worry about missing American Idol, or having the freezer thaw out in the event of a power failure.
Both Clif and I have pretty good-sized solar systems and backup diesel gensets (he's right up there -- crazy-as-me) but between a years worth of food, a greenhouse or two, some investment in a garden (time-wise) and a decent wind or solar power system, isn't that the kind of future that a resource-scare world paints?
That hasn't changed. And the prices are collapsing. And it's why when Depressions happen, some people invest in the kind of things that will either increase their income in the long term, or they invest in products that will reduce their operating costs long term.
People forget there are two sides to the household budget: The income and the outgo. I don't care whether you're talking healthcare, communications, or anything else, the hard reality is that the Big Lifestyle Change is here.
Tell you a little story: Recently a friend I was with looked at my cheap little cell phone which is a two-year old Samsung as whatever AT&T's version of the Go-Phone is.
So my friend asks: "That your throw-down phone?"
Meaning, what that what I'd offer if I was ever mugged, of course. But no, I explained, it was not. This was a "George getting on over on The Man" by not buying into a $750 and who knows how much higher annual billing plan for something that I used about $150 worth of airtime per year for.
Helps being out here with no cell phones work - we are that far past the end of the string. Besides, I have a Flip video HD with me most everywhere if I need a camera.
So that's this morning's adventure to the soapbox. Buy stuff you really need, sure, but be very skeptical of being featured to death. And push around some numbers with a local solar guy and call Shapiro or the Sunelec crew.
My bet is that the rate of return on solar is so much further ahead of chasing paper for most folks, arguing the point is near laughable.
Inquiring Minds Department:
Good email worth an answer:
Answer to the first question is simple: Of course you can't expect the MainStreamMedia to report on integrity! Say, have you been nipping the sauce before breakfast?
The second answer is that the lack of Ron Paul coverage is obvious: The MSM and Paradigm Defenders have a vested interest in not seeing their System of power challenged.
Now, imagine that you had a vested interest in the system and could orchestrate things. Wouldn't you hold a certain news organization which might have gotten into trouble in another country, by the short-hairs by modulating an investigation in this country?
It's all about economics, power, and follow the money. Just like the DSK sexicide - guy was just not paying attention to The Leash and was about to run for president of France and the PTB needed to send a message.
It's all about power and money. Ok, toss in sexual perversions, blood sacrifice, and [other, various] ritual/sympathetic magic, too, then. The Upper of the Up look at we the people as sheep - and so this website - as a terrible nuisance and questions like yours are just damn inconvenient.
But till we get our next hack-attack, we'll keep reminding you of this. And if you're really amped on coffee, I think you'd agree defenders of the old paradigm have a vested interest in not too many people questioning them clothes of the emperor. Or that paper in the wallet.
Paradigms are extremely vulnerable after they've run their course. Ask anyone who invested in Tulips in 1637.
Monday August 15, 2011
The War on the People
This is the website the PowersThatBe don't want you to read. That's becoming clear since we had a major virus attack this weekend that, near as I can tell, had two purposes: Deny people access to our impartial reality checks [rickety time machine, etc], and cause me personal economic loss. Yep, it's game-on time, so roll up your sleeves...
Economic class warfare is something that's been in the predictive linguistics for some time. So what to do? You may notice a slight change of emphasis around here over coming months as we begin a slow rate-of-turn from our pathetic "steal from the rich" coverage of how to play the market (which could go up today and maybe tomorrow) to more of the "How to cope, now that we're in the Second Depression full-on. If you're guessing that our serious hack attack this weekend is one of the main reasons for the shift of emphasis, give yourself a green star for the day. A few details of that are in the Coping Section below.
But first things first - and we transition out of normalcy bias slowly, so as not to go through withdrawal pains too quickly - let's begin with some daily economic news so you can make informed decisions about how to plot what to do with the few bucks that haven't been long-ago spent since we're all mostly hypnotized to be frenzied-spenders like crack-headed monkeys programmed by the Cyclops in the living room and the much talk about nothing cell phone in hand.
The End of the Internet is becoming more solid - and you can see it on the horizon if you read internet stories in a certain way. Some examples:
Then there's that whole matter of social media - which, as I've reported on frequently, is starting to be demonized in the MSM because it can be used on a real-time basis to organize flash mobs and what have you.
My decision a long time ago to hold our participation in Facebook and other social media like Linked-In has not cost us dearly in terms of readership. And an article in Forces begins to question "How Valuable are Heavy Social Media Users, Anyway?"
At the same time, Tech Crunch has report on how "Buddy Media Raises $54M for Brand-Forced Social Media Management Platform."
Now that I have an idea of which malware company in Kansas City helped facilitate the attack on Independence Journal (which was unscathed), UrbanSurvival and Peoplenomics (which should be in full operation again Wednesday, or Thursday though it was working fine and safe this morning...just takes time for Google to re-scan it and approve as clean - we can see the coming merging of forces between hackers and business.
An example is the recent Rawsome Food raid in Los Angeles. If you haven't read the accounts of the raid, armed cops and all, you might want to do some sniffing about because the buzz we're getting it that a few posts have gone speculating that a major competitor may have had a hand in this, and whether or not the purely speculative buzz on the net is clear, the possible use of government by and for the benefit of corporations is becoming more and more of an issue.
One reason? Corporations are usurping human rights as "corporate rights" and while the jury is out on whether Rawsome's experience was a clear-cut case of corpgov joint action against a "people-based challenger" to a corporate good thing, the line is much less blurred in the exercise of government powers in such areas as no-bid selling off of state resources, extreme use of 'eminent domain' as an economic benefit to corporations, or here lately, the increased use of (now unlimited) corporate money to buy candidates to put up for office.
My coauthor, Howard Hill sent me a very telling note with a little commentary on business-friendly presidential wannabe Mitt Romney's real view on this corporations-versus-the-people stuff which is on YouTube here (and which somehow hasn't made it to mainstream prime time because why? Maybe because major media is owned by what? The very corporations than stand to earn most through their interlocking boards of directors, of course!
From Howard's note:
The main thing to remember going into the so-called elections of 2012 is that while I will be going to vote, I will be totally aware that the "selection" process is dominated by corporate money and that the whole process has been subverted by business interests which are only interested in the perpetuation of an economic system which gives them maximum benefit.
Think I'm kidding? Try on the story at Unelected about "How Michelle Bachmann Bought the Ames Straw Poll".
It would be unfair of me to pick out any single politician - anyone above dog-catcher takes corporate dough, such is the cost of campaigning for almost any office. Takes money for all those signs, banners, ads, and so on. Politics is a huge industry in case you hadn't recognized it. And it's why you can do one term in congress and get a full pension whereas as you get out of the Army one day shy, then too bad, no retirement.
A reader email on point, though:
That's how this boundary layer between the Haves and the Have-Nots works. Not supposed to, but no one seems to remember just why, though clearly its all part of the road to fascism and the more computer attacks, the more need to "help" and "secure" the public through things like, oh, mandatory DNA collection, fingerprinting, social media mapping and the coming controls on the Internet.
No, I'm not giving up daytrading yet, but for sure my "ain't gonna believe all the bullshit in the corporate-owned MainStreamMedia" outlook has started to take root to where it's gotten someone's attention.
That makes us successful, I'd say.
So please, send an email to everyone you know and advise them that UrbanSurvival is back, and George is now a little pissed.
IndependenceJournal.com was never hit, and Peoplenomics where the in-depth reports live, should be back and off the Google blacklist by Wednesday. It was safe this morning, but I'm having additional third-party work done on it. Can't be too careful.
So that's where my weekend went - hope yours was a helluva lot better!
Yes, hacking should be a felony and creating viruses ought to be in the same league as making a nuclear bomb or culturing anthrax in the garage. A few public hangings would maybe slow things down, but swift sure justice doesn't build much of a crime industry, does it? Beside, where would lawyers find work if peace and harmony broke out? You do see the problem...
Like I've told you before, everything's a business model and my constant awakening of people to that reality (and absurdity of our choices so far) is certainly not appreciated. Tough.
Seeking Truth and Context is its own reward. A small one sometimes...
The Twitter -in-Chief's job approval rating is now under 40%. Never thought I'd be thinking of Jimmy Carter's ratings as an improvement, but there you have it.
Meantime the WH is trying to figure out whether to get more "in-your-face" about the economy, although the general unemployment rate, collapsing velocity of money and the USA Today poll of economists is up to a 30% chance of a recession - all this kinda speaks for itself, I'd think.
Let me think...who can you think of who has been saying double-dip and for how long? Need more proof? (somewhere from 86 to 100 is a nice number when I read stories like the following one...)
About here I oughta mention the new Empire State Manufacturing Survey has been popped out by the NY Fed this morning. And guess what?
Ahem...double dip in sight. But ya'll keep on smilin' for surely, good times are just ahead...
Still, I'm thinking rally through tomorrow and then maybe down again. A little grape Kool-Aid with them Wheaties?
With Friends Like This, Dept.
And why do you suppose Pakistan would let China see the secrets on the US Blackhawk helicopter left behind from the bin Laden hit? Speculation could drone on endlessly....
A Curious Quake
That a 5.7 popped off in Ecuador isn't so notable, as its being on the backside of the Andes which somehow fits with the expando planet (plasma core model) and don't forget Wednesday-Friday is a big quake window to watch. This foreplay?
Coping: Hack Attacks and New Toys
I didn't even get down to the airport this weekend to see the "new" (really old) airplane I bought, thanks to the mess with the nasty bastards who decided to attack my websites.
Still, I plan to sneak down there today to fill up the tanks and get it ready for the next adventures in the sky.
THE most important lesson from the hack attack is that if you get a warning about a hole in your security, make sure to fix it instantly. The route to take out the UrbanSurvival site was an unpatched hole in a relatively obscure little Wordpress plug-in.
Which gets me back to a familiar rant here: The major form of web attack against online site seems to be malicious scripts which install pointers to vicious code dispersers online. But here's the thing: If a site is written in HTML (native code) then there's no way to run a script against it!
So when it comes down to making strategic decisions about how to build a website, think about that when comes to reliability: Native code is just that and hackers can't run a script on a site with no scripting enabled.
At times, people have told me the UrbanSurvival site (and the others) look "clunky" which, hands down, they do. They lack the perfectly sculpted look of some of the sites out there, BUT the nice thing about them is third-party code exposure is at a minimum.
A long password is in order, too. and I've beefed those up even more in the past two days such that they now take about a half-hour to enter each.
Still, while waiting for a clean backup copy of my site to finish being remounted on the server, I did have time to look around at toys which would be more accessible than the airplane.
Given that Texas (and much of the deep South) is being turned into The New Sahara, I figure this one ought to work year-round. Although, come to think of it, maybe if I laid out the bucks for this kind of thing, the whole South would suddenly sink to near Arctic temps, clouds would roll in, and rain was rinse us off into the Caribbean. Where we could all have a Corexit treatment.
Several readers have suggested that instead of the bulletproof (figuratively, don't want to test literally with it) old Beech, I should hold out for one of the new hypersonic aircraft. I'm almost certain they weren't inferring I should have been on it, since it already crashed in a test flight last week, but one can never be too sure.
Still, since our hack-attack traced back to Kansas City's malware central boyz, we would like to note that also in Kansas City is the Naval Space Command which in a roundabout way leads to this email from a reader:
Well, like I said, there's stuff in space run by the Navy of all branches that none of us are supposed to be aware of, so don't you dare go to Ed Grimsley's website and start looking at the videos of these craft in action.
The open-minded would find this interesting, and the possibility of a hugely advanced technology which - if released into the wilds here on Earth - would wreck the economy and so that would explain why we see one track of "development" of things like hypersonic craft on the one hand, against the stark dichotomy of NASA being shut down on the other.
I mean, not much point in going to Mars if there are already crews coming back from there on a semi-weekly basis, is there?
And speaking of heavenly stuff, here's an email of interest:
Yeah? Well, today I hate it. I may never get down to play with the airplane at this rate...who said life's a Beech?
Phony UPS Uniforms
Don't be surprised if you get the email going around under the subject line "PHONY U.P.S. UNIFORMS,, BEWARE OF DRIVERS; FYI..." or some-such. This one can be traced back to 2003. Like presidential elections, email crap like this seems to be recycled about every four years, or so.
That Cold Snap in the South
Many residents in East Texas were heard complaining this morning about the bitter cold snap that happened overnight. In many places, including my front yard, the temperatures dropped to a crisp & chilly 72º F in the pre-dawn hours.
Another bitterly cold night is expected with temps Tuesday only reaching 99º forecast.
I was going to work in the yard today, but I believe I'll stay indoors and keep warm. Besides, might catch a cold in one of those 10% chance of showers. Rainfall this year is 12.71" year to date. Normal is 27.52" for the date.
Like I was asking last week: "Where'd normal go?"
Before the chart, a little background:
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 11-year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, we're like SO sure... (Shhh...don't tell anyone that major Depressions are two-part coupled affairs like the linkage between 1920-21 and 1929, OK? Damn, dude...don't spoil it for the sheep...)
Oh...don't forget to "Write when you get rich!"
George Ure, The People's Economist
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