- Friday about 8 AM Central Time Except Holidays....many major
typos are fixed by 8:30 daily
March 28, 2009
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The Road Ahead
It's a fine thing to do at the end of an incredibly busy week:
sit down with a cuppa joe, a super-fast internet pipe, and
review not only what happened over the past week, but where
things seem to be headed in our run-up to the "summer of
hell/2009" which, according to the predictive linguistics work
is about as close to a slam-dunk as you'll find off the
In case you're new to this site, the Big Picture goes something
collision of paradigms which will last something like
10-years. As my friend Dr. Jack Lessinger notes
"Unfortunately, the Consumer Economy is not a static
reality. Everything changes. Over many decades, the
relentless drive to boost consumption inevitably brought
overconsumption and with it, dire consequences. " So,
coming along, but taking its own sweet time about getting
here, will be something he calls "responsible capitalism"
but not the kind of highly socialized kind of solution
that's presently sloshing around between the big white
buildings inside the beltway.
dollar is effectively bankrupt; rotted from the inside-out
by excessive government spending since politicians have this
genetic defect where they promise more than they can
deliver, only to find that they can make-good on promises by
destroying the purchasing power of the US dollar. This
is why since 1913 the purchasing power of the dollar is
about 4% of what it once was. But, since the American
public hates math, it's been an easy double-speak
shuffle for offishuls (sic) at all levels to sell you the
idea that what's been going on is inflation.
This deliberate reframing of the financial problem into
gibberish is exactly how the PowersThatBe (the banksters
behind the throne and their lobbyist cohorts), depend on to
keep you hornswaggled into a crooked system where you work
your ass off for 40-years only to find you've been swindled
out of your 401(k)'s purchasing power. Sweet deal for
them, huh? Guess who ends up rich? It's
not the person you see in the mirror, if that's a hint.
Another way to screw you out of your life's work has been to
reframe the 'stimulus' such that it goes to meaningless
places like saving derivative counterparties under the
outlandish belief that this will prevent a second Great
Depression, only many times worse. It won't, of course
since if you listen to really rich, really bright guys like
George Soros, they'll remind you that the residential
housing bubble collapse was only Round One and that
Round Two which is coming along now will involve a
30% drop in commercial property values.
since the money which should be used to fund new
construction, consumer financing, and American
self-sufficiency, and so forth is going to bankers and
special interests, another story which will be making the
rounds in a month or two, I figure, will be how farmers are
cutting way back on their commitments to plant crop this
year. I was speaking to the president of a
modestly-sized ag operation earlier this week and he said
folks he's talking with are finding just what he's
found, namely that banks may say he has a million
dollar line of credit, but they are being very stingy about
letting farmers actually draw against it this
year. What this means is that here's something that's
almost a lead-pipe cinch to push food prices up this summer:
reduced credit for farmers (or severely restricted lending)
coupled with high input costs, such that there will be
less food this coming summer and fall. Already, a
good bit of Eastern Washington's wheat is at reduced levels,
and then there's the fallout from
the flooding up in North Dakota to contend with. An d so
the precursors for this November's crisis are being set even
Government, all the while being blown about by the financial
string-pullers, has to find some way to keep you and me
under control, otherwise we wouldn't be willing to give
nearly 40% of everything we make (taxes and excess profits)
to a bunch of bozos who hold themselves as somehow smarter
than the rest of us. Gotta reality check to consider
here. So, in order to keep everyone occupied -
including countries like Afghanistan where
Mr. Change is throwing even more troops in, on
the grounds that Afghanistan-Pakistan is the most dangerous
place in the world - we build a better and better killing
I'm here to propose this morning that Afghanistan is NOT the
most dangerous place. The most dangerous place in the
world is the UK. That's right: England.
You see, the PowersThatBe are getting ready for one of the
biggest crackdowns on personal liberties ever under the
guise of protecting the G20-money shufflers. True, "London
Protesters threaten Bankers, evoke Executions" but it's
a protest and protest is the stuff of which
Freedom is cast. So to keep the UK's sheep in
authorities have identified 200 children as potential
terrorists. OMG, bring back
HUAC, at least those made some kind of sense.
Having over a million US citizens on no-fly lists just
doesn't pass my smell test; perhaps it does yours?
a sets Qaeda defeat as top goal in Afghanistan".
Yes, there really are some Islamic extremists who would like
to kill you and me because we're infidels. Still,
thousands of troops, is that the most effective solution?
How about hit teams? Armies are find for set/place
battles against large forces and all, but how do you cut off
the head of a beast? The world clings to a Middle Ages
concept that heads of movements are not top targets;
nonsensical, but that's why folks like Napoleon didn't get
'offed' the first time out in a real battle. This same
silliness persists today; and as a result, we don't go ab
out things very efficiently, although admittedly the result
is more employment, higher visibility of the decision-making
process and a lot of social control. But then again,
that's what wars are about, right? Kill enough people
and break enough things and you get an economic bump from
warfare and another economic bump from rebuilding.
we have a Secretary of State who is pushing for a "stronger
China role". I'm not sure what she's thinking (if
at all, on this) since 1) China is a huge buyer of US paper
debt instruments and has the US by the proverbial goanies
and 2) China makes about 1/2 of everything non-food sold in
your local Big Box store. So they have us by the right
one, and by the left one, so to speak. Yet this
enlightened 'leader' says they need a stronger role?
How stoopid do the folks at the top think the people who
work in this country are? What we need is
leadership that would a) increase domestic US production of
goods we consume. But that isn't going to happen since
the big bucks inside the District of Corruption flows from
industry and special interest groups, right? Then b)
we need to have sound money so we don't have to go
hat in hand to China every couple of weeks to beg them to
buy our quickly depreciating paper.
this stuff is really very simple and obvious if you just take a
few moments of quiet contemplation to ask that one more
upstream question. Instead of breaking out of a bad
mold and standing up to the lunacy of the past that has driven
us into the presently developing socioeconomic corner, the 'fast
change' artists are simply doing more of the same that got us
into our barrel of pickles at every turn.
government begins with sound thinking. You know: The kind
that the Framers embodied in the Constitution which these
officials are supposed to protect and defend. But
instead of asking the right questions like "How do we all
work just 2-hours of day or less and live in a land of plenty
with Liberty and Justice for all?" would be a great
starter...And that's all it should take: Automation is really
that good and yet we're all pawns in this silly paradigm
reinforcement exercise...." we instead get a change in troop
allocations, a change in naming of enemy combatants, and
a change in the role of China.
know about you, but I have to join guys like George Soros and
commodity legend Jim Rogers who are concerned, as am I, that
this all ends badly.
So on that
note, it's Saturday morning and I'm going to go work on my
garden, do my taxes, and anything else that comes to mind that
enables me to live as a free American enjoying the fruits of
liberty as long as they're to be had. Suggest you do the
Oh, one more thing: The state of "Missouri
retracts report linking militias, 3rd party candidates."
A victory for freedom? Yes, but only as long as the public
fulfills its role and remains vigilant.
Have you called your folks in Washington about HR 875, HR 814
and SR 425 which would reduce agricultural freedom under the
guise of food safety? No? See...another perfect
example of people sitting on their asses deserve what they get
from the corporate-government monoculture which I call
Oh, one more thing on top of that: Since we are in a huge
period of change (wait till mid May, if you think things are
changing quickly now, LOL) the time monks may release a public
'libretto of coming events' just so you can have a little lead
time to adjust to future events before they get here. No
point having a rickety time machine if we don't share some of
its outputs, right? Not as much as I get into in
Peoplenomics, or the full up HalfPastHuman reports, but an
outline sufficient so a thoughtful person can get ahead of the
curve a bit.
Drop by Monday morning. I've gotten permission from Alan
Land to post a couple of .MP3's for you to download (free, of
course). One is called "Tent City" and the other is called
"California IOU" Know the scary part? These were
both recorded in 1983...see how circular time is?
This is interesting:
George: In view of what you have been saying this week, I
thought you might find this interesting: A few minutes ago I
had the TeeVee on and they were doing the local news when a
story about "unidentified dead bodies in Florida" came up.
Seems there are 37 or so unidentified bodies on the books
and the FDLE (Florida Department of Law Enforcement) has
come up with a brilliant strategy for "offering closure to
grieving families". The department is going to be holding a
series of public events around the state and asking people
to stop by and give a DNA sample for a "special database".
These samples will be compared to the unidentified bodies,
hopefully providing matches which could get these cases off
the books so to speak. The announcer hastened to add that
FDLE says no one need be afraid to submit a sample as these
are only for the stated purpose and will not be used in or
compared to a larger crime database. YEAH, RIGHT. OMG you
and the Time Monks are so dead on! We have a garden and
fruit trees, hope it will be enough, but I have diabetes so
when the insulin supply runs out, so will I. In the
meantime, it is interesting to watch this year of
my to-do list: Filing a patent for my personal DNA.
Why? Because I figure that if I patent my own DNA, then
anyone who makes any unauthorized (by me) use of it is
guilty of what? Patent infringement and subject to
penalties. Interesting concept?
I appreciated your discourse on
being aware of the sites one visits on the web. I had an
interesting experience a couple of years ago that I would
like to share with you & your readers.
My Dad was stationed at Ramstein
AFB, Germany from 1959 through 1961. I was 7 when we first
arrived, and as there was no base housing available, we
lived "on the economy" with a wonderful German family in a
small town near the base. I have very fond memories of that
I had downloaded Google Earth
and was perusing our beautiful planet when I decided that I
wanted to see the little town of Kottweiler-Schwanden were
we had lived while in Germany. Innocent enough. I found it,
and then moved over to check out the base at Ramstein, to
see how far we had lived from the base. I was surprised to
see notations of certain armaments listed on the base. As I
continued to view the base (trying to figure out which
housing track we lived in), my computer froze, and made the
most God-awful noise.
Needless to say, I suspected
that someone thought I'd spent a tad too much time checking
out the base... Being of Irish descent, and a wee bit
stubborn (stubborn is often close to stoo-pid), I tried to
return the next day to continue my search of base housing,
and discovered that the "armament notations" had been
removed, and my computer froze. AGAIN.
I have known for a long time
that those of us who question the status quo and search for
truth (9-11 comes to mind the most) are probably being
watched and categorized. My only comment is to be sure and
spell my name right, and not to think I will go anywhere
Keep the good info coming."
after me: It's only a coincidence, only a coinc...
readers ask "How do you know about tracking scripts being
www.avira.com has been dandy anti-virus software for us.
And about all those hidden cookies that you really haven't
deleted, but just think you have?
the Maxa cookie manager. No, don't ask me where the
line between super-careful and paranoid is...it's past
my hoe? Come on Zeus the cat, let's get to work...real
The "Singularity" is Going Bust
There's a theory that suggests that people have a predisposition
to denial or unjustified optimism, which might be labeled a
'save-us gene'. Not specifically religious, per se,
the predisposition spread across many cultures is that at some
point in (name that) crisis, a new [something will save us] will
come along and all will be changed, all wrongs made right,
justice restored, balance in the Universe returned, and the good
guys will win. I'm not talking religion here, since
discussion of religion covers such a wide range/diversity and is
largely verboten in the workplace, I'd point to the
non-religious 'saves us' concept is making the global boardroom
rounds: the "Singularity". This particular 'save-us'
concept/belief posits that humanity will get so creative, and so
computationally empowered and so quick to market, that bumps in
the road (such as our current
recession-morphing-into-depression) are just a few formula and
code libraries from being solved. But are they? The
concept exists, in part, because Business Schools don't teach
this one course...
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"Live on $10,000" Updated
What? You haven't ordered the ebook "How to Live on
$10,000 a year -- or less"? Suit yourself. We're all
going to live it shortly, anyway. I just thought you might
like a heads up by reading about how to do it before you get
pink-slipped. But, suit yourself OR visit
www.liveontenthousand.com or, click one of the following
Yep - still possible. I also took a bit of additional
material that was pertinent from recent issues of Peoplenomics
and included them. The whole thing runs about 65 pages,
but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the
aforementioned dollar amount, but also how to migrate up the
economic foodchain if you make a little more than that and do
some active savings...
Click here for the page with more details on it.
week's report is here. For
back issues of this site, click here. (Goes back to
Friday March 27, 2009
So here's the libretto this morning: We've got some US
officials (Tim Geithner, just to name names here) who are
telling CONgress that the US is not in favor of a one-world
currency to replace the present US Dollar position as the global
reserve currency. But then, he turns around as tells the
Council on Foreign Relations ('member them?) that he
may open to new ideas and wants more interventionist powers
fast. And putting it a little more clearly,
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard writes in the Telegraph this week that
"US backing for world currency stuns markets" but not me.
I figure What China wants, China gets. Welcome to economic
Representative Michele Bachman, while admittedly a republicorp
from Minnesota, has it right I think in pushing in a bill which
would ban a 'global currency'.
the Treasury Secretary is pushing the plan which would allow his
outfit to take over non-bank companies if necessary.
you realize how radical your proposal is?" Rep. Donald
Manzullo (R-Ill.) asked.
"It's not radical. . ."
began, before Manzullo interrupted him.
"You're talking about seizing
private businesses and you don't consider that radical?"
Manzullo replied, his voice rising.
So if you
watch closely, what's going on is that the bankster-class coup,
which began when the
The Creature from Jekyll Island
(i.e. the Fed) was spawned in 1913 is getting close to
that you're aware that President Kennedy, just before his death,
had put the US government back in the business of owning it's
own money when he signed Executive Order 11110 on June 4, 1963
that allowed the Treasury to print $4.29 billion in silver
you a pertinent Wikipedia entry, just so you won't think I'm a
whacko on this stuff:
claim that Executive Order 11110 was Kennedy's attempt to
reclaim from the (private) Federal Reserve the power to
issue currency, causing the bankers behind the Fed to
orchestrate his assassination.
Today's battle looks like the 'slow cooking of the frogs', so to
speak, when viewed in this historical context. Oh sure,
you can say that it's all "necessary" but without the
Gramm/Enron bill, Madoff', and the lack of federal oversight
which was already on the books, we would not be in the current
financial crisis, would we? Repeal of Glass-Steagall
It's as The Bond Dude pointed out a while back, even if the rate
of return is slightly better for the bankers than it is for the
humans of this world, given enough time, the bankers will end
up owning everything. Might take a hundred years, but sure
as hell looks like the bankers-own-world is arriving.
Those that charge interest and lend money given no opposition
from honest men will indeed end up owning all the means
of production. Want historical precedent? Why
sure...Where have we read about money-changers and this kind of
Matthew 21:12 was
it? Wonder if it's covered in the Book of Timothy?
Maybe this time...
A UN panel is pushing for a global-something currency.
Vlad Putin is making a pitch for it at the upcoming G20 although
Russia's been told (in so many words to shut up), and now we
have people in Washington who might be open to selling out
America's financial sovereignty to save their banker pals.
We'll be told that without such measures, a Depression will
surely follow. Which it seems to me, it will anyway, but
the banker class will be saved.
Still, the banker's swindle of America's working class
won't be complete without some kind of currency regime change.
If I were advising the banksters with my financial/marketing
consulting hat on?
I'd come up with a 'global whatever' currency that would be
exchanged at a 2:1 rate. In other words, make people
believe momentarily that for each $1 of US dollars they have
now, they will get $2 of whatever the new stuff is. It
wouldn't buy any more, and in fact would buy less,
but American's a pretty dumb when it comes to ideas like
purchasing power parity and other comparative measures of
wealth. So that's the 'free consulting' answer I'd be
expecting over the long term. Bet me? $100 USA
dollars for $200 GlobalBux. Milk $12 GlobalBux a gallon,
Gas $6 GlobalBux, and so forth..
Swiss banks ban top executive travel. Welcome to our
world. Wonder what all these travel reductions will do to
airlines, hotels and car rental outfits? Upside?
Shorter security checkpoint lines maybe? Come on, there's
always an up side....
Outrage of the Day, II
I can't make sh*t up, it's that outrageous: "Terror
inmate may be released in US: intel chief." So we
snatch 'em overseas and turn 'em loose here? Hold on a
Solution? The way I got it figured is this: These
are human leftovers from the Bushco admin, so send half to
Crawford, Texas and the other half up to Wyoming, is it?
Wherever Dick Cheney's hanging out nowadays. Turnabout
Personal Income and
From the Bureau of Economic Analysis:
income decreased $29.1 billion, or 0.2 percent, and
disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $10.5 billion, or
0.1 percent, in February, according to the Bureau of
Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)
increased $17.2 billion, or 0.2 percent. In January,
personal income increased $20.5 billion, or 0.2 percent, DPI
increased $164.6 billion, or 1.6 percent, and PCE increased
$94.8 billion, or 1.0 percent, based on revised estimates.
Real disposable income decreased
0.4 percent in February, in contrast to an increase of 1.3
percent in January. Real PCE decreased 0.2 percent, in
contrast to an increase of 0.7 percent. The price index for
PCE increased 0.3 percent, the same increase as in January.
are pointing down about 1%, but despite that, the
closed last week
at 7,278.38, so a market gain this week is almost like a
slam-dunk. Unless the Dow loses 646 points, or more, today which
(barring a terrorist attack or huge quake) doesn't seem likely.
swarming in California (map) is making some folks nervous
that a shaker may be coming of some size:
"Just sending this info along
from the Anaheim Union High School District Office in
California. This was sent to the district employees today as
a “heads up”. Since the ‘dancing mountains’ may have had
something to do with Mount Redoubt, maybe this “prospective”
earthquake is part of the same linguistics.
From: (edited) Sent: Thursday,
March 26, 2009 1:27 PM
To: Principals; Cabinet;
The California Emergency
Management Agency has issued an advisory regarding a
sequence of small earthquakes near the San Andreas Fault.
Agency officials believe there is a one to five percent
chance of an earthquake on the fault sometime in the next
few days. This information provides an opportunity to check
our earthquake preparedness. Principals are asked to review
the “duck, cover and hold” preparations and guidelines for
earthquakes and to consider other needs should a serious one
actually take place. Thank you."
live in SoCal, time to get water (beer, since it's the weekend?)
and batteries and such, just on the 1:100 or 5:100 chance
they've got this pegged right.
50 people have died in Indonesia from a dam bursting...and
according to our Indonesia correspondent:
dirt here is deep red and, though it is a bit hard to see in
the photos, the mini-tsunami was a red river rushing through
the village. Nasty stuff this. Lots of dead and dying. It
was about 20 minutes as the crow flies from me, but 2.5
hours in Jakarta traffic."
of Red Rivers: Here
in America, the latest forecasts for the Red River up in the
Fargo area put the levels
expected above what has been sandbagged so far. Anyone
besides me watching the grain market?
Been a while since the world's greatest boogieman has been
hauled out from under the bed, so we're reading how "Obama's
new Afghan plan to target al Qaeda havens" is being
justified by (quiver and look afraid, here) Osama bin Laden may
be planning new attacks.
of Afghanistan: The Washington Times website article titled
"Inside the Ring by Bill Gertz" tried to install a browser
tracking script when I clicked it this morning...after the
column was listed on the Drudge Report as "Biden opposed major
Story here, but be wary of the tracking script and if you
don't have first-rate virus defenses, I can't recommend it.
Especially since you should remember
what I explained earlier this week about self-profiling...
self-profile example Had a similar experience with one
story in the UK Mail Online which was about hanging of banker
effigies planned for the G20. Again, tracking script
installation was caught/prevented, but you need to be aware of
getting out on self-profiling. Igor (time monk 2 at
) has been watching the data coming in from the fora/forums
spiders and that little article has now been translated into
almost a dozen languages...
Web Affiliate Revenues
operate a web site and depend on online advertising for a
significant chunk of your income, you might want to read "Warning:
California "Affiliate" online sales tax proposed."
Thankfully, I built this here business model without relying on
affiliate/banner programs...but then again, tax to control, eh?
A tip of
the hat to Matt Savinar over at
www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net for the heads up - and
additional good background on this.
Another 'perfect fit' from local cartoonist (and ex-Scooby
Doo'er) Rebecca Price,
(who I sometimes call the Hannah Barbarian, LOL). I
call this "Ammo Shortage?"
Ms Price over at
www.toon-republic.com "It's not your forefather's
republic..." You might want to enter her cartoon caption
and save section ---
one: Last Friday the movie "Knowing" which is about how
the end of life on earth from a solar flare event, and how it
was forecast 50-years in advance, came out. And then early
this week comes this article in the New Scientists called "Space
storm alert: 90-seconds from catastrophe". Coincidence, or
sync-wink from Universe?
Press release !R-2009-029:
or part of unemployment benefits received in 2009 will be
tax free for many unemployed workers, according to the
Internal Revenue Service.
morning we learned that a record 5.6 million people were
receiving unemployment benefits in the middle of March. This
underscores the need for the relief provided by the American
Recovery and Reinvestment Act, which includes making the
first $2,400 of unemployment insurance exempt from tax,”
said IRS Commissioner Doug Shulman. “I urge all unemployed
workers to take this special tax break into account as they
plan their tax withholding and quarterly estimated tax
payments for the year. This change offers a helping hand to
millions of Americans who are out of work and struggling to
make ends meet.”
Good one here:
I generally agree with most of
what you write, and value your writing such that it's one of
my primary sources for orienting to the day. I do have a
problem with your comment though:
"I can see 'hard' drugs, like
opiates, ecstasy, and such. But something like pot which can
be grown free instead of being purchased (and taxed) by the
booze lobby? So, here's my plan: If they include booze
testing, fine. Otherwise, free from plants ought not to be a
rule-out. I'm just saying, why should the booze biz benefit
from higher consumption in hard times? Under the guise of
My studies early in life went
toward medicine, and in fact, I have studied four years at a
medical school, in addition to far too much other education.
Entire categories of therapeutic drugs and other substances
are outlawed under the guise of being "illegal". Schedule I
drugs may not even be used in research without waivers from
DEA, rarely granted.
Ecstasy and the associated
entheogens have been proven to be invaluable in treating
PTSD, autism, Asperger's syndrome, and associated social
aberrations related to the Amygdala and associated brain
nuclei. This class of drugs seems to render the entire brain
more plastic, allowing for the rebalancing of behavior in
very positive ways. In fact, it can even override higher
brain veto of optical fusion, resulting in temporary
restoration of stereo vision in those with acquired mono
vision! It is much more effective than counseling and works
will with it. Prior to the mid 80's, it was legal and was
used very successfully to treat the above conditions. I have
personally observed dramatic and lasting positive changes in
patients and others following such usage. The actual
substance MDMA was first synthesized in 1912 and is
The classical psychedelics -
LSD, DMT, psylocybin, etc., are also valuable in therapeutic
environments, and even more so as a path toward spiritual
insight. Of course, they should be used with respect and
appreciation, or much of what they have to offer will be
lost. They can be treacherous if handled carelessly, just as
a car or firearm might be. Since they are all Schedule I,
very little "legitimate" research has been done on them
since the '70's.
The whole drug testing nonsense
for asymptomatic people is just wrong. It is anti-human and
disrespectful, treating us all as farm animals. The
important thing might be the definition of "hard drugs". I
personally think those that lead to violence, addiction, or
dangerous behavior might qualify. Of course, that definition
would include nicotine, alcohol, and many prescription
Send snip and save items, PayPal contributions, critiques,
side order of lasagna (Reader actually sent that), and a new Kia Soul to
--- end snip and save section ---
Friday March 27, 2009
Reframing and Renaming
The Police State Migration Path?
Language is powerful stuff. Most folks don't even think
about how imagery bends feelings around and so when a
name-change comes down the pike, it is given little notice.
Maybe something in passing, but not a lot of discussion on
internet fora, or other such places. Instead, it just
'happens' and that's it. But I'd draw your attention to
the Washington Post's coverage of how the "Global
War on Terror" is given a new name."
As I've explained before, the problem with the GWOT is that
people are becoming a bit desensitized to it, if not downright
cynical about it. Because the countries where our
principal focus tends to be on drug production, or oil
potential, there's perhaps some reason for cynicism.
But it goes much deeper than just a name change to "Overseas
Contingency Operations" coming out of Washington. The
deeper story is that the term 'terrorist' is well on its way to
being reframed such that anyone who doesn't support the
'old way of doing things' otherwise known as the 'existing
paradigm' is being selected as a 'threat to society'.
You may remember a couple of weeks ago how the Missouri
Information Analysis Center got into hot water because it was
discovered that in something called the "Modern Militia
Movement" folks who supported Ron Paul, or Libertarians were
singled out as being potential domestic terrorists.
Not that it's confined to Missouri, either. The Fox News
Report on topic Monday noted:
officials blasted a Texas fusion center last month for
distributing a "Prevention Awareness Bulletin" that
called on law enforcement officers to report activities of
local lobbying groups, Muslim civil rights organizations and
anti-war protest groups."
to be going on, or evolving out of the chaotic news headlines if
you don't think there's a PTB aspect of things is what we call
in marketing a "product migration path". It's how we get a
large population of consumers from one behavior to another.
a sort of kick-start, is to reframe and rename the GWOT to
include anyone who sells drugs, anyone who votes independent or
Constitutionally, and then, while the economy is crashing down
around us, select out those who have shown the least resilience
at 'staying in the game'. Think it can't happen?
governor Schwarzenegger opens California Fairgrounds to homeless
campers. Just a short hop, skip, and a jump to larger
government camps, seems to me. Why not take a few State
Parks and turn them into spontaneous communities? No, not
enough fencing. See how this flows?
The big carrot and the big stick. The first few in the
herd will be lured in with what? Food! The rest of
the herd follows. Slowly, inexorably, first a few, then a
river. Not good.
I'd be looking for stories out of the Fair Grounds in the near
future explaining how good life is there. May even
be...for now. But is it all coincidental? Or, like I
worry about: Is it more of a migration path setting up?
22 dead in Iraq this morning. Just when things looked
to be improving.
10 dead from a suicider in Pakistan. Then there were
nine police killed in Afghanistan.
Remember the Red River stuff in the linguistics reports last
year? Well, here's a kind of echo for you: The
River is causing all kinds of grief up around Fargo, North
Here at our ranch in East Texas, we had our first serious winds
and tornado watching of the year yesterday - and first power
Pee Cup Department
We see now that
lawmakers in eight (or more) states want to make passing a drug
test a precondition for getting welfare. OK, but
turnabout is fair play: How about mandatory IQ testing for
I can see 'hard' drugs, like opiates, ecstasy, and such.
But something like pot which can be grown free instead of being
purchased (and taxed) by the booze lobby? So, here's my
plan: If they include booze testing, fine.
Otherwise, free from plants ought not to be a rule-out.
I'm just saying, why should the booze biz benefit from higher
consumption in hard times? Under the guise of what?
You saw where
DEA raided a [medical] pot dispensary in San Francisco just
days after the Obama folks signals that such operations would
not be interfered with if they operated within state laws, which
it's claimed this one wasn't.
Let us know where the burning is so we can all go stand
downwind, LOL. Same page, anyone?
Ah the days of being a reporter. I remember being at the
dock when the Helena Star, busted in international waters by the
Coast Guard with 37-tons of pot aboard showed up on the Seattle
waterfront under strong guard in 1978....those were the days.
A ship off the coast instead of gangs at the border.
Boy, has enlightened federal drug policy come a long way, or
what? Yessir...turned a cottage industry and a few high
speed boats into a near war with Mexico. What a deal, huh?
Plus spend how much in the past 30 years? And what's in
your wallet? Not accountability, for sure.
And speaking of that, you saw where
SecState whats-her-name says the US shares blame for Mexico drug
violence because of the large market here? Well, duh.
Misery loves solace, or haven't the deep-thinkers cottoned to
the obvious yet?
What this country needs is a good (legal) 5-cent high.
North Korea is getting ready to test a long-range missile.
What a load-a-crap! Launching missiles about is thought by many
lesser country leaders to be a kind of international erectile
dysfunction cure. It's not. It's a money sinkhole.
Better: How about feeding NK citizens?
Now has a second meaning:
Running out of money. Line forms over there...at Ben's
--- snip and save section ---
Pre-loading and Other
You might want to spend some time working on PIM - personal
information management. Very few people are conscious
enough of their daily computer use to develop a 'personal information
management strategy', but since I was discussing the concept of
'self profiling' with you earlier this
week, I thought it would be a useful follow-up to also get
into how Cliff at
www.halfpasthuman.com and I share some commonalities with
regard to how we use the net.
For one thing, since we have a pretty good idea as to when
certain trends/changes seem likely to occur, based on the
asymmetric language trend analysis (ALTA) reports, that gives us
gobs of time to devote to forward-looking, deeper study of key
developments. For example, we know that certain aspects of
the weather are going to be worse/different this year than most,
and we know the 'summer of hell/2009' language is abundant.
Easily hedged to some degree, but most people don't (or won't)
since they are bound up in day-to-day mindless crap; so their 'window of opportunity'
to prep for what's next in this Year of Transformation dribbles
out their DSL modem as they walk away from being in charge of
their own outcome and instead join 'the herd'.
In other words, while there may be tons of news and discussion
of something like this plane crash, that murder, or that
Hollywood personality being in court for [whatever], but if you
think for a moment "Does this have the remotest chance in hell
of meaning anything in your personal life outcome
20-years from now?" In most cases, the answer is "No!".
Why do you do it? What do you do about it?
Example at a social level: Sure, there's something about
watching the news - maybe it's the imminence of death' factor -
that keeps people spellbound and worried about this possible
next development, or that. It's like: Why do people go to
NASCAR races? Is it really to see how fast automobiles can
go while turning left? Or, is it something more...some
imminence of death, danger shared with a crowd phenomena?
Don't get me wrong, I like car racing and all, but I'm more a
do-it-yourselfer inasmuch as I like tracks that turn both right and left
(I'm talking a road course here). Which is why instead of
having a bunch of posters for this stock car driver or that, I
instead invest in books like Car Lopez's Going Faster! Mastering the Art of Race Driving.
Great refresher, once you've tasted what its like to be in an
open wheel car going 100+ and heading into
7 and the 'corkscrew' at Laguna Seca. You get to know
them braking markers...but
that was almost
My point is that using the 'net is reasonable analog to car
racing. Some people are 'watchers'. They will read
every joke sent to them, and then they will go to every video
link, follow endless online discussions; but I ask "To what
end?" Cliff's a 'mechanic' and good driver on the road
course that is the 'net and I'm a decent rookie driver.
Say, is that you up there in the stands?
Avoid excessive depth in news reports as this has its dangers,
too. Analysis can get so deep, so circular given the
amount of information today, that making a judgment becomes all
but impossible; there are so many facts on both sides to be
considered. What's the old saying? Ah: "Analysis
causes paralysis." So how does one come up with proceed?
By taking a moment before doing any Google search or
second/third/fourth version of one news item and asking "What am
I going to do with this information once I get it?"
You could add lots of sub-routines to that one, for sure.
Like "Is this going to be useful information? Will is
change any of my behavior? Change any outcome now, or in
the future in my life?" If the answer is often
"No...but it would be nice to know...." that's one thing.
But I've found myself wasting an incredible amount of time in
the past surfing eBay and other sites, with no specific
outcome in mind. Here lately, I've become a search &
shopping Scrooge: If I can't use the information in some
specific application now or in the near future, I won't do the
These couple of points alone can free up hours a day. The
next one is how you parse (sort/decide what to read) in your
email inbox. Although I appreciate people sending me jokes
and pictures, I don't really have much time for that. If
someone sends me 4 mb of video, I will be very judicious based
on the cover email in my decision whether to watch. Most go
right to trash.
Ultra-high efficiency guys like Cliff even go so far as to strip
off all attachments, and cue mail into his Vortex
Reader and slam through emails at 1,500 words per minute.
I use my Vortex for longer documents and books...quadrupling my
input speed.. If you don't know how to use an email
router, I assure you, it's worth the effort. Clients come
first, so they have boxes. Friends/relatives next, again,
with boxes. Ditto Peoplenomics subscribers. Everything
else has a heap. Gets read, but wow, does it go fast.
Then there's the matter of discussion groups. While these
are nice, I only subscribe to a handful and of these, I'll only
read one or two posts per day max, just to keep up on the flavor
of the discussions. One discussion group on longwave
economics and one on old-time
Hallicrafters radios just to keep by electronics
trouble-shooting skills current.
A 'danger' of discussion groups is that they lend
themselves well to a kind of consensus-building that I'd just as
soon not take part in; we've got plenty of group-think afoot in
America already. Instead, I just pass on most everything
available understanding, of course, that there are occasional
bits of brilliance in such groups, but Cliff's linguistic
spidering gets some of that and the rest I can live
without. The problem with the group-think/consensus
building? You lose independence of perspective.
It boils down to a framing something like this: "Do I want
to spend a lot of time (say 200-hours a year) being involved in
consensus-building? Or, do I just need 5-minutes of
research time if the group purpose/consensus ever shows up in my
life?" I'll take the latter, thanks. In the
meantime, I can remain aloof, independent, and develop my own
viewpoint which people can read, or not, as they choose.
yourself on a news diet: One or two mainstreams for
20-minutes per day.
handful of sites you enjoy which post daily (hopefully this
one will remain on your list)
any email which even smells like a joke and trash all videos
and 'forward this to everyone you know' because that's
potential self-profiling material and/or just a waste of
more than 15-minutes a day in discussion groups and no more
than a single posting a week.
seem overly harsh, but people sometimes ask "How do you get so
much done?" The answer is to cut out as much unnecessary
bullshit from my life as possible. In the end Life comes
down to only a couple of things (and you can arrange these in
whatever order you want):
'Course this is all debatable no end, but not much point to
debate because again, that's one of those PIMS issues:
Don't waste time arguing with people. It's not my job to
change your mind, just one of my jobs to do this site
since it 'calls to me' (see Path and be on it).
This is not a course in how to be a hermit. This is how
you can improve your use of personal time immensely. Have
you called your Congressman on this lousy Farm-busting bill HR
875? What's more important? Forwarding some mindless
bullshit video and jokes or getting on the blower to Washington
and demanding some of this crap end....now!
Or were you caught up in the latest flame war in some discussion
group? See how the 'net can be used for social control?
Too busy talking and no time on going. It's fine bread,
and better circuses.
Wednesday March 25, 2009
Chatter / Snake Tastes Tail Day
I've always found that I do my best trades when I get sufficient
information and the constantly back-and-forth between the ears
quiets down as a moment of clarity takes over and a single voice
says "Yes, I think this is the right move..." The trade is
place, and more often than not, it works out. But, until
that moment arrives, there's a cacophony of internal
chatter driven by competing inputs.
talk, in Washington, for example, that democorps are taking the
tax cut for us middle class working folks off the table.
No comment from the White House, but my internal chatter goes
something like "Hmmmm...given that we need to kick-start
consumer spending if the old paradigm/way of things is to be
saved, why would they do that?" And, of course, without the
consumer coming back to party a bit, there's no reason to be
bullish on stocks until after we get past 2010 some ways.
Another fine conversation to 'tune in' on has to go with the
price of gold (POG) - see chart above. When the price
soared $70 bucks last week, I was thinking "Aha! We are
getting public recognition that inflation is coming up the
pipeline!" However, since then, gold has moved back to
just over $920 at press time and the internal chatter is saying
"Hold off, George, maybe we will get that pullback to under $750
which would make for an ideal entry point on the long side."
So still watching that one.
In the meantime, you see where oil
is down a bit before the EIA data? Folks I know in
Europe are saying this could be a key reversal and if that's the
case, then gold coming down is part of another hit of
Then we've got to digest along with the Wheaties the report from the World Bank this
morning that India was tops globally in remittances in 2008.
In other words,
the money coming from India, Russia, Malaysia, and South Africa
was pretty good, but as things tighten up globally, this
money could decline quickly and you know what that leads to:
global depression digging in deeper and more difficult to
US Durable goods orders are out this morning, against an
expectation that the advance numbers for February would be down
about 2.5%. Well, here's how it worked out - much better
for manufactured durable goods in February increased
$5.5 billion or 3.4 percent to $165.6 billion, the U.S.
Census Bureau announced today. This increase follows six
consecutive monthly decreases, including a 7.3 percent
January decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders
increased 3.9 percent. Excluding defense, new orders
increased 1.7 percent.
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in February, down
seven consecutive months, decreased $0.9 billion or 0.5
percent to $179.1 billion. This followed a 5.2 percent
Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in February,
down five consecutive months, decreased $10.5 billion or 1.3
percent to $773.7 billion. This followed a 2.0 percent
Inventories of manufactured durable goods in February, down
two consecutive months, decreased $2.9 billion or 0.9
percent to $336.8 billion. This followed a 1.1 percent
Capital Goods Industries
Nondefense new orders for capital goods in February
increased $3.6 billion or 7.4 percent to $52.8 billion.
Defense new orders for capital goods in February increased
$2.6 billion or 35.3 percent to $10.0 billion. "
Again, more grist for internal chatter, pushes me bullish, but nothing conclusive.
A call to Robin Landry didn't clarify things, either. Landry
got most of his clients out when early Monday this target levels
were broken to the upside, but he's skeptical this
rally's staying power until his wave counts confirm. "I'm watching first the 7,200 area
on the Dow, and then around 7,100... if we see a break down
under 7,000 in short order that gets really bearish, so I just
keep watching my indicators..." So over the next few days,
perhaps a week or so, we will find out if this was an Elliott
wave 4 or a 5th wave failure and in the meantime, I've got both counts in
The important thing about being a good trader, I've always heard
- not that I am one myself - is that you have to be unbiased and
ready to play either direction; the upside or downside. As
the Bond Dude often points out to me, your money doesn't know
where it came from."
While the chatter continues keeping me up nights, there's still
no sign of a 'turn" in the secular economy, at least one of
sufficient size to flip things around and become incredibly
bullish. Take the Mass Layoff report out last week, just
Landry is expecting things to clarify over the next week, or
two. But for now, I am pretty comfortable with my present
position which continues to be cash and treasuries. I'll
just wait a spell more and see if the 'chatter' quiets down.
When it does, I'm ready to go short, but long seems more likely.
As always, it's likely to be a matter of timing, is all.
As a friend in Luxembourg noted this morning:
"Potentially negative divergences yesterday as the S&P cash
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw highs above
yesterday's highs while the S&P futures and the New York
Composite Index were not able to register higher highs.
Those types of divergences often lead to market turning
I'm the only skeptic that the right medicine has been
administered yet to cure-what-ails-us:
Paul Tharp's got a good story in the NY Post this morning
headlined "Nobel Laureates trash plan for toxic assets.
One key quote (which mirrors what I've been telling you for who
long?) goes like so:
Nobel winners Edward Prescott, president of the Federal
Reserve Bank in Minneapolis, and economics Professors Vernon
Smith and James Buchanan stood by their joint statement
months ago that Congress was playing in fantasyland with the
They call the rescue effort "a
triumph of hope over experience to believe that more
government will help the United States today."
So with all this going on, the biggest story of the day may turn
out to be the start of the Fed coming into the market today to
start purchasing of Treasuries to unfreeze the credit mess.
As I've warned before, this a a 'snake-swallows-its-own-tail'
kind of thing. Once started down that path in previous
economies, the snake starts to get a real appetite going.
Am I the only financial reporter who's got a $105-billion in
expired Zimbabwe dollars taped on my office wall to remind me
how hungry that kind of snake gets?
We are not alone:
If you think Uncle is alone in our spendy-frenzy, the headlines
from the UK are increasing critical of free-spending,
gold-selling, mint pimping Gordo Brown. Example: "The
Bank of England and No.10 at war: We can't afford Budget
spending spree, Governor tells Brown."
Here, let me simplify that headline for you:
"The Bank of England and No.10 at
war: We can't afford Budget
spending spree, Governor tells Brown."
How'd I do?
Things are Bad' When Department
Playboy is closing its Manhattan offices.
Try as I may to masquerade as an East Texan, I still find
bunnies more interesting than rabbits.
That drought in the nation's midsection is causing headlines
Reignites Dust Bowl Fears" to appear. And with good
reason. Have I ragged you about your garden yet today?
Here's a world-changer for you: The
U.S. Navy has a research team which has experimental confirmed
cold fusion according to an article this week in EE Times.
This is the best article I could find on it and it has the
diagram of the experimental container, too. So...if you're
a home experimenter, have at it.
and Pons were right, it seems...
--- snip and save section---
With Med Shortages
I asked the question Tuesday about medicine shortages and if
they were increasing. Seems the answer is you bet!
One email in particular stood out on this topic:
I am a Pharmacist and wanted to
respond to the email you printed from the fellow reporting
his medication manufacturer change. First, there are ALWAYS
shortages of some medications for various reasons...recall,
raw material issues, unexpected demand, etc., etc.. Also, in
this age of penny pinching insurance companies and dirt
cheap prescriptions from WallyWorld and others pharmacies no
longer have the luxury of sticking with a particular generic
manufacturer and must constantly choose the cheapest
available, so the product dispensed is not going to be
consistent. A few months ago almost ALL the product line of
the generic manufacturer ETHEX was recalled. Since they were
major suppliers for several medications and the only
supplier of a few this led to a huge disruption in the
marketplace. Eventually this will be sorted out...no
conspiracy here. However, I will say that the number of
different medications that I am unable to get at the moment
is much larger than is normal, so maybe something is going
on, but I'm not sure what."
And if you're looking for additional detail, it turns out the
FDA has a web page which goes through current drug shortages,
resolved shortages, and even discontinued drugs. If you're
a healthcare practitioner, or if you're on a drug that keeps you
alive, you should maybe bookmark this page:
Yeah, yeah, why doesn't ATF have a similar page for ammo
shortages? And speaking of which, here's an
"According to a Deputy Sheriff,
ammunition will no longer be supplied to retail outlets for
the public. What outlets have on the shelves and in stock
now, is all they will be getting. Ammunition will be
directed to the Military and Police Forces, ONLY. This
'word' comes from a long time friend of the family who is a
Deputy Sheriff and has been for some 15 years.
I have no proof of this claim,
but I am positive you will be hearing more about it soon."
put that over here in my "It wouldn't surprise me, but then
things would get ugly...." file. Say, that file is getting
A new web site uses tweets &
twitters to figure out which cities in the country are sickest.
But since I didn't see the healthiest cities listed, I wonder
how the site would keep from just reflecting size of population.
Hmmm...pondering how to do that...
viewed the film "Fierce Grace" about Ram Das's life and
views post stroke. Ram Das was formerly Richard Alpert of
LSD research fame. Very powerful. He calls the stories of
our lives "sticky melodramas." The watcher (soul?) is immune
to the turmoil."
Goes on my 'gotta get to it' list. Das' book Remember, Be Here Now
was really good way back in the day. And, if you want to do a little
more 'internal work', a copy of
The Book: On the Taboo Against Knowing Who You Are
by Alan Watts is a must-read. That concept that we are all
'pieces of God' playing hide and seek with ourselves is pretty
George, In reference to your “Soylent George” entry today, I
gotta say that if some of your readers ask “why you never
say anything funny?”, your Soylent entry is a good example
of how consistently funny you are. Despite the dire nature
of much of your news about our current situation, your dry
sense of humor kills me on a regular basis. Anybody who asks
you why you don’t say anything funny isn’t reading!"
Most people don't relax and let their minds wonder often enough.
Especially when I report various economic statistics with a dash
of in-you-endo, if'n you know what I mean?
judge the quip and the dead:
getting the feeling that these people are falsely comforted
by the fact that somehow by having the word trillion at
their disposal means that the concept of a trillion has
meaning when in fact they might just as well be speaking of
You'll be giving Robert Mugabe and the band of Washington
socialist wannabe's ideas: "One-infinity, two-infinites,
choice: Hard government & soft money, or hard money & soft
government... easy, huh?
to ponder: "An armed society is a polite society"
notes a ham radio friend. Yup.
Tuesday March 24, 2009
the Dollar' Department
The 'death of the dollar' is something which has been kicking
around predictive linguistic modelspace up at
for several years now. And since we've got a working
Theorem that 'the further in advance we see something in
modelspace, the larger the impact of the event seems to be' and
since we've had a couple of years of 'November' references, it
seems that by the end of this year, the Barak Obama is likely to
be facing one of the worst crisis ever to confront a President.
Not only will he be facing a country full of social unrest in
the wake of the "summer of hell/200', but we read now today how
calls for a new reserve currency" which will be a financial
nightmare of the worst possible sort.
As we've been expecting, this will r4eally 'get traction' in
May, but already the Russians have been making similar noises
Vlad Putin will be putting on a pitch at the April G20 meetings.
True, yesterday's rally in the stock market was impressive as
the Washington Post headlined it "Stocks
Soar Most Since November On Toxic Asset Plan, Rise in Home
Sales." but already weighing whether our long awaited
springs rally might finally be arriving, or, a bit more darkly,
if this is just the professionals having a fine 'running of the
shorts' so they won't be hurt when a final bottom carved out in
the next few weeks.
Not that it matters. If the kind of inflation that bailout
seems to infer becomes real,
gold's fall over the past couple of days may become the
'last train out'. Or, will we go back down to the $700
range one more time? Careful judgment is required and
there's no 'one-size-fits-all' answer.
There are times in the past that I've used commodity price
movement for clues and sure enough, those Capitalist Tools over
at Forbes are reporting that "Key
commodities jump on US plan to clean up banks."
Sooner, or later, those are going to show up in the grocery
In addition to food commodities, the headlines also crossed this
morning that the "OPEC
basket price continues to gain, reches USF 50.18 pb" and
with oil hitting those per barrel levels, the input costs for ag
are bound to be heading up, too. Time to do more stocking
up, if you're a farmer.
The White House has been cautious trying to manage down
expectations a bit. Apparently there's a lot more economic
displacement to come and they're trying to get ready for it by
putting in place plans to seize non-bank financial companies if
they begin to threaten the broader economy. A large
insurance company going down, or the biggest of the hedge funds
would certainly be painful, but I keep wondering "Where's the
line? At what point do we cross some unmarked boundary
layer and go the way of the Former Soviet Union (FSU), arguably
history's largest example to date (after Rome, Egypt, and the
Mayans) of failed central governance."
Note to self: Stop seeing this economic collapse in
such a Big Picture way and worry instead about the things on
today's calendar that are actionable. Like my
dental appointment this morning. The 'death of the dollar'
will happen, or will get enough press to make it appear real as
the year moves on, and if folks haven't hedged by now, it won't
be because I haven't been pointing to it for years.
the Obvious Department
says clean up banks to tackle dire world crisis." No
While Redoubt continues, the biggie this morning is
a 4.7 temblor in SoCal. 90 miles ENE from San Diego.
of Humans, Redux
Jay Hanson, who performed a huge public service with his
site, was the first writer I encountered to use the term 'longage'
of something. It's the opposite or a 'shortage.'
Longages of anything cause interesting effects, not the least of
which is the financial mess humanity finds itself in today.
It's pretty obvious that the ideal thing to do would be to
crunch down the number of humans to perhaps 5% of what it is
today and start over with a little higher consciousness about
how things develop. naturally, the PowersThatBe have
figured this out, but lots of others have arrived at the same
One of Gordo (the gold and mint seller)
Brown's green advisors, Jonathon Porritt says that in order to
achieve a sustainable society, the UK must cut its population in
Of course, that begs the question of the selection
process by which this all happens. I'm partial to
environmental collapse because that would be a pretty
decent/impartial way to sort out who's got hard work and
survival skills, but I'm sure government will have some other
plan in time. Just call me
George, if you will, but wouldn't it make more sense to put
saltpeter in the water and ban erectile stimulants, than putting
in fluoride? Just askin'...
North Korea says it has a right to launch a satellite. South
Korea scores it in the 'act of war' column.
I'd score it great theatrics but only about a 4 out of 10
Keep meaning to mention this story from last week: "Schenectady
mayor considers options, martial law over police woes."
Repeat after me: Don't need tanks if you got banks.
--- snip and save section ---
Silently Self-Profiling --
A couple of readers have asked me lately "Is there some stuff on
your mind that's bothering you? You sound kinda bleak
lately." Well, yeah, kinda sorta maybe. Let me
share just one of those things that's been bothering me;
perhaps you'll understand. Here's what's going on:
It starts off simply enough...you get an email from a friend and
it says something like: "OMG You have to see this video about [fill
in the blank]. Because you're very
interested in [fill in the blank]
as a topic, you click over to the link to see what's a highly
charged video about [fill in the blank]
and the video urges you to 'tell all your friends about this
video and send them the link...'.
If you're not computer/military/PowersThatBe savvy, you're
likely to pass on the link without giving it a second thought.
But you should give it some serious thought whenever you
follow links because when you follow links you may be
self-profiling yourself to the government.
Amazing? Well, no, pretty simple programming exercise,
really. And, if you had the 'summer of hell/2009' coming
up due to all kinds of social stresses and the breakdown of the
social contract, right about now if you were trying to defend
the existing social paradigm, you'd be doing the same thing,
It's called 'memeering' and according to our predictive
linguistics friends at
www.halfpasthuman.com the program is already underway.
Toward what end? Well, what's a low-cost way to find out
who is what kind of potential threat to your paradigm?
I'll show you how it works, step-by-step so you 'get it'.
begins with a government setting up a web site with an
emotionally charged video about something like 'black
powder' or 'inter-racial relations'.
series of postings is put out on the net in places where
such a video would likely get a lot of attention. Say,
in a 'black powder' kind of video they will post something
emotionally compelling to a bunch of gun web sites and
when someone goes to the web site involved, it's a simple
matter for the site to log your internet protocol address.
Skeptical? go to
www.whatismyip.com and your 'net address comes up.
Congratulations! You have just gotten yourself into a
government database of people who have an 'interest in black
powder'. Since you probably don't spend as much 'head
space' as we do, thinking about such computer applications, what
this looks like in database set theory can be visualized this
So far, so good. Now, let's further suppose that want to
narrow down the kind of people that would also be
interested in anti-establishment direct action. Next step?
Another video (or web site) only this time, we are going to
use a topic like, oh, say "Startling New WTO video!" Such
that folks going to this second vid site will likely include
some people who also have an interest in black powder,
Now, it becomes a simple matter to say "Hey! See that IP
Address 22.214.171.124? That shows up in BOTH
groups. This intersection between sets in database
operations is the
But now, let's take it one step further, because so far, it's
still far too many people to round up and throw in special
'camps' should the country get into a period of social unrest;
say over a 'summer of hell/2009' period. So we will put up
another site, only this time it might be something like "List of
upcoming "Tea Party" events. Like so:
So, you see, it's all very simple, once you get the basis
concept down: How will you be self-selecting whether you
get judged a 'threat' or not is a simple matter of keeping track
of which links you followed to get where.
More important? There's also a simple way to build 'social
networks' this way because not only is your IP address logged,
but so is the time of your visit. So as this kind
of data snooping continues - as long as lots of folks don't
understand it, when you forward one of these sites, you
are then in effect telling whatever government "Hey, I am linked
to Joe your bother-in-law over here"...and pretty quick not only
do they know who has an interest in guns, WTO demonstrations,
and upcoming Tea Party events, but they also know that when your
IP address shows up, in say half a dozen such exercises, that
"Joe your brother-in-law" shows up within a day or two, and he's
already on their 'threats to society' list because he actually
carried a sign and was ID'ed at some other kind of
event...maybe an environmentalist affair of some kind. And
they get all Joe your brother-in-laws connections, too, until
pretty quick you get a map in a social networking application
that might look like this:
So here's my bottom line: When you do any kind of
social networking, be extremely careful with whom you associate.
Or, in the case of Cliff and me, simply don't follow unknown
links. Nothing wrong with YouTube and Google video, but
even there, the IP snooping that goes on at the phone company
level is pretty awesome,; which is what the privacy people get
all worked up about.
Why am I bringing this up today? Because the web bot
project has been running across more of these kinds of memeering
operations lately which means one of these days, one or more of
them will show up in your email. And, as they do, no
matter how tempting it may seem to follow this emotionally
highly-charged link just remember that in the process you
are self-sorting yourself into some kind of a government profile
as part of 'total information awareness' programs designed to
enable preemptions, national security rating, and in a worst of
all cases scenario, your round-up priority if you've identified
yourself as a 'risk' to the existing paradigm.
Although it may be too late to do anything about it, if you've
already gotten such emails and followed them. But WTF, its
easier to explain it now than waiting till the
October-November period when there is a small, but non-zero,
chance some rounding up will be done.
Oh...one more thing: If you think you can 'beat the
system' by using an
proxy server somewhere? Are you kidding? Those
would be almost the very first people to round up because
they're smart enough to 'get it' and therefore are the most
threatening there are to the existing paradigm, are you kidding?
Yes, this is exactly what the electronic freedom fighters are
all about, but that battle's been over for a long time.
Sorry. You lost. Oh sure,
something like the Google Street View controversy seems
like the right fight, but are you kidding? Hell no, it's a
minor distraction to keep the public off the real deal
All plausibly deniable, too. How so? There are
something like 27 levels of security classifications above even
the President of these United States. So you just know how
far down the food chain Congress and watchdog agencies are.
But then you knew that, too, or at least you should have.
Or, maybe you don't. And maybe there really are no
PowersThatBe, no shadow government, above the elected, and
acting as self-appointed caretakers for the existing way
things are because it sorta works. Of course.
Then again, you might inspect those links to web sites that
aren't on the beaten path, and even then, you gotta wonder what
the phone companies are really up to in their central office
frame rooms, and why that's so important to 'national security'.
Except now you know.
First ammo, now medicines?
I live in Kent, Washington. I
noticed my blood pressure prescription came with the wrong
color/shape pills. I called my druggist, and her first
response was, “You know, we’ve been having trouble getting
some of our meds.” I told her the original pills were
produced by ETHEX CORP, and the strange ones seemed to be
from TEVA USA. Upon checking, she found that yes I have a
proper substitute. And, no, she has no idea why they’re
having trouble getting a lot of meds.
Are you hearing this elsewhere?
What me worry!"
reports...but yes, these pop up from time to time.
'Specially COPD meds.
A reader sends in this one:
"Members of Congress should be compelled to wear uniforms
like NASCAR drivers, so we can identify their corporate
it would never work. The print would be too fine to read.
Monday March 23, 2009
Later on this morning, we're supposed to see a
public-private partnership unveiled that will cost about $1-trillion
more dollars and it's designed to bail us out of the out
toxic asset mess. Already, the stock market futures have
been run up; but I have observed before that when highly
inflationary news appears the market responds well.
But the reason isn't that genuine prosperity is being generated,
or that a higher standard of living is on the way. Quite
the opposite, in fact.
What's likely happening is that as more and more dollars are
being printed, the incipient inflation will drive up the cost of
all goods, while leaving you with little - if any - additional
cash in your pocket. You'll be asked to be a good sheep,
pull in the belt a bit, and keep spending away like nothing has
True, a bout of 25% inflation might bring your homes dollar
value back to what it once was, but will you be able to
afford a gallon of milk? I just paid $3.99 for a gallon
last night, and 25% inflation would push it to $5. See
this morning's "Coping" section for comments on diversifying
That the republicorps' top member on the senate budget committee
"Obama Budget will bankrupt the US" is merely a sideshow.
The real problem, as explained to subscribers to our
Peoplenomics premium service, is (in a nutshell) that the "saves
us" from disaster hopes are quickly being doused. Sort of
like the old engineering/design flow chart joke that went around
about 20-years back that had a place in the engineering process
labeled "Insert Miracle Here". That's not so funny,
anymore, is it?
Thanks to the time monks up at
we have a pretty good handle on the u9nderlying reality
that is so elusive if all you do is channel flip. The Big
Picture is that a huge concentration of wealth has been going on
for decades, and the people at the top have stretched greed
about as far as can be done before things blow up.
I trust you saw how
protesters were out on busses this weekend, visiting the homes
of current and former AIG officials? The evolving
problem for the PowersThatBe is that there's a danger emerging
of something akin to class warfare (think French Revolution)
that's quickly emerging and has shown resistance to PTB
manipulation. True, some of the tea party web sites have
been republicorp efforts, but they are hugely resonant and seem
to be building on their own; there's a growing schism in America
and little bridging being done. The Orlando 'tea party'
this weekend drew more than 4,000 people. Plenty of anger
Since the number of angry is growing, governments infer that
there's danger is having too much freedom, so it comes as no
surprise that some governments are using the excuse of
terrorism to increase surveillance on anyone who decides to
participate in non-government sanctioned political thinking.
Take for example the Brits new "Anti-terror
strategy to be unveiled" next week.
Not that the UK is alone:
over 1-million people on the no-fly list in the USA anbd that
was a 2008 estimate. Governments know that in
times of economic Depression, people do take to the streets, and
so whether it's something as innocent as carrying a sign
peacefully at the WTO meetings, or anything else that may
trigger heightened awareness, government is conveniently
expanding the definition of terrorist to anyone who ain't
buying the same old economic paradigm.
Question is coming for government, though: As the number
of protesters turning out for the tea parties grows, how long
before TSA no-fly lists will put major airlines out of business?
Remember the time monks longer term perspective about
'restrictions on travel'? Well, here we are...
I trust you've been
reading recent press and seeing the big push for enhanced
drivers licenses? Can you still get an 'unchipped' license?
Varies by state, far as I can figure. But even
Vermont is testing them.
The only thing out today in the way of big market drivers is
likely existing home sales and the new Treasury plan.
Tomorrow may be dead as a doornail from a news standpoint, and
then Wednesday durable goods and new home sales. GDP
Thursday and personal incomes on Friday.
Maybe one more pullback before Easter, but good strategists
like Michael Aronstein are moving back into commodities, betting
that prices have bottomed. If you can find decent
entry points and apply a little leverage, inflation can be your
That's if you still have anything left from the '07-'09 decline
to be thinking about the long side from here. And is it
time to go long on metals?
article to think about.
Mount Redoubt has blown its lid sending smoke and ash up
nearly 50,000 feet. I wasn't going to Anchorage this week,
Global Gang News
You don't hear much about it in the mainstream, but
this weekend in Sydney Australia, a biker was beaten to death
right in the airport check-in area.
I sense a kind of continuum development, in terms of social
response to increasing population, social, and economic
pressures, and gangs are off toward one end of the developing
broad spectrum of 'unhappy peoples." On the move violent
end, we see the term "terrorists" applied to Al Qaida and
similar groups. Then, right next to that are stories like
the one about how "Russian
troops destroy 16 terrorists in large-scale anti-terrorist
operation" but the story continues...
other terrorists were destroyed in the capital of Dagestan,
Makhachkala. Russia’s FSB agents detected a group of gunmen
who were reportedly working on a series of terrorist attacks
in the city. All of them were young men aged between 22-27.
They were members of the terrorist group known as Jamaat of
Makhachkala – the criminal gang of Omar Shikhulayev, who had
been killed in the beginning of February of this year. "
Parties would be way off at the other end of the spectrum, for
now, along with bankster home tours. WTO Seattle would
likely be toward the middle if all you did was carry a sign, not
the window-breakers, but seems the no-fly threshold doesn't even
require that kind of activity.
collect trend information, a useful practice is to sort it into
a mental 'bit bucket' (to borrow a computer programming term)
and label the whole thing as a meta-layer (Ooops, another
programming concept) named something like "retribing".
Convenient way to frame developments. Retribing being a
social response to government failing to listen, failing to
maintain the consensus that held things together.
started, the trends are self-reinforcing: More retribing
results in actions that cause more government response, which in
turn causes further tribing...but fortunately it's only Monday
and this process happens over much longer periods of time than a
day, week, or month.
--- snip and save section ---
Diversifying Personal Banking
time ago (2001) and far, far away (San Diego), it occurred to me
that the 'normal' view of the stock market, by looking at
something like the Dow Jones Industrials for market trend
guidance was not a proper way to go about things. For one,
most of the stocks in today's average weren't around in the
1930's. For another, even when Dow makes a
well-intentioned change in their index, there's no telling how
that will skew future perspectives. You can
see the stocks
that make up the average here.
using a broader measure like the S&P 500 (here),
you'll get a lot broader picture, but even that
will miss some mighty important moments in stock market history.
Specifically, what about the trillions that were lost in the
Internet Bubble bursting in 2002-2002? Some of us are old
enough to remember those heady days
when the NASDAQ was up around 4,700.
Consequently, I built a sort of 'index of these indices" and
equally weighted them on a dollar basis. In other words,
if you had thrown $1,000 at each of the indices back when, this
is what your theoretical results would look like. Note
that on the far right of the chart for the current data
that there's a straight line - and no - that's not the past few
weeks of the market, it's what's called a 'tail' so you can
clearly see the most recently ending price.
anything peculiar about this chart? Since your coffee may
not have kicked in just year, and since mine has, I'd point out
that on this 'even dollar chart' the real all-time high of the
stock market really was in 2000 and ever since then, we
have been experiencing a half-ass imitation of the 1930's
Depression. like so...
note to Peoplenomics.com subscribers, the Global Index chart,
which wasn't displaying correctly yesterday, has now been fixed.
If you're not a subscriber (come on, it's only $40 a year) the
Global Index is an index of many of the world's major markets
all equally weighted including the UK, USA, Australia, Japan,
Hong Kong, France, and Germany.
back on this chart here, and since the futures were
pointing to a much higher open today, possibly another one of
those violent 3% kinda day, we can see looking at last week's
close on the Aggregate that in order to break the downward trend
line, I'd expect to see an Aggregate Index number over about
6,800, or so, although there are lots of ways technical analysts
draw their parallel price channel lines. I'm sure you've
got your own.
point is that we need to see a 17% rally more or less across the
board before spring breaks out, profits blossom, and we savor
the upside through the middle of July. My personal
expectation is, however, that we will still get a better entry
point than here, and the kind of thing that will just about
ensure that will be bad news from the financial sector.
But, checking the
www.halfpasthuman.com rickety time machine and the calendar,
not just yet. But soon, no doubt about it, and it's
getting on time to where I will be moving some dough to a local
community bank because I've got a glimmer of what's yet to come
for some of the too-big-to-fail types.
Diversifying banking is a pain, no question about it. Not
only do you have to go look at the bank, meet the president or
VP and size them up, but you also need to ask about how they are
clearing. In other words, what part of their
services depends on the Big Banks to work?
which is not to say that by Big National Bank will fail; it's
just that I don't want there to be any interruption of the Life
of Elaine and George while things get sorted out. So a
three-way split seems to make sense: Some dollars in a
Treasury Direct account, hoping the government doesn't close.
A few bucks in the Big National Bank because of convenience for
travel and such. And then some in a good ol' Texas
been-around-forever community bank that's been through banking
crisis in the past even long before the banker cabal set up the
Federal Reserve in 1913.
be mailing off my 2008 taxes this week, along with my quarterly
filings, since I want to make sure that my account is squared up
well in advance.
Chicken Little but there's also little doubt that plans for
dealing with a Bank Holiday have already been laid out as a
contingence by the government, so my doing a little contingency
planning most likely wouldn't hurt, either. And then
there's the matter of this email that popped in last week:
George, Last week my stepmother was in a small bank in
central Kentucky, an area where utilities were out for as
much as a week a couple of months ago during the ice storm.
She noticed a sign lying on one of the desks "bank holiday,
bank closed today." The employee quickly hid it and told her
it was "in the event the utilities go out again." Hmm????"
monks have been seeing this 'death of the dollar' in modelspace
for a number of years. Now, with the G20 taking up
forsaking the US Buck at their meeting next month, it seems
propitious to begin implementing plans.
Do I want
the market to rally? You bet. Do I want the economy
to pull an amazing snap-back recover? What red-blooded
the thing: If inflation comes along as I expect as a
result of the Obama spending and the Bush/Obama check-writing
festival, gold will have nowhere to go but up toward
$1,600-$2,000 an ounce, and the purchasing power of saved money
will be declining. So in addition to sending off my taxes
this week, I've got my eye on long-term durables, like tires for
the truck, and maybe a set for the car. Then, more barrels
of stabilized diesel, and a list of other goodies; my last
dental crown is being fitted tomorrow, so my teeth should be
good for a while.
leaves staying in good health and working on the garden.
The fact that Michelle Obama is planting hers should be a
huge prompt from the PTB that you should be planting one,
rickety time machine point to high inflation in food prices, I'm
taking all bets now that we will see footage of MO on the telly
by late summer with a voiceover that goes something like "Even
the First Lady has been saving money at the White House by
working in the Kitchen Garden."
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for
'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on
the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in
the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept
several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet
Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely,
it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers
and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as
you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our
charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it
shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with
the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close
replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you
were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929
deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the
truth be told.