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Published Monday - Friday about 8 AM Central Time Except Holidays....many major typos are fixed by 8:30 daily
Saturday August 1, 2009 07:55 AM CDT
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Don't Question FEMA Department Not only is FEMA sending religious leaders (ministers, pastors, etc) to paid schooling on how to quell civil dissent, but now there's a flap around Palmer Texas about a FEMA report on contingency planning to relocate local people... --- But That's only the start. The even more frightening thing is the Monster.com ad for the National Guard which reads:
Wonder if Canada can accommodate 200-million refugees next spring? Don't know if the job is authentic, but Monster.com isn't free...
Sorting Out Saturday I made the mistake of staying up till 11:30 last night to watch my once weekly couple of hours of teevee...the movie the Thin Red Line. Although the movie was good, this morning when the alarm clock went off and the smell of coffee came wafting out of the kitchen, I had half a mind to sleep in since Saturday reports are something I have been trying to convince myself should be 'optional'. So much for promises, eh? --- The main economic feature to be aware of is that the market is now within 300 points to maybe 1,000 points of what I figure will be the upside target of the 'bounce' from the March 2009 lows down at 6,626. A 38.2% retracement would put us between 9,400 and 9,500, while a 50% retracement in the Dow would push us upwards of 10,346, and anything else beyond that is the financial equivalent of a wet dream. From last week's close of 9,093.24 to this week's 9,171.61, the gains were 78.37 points.
Robin's view is that the market's advance could be nearing an end soon - his proprietary timing model will be shared as allowed - and curiously, it may come in right about the August 22 turn date that has been outlined in the predictive linguistics. --- Landry mentioned something else of note: He reads a newsletter from David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist at the Canadian wealth management firm Gluskin/Sheff. and after chatting with their COO Friday, I've gotten permission to share a couple of key insights from their "Breakfast with Dave" newsletter, so stop by Monday morning for that. There aren't many folks that Landry holds in high regard in the financial forecasting world, but Rosenberg's work is in that select group so drop by Monday for more on this. --- Big story of the week for the history books may be the government's discovery that things really are about twice as bad as previously reported. But then as a regular reader around here, that's old news.
The long and short of it seems to be that the rally will keep rolling about as long as the American consumer can have more debt foisted on them by a system running into the nonlinear part of the assimilated interest/debt load part of the curve and as long as China is willing to keep buying thin pressings of cellulose at our insistence that this is money.
Considering that China actually invented paper it's hugely wry of the Universe to be balancing that off against them being blinded to the idea that 'it's only paper'. Putting ink on corn husks makes as much sense - or maybe even more since corn's harder to print. --- People are watching: "Billions in Lehman claims could bury an elusive insurer" and related reports wondering "Is this the straw that sends us into the second leg down? --- Not that we need to say "told you so!" too often, but the dollar has sunk to a 2009 low this week. Should be bonus time for gold and silver investors within a year, depending on how you've positioned yourself.
Clunker Dealings Looks alike another couple of billion are going into the cash for clunkers program. Wonder how long before 'government buy-downs" will be extended to other expenses, besides car payments - in our individual checkbooks?
Try not to pay any mind to people like me who might suggest that such government pay-downs are a more than baby step on the road to government having more direct control over your life. Punish them early adopters who bought responsible mileage cars and reward the slow-to-catch-on in the herd. Pretty obvious that the go-along-to-get-along sheeple are being made to win in this? Welcome to the curiously rigged casino...
So many people are logging onto the clunker website, that it's freezing computers says Glenn Beck...
Press to October With talks on Iran scheduled to last through "September, it's becoming plain that our timeframe for an attack (October 25th is linguistically 'hot') stories like the report that the "Pentagon, eyeing Iran, wants to rush 30,000 pound bomb program" certainly fits with what's to come. Make bombs while the dough shines... --- Urge to surge coming up in Afghanistan, as I told you to expect. Gotta take them poppy fields.
New Electrics Emerging Several readers have sent in links a to a story modestly titled "Radio to God" reported destroyed by American Scientist" which recounts extraordinary events at the Stanford Linear Accelerator which was retooled as the Stanford National Accelerator Laboratory.
What makes the story so interesting is that this "Radio to God" being destroyed happened at a place which says in its mission statement that "SLAC explores the ultimate structure and dynamics of matter and the properties of energy, space and time."
The timing of this report is most synchronistic, since it was just yesterday that I'd written about the "Hutchinson Effect" and showed you links to the reports of the Philadelphia Experiment and later on, the Montauk Project where collapsing wave-fronts were purportedly studied for use in 'radar invisibility', an early version of 'cloaking' and which supposedly were able to transcend dimensional barriers. Just a bit odd that this story would pop out about the same time we were discussing the common data points of the several predecessor projects.
You don't think that CERN's Large Hadron Collider, due to come back on line in October sometime, is just looking to see how small little bits of matter work, do you? Nope. The idea is not just to get down and see how small things act, but to look for fundamental breakthroughs that will provide new avenues of engineering how time/space works. --- Just to give youi some things to gnaw on, since I've written before (2000) about the historical accuracy of the Bible when it comes to stories like the 'burning bush' (where natural gas seeps were later found by Texaco, if I recall), suppose for a moment that the story of the "Ark of the Covenant" is really a description of a device that's a kind of Orgone Energy accumulator which in turn powered some interdimensional device. That would explain the 'voice of God' associated with the Ark along with its tremendous powers. I assume you saw "Raiders of the Lost Ark", right?
Suppose, just for the sake of fitting pieces together, that humans really can touch other dimensions, whether through DMT firing off certain parts of the brain, or through some kind of a physical device; say an Ark or an SLAC or CERN lash-up.
If you can take that size intellectual leap, then what if the stories in the Bible about Ezekiel's Wheel. battles 'on high' and ascension into 'heaven' was mere a conceptual framework for an ancient earth-dweller encounter with dimensions past? More interesting to ponder: What if religion was "hijacked" by people who held powerful positions and didn't want (or trust?) 'common folks' to get direct access to higher (other?) powers?
One could then further postulate why various Councils were held to change Biblical contexts in order to throw down control mechanisms over 'regular folks' in the most subtle ways possible. Say by going to the First Council of Nicaea and changing reported saying from "I am a son of god" to "I am the son of god" and other linguistic 'thought framers' to 'round up the flock' and keep them under control.
All of which would then neatly tie up most of the loose ends of history, showing a purpose behind an 'illuminati' that was determined to progress things along under their control in order to get back to some Ark-like tools and at the same time containing adventures of 'regular folks' into those spiritual dimensions where other realities might be perceived directly.
Why, such a line of thought would explain why certain religious sects put people to death for 'witchery' and why prohibitions of naturally occurring plants are so important. It's not that Universe made a mistake putting those plants on earth, it's that they may take off the blinders necessary for blind obedience while an upper class - the illuminated ones who know what the real deal is - get a whole different kind of life of power and money while funding their key interest - more power, more money, and if you'd throw in a doorway to 'heaven' then that'd be fine, too. --- A synchronistical email from a reader points to a book on this:
Goes in my reading list along with "Hasidism: Between Ecstasy and Magic" I'll take clues wherever I can find 'em, thanks. --- Send comments to george@ure.net The UrbanSurvival Mall: Peoplenomics This Week: The Ugly Foreclosure Game A lot of readers have been asking lately "Are banks really losing money on real estate they foreclose on?" My answer: probably not. If you thought the derivatives game was hot, let me bring you up to speed on how to banks can get rich foreclosing. "How Not To Lose Your Butt In Real Estate 101". Everything from basic use of leverage to how to buy dirt cheap. No 2-hour infomercial, either. Just some core ugly concepts... More For Subscribers Subscription Information MyGroPonics My commodity broker JB Slear has nailed a great solution for people who living in apartments and condos who want to become at least partially self-reliant when it comes to raising food: An ultra-high efficiency micro-hydroponics system using readily available local parts. 25-pages and plenty of pictures to turn you into a farmer no matter where you live (Great if you have back problems, too...)...or if you just want to fill up the back yard with MyGroPonics trees and feed the neighborhood... $10 bucks here...
Maxa-Cookie Manager The newest version of Maxa-Tools Cookie Manager (MCM) is available. Existing users of MAXA Cookie Manager Pro use the update button in the about window, all others can download the Standard version here: Once you try it out, click the upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35 unlock to get it to remove even those pesky 'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer may run faster. I took over 1,000 cookies off my son's machine that he swore was clean. It ran much faster.
Attn: Mac Drivers: MCM does support the Safari Browser, but that does not mean it is compatible with Mac OS. Maxa-Tools only support the Windows world.
Help US Go Viral UrbanSurvival has a dandy growth rate, but sadly, it's nothing like swine (hybrid) flu's growth rate. However, if you'd like to sicken the PowersThatBe, just click here for a tool that may help. (It'll pop up an email window if you use Outlook (or a few other email programs) then simply send a link to everyone on your distro list...
"Live on $10,000" Updated What? You haven't ordered the ebook "How to Live on $10,000 a year -- or less"? Suit yourself. We're all going to live it shortly, anyway. I just thought you might like a heads up by reading about how to do it before you get pink-slipped. But, suit yourself OR visit www.liveontenthousand.com or, click one of the following button:
Yep - still possible. I also took a bit of additional material that was pertinent from recent issues of Peoplenomics and included them. The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the aforementioned dollar amount, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you make a little more than that and do some active savings... Click here for the page with more details on it. ---- Last week's report is here. For back issues of this site, click here. (Goes back to 1997!)
Friday July 31, 2009 Paid Leisure Class Proposed: Will Anyone Notice? I was pleased as punch yesterday with a call from a doc who's affiliated with the American Academy of Anti-Aging Medicine telling me they have have released an alternative health care plan than can not only save $3.7 trillion in costs, but also could extend life spans by 29+ years.
Two points (you can click the link there and get the whole 42-page report emailed to you): First is that Dr. Ron Klatz and the A4M crew are working on a wellness model which, I regret to inform them, doesn't pad the purse of the much better-heeled pharma lobby. What's encouraging is that it's showing up in places like Reuters.
I've mentioned one of the ideas is this before - the idea of a professional leisure class that could be expanded or contracted in order to balance off the economy. In a sense, this professional leisure class would be a lot less destructive than wars when it comes to retooling the production/consumption imbalances periodically inherent in capitalism; that's why we get booms and busts as Kondratiev's work shows..
Not to brag (but what the hell, if I don't mention it, no one else will...) this was covered in depth for Peoplenomics.com subscribers in Issue #322 of December 2, 2007. A cached snapshot of the intro to that report? Oh, sure...right here.
So here comes discussion of it - what is this....almost 18-months after our coverage got serious. Yup, we do get a leg up on things here and there, LOL.
OK, if you're not a subscriber and missed the back issue, here's how it's rolled out in the A4M report now - very similar to what Dr. Ron Klatz & I talked about 18-months back
Of course, there are a couple of problems with this, not the least of which is that without war, how would the masters of the defense industry survive?
No worries about this proposal being taken seriously, though. There's just too much dough on the table in the military/defense/takeover of poppy-growing regions to be disturbed. Ifs you were sketchy about Iraq, and you feel even more so about Afghanistan, you're not alone. You're a terrorist. --- The current track of the Obama administration on spending proposals caught the eye of cartoonist Rebecca Price of www.toon-republic.com:
And speaking of taxing and spending programs...
Clunker Bonkers That deal where you could get up to $4,500 by trading in an old clunker that got poor gas mileage for a brand new stylin' ride that gets better mileage may be dead shortly. Seems it has run through $1-billion in just six days.
I'm reading this as a mixed signal. Part of me is glad that Detroit got some sales out of it, albeit temporarily, but the bad news may be that people are willing to throw money at cars so easily. So, we continue drive our 2001 Dodge Ram pick-em-up and the old Die'Woo.
That the 'gov'mint' estimated a program would last until November and here we get a mere six days out of it, says what about government's handle on reality? Can't be critical of government though, so maybe they just never understood accounting or money. Yah think?
GDP Figures Government reports this morning on GDP and Personal Consumption/Expenditures. First GDP:
But hang on cowboy! Go read up on how they figure this and ask the question "What are you all using for a monetary deflator?" and watch their looks. Constant dollars is the right tool.
Think about that when you read stories like "Employment costs rise 1.8 pct in past 12 months", too. --- Stock futures are down...quick look surprised.
The "Disappearing" Meme Don't know where to put this in terms of looking at 'disappearances, but there was a SkyNews report this week that 10,000 Uighurs involved in recent rioting in China have 'went missing..." in one night, no less.
Climate Change Wednesday of this week broke all kinds of heat records up in the Seattle, Washington area. And Thursday was another hot one as well, but down a couple of degrees off the record. Since Elaine & I both have kids up in the 'hot zone' we pay attention to such things.
The Pacific Northwest is not used to such weather. My daughter Allison, who's got a couple of cats, one being a long hair, decided to give him a shearing. Better: She doesn't have air conditioning, but the cats were so hot Wednesday that she ordered a half dozen bags of ice from AmazonFresh... Thinking, that girl is...always thinking.
Since Cliff up at HPH outside Olympia, WA, (another spot in the PNW sun oven) has Bouviers, they too have now been shorn nearly bald to help them cope with the heat.
I expect one of the Seattle TV news operations will have 'ugliest pet haircut for the heat' features going any old time now...I'd be looking for pictures lext week, or so on the net... --- Meantime, record cold in the Northeast and drought in the Southwest. Which is all part of the summer of hell lingo that leads to food problems to come. But wait! There's more (as the TV pitchmen say...)
Food Crazy Laws Good story over at Family Security Matters website under the headline "Obama's New Food Act to Seal Sorry State of America's Farms..."
That people supposedly representing us in Washington would try to Rahm-through another 'emergency' kind of measure which contains nonsensical things like 450-foot barriers around fields to prevent 'contamination' just boggles the mind.
No, come to think of it, forget I said that. I guess we've come to expect it. What was I thinking? Or was I at all...which leads to...
We May Be Nuts The headline over at Prison Planet that offers: "MSNBC Implies People Skeptical Of Government Are Psychologically Insane." seemed like another volley in what's turning into low intensity conflict (LIC) between MSM/Old Paradigm defenders against New Paradigm/Citizen media...but trust me, we're not nuts out here in alternative media. We just know who cuts the phat checks inside the Beltway and don't have a vested interest is burying that fact. Media on the take from special interest groups, that'd be another story. Insurance lobbies, pharma lobbies, chemical farming lobbies, bankster lobbies, oh the list goes on and on.... --- I'm pretty sure the MSM which sells congress votes - er, advertising - meaning they get them by the balls every couple of years - would quickly jump on any call for 'licensure of alternative media' not too far into the future.
Like in December or so is when we're expecting it. If you see 'License the media" around New Years, remember when it came up... --- Pretty quick, what had been a series of Rights claimed by We The People will be converted into a set of governmental permissions which will be permitted under appropriate licensure but only at the whim of the shadow government and the PTB, which is slowly (and sometimes quickly) staging its coup d' tat. That'll be the subject of this weekend's subscriber report "10-Days in October".
--- snip and save section ---
Coping: With Family Reunions The passing this week of our neighbor has served to bring back into clear perspective for Elaine and me the importance of family. That 'blood's thicker than water' may be trite should not be overlooked, since it's true in most cases. --- The young man who brought our tractor back from the Doctor's Office (a/k/a/ Rucker Equipment down in Palestine, where it had the PTO throw-out fork replaced), happened to mention to me that he'd be heading Friday morning for some small town's outskirts out West of here a ways (I forgot the name of the town) for a family reunion of the Burney family.
We got to talking about it, since the Ure family is not nearly as large, and I came to learn that the Burney family has been holding these once-yearly summer reunions for what's now 83-years with this weekend's gathering. 'I expect we'll have about 250 Burneys - maybe more - this weekend," he explained. --- A big family reunion sounds like a dandy thing on any number of levels. Should be a time to get together, compare notes, seek out like-minded (and perhaps even genetically predisposed to your way of thinking) people with whom you could arrange backup housing in case of disaster, compare notes on what your sense of the economy is, and the list goes on and on.
I set about calculating there would ever be a Ure family union, since so far none of my kids are planning to get into the grandchild manufacturing business. The one cousin with kids by the last name Ure have scattered mostly around the northwest and a Texas-style family BBQ seems a little absurd. --- Families seem to go through cycles of 'closeness' and 'apartness'. There were times, when I was a kid (just after dirt was invented), that I could depend on seeing at least one aunt & uncle per week and their brood would be along to tow. Parents would swap stories, we kids would find new trouble to get into and it was all fun.
But that was in a time when all the relatives on both sides of the family could get visited by riding an electric bus around Seattle before the forced of Dieseldom dismantled much of the old electric infrastructure, only to later discover that diesels don't go up Seattle's hills like the electrics did. What diesels did to Los Angeles should never be forgotten either; perhaps that's why "Who Killed Roger Rabbit" was such a good film.
Wandering back to my point, as I inadvertently do now and then, mostly by accident, the makeup of families has changed for a lot of us. Elaine and I now live in a kind of 'family on demand' world. Want a guest? Call, send 'em a ticket, and presto! Family on demand.
It's on summer weekends like that that I hold families, like all those Burneys from the South-Central part of the US who have converged on a plot in Texas for what's now 83-years running, in in the highest esteem. They have managed to stand firm in the face of powerful forces that seem to conspire at times to break down those familial, almost tribal, ties and impose something else.
As us non-Burneys in Texas head to another day of work, I'd offer a coffee-cup toast to one American family that has managed to place appropriate emphasis on something that doesn't get enough respect: Family. And to take off a Friday in midsummer for their gathering? Damn, these Burneys are a smart bunch.
Scenars and TENS Units Interesting email on Thursday discussion of what seems part of the 'new electrics' that are emergent over the next six months or so...
Not sure what to make of this, but my readings continue...
Speaking of state changes, did you catch that aluminum can now be made transparent? Is this cool or what? Call Boeing quick - I want to ride the first transparent 7X7, LOL
But speaking of TENS machines and the later Scenar/COSMODIC follow-ons, and staying on the thread of at least part of the week's snip & save section, however, I expect that most people have either never heard of, or have forgotten, something called the Hutchinson Effect. An email from a reader reminded me...
If you do a check of live.com and go looking for images of this Hutchinson fellow and his devices, you can get to this place. Because Hutchinson doesn't sound like an especially Hispanic name, and many of the drawings seem to have Spanish (Italian?) captions, I'm not sure how accurately the call-outs are dimensioned or even described. If you can't make a UFO off this stuff, don't come whining to us... --- It helps to know a little bit about electronics at this point. For example, just to make things easy, most home microwave ovens operate around 2.45 Gigahertz (GHz). Which is why, if you happen to use a wireless network in your home (we have two at the ranch for redundancy) you'll notice that the 2.4 GHz wireless network can be disrupted by the operation of a microwave. 2.45 GHz is right around one of the resonant frequencies of water, and so when you're microwaving food, what you're doing is shaking the H20 around fast enough to heat it up. But, it's close enough to the wireless router frequency that it can overload the front-end of the wireless router's receiver, especially if the routers are at some distance away so that you don't cook yourself with RF off them, LOL.
What this means is that if you're planning to do any imitations of the Philadelphia Experiment with home/consumer-grade microwave ovens driving your 3 or 4-axis collapsing wavefront device, remember that the effect is likely not to conveniently happen at a single frequency. What's more, there may be effects, such as alignment to the Dirac Sea (land of the kalapas) in just such a way as to make it work, so you'd be well-advised to document everything you can think of along the way lest you end up with a skeptical Wikipedia entry like Hutchinson's, since he hasn't been able to repeat certain effects on demand. --- What seems to be key in all of this work (levitation, etc) is that a wave interference effect is what seems to 'get the work done'. I think I've mentioned to you previously about how Tibetan monks are alleged to have placed horn blowers at particular frequencies in a semi-circle in order for them to levitate stones/boulders of incredible size for temple building.
Do the same kind of thing, oriented just so (either to local magnetics, proximity to Ley Lines, hyper spatial hot points around the planet, the galactic center, or maybe to the deep fryer at the local McDonalds - I mean who knows what, right?) and presto, you're in league with Tesla, Hutchinson and those purported manipulators of Philadelphia Exp. and Montauk Proj. fame.
If you happen to have a method of calculating frequencies for collapsing wavefront devices, please send them along. In a pinch, I guess I could work out the math and retune the resonance cavity of a microwave, although I might have to look around for books like Magnetrons 101 or Advanced Klystrons for Overweight 60+ Bozos. --- Oh...even though there are 'safety standards' for microwave ovens, we make it a practice to go across the room when ours in in use and check the seal every so often. It doesn't take much to disrupt our wireless routers at very low signal levels, but I am paranoid enough to check tor leakage. Most people never think to do so.
In fact, now that I think of it, I haven't tested mine for a
while, because I haven't been able to find my old detector, so
I've ordered a new one - here's one for $50 with shipping from
Amazon. Microwave Leakage Detector
I'm in no more hurry than anyone else to pop $50 on something, but you know what? It's a lot cheaper than the low-level health issues that can arise from periodically partially cooking yourself from a microwave leak. I've seen cases where people have a meticulously clean inside of their 'waves, and yet the seal can be dirty as hell, letting cooking power leak into the room. When that happens, you're just asking for trouble. Since Elaine's computers operate the wireless right down at the noise level, I can justify the as a tool to decide whether I might want to consider a wireless extender or spring for a new microwave.
Now that I think of it, a new 'wave would give me a working but out of service unit from which I could source my first magnetron and power supply....hmmmm. Turn on the function generators!
Function Zapping Department That brings me to this letter from a reader...
No endorsement here, in fact, time to throw in a boatload of disclaimers:
Jury's Prudence I was asking earlier this week why Courts, either judges of more particularly defense counsel, didn't provide instructions to jurors on the right of a jury to nullify underlying law's application to a particular case. A couple of first-rate replays from people who drop by from out of the legalsphere...
So did McCool win that one? Just wondering... OK, another person sent this...
How do I say...I don't expect to be overwhelmed with invites to serve on more juries any time soon. Another wrote in part:
And maybe the best was this one:
The writer of this email then drifts from disappearing Rights to ham radio...
Won't bore you with too many ham radio notes, but there have been openings on six meters the past couple of nights and even with my 560-foot loop antenna, I was able to make good contacts last night into eastern Ohio and central Indiana. So, yeah, after the Texas Traffic Net tonight (^;30 PM Central on 3873 MHz, lsb, I may pop up on six again to see if we get some openings.
Emails We Like to Get Nice one here:
Just remember: don't make medical claims! The FDA is not playing when it comes to such things. Independent Thing Dept. Reader sends a nice summary of the week's news:
People ask my why some days I write especially long columns like this mornings and the answer is simple.
I stare at the headlines for the same reason people go to NASCAR races. It's not because finding out who can turn left the best is such a fine skill. It's the recovery from the accident that is so, gosh, what would the word be? Tantalizing?
Getting up up early is easy if you ask yourself "I wonder if the financial collapse or the attack on Iran has started overnight?"
'Course being a junior time monk, I am still looking for events of August 22 and then the decline in the fall to the 10-Days In October (the subject of this weekend's Peoplenomics report for subscribers) to come about.
We should get a good hint whether that's still on tap since there's a temporal marker due August 3/4 with a largish earthquake (+/- a couple of days). What I'll be looking for will be something in the 6.5 in a populated area to a 7.0+ in an unpopulated area and decente headlining or maybe tsunami warnings. We shall see, non?
Thursday July 30, 2009 Military Flu Response: Occupation Plan? The report Thursday that the Northern Command of the US "Military planning for possible H1N1 outbreak" will no doubt be viewed as a significant development, depending on whether you're a tinfoil hat type, a conspiracy theorist, or someone with a good handle on the legal meaning of the Posse Comitatus Act.
At this juncture, the plan is more like 'a plan to study a plan' since the SecDef needs to sign off on it and if you Google Robert Gates, you'll notice that he's been on a road a fair bit of late. In Turkey, for example, he's reported planning a possible speed-up in the US Iraq withdrawal. Not that his travels may not be connected to nu flu. So depleted is the stock of US domestic Reservists that the extraction of US forces from Iraq could be necessary to staff up the Northern Command's flu plan should it come (like it won't?), in the administration's and in the military brass's view, later on this year. --- The astute reader of the predictive linguistics out of HalfPastHuman.com might now stitch together how multiple purposes for federal forces could arrive almost simultaneously by late fall. The three main linguistic features of the fall and into mid 2010 seem to include attacks on banks, ATM's, establishment institutions and such, the possibility of radiation/fallout so bad that it changes our eating habits (driving people to become vegetarian because of risks from meat), and then there's the flu issue.
Nothing says we can't get a sampler/smorgasbord of all three in different proportions; such is the outlook for the next six months and beyond. --- Also related on the flu front, I told you yesterday that I would inquire of our consulting PhD microbiologist at the request of a reader who said her doctor said not to overlook the common (not to mention cheap) gout preventative "Allupurinol" in your questions to ask your own doc about when you're preplanning your personal flu response for this fall. A person would have to be a bit daft not to be prepared with all the lead-time available.
Before his answer though, as a new practitioner, I need to review three things with you: 1) This is not medical advice - it's a discussion for informational purposes only. See your own doctor (or get one) before the flu season ramps up. 2) The mechanism of death in extreme flu is cytokine storming of the body's defense mechanism, which you can read about here. 3) Talk with your doctor about the role and advisability of H1 and H2 blockers to reduce 'storming' potential. Many over-the-counter drugs may be useful.
Now, having disclaimed any responsibility for your actions, here's what our 'staff microbiologist had to say, paying particular attention to his last paragraph in response to the Allupurinol question...
OK, I'm good with that. But, I got to thinking "Hey! If allupurinol (spelled variously, BTW) is good, what about the sudden onset gout attack medication colchicine?
More than you may ever want to know about the flu, but some of us who are seriously allergic (as in anaphylactic shock allergic, to some preservatives, certain egg proteins, and dog proteins that may have to activate our back-up flu plans. If (heaven forbid) I were to get the flu, my personal response would include H1 blocking with Benadryl, H2 blocking with Pepcid or Zyrtec, and sweat like heck to 'burn it out'. --- The quote today that "A whole industry is waiting for a pandemic" makes the timing of the nu flu just as suspicious as those falling down buildings in NYC... --- Current flu publicity seems to be going to headlines like "Pregnant women fsirst to get swine flu vaccine" and "Volunteer swarm for shot at swine flu vaccine", however words like 'swarm' sound a bit....oh...hive-like or herd-like to me. The headline in the Budapest (Hungary) this morning that "Swine flu hysteria yet to grip nation, but politicians are doing their best..."
Mind you, they're talking about Hungary, but seems to me that the US MainStreamMedia (MSM) caught in the grip of declining ad sales revenue from almost everything else (did I say 'Especially auto advertising"?) is no doubt salivating at the prospect of flu adverting and maybe some of that new health care plan advertising too.
If I sound a bit overly skeptical of all this...the coincident timing of the 'discovery' (release?) of the novel flu which arguably seems statistically unlikely at the time and place of the outbreak, you're right!
On Again, Off Again Flipping faster than a strobe light down at the disco, the healthcare bill is back on hold until October. Pardon my healthy skepticism even then. What? Too young to remember disco? Your loss, kid...
Dollar's Demise We've been mentioning for several years that one of the largest events in your lifetime is likely to be the demise of the (current) US dollar and its succession by something else. In what could be a precursor (besides the Chinese showing up in DC to ask WTF?) there's a headline today that "Weak Treasury auctions raise worries about US debt burden." Glad it's being noticed and yep, a heads up for the aware...
Unemployment Numbers From the Labor Department:
About as expected. The markets are poised to head higher at the open. Say, is that a bottle of nitrous there beside your level 3 trading machine? No? Helium, you say?
Not Worth Saving While Dan Rather may be well intentioned in his suggestion that the administration somehow become involved in 'saving the news' business, my own feeling runs more to the idea of citizen-journalists and independent reporting on the 'net is a good thing. Concentration of power has been, again in my view, abused.
If I hear one more "Tell your doctor" I'm gonna puke.
Sometimes I feel like I should post a disclaimer for this website like those pill-pusher ads on TV: WARNING: Use of UrbanSurvival may produce side effects such as mental clarity, independent thinking, skeptical viewpoints and a rash of new ideas. Read only as directed. Daily.
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Coping: With Scenars and Beyond I noticed that Wikipedia has deleted it page on a new medical device called a Scenar.
OK, you're wondering, what is a scenar?
The answer is a bit long, but I've been doing a bit of research, and since it has popped out of some of the discussion groups and fora which are scanned by the web bot project spiders, a little discussion is warranted so we can stay up near the bleeding edge of science. --- We begin with a light discussion of quantum physics and how what ancient people (back in days of Sanskrit) described how the Universe worked at the physical layer. According to this view of things (which 'modern' quantum physics seems to be drifting toward) is that down as the smallest possible level, what we perceive of 'reality' is little more than bit of matter that come into existence some 7-trillion times per second as three (or more, it gets a little foggy here) waves of energy collide. Just as interfering wave patterns from cohesive beams of light (lasers) make modern holography possible (3-dimension pictures).
Out of this bit of ancient knowledge (or call it speculation if you want) comes the possibility for a comprehensive view of physics and reality since the popping in and out of existence of these 'smallest possible bit of matter' (the kalapas) behave in certain ways which are predictable. Some discussion also shows up in Buddhism and if you read the discussion in Wikipedia, you'll catch the reference to "their characterization as earth, water, fire, and air, respectively, is declared an abstraction."
Depending on how far you've gone in your study of magic and directly operating on the fabric of reality, whether you've entered 'the stream', or have momentarily been able to 'dance with Universe" you'll recognize the importance of this kalapas coming and going stuff and the high correlation to studies of ritual magic among ancient peoples, who you may appreciate also looked at the earth, air, fire, and water (plus their associated colors) as being how one gets down to the control of how the kalapas come and go - which in turn defines reality.
This ancient concept was rediscovered, in a sense, in 1930 with Paul Dirac's claim that we live in a 'Dirac Sea' of positive and negative energy. It's from his work that the we find the whole basis for the 'zero-point energy' developments which by some classical physicists can't possibly work but in many machines and repeatable experiments actual do work much to the disdain of peer reviewers of academia who are quick to dispense with any concepts broader than their own.
A very good description of the Dirac Sea and how it can be 'tickled' (changing the template of reality is another way to think of it) can be found on Tom Bearden's most excellent web site.
(Heavy stuff for this hour, huh?)
What's been going on in other parts of the world, while we have been massively entertained with figuring out new and faster ways to print money and invent financial products, research in the rest of the world (ROW) has been tinkering with electrical devices which use multiple frequencies in order to locally displace the way the kalapas pop into - and out of - our 'reality'.
Seem to be a couple of ways this is done. One being with ultra-high powered magnetic fields of various frequencies that interact with one another, as was reportedly tried in the Philadelphia Experiment and later rumored later at the Montauk Project.
Understanding that reality may just be a hologram of colliding energies opens up a strange rabbit hole to go down. For one, it means that when people die, they may just shift into another reality at a different collision point of the kalapas. It would also open the door to direct manipulation of matter, and this is where it gets particularly interesting.
Seems there are some discussions in other languages which go to the idea of large-scale 'kalapas template' electronics when allow (just for example) the 'disconnecting' of the bonds that holda piece of steel in shape and which, when broken, can allow steel, titanium, or any other material, to be 'poured' or 'molded' at room temperature only to solidify once the energy manipulation devices are turned off. Pretty cool stuff, but whether it's real in which case it may have been back-engineered from crashed UFO materials, or whether it's nothing more than a new kind of Cold War psyops between East and West could be the subject of much study.
That said, however, there's some anecdotal evidence that electrical devices can have a dramatic impact on healing by rearranging the kalapas templates to allow them to get back to their normal/healthy order of things.
A predecessor technology is already well described in the area of sports medicine in the "Transcutaneous electrical nerve stimulation" (TENS) machines. Definitely something going on here, blessed by 'officialdom' or otherwise.
While the Wiki entry on Scenars has been removed, there's the old saying that sometimes where there's smoke, there is fire.
If you do a search on an precursor technology "rife machine" you will find a ton of reading to delve into, and when you're done with that, the book "The Cure for All Diseases" by Hulda Regehr Clark, Ph.D.,N.D. - all 631 pages of it, complete with lists of frequencies - can be found here.
One of the reasons I have a couple of function generators on my electronics bench (along with my trusty dual channel oscilloscope) is so I can set out voltages from the function generators precisely where I want them. In Clark's book, frequencies to which influenza is reported sensitive are given and while it have not been blessed by any government outfit, I'm not above a little self experimentation using low voltages of specific frequencies. As I explained previously, the fellow who may have inspired Mary Shelley's character Frankenstein was a great, great, great grandparent. It's genetic, what can I say. --- Obviously, this is not medical advice and the FDA periodically cracks down on different kinds of machines which make medical claims. So I make none and specifically disavow such. History teaches us that people who do make claims which aren't sanctioned by the government end up, as was the case with Tesla, Wilhelm Reich, and many others, find themselves prosecuted by rulers of the prevailing paradigm.
Yet to deny that there's something to all this electrical stuff, ranging from the newest of Scenar machines with 'cosmodic' technology at one extreme, and something as simply testable as Clark's work at the other, is something I find curious indeed. The original 'Ure branch' of electrical stimulation from the mid 1800's got us to the ECG and electric defibrillator stage. To say science and applications of electrify stop there would be 24 karat stupid.
But then again, perhaps not. Big pharma is big business. If people could effectively treat many ailments, as supporters of MMS, colloidal silver, various frequency generators, and now scenars with cosmodic technology claim, they might actual find themselves cured of disease.
And hey! Where's the recurring revenue and perpetual profit in that?
Still, in keeping with the predictive linguistics, the recent rise in chatter on the net about scenar/cosmodic machines certainly is a fit with those 'new electrics' that are supposed to be along about now, isn't it. Show me how to pour stainless steel at room temperature, roo, if you wouldn't mind. Want to cast some coffee mugs... --- Out of time this morning - drop by tomorrow. Several attorneys have sent in the answers to why they don't tell juries in criminal cases that they have the rioght of nullification of law when they sit...you'll find it interesting as heck. See you then...
Wednesday July 29, 2009 Web Bots Back On Track Seems that after yesterday morning's report on the web bot project being on the chopping, a number of things have gone surprisingly right. For one, the data pipeline which feeds the project has been repriced with the threat of our departure, such that what had been $16,000 per month will be the same amount but for 90-days. Good news indeed.
Secondly, we noticed that the file size of the ripped-off file was not the same as the original, so if you're thinking about reading the ripped-off illegal copies, please bear in mind that the ONLY report which we can vouch for the accuracy of are the ones downloaded directly off the links from the www.halfpasthuman.com site.
This second point is incredibly interesting to us. The reason? We already know that there is a fair bit of 'memeering' going on around the net. In other words, groups unknown are deliberately putting things into the netosphere trying to spin public emotions this way and that, and it occurred to use that one of the best ways the PTB could lessen the impact of the work would be by removing the financial component that makes it pencil out from our side. What better way than to put it on torrents and on web sites in foreign countries beyond the practical reach of our lawyers?
Put things in a whole new light for us. So while there's nothing to stop that illegal rip-off artists, we have to wonder what their intentions are, since the cost is incredibly low at $10.. A number of readers who were subscribers to the previous (and somewhat expanded) ALTA reports said they'd gotten enough value that we should reprice the series at something like $1,000 a copy, but we rejected that. This is not about 'get rich' - it's about help so that the maximum number of people can get access to what the future may hold.
When you read on a site somewhere that we should be publishing these reports for 'free'; and claim some kind of 'rights' to rip it off, you know right there that they're not being intellectually honest - the project is damned expensive. And if they're not honest about that, what else are they not being honest about?
Turns out that we may actually be stepping on some toes of the PTB. Gee, gosh, sorry.....NOT. Pipes are open, data's being collected. And if you bookmark this site, Cliff's http://www.halfpasthuman.com site, the www.independencejournal.com site and the www.peoplenomics.com site, we oughta be able to find a way to get the information to you no matter what. But, as long as I'm thinking about it, bookmark the www.fortwealth.com site since JB would help. We don't plan to be stopped so easily. Seems Universe wants the work to continue. --- A reader did ask an interesting question about the Monday phone call we got vis-à-vis the Iran attack in October. He asked - in so many words - "Is it possible that in sounding the alarm about the dangers of the tertiary target risks that the project might cause the events foreseen?"
That's one of those nightmares that keeps us awake nights. We know from past experience that when something about the future is widely reported (as we have done in the past) it often changes slightly in modelspace...so since the data 'pipe' is going to stay open, we may get some early indications maybe next week or the week after. I'll keep you posted, of course.
S&P/Case-Schiller Housing Report I didn't see much media play on the latest S&P/Case-Schiller Home Price Index out on Tuesday. So I popped open their spreadsheet to see for myself.
Turns out their index didn't even move a point in the April to May period: April the composite was at 139.21 and in May it was 139.84. The problem this underscores is that housing hasn't significantly improved by this measure since the 139.99 reading of March. It's like housing is just 'bumping along the bottom'.
Whi8le it has me scratching my head wondering were all those construction jobs the Labor Department thought were created in the CES Birth/Death Model were coming from in that period. Why the BLS report claims 104,000 new construction jobs were created.
Can't speak for you, but I'm just not seeing the 'green shoots' - but I am seeing something that shares three out of it's four letters with the word 'shoot' if you follow me.
That's because the S&P/Case-Schiller report is down from its July 2006 reading of 206.52 to 139.84, a decline of 32.28% nationally in their 20 sampled markets in a 22 month period. Want to argue again about the arrival of the Second Depression?
Not So Durable, Not So Good Census released the latest Durable Goods Order report a few minutes ago:
Couple of points: First, you can see how important war is to our economic paradigm here. If military spending keeps dropping, you might want to reconsider those defense stocks.
Second point: Is this analogous to spraying 'green shoots' with Round-Up?
No Rahming Healthcare Through Looks now like the House may not get around to the healthcare reform bills until after the August recess. With a 1,000 page bill on the table, seems to me that a little more consideration couldn't hurt. Besides, what Americans really want is a single payer system, not another one of these advertising bonanzas for the failing MainStreamMedia who profit by selling individual plans instead of the single-source concept. It's just you and me have about 10-cents to every hundred dollar bill the special interests can dish out directly or through 'favors'.
No one listens when I point out we own AIG - and they could just be nationalized and do the whole thing. --- I assume you're bright enough to figure out why this will never happen, though, right? It's because the whole Western Economic Paradigm is based on constant growth, ever-rising demands for labor, and when the Great Capitalist Game fails, it will utterly collapse the system back to where one person working could support a full household. Then we'll start over. ---- The Great Myth is that more square footage of housing , creature-feature cars, and faster processor speeds is progress. 99.99% of Americans forget that they couldn't type any faster into a 286 machine with Ashton Tate's MultiMate than they can into Office on a Windows 7 box. Yet, this is billed as progress. So is 'fast food'. Sorry to say that nothing from MacJackKing's can compare with one of Elaine's home-built monster burgers, and nothing in a can compares with a home-made vegetable soup simmered most of the day. Progress has a bitters taste sometimes.
Yeah, sure, I'll grant you that internet bandwidth is wider, but I can only deal with so many emails a day. The majority of bandwidth goes to spam and junk mail, pop-ups, and ads. Spam oughta be a capital offense, but let's not go there until I can get some waxed rope handy...
Search: Irony The raw irony of seeing Google's News Site leading (may change any minute) with the report that Microsoft and Yahoo are near a Search deal cheered my up. Love it when Universe provides irony.
Outa There? SecDef Robert Gates says the US may speed up its withdrawal from Iraq. Must mean the oil deals are done.
Give the Durable Goods report and economic numbers, I expect we'll find some overwhelming need to 'surge' in Afghanistan next...either that or deploy inside America for the trouble to come. Don't be worried about the use of the military in the US, though.
Wikipedia says of the Posse Comitatus Act: But if my read of the future is right - about how badly the economy could go, I expect that Congress would act to 'protect banks and other 'key infrastructure' (grocery stores?) and all you'll need will be a national ID card that says you've been vaccinated... --- Hey! Speaking of which: So you live in the North and you decide to join a tanning spa to get enough UV rays to keep your vitamin D topped off this winter. Guess what MyFox-New York headlines? "Swine Flu Update, Tanning Bed Danger..." Checkmate? Not quite...
I'm buying investment grade D-3 and keeping it in the 'fridge.
See how all the new strings together into a flow...almost like a cattle chute sometimes. By design or accidental? We report, we're outside...
Dollar Down Of course, while everyone is distracted with the latest TV 'trash-mish-mash" in loser media where the bling's the thing, , the real story ( keep this on the DL) to keep your eye on is the "Dollar falls to 2009 low as economic view reduces safety demand."
Remember a month or two back I was talking about diversifying some of your holding into non-dollar denominated markets? Ho hum....owning the future's a bitch.
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Coping: The Difference a Couple of Days Make Routine has returned, the web bot project may be getting back on track, I'm off the hook for jury duty this week, and another morning is about to dawn here in the Second Depression. Much to cover this morning, so coffee at the ready, we begin with an update on the web bot project - beyond what was in yesterday's update posted in mid-afternoon. --- On a personal note: As I explained yesterday, one of my reasons for the 'dour' mood this week is the tragic accidental electrocution of our neighbor's wife on Monday afternoon and our inability (me, Elaine, and the whole emergency response system this far out at the end of the road) to bring her back. In response, and after some analysis, I've decided to make a donation of a couple of AED's [automated external defibrillators] to the local volunteer fire department.
My son, who's cert'ed to train on such things has been an enormous help, discovering for example, that the local volunteer fire department has an annual budget of $11,000, which is almost nothing. That has to buy training materials, maintenance on the rigs, diesel fuel. There's not much left over. A single Lifepak 500 that's been recertified is about a thousand bucks. Then you need the 'quick-combo' pads, non-rechargeable lithium batteries, carrying case and training (which my son's offered to cover later on this year). Some are already AED certified, I'm told.
No fault with the fire department's budget priorities. Not only do they cover a huge area out here, but in there are thousands of acres of what at this time of year is tinder-dry forest lands not to mention enough oil and gas operations to give cause to firemen in big cities something they'd compare with an industrial area.
The first unit on scene was a private vehicle and although they were skilled, there was no OPV or AED. Kind'a hard to keep the Grim Reaper at bay if you don't have the tools. My son tells me that in big cities (surrounding Seattle, for example) first responders have a "We're gonna get some" (as in 'from the Grim Reaper') when they go out 'code'.
Relatives in my family were part of the original Medic One program in Seattle...I even got to edit down the fire dispatch tape when I was in broadcast news-chasing, of the original Medic One putting a guy back together who had managed to stack a Corvette into an abutment at the First /Avenue off-ramp from the southbound Viaduct in Seattle. The tape was played at a Seattle Rotary meeting, as I recall...still have a cassette of it around here somewhere, I think.
To make a long story short, we've seen first-hand one of the risks of being this far out in the dingle berries and we're making some small steps to shift the odds around. Not sure it will help, but in the Ure family, when something goes badly, we try to get into action and change things up. Beats hell out of sitting around. The GR gets us all one day, but we do what we can to trip him up, slow him down, and a productive response is about as good a motivator as I've found. --- Second thing that brought me some cheer was hearing from an old friend who is an economist with one of the major national banks - one that's in much better shape financially than most. Since he's done a lot of work in the realm of 'animal spirits', he promised to send me his personal web site provided I don't post it (damn! I'll try arm twisting on this point) and he mentioned that in his modeling, looks like we could go another year before the second Leg Down of the Second Depression really gets going in earnest.
I can see what he's talking about when I look at the charts, too. If you're a Peoplenomics subscriber, you've seen this in the ChartPack section, but if not, here it is:
If you look at the time scale, you'll see that what's in the predictive linguistics work as the 'big ugly something' in the spring of '10 might actually be the massive market collapse, since there are two times of the year when markets tend to collapse: Fall and to a lesser extent Spring.
So although the linguistics have large-sized events happening from August 22 on of this year, it could be that those are only foreplay to next year's events. It's also possible that our 'death of the dollar' read on this year is only a prequel to next, since the larger the impact on people's lives, the more likely we are to see things further in advance.
I'd love this to be the case, since time is what we seem to have a shortage of, more than anything. --- Around the ranch, my tractor came back from the shop on Tuesday afternoon. The folks at Rucker Equipment did a fine job of putting it back together, and the regional service rep from Kubota sprung for some of the cost (more than $300 worth on their side including parts and labor) while I wrote up $791 worth. Considering that the unit was out of warranty (although by only 75 days or so) I think that was a stand-up position for Kubota to take, so thanks and my recommendation of their gear continues. The part that failed, BTW, has been redesigned. --- Last weekend, I did a little swapping of ham radio gear with one of the members of the local ham radio club. He got a nice little linear amplifier good for about 500-600 PEP output, along with two transceiver: A Kenwood TS-440SAT and a tube-type SR-150, both with matching power supplies and mics.
On the other side of the trade, I picks up a 51-foot motorized crank-up tower, complete with rotator and control head, so now I'm making plans to pour a foundation for a two-car carport (which will keep Elaine happy) as an excuse to get a full load from the local concrete company, so I can pour a tower base. First, though, I'll have to order the base for the new tower from Tashjian Towers for about $400 with shipping. But the fun part is digging the hole for the tower.
OK, so you haven't put in as many towers as my friend Vince who last time I talked to him still owned most of the hill-top towers in Southern California, but the trick to a first-class job is you dig the tower hole without disturbing the surrounding earth and you make it squared off perpendicular to the prevailing winds. That the earth around it has to be 'undisturbed' is what gives such installations their strength.
If you're anywhere in East Texas and feel like digging a plumb square hole 6+ feet deep and about 3-feet square, send me an email and we'll make arrangements. We'll supply the beer and brats. And yeah, I know about the risks of cave-ins and such, but the soil where I'm planning to put it is about the hardest packed clay outside a brick plant and I figure I can auger down the first 4-feet or so with a borrowed auger on the tractor. Might call the local power company as ask them about auger rental, since that's about how far down a power pole is dug in.
Then comes the debate I'm having about what to put on top of the tower. I'm presently leaning toward a Cubex 'quad' because quads have nice low noise floors on receive and about the same gain as a three element Yagi. That leaves me enough wind loading left over to support a wind generator up there. That might provide some nominal boost to the battery power system (300-500 watts worth) but the wind machine is heavy and it may detune the antenna despite having composite blade. Much noodling to do on that. --- Jury selection on Tuesday was an interesting experience. When the prosecutor asked whether there was anyone present who couldn't 'enforce the law' which in Texas takes the right to possess a gun outside their home away from felons for the entire life, and in their home for five years after release, I had to raise my hand. Supposing, I wondered if the felony involved was of the financial sort and was hypothetically for hot checks by someone trying to feed their family?
Texas law is curious: The accused was also facing a gun theft charge, but that carried a penalty of something like 6-months to two years. The felon in possession charge was a 2-10 rap.
The facts of the case aside, the question I asked was whether the jury could decide both the applicability of the law and the merits of the case. Well, doggoneit, that must have tipped me off as one of those fully-informed juror types because when the prosecutor asked if anyone else agreed with Mr. Ure, half a dozen hands went up, and best I can figure, none of us were picked.
If you do a little research on the 'net, you'll find pages like this one about the jury's right to nullification if the State get's a little too zealous. Not that I'm a rabid supporter of the Fully Informed Jury Association, but on the flip side, it was clear after doing some research, that the 1996 Gilpin County Colorado case, where juror Laura Kriho was jailed for contempt when she voted her conscience, was a warning shot from the judges and prosecutors that they don't like well informed juries.
Took Ms Kriho about four-years to make her point, but I'd read enough of the case to know that I wanted to be straight-up with the local court: I know that a jury has not only the ability to convict the accused, but it also - most importantly - has the power of nullification when laws are unjustly applied.
In the case at hand, would I have convicted? If the facts were proved, more than likely. I like a lawful and orderly community as much as the next guy. But I also want to be clear that I put a fair bit of study into my rights and responsibilities as an American. If we didn't live in the land of 'signing statements' and had a congress that was not so compelled to vote the straight special-interest ticket (and would listen to We the People on things like bankster bailouts, buying insurance outfits, and wanting a single-payer healthcare system that works without lining the pockets of mainstream media along the way) I'd be less compelled and a whole lot less high strung.
I'd be very curious to learn why more defense attorneys don't remind jurors of their right of 'nullification' in their closing summations especially is really bad cases where prosecutors have gone 'overboard'. I have to expect there's a reason they don't - gotta be some quid pro quo that I don't understand, and I'd like to be able to share it with you so we learn a bit more about how this particular deck is stacked.
I left the Anderson County courthouse around 11:30 Tuesday having learned that in Texas, when someone commits a felony, their debt to society is never fully repaid. And --- With any luck, this will be one of those week's when Wednesday really is 'hump day'. If so, based on the first half of the week, by the time Friday or Saturday rolls along, I ought to be in a state of damn near ecstasy. And not the controlled substance kind...
Medical Question In response to my article "Calm Before the (Cytokine) Storm" on the subscriber side (www.peoplenomics.com) a reader sent the paper to their doctor, who responded with a simple note suggesting I check into Allupurinol. I've posted this here so that our consulting PhD microbiologist can comment on whether it might have any impact on cytokine storming (as in swine flu). If you don't know what Allupurinol is, it's a common drug used for gout sufferers to prevent attacks. I took it once in my 40's to keep an attack from recurring. But, seems at least one doc thinks it may have a cytokine use, so comments from competent medical types is welcomed. not as medical advice - so goes the necessary disclaimer - but for information purposed only.
Tuesday July 28, 2009 We've had our thinking caps on most of the day on how to keep the predictive linguistics going. Some good news may be out there which may keep the old rickety time machine going.
First, we've had some offers that would automatically serialize each PDF copy. That carries some karmic baggage with it, but there are other technical offers.
Secondly, the network access folks have dropped their rate to use so we may get three months of data lines for the price of one...that would be a good thing.
Plus, we've been besieged by people offering to make donations, but please NO. Doesn't work like that. We've got some ideas working...we'll see....but remember, things are likely to degrade so fast after August 22, and then especially after mid September, it may not matter. --- A couple of readers wondered about my particularly dour tone today. There was a reason for it that I should probably tell you about: The neighbor across the road lost his wife yesterday.
She had been out mowing the back part of their yard and rolled over an electric extension cord that was powering an electric goat fence. She'd gotten off the mower to pull the wire out and became the shortest path to ground; the electrocution was instant.
When summoned by her husband who discovered her, but who's on oxygen an confined to one of those electric carts with his oxygen tank on it,, Elaine and I were first on scene, I pulled the power, and we applied CPR until the first responders showed up and then the medic unit.
Six strips on the ECG and nothing...It was too late. --- So I didn't have a very good day yesterday...don't like loosing good people - there are just so damn few around. But, I also know that Universe makes that call despite our best efforts.
In your daily meditations or prayers, a kind word to Universe about our departed friend Geri would be deeply appreciated.
Oh, and tell the Grim Reaper I'm for him and I'm pissed. Really, really pissed.
Web Bot Project Killed One Last [Future] Jack for the Road Some good news for a change...although just how good we don't know. It started with a strange and very short phone call from an unidentified source in Europe who said he was with an agency that is in a place to know what's going on with the advance planning for the possible attack on Iran by Israel. The caller informed us that because the ALTA/Shape of Things to Come reports run 'above chance' in their outcomes, and since some .mil types read them as soon as release, the folks in attack contingency planning have gone into much deeper target backgrounding than usual on secondary and tertiary targets. That was it. A very short phone call and the caller hung up - no other details. A foreign country code and a 'no such number' beyond that.
Whether the call is 'legit', or not, we certainly hope it is and that advance planning does turn up the 'risk' in a tertiary target which was outlined for the apparent October 25th (+/- a few days) attack date.
Here's where it gets interesting - and I'm working on a new 'George Theorem' about how the nature of time works. We already know (Cliff generously called the George Theorem ) that when we have multiple events that 'line up' ( as in the Redwood City quake in September of '04) it can linguistically 'mask' another event which would have similar descriptor sets, but which is further along apparent time as was the Banda Aceh quake in December 2004 when we viewed both as a since meta data set from the August 2004 perspective.
My supposition now is that when we have descriptors now that go to the idea of 'ill winds' circling the earth '9 times' after late October, that the cause may drift away from aftermath of an attack on Iran and instead may weight heavily to something else that's 'ill' - like the resurgence of novel/swine flu that's expected in that timeframe as well.
It's a variant of the problem we noted in the data prior to the Columbia space shuttle event where we had linguistics that while fulfilled by a space ship, could just have easily have been fulfilled by a maritime accident of the more conventional sort. The 'gem of the ocean' linguistic while fulfilled by the Columbia disaster, might have also been fulfilled by a sinking of a large passenger liner - which obviously didn't happen.
We've been experimenting to see whether future events are, in this sense, malleable. In other words, can the outcome be changed? --- We may never get the chance to find out.
There has been so much ripping off of the "Shape of things to come" report in torrent sharing and on web sites out of places like the Netherlands, that we're being forced to shut down the whole project. While it may appear to some (low-life types) that file-sharing of the reports wouldn't be noticed, not only has it been noticed, but it has driven a stake through the project.
The reason is that the costs of the project run in excess of $20,000 per month and we'd been counting on revenue from sales of the reports to pay for bandwidth. Since the rip-off artists have effectively killed the paid downloads by giving it away free, Cliff is forced into the position of shutting down future reports unless we can find another way to cover the $25K/month in project costs.
Moreover, since that's the road Universe seems to be kicking us toward, might as well harmonize with it and put the whole project up for sale, executables, source code and all. If you're interested (and have a relatively deep pocket) send an inquiry to george@ure.net or moon@halfpasthuman.com and we can talk. Yes, we will talk to any country that wants it and no, we're not interested in 'cooperative ventures' with two-bit players. Cash talks and BS walks. Cliff's sick of the whole thing anyway and knowing the personal toll that goes into the interpretation of the data, can't say as I blame him.
Want to roll your own? Fine. Lots of luck, but don't bother us. We're trying to figure out what to do with an $850 electricity bill, a room full of servers at Igor's place and how to get out of a $16,000 data services contract. --- Personally, the most disturbing aspect of this is that it gives me a new appreciation for how many rip-off artists are at work in today's world. It's getting to where being an inventor just doesn't pay off.
Not only has the revenue been ripped off from Cliff's ALTA/Shape of Things To Come reports by desperate people who will do anything they can to get traffic to their pathetic web sites (since they don't offer original content of high value to begin with) but Cliff has also being royally screwed because his patent for original work on his Vortex Reader is being infringed all over the place. For example, there's a "reader" program out on Sourceforge.net which seems to infringe on Cliff's patent.
Since Vortex was developed in the W95/W97 timeframe, he hasn't had time (or resources) to keep refining the interface, so when people come along, take his pioneering work, reconstruct it on more current screen-handling systems (as in XP and beyond) and throw it out on sourceforge, there goes any hope of revenue from that product. Screwed again.
All of which brings us to this morning's dour report. The web bot project is for sale, the current report is likely the last since the original benefactor who funded the project is in China and is no longer able to support the project as he generously had in the past due to the changing political situation there.
Next time you download a file off the internet that contains copyrighted material, please remember that you're screwing someone who has put hard - not to mention original - work into whatever it is that you're downloading. And no, I don't download .MP3's on torrents either. When I do the occasional audio project for clients (I do have 48+ track capability in my little home studio lash-up) I use music and production elements from my three licensed libraries. --- This has all given me a new appreciation for the underlying nature of humans. Yeah, they may have some predictive value - and even be somewhat prescient when you listen to their babble across thousands of forums (fora, actually) and know what to look for and how to sense their subtle changes in language. But, for whatever reason, they are as a group largely without honor and truly deserving of the leaders they have.
Why, if a group of aliens were to show up in spacecraft in 2011 and judge us as a planet unworthy to continue - as in a real-life version of 'Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - and simple remove earth from the path of some interdimensional freeway, can't say I'd blame them. You're the exception, of course, but between you and me, we're outnumbered 100:1 by the unworthy.
Barring any change in conditions, the web bot project bids you 'so long and thanks for all the fish." Yeah, I'm still working on ways to get Cliff to change his mind, including embedding serial numbers in each copy of the report so we can go after individual infringers for damages, but that BS - to have to go to that extreme to protect proprietary work, isn't it?
UrbanSurvival, will of course, keep on - as will the in-depth analysis on www.peoplenomics.com, where I offer original analysis and look-ahead reporting.
In the meantime, if we got one good future-jack out of it (rethinking of targets) and if that prevented a whole lot of ugly, then it will have been worthwhile overall.... which leaves the chief time monk and the junior TM's all pondering the "What next?" question.
BoTax Hey! Here's a grand plan: "Plastic Surgery Tax Eyed as a Revenue Raiser" reports CongressDaily.com. Wonder how much it will really raise, though? What's really needed is a little liposuction on the budget.
Consumer Confidence Because I have to be at jury duty this morning, I won't be able to update the site when new consumer confidence numbers are scheduled to be released. But, you should be able to click here and maybe find them later on.
News Translation Department The headline is "New Home Sales Jumped 11% in June from May."
Translation: Once flushed, seems like the water levels in the toilet refill.
But do they really? Here's the part from the housing report that doesn't get much play: From the 2007 peak, 2008 housing sales were down 37.5% for the whole year. Then, comparing 2008 year to date with 2009 year to date we're down a further 35.2%.
One way to pencil it out (green eyeshade on, forecast mode: ON) is housing will come in around 314,000 units this year. Which means from its peak, we will be down overall (when the numbers come in around January or Feb of 2010: Down 59.5% compared with two-year-ago levels.
Now, if you really want to have some fun, flip over to where the Labor Department says that there's been a net increase in 2009 of 64,000 construction jobs in its CES Birth Death model. But wait! It gets better if you include the 123,000 construction jobs 'estimated' to have been created since April 2008 (the total being 187,000 new jobs created in a market down oh, call it 45% from 2007 levels.
Reality Check: The Second Leg Down seems likely to get started somewhere between this fall and early 2010 because while it's complicated, sources with a good grip of the national picture say the real estate collapse is less than halfway done so far. More for subscribers this weekend, but what we've suffered through so far is only 30-40% - it's been mostly ALT-A and subprime. The primes haven't even been touched yet and there are bundles of them to deal with. Many of the originat8ing banks are "running the clock" on first mortgages held in mortgage backed securities so they can keep getting interest on their seconds which are more profitable. So no one has an incentive to flip primes into foreclosures until the 2nd's and HELOC cough up a bit, then all those expenses get tacked on the end and what was a 30-year loan becomes a 35-year loan and here comes a foreclosure wave!
Yuck. As in rhymes with...
Deal With China, Inc. Although some stories are reporting a conciliatory tone in public, but hard questions in private, the joint communiqué due out today from the China-Washington talks on the economy may be a mixed bag. Reason? The joint statement needs to make it sound tough to readers in the fixed income markets (bonds, treasuries and such) on the one hand, but like a status quo/no big deal to the equities markets (stocks and ETF's and such) on the other.
Done right, it should be most incomprehensible with enough breadth that anyone reading it will simply sigh and think "Oh, more of the same..." Neither side can afford a big ruckus right now. However, as China's middle class continues to grow, they can gradually firm up their stance and when China starts off-loading 'dollars' and we get repatriation of the trillions in notional values, then we're going to be facing inflation at undreamt of levels, seems to me.
Terrorism Bust Seven people in North Carolina are facing terrorist charges reports the Washington post in today's editions. Important point here: Yes, there are all kinds of concerns about invasions of privacy and loss of Constitutional rights, but we have to acknowledge when the tools work as they seem to have in this case...
Browser Advances This has taken long enough: Knew this would have to come along sometime but looks like Mozilla is the first group to propose it on their mockup page for Firefox 4.0. The idea is that in FF 4.0 you may be able to turn off the 'page name' at the top of the browser to pick up more vertical space, since a lot of laptops don't have enough vertical space to show a whole screen.
Why, next thing you know, browsers will figure out how to integrate into the bottom of your screen on a pop-up basis, just like Windows products do...or hide the menus entirely until you scroll to the left, right, or top margins from which they should pop-down (or pop-out from the sides). Finally, someone it getting it...so a "Right on!" to Mozilla. Now if they'd just take it to the next level since the address bar and such doesn't have to show all the time - just when you want it, right?... Am I the only guy old enough to remember SideKick back in the TSR days?
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Coping: With the Crooked Game of Debt and Other This week's Peoplenomics.com report (for subscribers only) certainly lays out how the banks can come out on top while still showing 'paper' losses which have resulted in a nearly never-ending stream of wailing from inside the Beltway.
But is this week's report wrong? Seems not. Evidenced by this letter from a subscriber:
So you'll pardon this morning's report being a bit of the short side. I'm tired of living in a land of rip-ff artists and crooked banksters. But, me (and probably you, too) with a great dilemma: What is the morally upright person to do?
Not sure, really, but about the time you're reading today's report, I will be sitting in a courtroom in Palestine, Texas carrying out one of my public responsibilities: Been called to jury duty.
With any luck at all, I'll get one picked for a jury to hear a case involving one of society's freeloaders & rip--off artists. More than likely? Unfortunately not. More likely: Some poor guy who made the mistake of harvesting some of those plants God spread around earth, but which challenge the Big Pharma and the Booze Lobby's stranglehold on Life's small pleasures. --- Government, you see, has managed to monetize & criminalize infractions like that because it sets up a huge employment machine - which is why America has the highest incarceration rates in the whole world. Better? From 1982 to 2006, spending on crime has gone up nearly 850% yet crime rates are not significantly impacted. Even after backing out 208% inflation, we're still spending four times as much on crime fighting yet what have we got to show for it? ---- Funny thing is (or not so funny, really) is it's like the asylum where the inmates have taken over: The people who are on the outside should be the people on the inside. There are many worlds to explore...many external, but no small number are between the ears. To get to those, plants, mushrooms, and the odd trip on an ayahuasca vacation doesn't seem like a crime, so long as others are not at risk. ---
You see, I'm aware of the "Fully Informed Jury Association" which,; if you take the time to read the "Juror's Handbook" on their site notes in part:
Damn. Knowing that, this is my opportunity to be more than an equal to the folks in Washington. A pleasant change because I know (as noted in the Juror's Handbook" that:
I think if I were a defense attorney, I'd be reading these two passages to any jury I appeared before on behalf of a defendant. Many some do, but I've never heard of it. Let alone most jurors. In fact, associate professor of law James Joseph Duane wrote an article in "Litigation" in 1996 with the giveaway headline: "Jury Nullification: The Top Secret Constitutional Right."
Today - if I get picked for a jury trial, I will have what Duane called in that article"...the power to judge the law as well as the evidence, and to vote on the verdict according to conscience."
More powerful than even a signing statement, don't you think?
No doubt this is part of my course work for the School of Life. Should be an interesting day. Think of me as a juror with a vengeance. Bring on a credit or default case, pleeze! More tomorrow, but I know Universe won't be that forthcoming...
Good Form Letter From a reader with the request to pass it on:
of course you're welcome to edit it to suit your personal writing style. Something catchy in the subject line too. I kinda like "HEY YOU FRIGGING CORPGOV SELLOUT - LISTEN UP!".
But as Mark Twain said: "Suppose you were an idiot and suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself. "
Nope, guess expecting them to read is more than we should expect. Obviously, they are not from states like Nebraska where reading and even thinking and reputedly taught in schools.
Email of the Day This popped in on Monday afternoon:
Yee gads! An error - bring on more Maxwell House. What's a river?
Switching topics deftly, I quickly reminded this fellow that such accolades could quickly drive a maniacal writer (like someone I know) to drive their prices up accordingly. Which, I advised him under cover of my green eyeshades, penciled out to an annual subscription price of $693 and change.
Not to worry though: Ideologically, I'm still one of those guys who likes to deliver unexpectedly more than what people expect. Or, in modern marketing parlance, I'm an idiot.
Monday July 27, 2009 Barnstorming Ben Federal (although it's not really, or we'd be able to audit it) Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was out 'taking it to the people' this weekend with an appearance in Kansas City. The Wall Street Journal headlining this morning that "Bernanke Feared a Second Great Depression" in the September/October period, which as you'll recall reached its zenith in the first week of October, as the predictive linguistics had forecast more than 10-months in advance.
Not exactly 'taking it to the streets' but taking it to Kansas is a start... --- This week, the market will have a fair bit of economic news to digest including the New Home Sales figures out later on this morning. A small rise of perhaps 10-thosuand uinits for the month is already baked into the market.
Tomorrow there's the consumer confidence report, the S&P/Case-Schiller housing price report and then Wednesday the durable goods orders come in to be followed a few hours later by the Fed's Beige Book. This monthly summary of 'action' in the different Fed Districts should really be recolored, if you ask me. The market is all about marketing right? I mean when you think about it, beige is a nondescript color. Why, if I were trying to turn on a little 'good cheer' in the markets, I'd announce it was being renamed The Green Book. Since the Fed Boss is trying to sound confident, I'll volunteer to buy him a can of spray-paint so he can personally do a stand-up with president O - doing the makeover as another presidential prime time grandstands. Think how many precious seconds of coverage that would generate. Where was I?...Oh....
Thursday looks like the do-nothing day since the only thing due out is weekly unemployment claims with an increase of 15-thosuand or so baked in current pricing. This would be the day to schedule your dental work, go for a drive, sneak out for a round of golf, go fishing, or whatever you really want to get done.
But, you'll want to look bright-eyed and bushy-tailed on Friday for two reasons. First, there's the Chicago Purchasing Manager's index, advance GDP figures, and the ever popular Personal Consumption and Expenditures report, which I have renamed the PIE report (personal income/expenditures) because linguistically 'consumption' doesn't infer expense, yet that's what the report is all about.
That said, the PCE (or here the PIE) report is always good for a laugh. That's because lately, the PIE report has been hinting that the Personal Savings Rate has been skyrocketing on the supposed grounds that people are 'pulling in their horns' and spending less, so they save more. Actually, the real reason that the personal savings rate is likely up is so many people have been foreclosed on that they actually can afford the larger blue tarps for the new family home under the overpass. It's just that concept hasn't surfaced yet, but if you look at PCE/PIE reports of soaring personal saving rates and then read the Fed reports on money in the banks, you'll have the makings of a new episode of "Missing.".
Oh, the other reason to show up Friday? That's the most common day to fire people, although whether it's the best day is debated in HR circles. Some suggest Monday, which I why I always made it a point to be early on Mondays...
State's Rights Rising The headline this morning out of Omaha articulates what a lot of Americans have been thinking here lately: "Nebraska Legislators seek to assert state sovereignty." Not that Nebraskans would try to secede from the Union, but being bright people (despite living in one of the 'square states'), they apparently still teach people how to read and think in Nebraska because they've figured out that the federal government is stepping way past what the Constitution says the feds oughta be involved in.
The story is worth reading because it demonstrates how 'hot' the emotional values are around this topic. As any student of history will attest, 'state's rights' was linked with the abolition of slavery in the US Civil War...and in today's debate about continuously rising federalism, that linkage of states rights with racism echoes again. A key quote from the article:
Still, supporters of the resolution are making the valid point that federal government has gone way beyond its boundaries.
Besides, there's a key difference between pre Civil War days and now: Today we're all slaves, deliberately shackled by debt that's nearly impossible to escape...by design of our Masters...the folks we call the PowersThatBe.
Like We Needed Reminding Sarah Palin has formally stepped down now, as governess of Alaska. On the way out, a few shots at the media, and also words of warning about Big Government. Yep...we'd noticed that Being in Big Government brings with it the....
Fleeting Fame Department The latest Obama daily tracking poll has hit a new low. I expect that his trying to Rahm through healthcare is one reason why. Speaking of...
Rail Time Indicators Have to give some kudos to the folks at the American Association of Railroads for their fine - what seems to be monthly - "Rail Time Indicators". If you want a good slapping when it comes to economic reality, bookmark their site - along with all the Port cargo reports I've been telling you about - and in no time at all, you'll be smarter than 99.999% of people inside Washington's Beltway. Here's one chart in particular that goes along with my occasionally gloomy outlook:
"But wait! Where are those 'green shoots' the Obama folks keep talking about?" you ask.
Sorry to say this, but they're on a siding somewhere out in the wilds of Arizona...lost in transit. But enough about roll-ons and roll-offs (that's an intermodal joke if you're not amped on coffee yet...) ...let's move right along to....
Roll-Ups and Roll-Outs Remember the good old days? Back when a 'roll-up' was something done by venture capitalists? And roll-outs were done by big auto and airplane makers? Well, the latest in roll-ups and roll-outs is the novel/swine flu testing program which is scheduled to hurriedly get underway in August.
Wonder how public the success (or failure) of the testing will be? Guess we'll get the answer to that one soon enough.
However, while we're waiting, Universe seems to have supplied us with all kinds of healthcare talk to keep up focused on our bodies instead of our withering wallets...
Corpgov's Limited Healthcare Plans Before I share the latest from this fellow I call simply 'the savvy investor', I have to say an assertion he made recently which went to the idea "If you want healthcare that works, look at the V.A...." A number of female G.I.'s wrote in from the sandbox and elsewhere asking me (variously) 'What are you on today?" to "Ure a moron!". Well, maybe that last wasn't exactly a question, but you get the idea.
Nevertheless, Mr. Savvy has a pretty good observation about healthcare again...
Damn, I hate it when people that are smarter than I am write in. But he's right: He who pays the piper calls the healthcare. Best government money can buy, once again; ditto, ibid, redux.
But don't give up hope for genuine healthcare reform...read on into today's...
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Coping: How to Change the World 101 Every so often, I get an email from my EMT son which makes me proud. Besides working on his ebook which I'll be publishing at some point (which has the working title "Living In a 'Hot Zone' - which recounts his adventures working an an EMT in the Seattle-County 'drunk tank', and recounting his personal battle with MRSA along with all the lessons about disease transmission which is directly applicable to the upcoming novel/swine flu outbreak this fall), he also sent a link to something called the Open ECG Project.
I don't think the Open ECG Project folks would mind my sharing some of what this is all about because it's just doggone interesting and tres cool:
You'll notice that I've also put a link up to the Open ECG Project on the UrbanSurvival.com daily update page, too.
Maybe this isn't the biggest tech story out there, or the biggest headline grabber in healthcare reform, especially since there's no ad revenue on the table and since 'reality shows' are such a rage now because they are cheap to produce and produce occasional flash-in-the-pan ratings bumps....
Still, it still makes me proud to be a human when I see something like a doctor in Croatia identify a problem (high cost ECG's), decide to do something about it (go open source), and then leverage technologies into a self-organizing collective to push Universe along toward a desirable, albeit nonfinancial outcome. That's worth noting.
All we need is another couple of million Dr. Ivor Kovics in a couple of hundred other vertical markets and we'll be all set to take on the future. Healthy, busy, productive, and best of all --- demonetized.
Death to Machines! Last week, I mentioned that I had been having a terrible week with machines. machines were biting me all over the place. My list of machines that had taken a fair bite out of either my time, wallet, or both, included my tractor - which won't be back together until sometime today, however on a visit to the shop on Friday, the mechanic doing surgery on the broken power take off shifter showed me the part which Kubota has since redesigned to make it thicker, which leads me to conclude that I'm not the only one who noticed the problem.
Then there was the new radiator for the Daewoo which came from UPS cracked and broken (the former Chrysler dealership did a fine work-around, however, so the 'Woo is back on the road. Lots of other small-to-large annoyances, too. But I'm not the only one who has been having trouble with machines the past couple of weeks. Readers chimed in, too. By the dozens width their examples like this one from a doc:
Not to have this turn entirely into "Medical Machines Monday" there were lots of other complaints about machinery breaking down last week like these...
This is just a sampling, but if you noticed that you had a difficult time with machines, it's small comfort, I know, but you're not alone.
Say, one reader sent this:
I replied to this reader that 1) the Kubota was made on an assembly line in Georgia - reportedly the same line as used by New Holland, or right next door to it. We have been trying to find a replacement for the Daewoo for a couple of years now, but Elaine hasn't found 'just the right' car or SUV yet. Besides, financing is still coming down and I've got Elaine focusing on Ford's product line now. Not only has a reader who works for Ford made some very constructive remarks - besides telling me it means "First On Race Day," not 'found on road dead' - and I still have enough of my wits about me to remember that Ford had the integrity to NOT step up to the federal trough and suck down our tax dollars. THAT is admirable and if E finds something she likes made by Ford, I'd certainly be inclined to buy it.
Congress has handed me the latest insult for buying a low carbon-footprint Daewoo in 2001: The car gets mileage too high to let me dump it as a high dollar trade-in since it gets 21 MPG combined. Damn it...punish the responsible guys again. Those of us early-adopters who bought high mileage cars got bonked by Washington ..which leads me to conclude Washington doesn't like early adopters, right?
The red car is a little different matter: As I explained to the reader "It's like going out with a flaxen-haired Scandinavian beauty...it was one of the things on my 'bucket list'..." which I'm proud to tell you I've made pretty substantial progress on...now 60-years into it. In fact, I ought to be mostly done with it in another 90-100 years, or so. --- Having a long bucket list makes it easy to get up, especially on rainy Monday mornings. There are still many things on the list that can be done rain or shine, hot or cold, rich or broke.
Remember this, if nothing else from today's column: Giving away smiles is free.
(Why am I certain someone, somewhere in government is working on a way to tax them, though?)
Before the chart, a little background: Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 9½ year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, I'm sure...
Write when you get rich,
George Ure, The People's Economist |
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