- Friday about 8 AM Central Time Except Holidays....many major
typos are fixed by 8:30 daily
October 3, 2009 13:10 PM CDT New
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Urgent Web Bot Update Ref:
following in from Clif at
www.halfpasthuman.com on Saturday - changes somewhat our
expectation for the way things will be working out both in
markets and in the defense world over the next month:
"Heads up! Reality Change Ahead!
in running our MOM (model of
modelspace) cleanup of the lexicon prior to tuning, it
became apparent that October 25 turn in emotions globally
will be dominated by a [lock down/implosion] of the
[planetary financial/banking system]. The data suggests that
such things a [currency trading] and [commodities trading]
as well as many other [digital trading forms] will be
[suspended]. Some will never resume, or if they do, they
will be in entirely different forms. There may be a [banking
lock up] in many countries emanating from the USofA outward.
There may be [inter bank lock downs] in which [central
banks] and [wealth storage clearing houses] will not be able
to function. There are data sets suggesting that the rapid
shift into building tension language on the 25th originates
from and is propelled by the [financial system implosion]
that then morphs over into [dollar rejected by all] a mere
10/ten days (more or less) later. There may be shut downs of
all kinds of banking activity within the USofA and the rest
of the anglosphere.
The [sudden/urgent travel] of
the [administration (obama et al) minions] in early
November, under this MOM background load shows up as being
about [desperately trying] to get the rest of the [planet]
to [loan] the actual [resources/wealth] to [restart] the
[USofA banking system].
This MOM data set can be wrong
in a way that the larger modelspace can not. The MOM set is
so small that if it is wrong it is usually widely so.
However, the data sets here are so focused, and bring in
such crisp emotional shifts relative to the same days
(10-25-2009), that it made sense to prepare this note.
If correct, this is the
beginning of "The Big One" relative to the dollar and the
central banking system. Everything else in the modern world
depends on this structure...so it will be a big one
throughout all of the social infrastructure.
If MOM is correct, then the
[dollar death] will be way more dramatic and waaaay shorter
than i had first thought. MOM is showing very dramatic
language shifts (albeit against a much smaller background)
for not only October 25, but also in a very sharp crocodile
tooth pattern from November 4 through December 10th
indicating a very very emotionally choppy time.
So, heads up! Reality shift
(time/event bump) just ahead. If MOM is correct, there will
be some additional levels of [visibility] on October 10th
through the 15th that will put a focus on the 'trigger' that
will show on October 25th and beyond.
Masa Katsu! Pie up now, panic
clif and cathy and igor.
The usual caveats here - doesn't
mean, for example that war between Iran and Israel won't
happen, it just means if it does (which is may anyway) it will
be so far down the food chain as to pale in terms of personal
If you didn't have anything else to
do this weekend, you might be pondering: "How could I survive -
and for how long - if there were market suspensions, hold-ups of
executions of electronic transactions and all the other things
other countries have gone through when faced with calamitous
financial events? Refer to any Argentinean or Icelander
who's been there... Sure means out earlier piece this
morning may be closer to the mark than comfortable....
Waiting for Black Monday
it will be this coming Monday - or maybe one after that - but
the forces which have been building as this 'bounce from the
first leg down' in the market continue to evolve, I can tell you
the absolute last place I'd have money today would be in
stocks. I spent part of Friday working on the subscriber
for this weekend and the Dow still appears to be higher - by a
factor of more than two - than competing investments. Lots
of myths and 'old sayings' from that period which will be
reviewed in Sunday's report. But most stem from common
sense - you can't live high on borrowed money forever - yet with
a continuing balance of payments deficit, a moronic mantra like
'strong dollar' and an increasing lag in manufacturing, the
American dream stands on the precipice of becoming the American
nightmare. Such is the stuff of economic tipping points.
Speaking of which, time for your Saturday morning count of banks
to go down:
10 branches, so just 3,726 branches have been reorg'ed
since IndyMac in May of last year. That's not so bad, is
good news - if there's any to be read if one takes off the
rose-colored glasses about this economy - is few and far
September payrolls dropped 263,000 jobs and given that the
cash for clunkers is over, auto sales tumbled and on and on goes
bummer headline after bummer headline.
want to read some fine 'whistling past the graveyard, click over
to the Wall Street Journal which reports the "IMF
Chief: Double-Dip not 'Key Scenario".
Yeah, right, you betcha, sport.
saying that this next week will bring a further market collapse
- the hype may keep things intact a while longer. But at
some point, global recognition of our 4.6¢
dollars (that's how much has been hollowed out in purchasing
power since 1913) will start to dawn on people who we've been
depending on to keep us living high on borrowed money.
Next week's Treasury auctions will
be closely watched,
since China is not expected to be stepping up. The g-7
finance leaders are meeting this weekend in Istanbul (Turkeys
may not be able to issue a joint statement. Could it
be that's because
the US if babbling about 'strong dollars' and other
participants know how to read a balance sheet?
abruptly closes all 152 retail stories and lays off all workers"
reports a Cleveland.com headline.
Wasn't it just last week I was
telling you to expect a swarm of small business closings about
October 1st as companies which had been counting on (bought
into) the 'recovery is just ahead pant load would be having to
file BK or reorg? Tell me about this '
recovery' again, wouldja...
Dig Out - Calif. Quake
4,000 people may still be buried in the rubble down in Indonesia,
we've had a sizeable earthquake swarming event in Central
Pacific Plate definitely active again...34
quakes just today alone and it's not even 7 AM as
I write this. I'd expect later on this weekend we
ought to be reading headlines like "Officials issue earthquake
watch..." kind of thing.
Weekend Get Aways
head of the International Atomic Energy Agency is in Iran this
weekend. No, not for the shopping. We'll be
keeping a fairly close eye on the fancy footwork around Iran's
nuclear program as we get closer to the real start of
global crisis weeks on October 25th plus or minus a couple of
days. Figure less than three weeks till Pepto Time.
Israel is keeping in practice using Gaza.
Blow Out, 1
'state of calamity' is what officials in the Philippines have
most recent hurricane (Parma's) arrival.
Blow Out, 2
Windy City got a thumbs down from the International Olympic
Committee. Going to Rio in 2016 instead of president
Obama's adopted town.
Ken Lewis, CEO of Bank of America to throw in the towel before
the end of the year, the Charlotte Business Journal is asking a
very interesting question:
Uncle Sam have any say on who his successor is? I
mean, since the Obama administration has Czars for this, that
and too many things else (very Roosevelt-like in this regard),
is there a Bank President Hiring Czar? And if not, why
Picking Up After Bernie
"4 Madoff Relative Sued by Liquidator" as the ripples of
that rip off continue.
Here Comes Healthcare
finance panel nearly done with its healthcare bill" which
means this is coming down the track with - or without - wide
open debate. The Oministration's plan is to shove it
through using the finance track so it's just a spending deal and
by the time it gets through, no one - especially members of the
public - will have had time to consider what's included in it,
and in turn give feedback to their so-called representatives.
as we learned from the too big to fail banksters, keeping the
public out of the loop is fine since everyone in Washington
turns a deaf ear to the public anyway when there's significant
money for corpgov issues on the table.
as a general flavor of things back in DC there's the matter
senator John Ensign's reported conduct. And then there's
representative Charlie Rangel who's under investigation. And
the recent dissecting of how the
Ted Stevens case was handled. I've been working on a
list of folks in Washington I wouldn't trust with a lunch tab,
let alone the fate of a Great Nation.
Bee As in Bayer
British film which is on our 'things to watch if we ever get
time list": Vanishing of the Bees lays much of
colony collapse disorder on
Bayer's neonicotinoids now banned in France but still used in
the US and UK. High crop yields or bees - helluva choice,
A Nobel Bra
understand correctly that an Ig
Nobel prize was just given for a designer bra that could be used
as a gas mask in case of an attack by loonies? Don't
know if the designers have thought this through but the prospect
of millions of women taking their underwear off seems like it
incents instead of prevents terrorism.
hear the bad pick-up lines already: "Mind if I borrow your
you've made it this far you might want to show up Monday morning
about 8 AM Central for our next titillating look under
Send your comments to
The UrbanSurvival Mall:
Peoplenomics This Week:
A number of readers have asked me (at various times
over the past six months) “I have X dollars in my in my Y account…what should I
do with them? This week we’ll start trying to get some ideas about where
the economy is going by considering the views of those very bright people who
work for the government (JASON
Defense Advisory Group) which we tripped over in our circuitous adventure to
the fringes of woo-woo areas last week. From there we will hit a number
of other government agencies and see what their vision of the future looks like.
(Hint: Screwier than yours or mine, which is not very comforting…).
Ultimately we’ll draw some conclusions about the Zero Delusion, that once
uniquely Zimbabwean monetary disease that
spreading faster than swine flu on a formerly healthy Navy ship. We
begin by developing....
More For Subscribers
My commodity broker JB Slear and I
have written a simple book to get you started on high density
hydroponics. It's an example of how someone with a little
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produce sin a very small space - like even an apartment balcony
(if it gets some sunlight). Sound interesting? It's
just $10 bucks here...
No, when you tell your browser to 'empty your cookies' of web
sites you've visited, it probably won't get them all. Why?
Because there is a whole class of 'browser-independent' cookies
that will gobble up space on your hard drive, but more important
is they will sneak out information about you without you
being aware of it. Ever week I get emails like
"Thanks again for the Maxa Tools recommendation, I never
knew how much additional garbage gets attached every time I
Test drive it free by downloading it. To upgrade to full
functionality will be $35 bucks. Is your privacy worth it?
Once you try it out, click the
upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35
unlock to get it to remove even those nasty and highly intrusive
'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer
may run faster. I've taken
37,970 41,837 cookies off my machine
now. It's just amazing. (I might ask their CTO to
add one more digit to the "Total deleted till now" window...)
Attn: Mac Drivers: MCM
does support the Safari Browser, but that does not mean it is
compatible with Mac OS. Maxa-Tools only support the Windows
world....so far. Given Jens and the other engineers
to be a thorn in the side of the Old World Order? Simply
and send a link to this site to everyone on your distro
list...Nothing more dangerous than sharp, clear-thinking
upstarts who ask a lot of questions, eh? Unless you
believe WTC-7 fell over on its own, of course....
"Live on $10,000" Updated
I've told you in the past
to order my ebook "How to Live on $10,000 a year or less..."
with the rationale that "We're all going to live it
shortly, anyway." Don't know as you have looked
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whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of
how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up
the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left...
Click here for the index and details.
week's report is here. For
back issues of this site, click here. (Goes back to
October 2, 2009
How Far Is Down?
Monday coming next week? OK, so the market dropped 203
points on Thursday and markets around the world got a little
Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, yada, yada, yada were down 2%
or more but by the time
got going in Europe the Great Spin Machines had started to
crank up so losses were generally a bit more than 1½%
- a little less than what Asia lost.
reason for optimism is the
the buzz about factory orders is on the positive side.
And then there's the 800-pound gorilla today - this morning's
jobless report, which we'll get to in a moment, but let's just
note in passing the futures are down...
items are at the front of the line: my own digital cocktail
napkin sketch of the range of where I expect the markets to go
using a different kind of chart I've been tinkering with lately
- the 'expectation range' chart....
funny green lines are my 'expectation range' and no, this is NOT
TRADING ADVICE - but the green lines ought to give you an idea
of where I would be placing bets if I were stepping up to the
window in Las Vegas and putting down some long green on the
range of future possibilities.
picture: Down to test the 6627 March low, then a healthy bounce,
then we take out that low and head for a new low of Dow 4,400
(best case) to Dow 2,700 (medium to bad case).
can see, my outlook doesn't have a happy ending unless you own a
lot of put options like...well, you don't think I do this
totally for fun, do you? But then again, it does
synch up with the latest note from Robin Landry (
) in a note to his colleagues in the investment community:
"Well it looks like the market has finally topped and the
decline to new lows has started. While there is a small
chance for one more rally to a slight new high over the next
few days, the market action today's reduces that chance to
less than 20%. (IMHO) The weekly chart I attached to the
last Market Update shows the larger degree decline
consisting of 5 waves down into the March '09 low to
complete wave (1) and a 3 wave (A,B,C) rally to the recent
high to complete wave (2). I believe we are now in the early
stages of wave (3) to new lows. The first wave 1 of (3 )
down will form 5 smaller degree waves and test the March
low, followed by a nice rally where the talking heads will
declare it has been a successful test of the low and we are
off to a new Bull market. That will be wave 2 of (3).
Once the market turns back down it will be in 3 of (3) and
the decline should be worse in terms of Advances vs.
Declines, volume, and points lost as the March low is broken
and the "point of recognition " is reached. A possible
target is around the 2700 area which was the wave (1) high
in 1987 before the sharp wave (2) decline, which included
the 508 point decline on Black Monday. I will be posting
updates with the applicable targets as the decline
progresses. I have attached a chart with the short term
count which makes me believe the turn has occurred, along
with the alternate count, which allows for one last rally to
slight new highs as mentioned above. Those of you who
ignored my warnings over the last 2 plus years and suffered
the decline in wave (1) hopefully will listen this time and
take appropriate action. If it turns out my count is wrong,
it will be a small price to pay. (missing the first 10% or
so of a rally) If I am right, you risk losing the rest of
your retirement, your career, and likely incurring legal
troubles as everyone looks to blame someone else for their
the employment report isn't going to help...
9.8% (Yeah, right...)
is a biggy - you might want a brownie or a double cognac to go
with this one:
"Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in
September (-263,000), and the unemployment rate (9.8
percent) continued to trend up, the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics reported today. The largest job losses were in
construction, manufacturing, retail trade, and government.
Household Survey Data
Since the start of the recession
in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has
increased by 7.6 million to 15.1 million, and the
unemployment rate has doubled to 9.8 percent. (See table
Unemployment rates for the major
worker groups--adult men (10.3 percent), adult women (7.8
percent), teenagers (25.9 percent), whites (9.0 percent),
blacks (15.4 percent), and Hispanics (12.7 percent)--showed
little change in September. The unemployment rate for Asians
was 7.4 percent, not season- ally adjusted. The rates for
all major worker groups are much higher than at the start of
the recession. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)
Among the unemployed, the number
of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs rose
by 603,000 to 10.4 million in September. The number of
long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over)
rose by 450,000 to 5.4 million. In September, 35.6 percent
of unemployed persons were job- less for 27 weeks or more.
(See tables A-8 and A-9.)
The civilian labor force
participation rate declined by 0.3 percentage point in
September to 65.2 percent. The employment-population ratio,
at 58.8 per- cent, also declined over the month and has
decreased by 3.9 percentage points since the recession began
in December 2007. (See table A-1.)
In September, the number of
persons working part time for economic reasons (sometimes
referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was little
changed at 9.2 million. The number of such workers rose
sharply throughout most of the fall and winter but has been
little changed since March. (See table A-5.)
About 2.2 million persons were
marginally attached to the labor force in September, an
increase of 615,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not
sea- sonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the
labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had
looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were
not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for
work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. (See table A-13.)
Among the marginally attached,
there were 706,000 discouraged workers in September, up by
239,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally
adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently
looking for work because they believe no jobs are available
for them. The other 1.5 million persons marginally attached
to the labor force in September had not searched for work in
the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school
attendance or family responsibilities.
Establishment Survey Data
Total nonfarm payroll employment
declined by 263,000 in September. From May through
September, job losses averaged 307,000 per month, compared
with los- ses averaging 645,000 per month from November 2008
to April. Since the start of the recession in December 2007,
payroll employment has fallen by 7.2 mil- lion.
the labor force shrank 551,000 last month?
Looking at the CES Birth Death Model we find 'statistically
estimate job creation for the month was only 34-thousand,
of which 20-thousand
new jobs were in trade, transportation and utilities, which
is pressing credibility a bit - but we'll get to the slow times
on the railroads story in a minute. Let's press on here
for a sec.
total number of un and underemployed was down 0.4% to
just 16.1% - although remember this doesn't reflect
people who have been wiped from the jobless rolls through
statistical sleight of hand. Out of benefits? You
may not count now...
the statistics themselves are a 'biggy' the underlying (with the
emphasis on the latter syllable) question is "How believable is
what I call me "Personal Unemployment number" the rate is
actually improving. Daughter Allison is a grocery checker
now (while paying back college loans from when she learned
- against Dad's advice - how to be a fine chef but care to guess
what has happened in high-end cheffing/cooking lately? Just this
morning, Daughter Denise called to announce that she's got a job
starting on the 16th working for the Washington State Employment
Security Department - not too sure how happy I am with that, but
beats calling the National Bank of Dad, right?
where did that half-million that disappeared from the workforce
Not Just Port Traffic -
Rail's Are Down, Too
mentioned a couple of weeks back how container port traffic is
down - and how that was a pretty good indicator that green
shoots is largely hot air. So here's your confirming
indicator - the latest from the American Association of
"WASHINGTON, D.C., Oct. 1, 2009 —
The Association of American Railroads today reported 271,659
carloads for the week ending Sept. 26, 2009, down 17.1
percent compared with the same week in 2008. The traffic
numbers were affected by severe flooding in Tennessee and
Georgia which halted freight shipments in those areas from
Sept. 21-23. Flooding also impacted the western freight
carriers who operate through Atlanta. At this time, freight
rail operations have returned to normal. Regionally,
carloadings were down 15.5 percent in the West and 19.3
percent in the East.
Intermodal traffic of 205,627
trailers or containers on U.S. railroads was down 16.5
percent from the same week last year. Container volume fell
11 percent and trailer volume dropped 37.2 percent.
All of the 19 carload freight
commodity groups were down from last year with declines
ranging from 6 percent for chemicals to 38.5 percent for
metals and products.
For the first 38 weeks of 2009,
U.S. railroads reported cumulative volume of 10,104,171
carloads, down 18.2 percent from 2008; 7,141,006 trailers or
containers, down 16.8 percent, and total volume of an
estimated 1.08 trillion ton-miles, down 17.3 percent. Total
volume on U.S. railroads for the week ending September 26
was estimated at 28.8 billion ton-miles, off 17.2 percent
from the same week last year.
Canadian railroads reported
volume of 69,342 cars for the week, down 15.1 percent from
last year, and 44,838 trailers or containers, down 13.8
percent. For the first 38 weeks of 2009, Canadian railroads
reported cumulative volume of 2,304,419 carloads, down 22.6
percent from last year, and 1,545,090 trailers or
containers, down 16.3 percent.
Mexican railroads reported
originated volume of 11,782 cars, down 8.9 percent from the
same week last year, and 6,636 trailers or containers, down
13.9 percent. Cumulative volume on Mexican railroads for the
first 38 weeks of 2009 was reported as 432,036 carloads,
down 14 percent from last year; and 195,933 trailers or
containers, down 18.9 percent.
Combined North American rail
volume for the first 38 weeks of 2009 on 13 reporting U.S.,
Canadian and Mexican railroads totaled 12,840,626 carloads,
down 18.9 percent from last year, and 8,882,029 trailers and
containers, down 16.8 percent from last year.
worry - good times are just ahead, eh?
Bank Disaster Rolls On
report that "Banks
with 20% Unpaid Loans at 18-Year High Amid Recovery Doubts"
is...how would you say this? Not very surprising maybe?
Speaking of Banking...
glitch angers millions of TD Bank customers". Ooops.
Say It Again, Tim
"Strong dollar "Very Important": Geithner." So are
Easter Eggs and Unicorns. Look: the US dollar is down to 4.6¢
of purchasing power compared with where it was in 1913 when the
Fed coup seized the money creation power that the Founders had
wisely placed with Congress and Geithner wants it to do what
now, reversing a nearly 100-year trend? Might as well be
asking the tide not to come in.
US will be giving up some of its power over the Internet,
although it's not clear in the report what impact this will have
on the monitoring and surveillance operations.
US Break Up
the story from some months back where a Russian professor (KGB
background too, if I recall right) is
still predicting the US will break up into 6-regions which will
be beholding to Europe, Asia, Mexico and so forth, depending
on where you happen to live. While he says it will happen
in 2010, I'll just keep paying my quarterly taxes, since I don't
think such a simplistic view will ever come to pass.
Likely to be much messier than that...
snip and save sectioni ---
Ponce De Leon & the DNA Trail
There's a fine
story out today about how mice life expectancies can be
seriously extended by tweaking their DNA just so to mimic
restricted caloric intake. Of course, people with
33-cents worth of will power could extend their own lives by
simply eating a lot less, losing weight and doing a little
exercise, but where's the profit to be made in that? Nope,
gotta be something that can be packaged and sold - that's just
how Western Medicine works these days: pill 'em & thrill 'em for
the most part.
problem with life-extension technologies is that is causes
huge problems for the economy. For one thing, people
over 65 still eat, drive cars in many cases, and use utilities.
So, the question is, how many people can an economy support that
are not working at goods producing - or services
producing - jobs?
won't bore you with a rehash of the
Club of Rome
Report on population "Limits to Growth" which came out back
in 1972, but it seems to have become a touchstone of the
illuminati types who seem determined to either make piles of
money on living humans, or reduce the number of humans to just
the bare number necessary to allow them to have someone to boss
around and extract tribute from. Most place that number
down around 500-million globally which means the number of
excess eaters is up around 6.5 billion or so.
that this kind of quiet agenda should influence your decision on
whether you get a flu shot to which things like mercury-based
preservatives are being added, but...
article in the NY Times this morning under the headline "Swine
Flu Spreading Widely, Worry Over Pregnant Women" is worth
reading,. especially when you hook it up with the report that
28 pregnant women have died of swine flu...the scariness of
it seems oddly coincidental to reports
flu vaccine is now shipping.
word on how a flu shot will impact the unborn, although a story
Exposure to 1918 Flu Raised Heart Risks, Study Finds"
certainly raises a lot of questions, doesn't it?
end the relationship between flu, caloric intake of mice, and
the number of dead people by a given age is one of those
statistically interesting, but personally pointless areas of
study. Restricting calorie intake makes sense (it's
cheaper) and people who restrict calorie intake live longer.
But if you do that, then economics catches up with you and makes
you broke, or near enough to it!
comforting conclusion is that if you're overweight a fair bit,
then you shouldn't need to work as hard (and maybe as long)
since you won't be around as long so you won't need as big a
Hmmm...I suppose that's why Ponce De Leon was looking for both
gold and the Fountain of Youth.
more I think about this, the more I'm forced to the realization
that economics is not the 'dismal science' - actuarial studies
is the really grim one.
Apes descend from US" is the headline in The Star this
morning. Doesn't seem hardly possible. For one
thing, they don't speak, hold elections, run around killing one
another in wars like we do. How could they possibly have
evolved from us?
27+ MPG Airplane
light sport aircraft is coming from
Sirius: 100 HP Rotax power plant, high winger. The
$131K airplane has a collision avoidance system and recovery
parachute and - the part I'm impressed with: At 116 knots
cruise and 5 gallons per hour it pencils out to 27.46 MPG and no
dodging the stater's radars on the ground. This is
cool. So is the
rate of climb and the 58 db cabin noise level.
number of astronomers responded to yesterday's question with a
"This guy has got to be kidding..." Nice to hear - and
thank you. I can sleep better now, safe and sound in the
comforting knowledge that our end will be at our own hands, not
some random rock floating by. Gee, how comforting.
reminds me - you saw where an
11-year old led
cops on a 100 MPH chase?
October 1, 2009
Who to Believe
we are, on the opening day of what is often one of the worst
months in the stock market - and yet the future direction of
things isn't quite clear to many people. The reason is
simple: The headlines are contradictory and confusing - even to
seems like only a couple of days ago that the IMF was warning
that things were bad yet this morning there's a story
about that the
IMF now thinks the world economy is recovering faster
than expected. Confused? Yes, this is the same
IMF that was just calling for overhaul of the world's financial
system, so what gives?
sure, the S&P/Cash-Schiller Housing report was up a tad in the
past few days, but it's still down 30% from its peak values of a
couple of years ago, and then there's the little matter of
Ukraine's state energy company announcing today that it will be
defaulting on bonds.
are still having their troubles - yet while the Street has been
busting Citigroup's chops (in terms of stock price) lately, the
just inked a sale of its Nikko Cordial Japanese stock brokerage
unit to Sumitomo-Mitsui for $8.7 billion which should not
only keep a few wolves away from the door, but kill some that
were even thinking Citi was going to go down.
wouldn't take a Citi-sized outfit to run the financial Wells dry
- the FDIC is just about out of cash - so much so that they're
asking banks to come up with three-years of premiums -
which Bloomberg says may come to $10-billion and that's for
a handful of Big Banks.
back of a napkin, if you sketch out the flow of funds, it looks
suspiciously circular: The FDIC gets money from big
banks, pours it into little banks, some of which are married off
to bigger banks, which in turn borrow money for next to nothing
from the Fed which in turn...you got the picture?
raked over the coals which I mention that what's going on in
American finance looks suspiciously like a game of three-card
Monte, "Which walnut shell is the pea under?" - but when
circular relationships are set up and it looks like
three-card Monte, why not just call it that so everyone gets on
the same page?
fact of the matter is that the Federal Reserve, in concert with
government agencies have a vested interest in preventing
systemic meltdown - something that should be painfully
obvious: If there's a meltdown, government would have less
(or no) money to spend and that would mean smaller
wake of the 1987 mini-collapse (which in retrospect was a
worrisome hiccup) the government set up something called the
President's Working Group on Markets - which some financial
writers (like me) refer to as the Plunge Protection Team.
hasn't gotten too much attention lately - although I expect it
will in coming months when the stuff hits the fan - but what the
Plunge folks seem to be worried about here lately is how to
prevent not only an American meltdown, but how to keep
the whole interlinked Global economic system from
Evidence? Sure - yesterday's comments by Fed Governor
Daniel Tarullo before the House Banking Committee's subcommittee
on Security and International Trade & Finance where he gives a
little insight into what the Plunge Protection Team's up to:
They're trying to sort out what to do since the central bankers
don't sit directly on the G-20, which in turn is maneuvering ,to
obsolete the UN and take over global governance before a bunch
of those unruly Third Worlders start exercising clout.
President's Working Group on Financial Markets is the
primary forum in which regulatory issues are discussed among
the principals of the U.S. financial regulatory agencies.
These discussions often cover the same issues being
discussed in international groups. We strive to maintain a
degree of intellectual rigor and collegiality in these
discussions where consensus is again the norm, despite the
sometimes different perspectives of the various agencies. In
the past, there were some notable instances of significant
disagreement among the U.S. agencies, but my observation
since being appointed to the Federal Reserve is that the
coordination process is working quite well. Indeed, it can
sometimes be an advantage to have multiple U.S. agencies
involved in international processes because of the
complementary expertise we each bring to bear. In addition,
at the international level, having multiple U.S. agencies at
the table provides an appropriate counterweight to our
European counterparts, who for historical reasons are
usually overrepresented in international groups relative to
their weight in the global financial system.
Like other central banks, the
Federal Reserve did not participate in the G-20 summit,
which is attended by heads of state and finance ministers.
However, we are involved in a significant part of the
relevant preparatory and follow-up work, both through the
FSB and in joint meetings of the G-20 finance ministers and
central banks.6 In preparation for the Pittsburgh summit, as
well as for the previous G-20 summits in London and
Washington, the Federal Reserve has also collaborated with
other U.S. financial regulatory agencies in considering the
financial regulatory issues on the agendas for these
So, you can see why this is all
starting to feel a lot like a super-sized game of chess where we
have the poor countries (those stuck in the UN who are not
represented in the G-20) being slowly worked around to a
position of reduced power while the G-20 comes to an internal
divvying up of the globe - which is the process underway now, if
I've got it right. Look for the G-20 to appoint its own
global president, in effect.
Which is my the Plunge Protection
Team is busily holding its collegial meetings - gaming out how
the US interests will fare - which in an unrigged casino would
not be very well, since the G-20 Boyz have been playing with
House Money (leverage and printing up whatever they need) -
which is how the industrialized nations can go into a
country and using nothing more than paper, abscond with the
national and natural resources of defenseless countries that
don't get the picture that they're being drawn and quartered at
the pleasure of the industrialized countries. John Perkins
lays some of it out in
Confessions of an Economic Hit Man
or while you're at it, Steven Hiatt's (as editor)
A Game as Old as Empire: The Secret World of Economic Hit Men
and the Web of Global Corruption,
but you probably know all this stuff, right?
Kind of like Colonialism 3.0.
Except that unlike the Spanish invading South America and
stealing their gold and jewels, instead G-20 gangsters go in
with something far more dangerous (paper and zeroes) and steal
natural resources from indigenous peoples, got it? We get
oil, and we'll build an...er...ice skating arena...and other
Not that this is all bad per
se, since I like consuming those resources, too and if that
means a little overtime for the PPT, well, then so be it.
Except for the one little problem: It's a crooked game and
it's bound to have karmic repercussions.
Sort of like those flash trading
platforms that were front-running the market. Were those
illegal? Well, maybe if they had been front-running
individual transactions, maybe. But front-running the
whole market? Oh, that's different.
The new Global Anticipation Europe
Bulletin has a dandy article along the same lines "Strategic
advices and recommendations: 1/ Which indicators to trust in
this crisis? "
Actually, the answer is simple:
The only two indicators that matter to most folks are 1) "Do you
have a job?" And, 2), "Do you have any money in the bank to keep
the wolves from the door?"
Beyond that at some level you might
want to ask yourself "Who you gonna believe?"
Ah...here comes a contestant
now...from behind curtain number three would you please
Personal Income (and Other
sure, your job is uncertain (and more layoffs are coming, so the
concern is justified) and oh yeah, the market rally is getting
long in the tooth and there's a growing number of reasons to be
concerned that the first world is about to enslave the third
world through yet more paperwork (maybe Robert Mugabe in
Zimbabwe is right...) but what about the continuing upward drift
of personal incomes?
income increased $19.3 billion, or 0.2 percent, and
disposable personal income (DPI) increased $15.5 billion, or
0.1 percent, in August, according to the Bureau of Economic
Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased
$129.6 billion, or 1.3 percent. In July, personal income
increased $19.4 billion, or 0.2 percent, DPI decreased $2.0
billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and PCE increased $25.2
billion, or 0.3 percent, based on revised estimates.
Real disposable income decreased
0.2 percent in August, compared with a decrease of 0.1
percent in July. Real PCE increased 0.9 percent, compared
with an increase of 0.2 percent.
Personal outlays -- PCE,
personal interest payments, and personal current transfer
payments -- increased $127.3 billion in August, compared
with an increase of $22.9 billion in July. PCE increased
$129.6 billion, compared with an increase of $25.2 billion.
Personal saving -- DPI less
personal outlays -- was $324.1 billion in August, compared
with $436.0 billion in July. Personal saving as a percentage
of disposable personal income was 3.0 percent in August,
compared with 4.0 percent in July.
"personal savings was 3% in August" is a miracle in creative
accounting, best I can figure.
Unemployment is up more than expected for the week and the
futures were drifting down when I checked.
by tomorrow morning for the unemployment numbers. We
always find that good for a few smiles, since the fictionally
created CES Birth/Death numbers (which hypothecate jobs created
in the construction industry, just for example) is at least as
entertaining to the financially aware as those song and dance
contests on teevee, unless you're really into eating cake at the
commercial bread and circuses offered as distractions.
reader, watching the employment picture closely, sends this:
"Recently I read an article that claims, on a net basis, not
one private sector job has been created in the US in the
last 10 years. Can't find the article again but would be
very interested to know if the claim is true.
There would be some problems w/
defining a public vs. private sector job. For example, is a
hospital worker who is paid mostly w/ Medicaid funds
employed by the public or private sector?
In any case, the data would be
most interesting as reduced unemployment caused by public
sector hiring (beyond necessary levels) is not sustainable.
Ah! That used to be the
case. But (repeat after me) "It's different this
time!" Reread above discussion of three-card Monte again
until this sinks in.
Bread and Circuses
what better point to bring up the latest distraction from the
healthcare worker revolt against flu shots, the loaded markets,
and sliding American quality of life, than here to talk about
the 2016 Olympics!
Quick: run and hide!
6 Anti-Olympic protesters charged with Mob Action in
Chicago. Last time I checked, 6 people was a little on the
small side of 'mob' but then again, not everyone is old enough
to remember the
'68 Democratic Convention in Chicago.
people set fire, arrest them for arson, but mob action
has always seemed a little loosey-goosey to me - comes close to
colliding with freedom of speech (which doesn't include setting
fires) and freedom to peaceably assemble (which doesn't include
mention that to the city mothers in Philadelphia too -
speaking of which anyone ever find out what happened to those
protesters that were singled out there and hauled off in
youth's killing 'heinous': White House" is out, I suppose
the economic forces in favor of Olympics in the Windy City will
ramp up, but
regular folks seem about evenly split by one poll.
China Turns 60
Big parades and Mao jackets the order of the day in China.
I suppose they have reason to celebrate, since they have
effectively beaten the US into submission by simply selling us
so much stuff that we're now more hooked on Chinese
manufacturing than a junkie hooked on smack. America's
leadership, by offshoring industry has effectively sold us down
the river into the waiting arms of globalists who are exploiting
cheap labor where? Hint: A large country that is
celebrating it's 60th's anniversary of the revolution.
much money to be exploited from a sustainable culture, though,
is there? No mega yachts, corporate jets, casinos, fast
living and bling bling....
a simple way to sum up
the West-Iran nuclear talks getting underway in Geneva?
One word: stalling.
snip and save section ---
Some Quake Follow-Up
Yesterday's report on the apparent increase in the number of
historic quakes got several emails - one of which was from a
reader that suggested my data was bad, since I took it from the
USGS site page which listed historic earthquakes - not
reader then went on to argue that the number of 7.0 quakes has
been roughly similar. On the other hand, as I explained in
a study I did earlier this year for Peoplenomics subscribers,
whether there's an increase in quakes depends on where you draw
your data cutoffs. For example, if you draw it at 7.0
quakes, the data may look flat; a cut of the data at 6.5 may
show an increase, another cut at 6.0 may show the increase yet
by the time you get down to 4.8 the quake variances may
disappear into the data.
reader/researcher in Peru sent this:
"Hi there George.
Searched on USGS for 6.0+
earthquakes data and confirmed your conclusions: for the
period 1970-2001 the average of 6.0+ earthquakes in the
world was 4; for the period 2002-2009 it climbed to 31+ per
This year is far behind the
average (only 14 6.0+ in nine months). Freaking... four of
the fourteen occurred in the last week. Yeah, the year is
not over... but to reach last year's 35 events, we should
expect seven 6.0+ per month (one each 4 days).
Greetings from Peru.
don't make this stuff up - I'm a data-driven human....
predictive linguistics - which have been saying of quakes from
this summer on are basically too many to bother counting - point
to more ahead (building again in 2010) like this year. And
the death toll is still climbing from the 7.6 in Indonesia
yesterday. We're waiting to hear from our correspondent
there's the little matter of
cosmic rays being at their highest in half a century according
to NASA. Hmmmm we might ponder whether there's a
connection here, the gamma ray bursts also seem coincidentally
there's anything to the 'plasma core model' of the world it
might be the place where a lot of incoming energy is turned
into matter' and that would expand the earth which would in
turn cause what? Earthquakes maybe?
Calling All Astronomers
related to Earthquakes (perhaps?) is this email from a reader -
see the object description in space and see if you can see
anything out there...
"I've been a near daily reader
of Urban Survival for about a year. I appreciate your work
I'm still not 100% sold on
predictive linguistics, as I'm a natural born skeptic, but
I'm sold enough to pay careful attention.
Regarding your global coastal
event prediction, I may have a natural cause for such an
event sometime between mid February and mid July 2010, but I
hope like hell I'm wrong.
Do you know any decent (and
trusted) astronomers, whether amateur or pro? I'd like to
get a current bead on the progress of an object. I have
parameters and position as of last year. Please don't put
this out to the public yet. If it checks out, I'll give you
more info regarding potential implications, etc. To say the
least, this may be very time sensitive.
These measurements were taken by
another amateur (but experienced) astronomer. I don't have
any reason to believe that he's being untruthful and my gut
tells me he's honest based on my interaction with him, but
you never know. And with something like this, you have to
double and triple check it because appropriate preps would
Here's what I have on the object
(you should be able to view it this time of year in southern
locations in the U.S. like Texas and Florida):
Verified at 9:22pm
(05/11/08 the coords were RA 22h37m35.92s Dec -61degrees
28'40.07") - was verified in Florida.
According to the refraction of
the sunlight at the time and it's distance as calculated by
it's luminosity and verifying it using what's called the
parallax method, a year ago it was about 0.11 light years
Roughly 1/32 the speed of light
(may be faster now as it approaches our sun).
43% Earth's mass (.43E).
Luminosity not constant, meaning
it was rotating quickly. The spectrum went from .01 lumens
to 1.3 over a six hour period.
Orbit is oblong, minus 80
degrees on the solar axis. Here is the solar system...
This is if you were looking at
our solar system from the level edge. The (0) is the sun and
the --- is the orbit plane. Above the solar system is known
as the positive axis. Below it is the negative axis. -80
degrees would be coming in from this direction, bottom
The turning point would be here
to sling along the sun and back through the bottom again,
sorta like here.
Now mars (M) and Earth will be
Crude way to show this and
really not accurate, but you should get the gist.
Please don't wait to verify
object before you respond. I'd love to know that you're on
it even before you get verification, if at all possible.
Hmmm...while this sounds like another Niburu / Planet X kind of
report, nevertheless, if you are an astronomer and have any
current imagery of that part of the sky and want to share it
with us, please feel free to send it along. Not sure an
amateur astronomer would be able to pick off things like
rotation from .11 light years out on a .43E object, but I'll
leave that to experts to discuss.
I won't get worked up over it yet (think back to
Apophis scare in late 2004!) it's nevertheless worth keeping
an eye out for it.
information curiously showed up in a forum on 8/18/2009 and was
resent to my inbox this week -
the posting on the forum is here.
Readers Writes: Who's
many people are really conscious and spiritually awake? Is
15% the right number, or is it less?
I've read the shape reports and
your missives concerning the 15% self-selecting "special
people." This got me curious. If 15% of the people believe
they're special, how many people are actually awake? People
likely to read Urban Survival or Peoplenomics and get it.
Kinda tough to figure out. I
decided on a very unscientific method. I googled the 2008
presidential primary election results nationwide and
averaged out how many votes Ron Paul got in the primaries.
8.4% of the 2008 primary
election voters chose Ron Paul. So much for the informed
electorate envisioned by our forefathers. The PTB must sleep
well at night counting all the sheep, 91.6% of the voters to
be exact. Baa Baaa Baaaa."
a good one:
"For what it's worth, I have a method of quickly imaging
size when the value is presented in gauge. It has been most
useful to me. So here it is.
Gauge may be imaged as a
fraction of an inch. So a 20 gauge is about 1/20 of an inch.
12 gauge close to 1/12 of an inch. For practical purposes
the method is a close approximations. The best result is
that the method provides a quick and easy way to immediately
estimate the diameter of gauge.
This was taught to me many years
ago. So I don't take credit for it. There's probably some
historical basis for it. I don't really care. It just works.
While I'm making this effort,
there was another topic on batteries that I wanted to bring
to your attention. Maybe a month or so ago (which means
longer) you raise the concern of understanding of how you're
only going to get so many recharges out of lead acid
batteries. Talking about 12 volt lead acid batteries.
I suspected that you were not
familiar with the pulse charging method of charging lead
acids. Well I've done much research and experimentation.
With the capacitive battery charging technology of George
Weisman, I have salvaged dead batteries back to near brand
new condition. Further tweaking the recharge cycle using
John Bedini technology has made batteries function like
Cool on the gauge part...but Warning
Warning Warning on capacitive battery chargers! The way
they work is simple: Instead of using a transformer
to convert 110V down to 12 volts for charging, these devices are
based on connecting a capacitor directly to one side of
the A.C. line. This is DANGEROUS AS HELL. MY
ADVICE IS DON'T DO IT. Capacitors leak, capacitors
break down, and the amount of current that it takes to stop a
human heart is on the order of just five milliamps.
interesting clarification from yesterday's column - I've
added some highlighting of what seems important to me:
PLEASE NOTE YOU CAN NOT DRINK
WHILE YOU CONCEAL CARRY IN A BAR IN ARIZONA, AS YOU WRONGLY
REPORTED -- NRA-ILA is pleased to announce that
three new pro-gun laws officially go into effect in today in
Arizona. The employee protection/parking lot law requires
employers to allow the lawful storage of firearm(s) in
employees’ locked motor vehicles while they are at work.
Employers are not allowed to ban the storage of firearms in
vehicles unless they offer an alternate location to park
immediately adjacent to the standard parking area.
Also effective today,
concealed carry permit holders can carry a concealed firearm
for self-defense while in an establishment that serves on
site alcoholic beverages as long as they are not consuming
alcohol. A restaurant or bar can ban possession by posting a
sign next to the liquor license. It is important to
note that posting the sign at the entrance of an
establishment is not sufficient and one is legally protected
to enter the premises and see if the sign is posted in the
proper place next to the liquor license. If it is not, the
establishment is not in compliance with the law and you may
remain inside even if a sign is posted at the entrance. It
is important for gun owners to politely let restaurant
owners know you prefer to patronize those restaurants who do
not post their premises.
a new law allows for
a concealed carry permit holder to “display” their weapon to
de-escalate what would otherwise be a violent altercation.
It has been designed to stop problems in the past
where the passive display of a firearm was considered
brandishing and not a means of self defense. It will prevent
law abiding citizens from violating the law when lethal
force is not required to prevent a violent incident. It is
important to note that this law does not allow for you to
remove your handgun from its holster to intimidate another
individual or gain leverage on a situation. Thank you to all
of the NRA members who answered the call to act during the
legislative session. Without you, these victories would not
have been possible.
Ah...with more details from the NRA
what's going on in AZ makes a lot more sense now...especially
the part about "as long as they are not consuming alcohol.
'Preciate the clarification.
Wednesday September 30, 2009
A Serious Quake Question
Normally, this site is focused on that obscure backwater of
socioeconomics called "Long Wave Economics". The whole
premise is simple as phi: Are there long term drivers
which determine the course of the economy? You know -
things like the extension of lifespans in the past 100-years or
so, the "new game" of constantly depreciating the purchasing
power of money through inflation which has logical limits, and
even 'out there' forces like sunspot cycles, which seem to
coincide with a roughly 11-year cycle in things like certain
market segments and California real estate.
every once in a while along comes a story which screams "Pay
attention weak humans! Ma Nature's got one here you ought
to be thinking about!" And that's what the 8.0 earthquake down
in the vicinity of American Samoa on Tuesday (our time) brings
start with the basics, which unless you really have no
perception of life beyond Facebook and MySpace, can be found at
sites like the Wall Street Journal's which headline "Tsunami
Wipes Out Villages in South Pacific". While other
coverage like the UK Telegraph piece "Samoa earthquake: a
history of tsunamis" provide good historical contexting, there's
another story if you look at one of the USGS pages that lists "historic
worldwide earthquakes". What I've done is taken the
data just from 1900 and I've added it up in terms of 'quakes per
year' which is the left axis of the chart. Don't freak
anything odd about the increase in quakes since the turn of the
century into the 2000's? Seems to me that it's been going
up. Oh, then
we had a 7.6 this morning in the Southern Sumatra area.
the number of 'historic quakes'; this year seems to be
down, but a few more sips of coffee with the spreadsheet
suggests that with this latest quake the average great
quake in 2009
was over 7.3, while doing the same calculation for 2008 reveals
that the average 'historic quake' was a 6.64. Of course,
some of this is subjective, to be sure: The 2008 data that
calls a February 2008 4.8 quake in England a historic level
event is, well, you know - stretching things.
Still, dropping that one out, the 2008 average was still 6.69
and this year's 'average' big quake is up from there.
Also, if you go around the net, there are sites you can find
where people write about so-called 'disappearing quakes.
Officially, what happens is that once in a while a single quake
might be double-counted, or a quake may have been reported by
'mistake'. In earthquake watching circles, its something
of a sport to look for variances between the USGS list and the
Swiss 'Red Puma' site which lists yesterday's quake as a 7.9.
That'd be somewhere
north of 600-megatons worth of energy if you were trying to
build a bomb that big. An 8.0 would be a gigaton
Remember that earthquake magnitudes are logarithmic functions,
so a 6.0 quake is only 1/10th the force of a 7.0 quake.
But on an energy basis, Wikipedia offers:
energy release of an earthquake, which closely
correlates to its destructive power, scales with the
3⁄2 power of the
shaking amplitude. Thus, a difference in magnitude of 1.0 is
equivalent to a factor of 31.6 ( = (101.0)(3
/ 2)) in the energy released; a difference of
magnitude of 2.0 is equivalent to a factor of 1000 (
= (102.0)(3 / 2)
) in the energy released.
Shake amplitude is times ten, energy release is times 1,000 -
quiz tomorrow morning. That's why even if we have had
fewer 'historic' quakes this year compared with 2008, the
amount of energy that's beings released is still damn near the
Granted, this quick pass through the data is just that - a quick
pass with only the first half cup of coffee in me, so no
warranties on the quality of the work, but there's enough
of an increase in the apparent data that if you know
someone like that retired seismologist who reads this site once
in a while that a thorough run through the data with an eye
toward cyclicity and trending on the data would certainly be
welcomed as a contributed paper.
you're a Peoplenomics subscriber, we touched on this trend in
Issue #386 (January 25, 2009) which is indexed as "Running
away to Sea: Everything you want to know about living on a boat
- and why a building earthquake trend should give you pause..."
Curiously, it was only two days ago that one of my daughters
(Allison) called from Seattle to tell me that her and her
squeeze had finished moving into their new apartment and would I
consider "sending us some MRE's for Christmas" since she had
been getting strange feelings about earthquake dangers in the
Northwest. Nothing in the data from HPH until next year,
but never can be sure about such things, so yeah, Dad's got
MRE's on the Christmas list.
look at this long term data and have to ask a really important
question: Is there something going on we're not being told
An Also Ran Quake
From the USGS list server this morning:
Universal Time (UTC):
30 Sep 2009 10:34:02
Time near the Epicenter:
30 Sep 2009 03:34:02
Location with respect to nearby cities:
15 km (9 miles) W (262 degrees) of Wilkins, NV
33 km (21 miles) N (6 degrees) of Wells, NV
48 km (30 miles) NE (37 degrees) of Deeth, NV
94 km (59 miles) NE (48 degrees) of Elko, NV
265 km (164 miles) WNW (287 degrees) of Salt Lake City, UT
Bombs Away - Sooner or Later
here yet, but the report out of the well connected web site
www.debka.com that the "US
giant bunker-buster bomb project rushed since Iran's Qom site
discovered" (that's their second uranium enrichment
project) means we're right on track for events to kick over into
high gear around October 25th. Remember, doesn't mean the
bombs will fall on that day; think of it more like that's
when the theatre doors open and people start going in for the
big big show...
an analysis the other day that essentially said, ifs the US
wasn't at least partially supportive of this, the Israelis would
never be able to go it alone in such an attack. The
rest destruction of Iran's lone AWAC's plane is...er...you
don't think coincidental, do you?
Driven to Distraction
the n umber of traffic deaths caused by driver distraction is
probably about 6,000 a year, the
Department of Transportation is holding a "Distracted Driving
agenda is posted here in case you're in Washington with
nothing to do today.
No Shot Sherlock
that the label on some of the flu vaccine is out and cautions
officially that it may cause little problems like anaphylactic
shock, and such, it's not too surprising that "NY
Healthcare Workers Revolve over H1N1 Vaccine."
classic Clint Eastwood quote runs through my head every time I
read a flu shot story: "Are you feeling lucky today,
There's something about medicine which just seems like a
deliberate attempt to obfuscate, confuse, and deflect common
sense regular folks. Take for example how they set up
needle gauges, OK? Logically - if anyone would listen to
the Ure Version of Common Sense, a bigger needle would have a
bigger number, right? But NOOOO. Instead,
a 7 gauge need is way bigger than a 23 gauge needle.
way I have it figured, there's probably some big part of
learning medicine which is learning which things are
backwardized and which things aren't...
course, that gauge problem is also true in
electricity/electronics where small wire (#24) is itsy bitsy
stuff compared with #2 or #0000 wiring used in ,shipboard DC
power systems - but I wonder why humans do that? Take an old
idea and promote it like that? Say, did you put something
in this coffee? Hand me one of them brownies...
They'd Rather Not
Dan Rather's $70-mil lawsuit over the way he was treated
after leaving prime time anchor duties at CBS has been tossed
out. Is the real reason because it was really over a 2004
report on then prez George Bush's military record and because
the Courts are really paradigm defenders anymore?
Hmmm...we'll just set that aside on the pile of evidence
mounting in that direction.
axiom from my brother-in-law Panama Bates comes to mind for such
situations: "Tell the truth and leave shortly
Guns are being allowed in Arizona bars starting today.
Now, don't get me wrong on this: I'm a gun owner and out
here in the East Texas outback, a gun is a tool just like a set
of 3/8th's in sockets...it's wild country and all. But
here, taking a weapon into a dispensary of adult beverages is
against the law. I haven't met anyone who has better
judgment after a couple of drinks than before, but maybe I don't
hang with the right people.
seems to me that use of a gun - hell just touching a gun
- is something that should only happen when a person is
sober as a judge (except maybe the ones that threw out the
aforementioned lawsuit, but I digress).
bouncing nicely after the recent end-of-month beat-down.
Dow looks to open to the firm side although off a bit after
the ADP jobs numbers.
there's the morning's newest on Gross Domestic Product -
gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services
produced by labor and property located in the United States
-- decreased at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the second
quarter of 2009, (that is, from the first quarter to the
second quarter), according to the "third" estimate released
by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter,
real GDP decreased 6.4 percent.
The GDP estimate released today
is based on more complete source data than were available
for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second
estimate, the decrease in real GDP was 1.0 percent (see
"Revisions" on page 3).
The decrease in real GDP in the
second quarter primarily reflected negative contributions
from private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed
investment, residential fixed investment, personal
consumption expenditures (PCE), and exports that were partly
offset by positive contributions from federal government
spending and state and local government spending. Imports,
which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP,
there's the talk that
the Fed will have to 'raise rates quickly' once the time
comes to raise rates. Because, way I figure it, that will
be when gold is going through $2,000 an ounce and gasoline will
be up around $8 a gallon...and the dollar sinking into the....
admit it: I'm no fan of sports unless it's something I get to
participate in (golf, fishing, target shooting, bow and arrow,
and man's favorite indoor pastime...) sooo, when I saw the
headline in the NY Times that "
Dementia Rick Seen in Players in N.F.L. Study" I had to ask
about in fans?
don't get me wrong, I enjoy football because it's where any darn
fool can go to see how time dilation works. Heck, I've
seen the final 2-minutes turn into 18 or 19 minutes on an almost
regular basis... and they laughed at H.G.Wells...
Gordo (Give away the gold) Brown
slumps to 3rd as election timetable published for the UK.
Couldn't have happened to a nicer, war-mongering...oh this is a
UK's Times Online headlines: "Gore
Vidal: 'We'll have a dictatorship soon in the US'.
if he means 'soon' as in already happened with the corpgov coup?
snip and save section ---
Pondering Food & Water
big quake on Tuesday reminded me to mention again that there are
(for now) plenty of interesting investments out there that a
person could make in the 'food growing' department. To be
sure, some of them are very inexpensive dollar-wise but are
fairly demanding time-wise. Or, you can find solutions
that are more (paper) dollar-intensive but which get you to a
satisfactory outcome. The reason tuesday's quake gets us
on track with this is that during most of humankind's history,
the main point of work has been to provide a couple of square
meals a day and something to keep the rain off; pursuit of MP3
players, 22" chrome rims and 35-series tires were, how do you
say? Pointless, maybe?
decided to get extremely methodical about my food-growing
strategies and my first investment will be in what?
Gutters for the office building and the house. Why?
Well, with 30 inches of rain per year, the metal roof on the
shop should produce (based on 35-inches of rain) about 8-million
cubic inches of water, and since there are 231 cubic inches of
water per gallon, which means my first 34,909 gallons of water
for gardening ought to be a simple matter. We're looking
at putting a metal roof on the house, too, since rainwater off a
20-year old fiberglass/shingle roof is not very appetizing.
That roof upgrade and some plastic water barrels ought to get us
a shade under 42,000 gallons for domestic use.
can actually get it all figured out (which means constructed in
such a way that management won't notice the project ;-)) we
ought to be able to gin up 100+ gallons per day for domestic use
plus another hundred a day for the garden - and that's before
going to the well & pumps. Strange thing living on a boat
on salt water, you get really possessive of fresh water.
Thanks to the kinds going through 200 gallons in a long weekend
on the boat, I suppose back in the days before the watermaker
that takes care of the water. Now comes the gardening
bracketed this into roughly four levels: The Wal-Mart
seeds at the checkout stand if you can still find them.
Occasionally you can get winter garden seeds like broccoli at
reasonable prices. A couple of jugs of MiracleGro and you're set
for under $10 if you can cobble up some plastic frames to keep
the frost off. And if you have time. Oh, that stuff:
step up would be to order some good heritage seeds online (along
with a can or two of seeds from Everlasting Seeds (see ad, right
column). This will get you seriously into gardening.
you go down that track, the next logical step would be to get
the MyGroPonics book (below) and start working on high density
homebrewed hydroponic gardening.
step up from there would be the
(or similar) greenhouses which you can pick up this time of year
for about $800 (before you get shipping into it).
However, a small greenhouse is not likely to produce much food
using conventional methods if you actually had to eat
what comes out of it, so in that case get ready to start
studying your brains out trying to find the right trays, frames,
nutrients, grow lights, shelving and the list goes on...
out a UrbanSurvival reader (Wayne Fuday, 541.488.0931 )
has come up with a complete turnkey growing system which
includes everything you need to do high intensity gardening
without having to spend the time on research to figure out what
to get. He calls it
system and it includes:
• Solexx "Diffused Light" Greenhouse
• Organic Plant Starter Cubes
• Revolutionary LED Grow Lights
• The ROOTER - Accelerated Root Growth System
• Soft Pots With Organic Plant Nutrients
• Self-Regulating Watering Mats
• Plant Zone Shelving
couple of weeks I get pictures from him lately showing off his
pickings...which embarrasses me no end, since our summer
garden this year (to put it nicely) 'got away from us'.
sure, the system is not cheap - about a Happy Meal under
$5-grand. But, the trade off is that it is (except for
soil & seeds - you get to select what you want to grow) it's a
no-brainer in terms of getting something online and
producing and in most of the country that means three
seasons if not four worth of food.
been down two tracks so far in my gardening adventures.
The first year we had our 'outside' garden it did just great -
And then came the fire ants and time demands and one thing led
to another and once I got behind the curve in the spring and the
weeds got ahead of me, well, that's when I figured it would be
the propane burner and a couple of garden hoses and I'll just
burn the weeds out and go for the winter garden - and devote an
hour or more a day to weeding for the foreseeable future.
other hand, people who are doing greenhouse/controlled
environment growing (even my commodity broker JB with his
MyGroPonics system, got more out of his garden this year than I
got) seem to be eating more home-grown food.
'upside down tomato thingies' that we bought did a fine job of
hold the tomatoes right at head-level for the deer. Good
news - seeing as there is always a balance in Nature if
you look for it: My abandoned garden patch has been a fine
nursery this year for a couple of young fawns - I imagine the
fencing kept a fair number of coyotes out. But I don't eat
deer, so no calories there.
time I look at Cliff's
Grow Dome picture's I keep coming back to the problem of how
to mix gardening in to the schedule of events around here.
Between yard upkeep, never-ending remodeling, demands of the
goats, yada, yada, well, you can see where I'm not the only guy
who thinks Fuday may be onto something with his turnkey
Grow4It System. It's a simple answer and while $5-grand is a
good-sized chunk of dough, he's guessing the payback period
(with modest attention) is between 2 - 2½
years, depending on inflation (or for that matter availability)
of food at the grocery store.
Here's the order link - comes with complete instructions.
Time was I'd look cynically and utter something along the lines
of "$5-grand for a food growing system?" Nowadays
with not much to show for a lot of effort except a quickly being
overgrown fence, some fat deer, and a couple of rototillers that
get used a couple of days a year, I'm not sure its an expensive
solution at all.
Oh - one other gardening idea which
you might want to file away -especially since there may be this
government money-fest for home appliances next month: Was
reading in my favorite farm publication --"Farm
Show Magazine" -- about a guy who took a bunch of used
refrigerators and turned them into raised bed gardens!
Simply pulled the doors & hinges off of them. had the
refrigerant sucked out and laid 'em into the garden.
Figure a couple of holes down low for drainage, some gravel for
drainage and load them up with topsoil. Hell, throw a used
glass door on and you'd have a dandy cold frame with (my
favorite part here:) next to no work.
Except, of course for the
collecting the used fridges, taking the doors off, getting them
evacuated, moving them, getting a load of gravel delivered, and
a couple of loads of topsoil in, punch in holes and then how to
lay them out to get the tractor in between and then mu8lch or
mow between them and more edging and then there's fencing
and...and....how much was that Grow4It system, again?
The Answer Man Is Back
reader has another one of those 'pondering fluage' moments to
"Not enormously significant, but.....yesterday I had dinner
with my cousin and his wife. I asked my cousin's wife where
she worked, and she replied, "a pharmaceutical company". She
added that she worked with biological elements, specifying
"viruses". Noting this, I asked if she worked with vaccines,
and when she said yes, I asked her about swine flu vaccines.
She told me she couldn't talk about it because the
information was "confidential", and I dropped the subject
right there because I felt further probing would result in
dinner unpleasantness. However, it was a chilling
response...information about something designed for
widespread public distribution is "confidential"? Now I
don't know a lot about how these things work in the
corporate world, but maybe if you've got the time you can
help me out, George. If you've done nothing wrong. then
you've got nothing to hide, right?"
sorry, you are not cleared to hear the answer to this.
confidential inquiry of the morning, please?
"Hi George - Any thoughts on the possibility that the
"hieroglyphic dreamers and 15 percenters" might each feel to
be the "chosen ones," either from somewhere up there or down
here? I think you're right in that people are starting to
find each other, like-minded souls, either on the internet
or elsewhere. Eventually it may be like the movie Close
Encounters of the Third Kind, where various people are
compelled to travel to the Southwest in search of a
location, a mountain, a vision they don't understand but
must follow. And of course, as I'm sure will happen, who are
the real chosen ones? How many different groups will have
been formed, each with their special ability, their unique
dreams, their overpowering vision, their plain old gut
feeling, that not everyone can understand? Will all of this
be that SPIRITUAL AWAKENING we have been waiting for, or
does someone from the back of the room need to stand up and
scream out, "It's a cookbook!!" as he's being hauled away?"
chance, don't be absurd. Wait. Do you smell
cooking oil? Hmmm, well you're not cleared for the
answer to that one, either. next?
"Recently, I took a break from UrbanSurvival.com. Of course,
I missed it and felt unaware of worthwhile news stories the
media has “forgotten” to depict. But, something really
caught my attention lately. Stories about possible terrorist
plots being discovered and stopped really made me wonder.
How many are still under the radar?
the Answer Man knows this one - it's easy! As many as it
takes to get a major budget increase and stampede the people
with the checkbook!
it's since I have my copy of Jung's
The Red Book
coming, but here lately, the content of dreams is becoming a
rather interesting part of life to watch. For one thing, I
find myself asking "When people die, what if they just make a
'transition' into the dream worlds and stay there until
they puzzle their way through that existence. Hmmmm.
Well, I'm certainly in no hurry to find out, since the 'present'
world is a fine place. But, something to consider,
that as lead-in, here's an interesting email from a fellow who's
been dreaming of...Ben!
"Hey man ,
Had a woo woo dream last night . I was sitting at a
restaurant at a table next to Bernanke who was having dinner
with someone over heard the conversation and the company he
was seeking got up abruptly and left after a few words .
said to Bernanke " The sharks are circling . "
replies " February that is when it hits the fan ." or
something to that effect .
was a vivid dream . I am assuming dow will continue its
climb and should get a nice pop after 10000 from all of
those sheep who will now be behind the curve on the false
(but strong) rally and will think good times are just ahead
. After the pop above 10k , I figure the sharks will take
the whole ship down for a final giant meal .
Interesting dream with several interpretations to it.
First, I looked up Ben Bernanke in a 'dream dictionary' and
found no listing. However, to dream about the stock market
can represe4nt the 'ups
and downs in your life' and you might want to look at
the interpretations for 'money' while you're at it (Is your
self-confidence going to take a hit in February?).
kidding aside, this sounds like the kind of dream that your
subconscious comes up with when most everything else in your
life is going OK and you can mentally take 'time out for
dinner'. Why you'd select a table next to Ben Bernanke in
a dream means you may have a new 'director' rolling the film on
your dreamscape...perhaps now that director
Roman Polanski has been arrested you've subconsciously given
permission for your dream director to experiment by ad-libbing
new kinds of scenes in your dreams? Encourage it!
But get more creative. How was the food? What did
you have? Do you have a friend who was talking to you
recently about weight or money problems?
seriously - or mostly so - this is the kind of dream when your
subconscious may be pointing the way to make a little dough.
Wait till the market gets up to the Dow 10,300-10,400 level and
then start legging into long expiration put options in the
March-June timeframe. Just a thought.
stop focusing so much on the market. Dream about other
people - the Dalai Lama or Ms. March for example...might as well
have great dreams till the fan and the stuff meet up.
subconscious is sure optimistic. The stuff coming in February is
a damn sight more significant than mere money matters, assume
you've read the latest "Shape of Things to Come" and know that.
Dismissed. Until tomorrow, that is...
Tuesday September 29, 2009
Biggie: 7.9 today down in the area of American
||35 km (21.7 miles) set by location
||SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
||180 km (110 miles) ENE of Hihifo,
200 km (125 miles) SSW of APIA, Samoa
700 km (435 miles) NNE of NUKU'ALOFA, Tonga
2685 km (1670 miles) NNE of Auckland, New Zealand
||horizontal +/- 11.9 km (7.4 miles);
depth fixed by location program
||NST= 59, Nph= 59, Dmin=>999 km, Rmss=1.29
sec, Gp= 54°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
A Little Overdone, Maybe
hang on a minute. Yes the market rallied a bit on word
that the S&P/Case-Schiller housing report was up a bit...but how
much is a bit? I
got out the spreadsheet version and its...its....(don't say
"Monte Python!" or I will have to slap you): 1.15%.
Housing still sucks, being down 30.6% from its high water
mark. Last month it was down 31.4% so it you want to hold
a big office party to celebrate the return of real estate, have
at it. I'll just sit over here in the corner with my cup
of tea and watch, thank you.
and things got worse in Detroit & Phoenix again. But go
ahead...party. Probably just means banks are trading between
themselves at slightly higher numbers.
The Movie Question Answered
earlier this morning the answer to the movie question is:
"Hi George, I have an old Leonard Maltin movie and video
guide that I saved from my time working in a video store
years ago. The movie the gentleman mentioned with George
Hamilton was called "The Power". It came out in 1968. It
said..."Research team discovers one of their number is an
evil super-genius with powerful ESP abilities who starts
killing the others one by one. Can Hamilton identify the man
with the power before the villain kills him too?"
centrifuge in this one was one of the novel special effects
- maybe the State Department should ship this movie to Iran?
a couple of emails wondering if I had lost my marbles (yes!)
when I suggested on Monday that the top was in last week, people
are demanding answers. "George the market was positively
buoyant Monday!" was a typical rejoinder. Well yes, well
no: The market bounced up smartly for a while Monday
so the strong hand could finish selling the last of their paper
to the 'weak hands' who shoveled it into mindless 401(k)
accounts - no question about that. But,
this morning the futures are down. Not only that, but
if flip over to Yahoo's handy historical prices page you''' find
the Dow's recent high (intraday) was
9,937.72 on the
23rd of September and yesterday's high was 76-points and
change shy of that, so until we best 9,937.72 I'm going to be
incredibly skeptical of bullish claims.
not that the market can't go higher: There are all kinds
of experts who think there's a chance of 10,300- to 10,400 on
the Dow is still in the works; that'd be a nice 50% retracement
off the fall 2007 to March of this year's low. I'm no
market guru, preferring to take my money out of obvious trends
and skip all this 'catch falling knives' nonsense that goes with
trying to pick bottoms and tops. Entirely a waste of time.
productive? Writing comedy - hence this morning's feeble
efforts at stand-up in a fall-down market.
Fading the Buck
first joke involves the US dollar. I've got one tacked up
on my wall next to a Zimbabwe $100-trillion dollar note that a
reader contributed. Every time I look at it, I'm reminded
that the main difference between the Z-buck and the US-buck is
theirs is blue and has a significant number of zeros on it.
It's actually a nice looking bit of printing...
how anyone could throw money into a US dollar denominated assets
(like stocks or dollars) when we have a) Headlines like the "World
Bank Head Sees Dollar's Roll Diminishing" and b) When the
Treasury and Fed are borrowing back and forth in Three Card
Monte fashion to keep the game going for just a little while
longer boggles my (small overloaded) mind.
joke ended there, it might be worth a smile and a repeat of the
old "Some of the people, some of the time" line. But it
doesn't. The latest
is that FDIC is planning to ask banks to pay their FDIC
insurance premiums early so they can pay off the losers that
they're reorganizing and marrying off. Since I pay my car
insurance off as a single payment once a year, I figured "Not a
bad idea..." but then I got to the fine print: FDIC wants
three years in advance.
on - got my $269 drum set handy to punctuate just this kind of
story - (rim shot).
Noticing that no one is laughing (no smiles, either) at this
latest bit of financial humor the words "This is a tough room"
well up in the back of my head. Better start writing some
A material quick.
The world is now operating upside down and backwards if you
hadn't noticed. A momentarily strengthening of the dollar
means it only takes $66.50 to buy a barrel of oil (which is
42 gallons, not 55, eh?). At the same time, that drives
down gold and also (this is really odd) drives down the
stock market, since the stock market is priced by the market
like an apartment house in an inflationary environment - except
instead of apartments, what people are buying is future share of
market, but it prices the same.
Fortunately, folks like us don't need to worry about such
things. We just need to hold to the antiquated notion that
government is looking out for us (which hasn't been true since
congress set up its own retirement program separate from
Social Security which is going to run a deficit for the next
couple of years, so we will be printing up more IOU's to
stuff in there, but let me sum it all up for you with another
trip to the drum set, shall we?).
(rim shot) [I really ought to record
on of that so you can click it and hear it...loses a little
something when written...]
Pass Us A Number
Not that kind of number you drug-crazed loon! (rim shot)
Consumer Confidence is due out this morning at 9 and so's the
S&P/Case-Shiller Housing report. Of course these pale in
comparison to the gargantuoid comedic whoppers Personal Income
(Thursday) and Consumer Prices (Friday) so we will just have to
work with what we get. Of all of them, I trust the
S&P/Case report most since they don't adjust hedonically...they
just report the numbers.
V-shaped recovery hype" -going to be much slower-going than
it's been advertised according to one economist. Gee,
Spy Vs. Spy Vs. Spy
borrow the concept from
Magazine's famous Spy Vs. Spy cartoons, but we are just
overwhelmed with spy outfits differing on their assessment
of whether Iran is trying to build an atomic bomb. I don't
suppose I need to point out the hypocrisy the rest of the world
sees when the only country ever to use an atomic bomb on a
civilian population gets uppity on the morals and ethics of
things that make glass in megaton batches?
Tesla's death ray would have been maybe a bit more ethical
but probably just as unworkable...
of consternation as to the reality of the latest batch of
psy ops on the socioeconomic front seems implied in the latest 'Dog
Poet transmitting.... No worries, his bark's worse than his
bite, while our banks are worse than his bark...and my writing
today is worse than all that. Can't be great all the time,
though. (Who said "Just once?" )
Buck 'n Flu
truth leak on this flu campaign has developed up north as a "Report
suggest people who get vaccinated are more likely to catch H1N1".
Writer Patrick White's piece beings "A “perplexing” Canadian
to come up with a punchline to a story like this, huh? Oh
mandatory vaccinations?" (rim shot) Ha! There's a
joke for you.
500,000 healthcare workers in NY state are having to get shot or
Pharma's gotta love the marketing department that put the flu
scare on the public...fine job of mass-hysteria marketing.
The outbreak in Mexico? A fine move... And the death rate
for his flu, compared with any other is....oh, you don't want to
go there do you? This has gone more viral and
anything yet on YouTube...
the science at the door and forget you heard about that
'perplexing Canadian study' and don't even mention
Guillain-Barré Syndrome which one of the government's own web
sites admits "Occasionally
surgery or vaccinations will trigger the syndrome. "
Allergic to adjuvants and mercury-based preservatives?
Toughsky you-know-what-ski...you're fired.
recourse? Of course NOT. The drug makers have
arranged to make themselves sue-proof on this. It's fast
becoming the definitive study in how to stampede the citizenry
and open the public purse globally at the same time...
also sets up a whole new level of corporate anti-human
malevolence. Why this gives us a migration path to replace
the 'government sanctioned war spending programs' with corporate
'health defense programs'...Is this a wonderful turn of events,
or what? We'll see the turn approaching as new even more
frightening diseases are 'accidentally' unleashed but ooops!
We just happen to have this vaccine at the ready here and it
will only cost.... Take the long view and watch the trend
the science and make up your own mind. Carefully.
Might want to invest a few hedging bucks as a hedge in pharma
outfits that lose disease samples in the mail and bring back
Spanish Flu DNA from dead folks dug up in the frozen north.
You know, something for the grand kids?
suppose you'd care to find out that the
remains of Adolph Hitler, who supposedly shot himself in the
Berlin bunker in the closing hours of WW II was really a woman
in her 40's and that the ID was based mainly on dental
records and we know from 40-years of TV shows how easily dental
records can be swapped around, right?
school textbooks be rewritten to frame the bunker scene as
'Hitler disappeared' or "Hitler was thought to have died'
in the face of modern forensic pathology? Better he should be
dead than to be hidden away to South America or some Antarctic
base, though it's been fertile ground for novels and now a bit
of evidence for the conspiracy types.
this wouldn't have something to do with ex US leaders buying
in the Altiplano, you think?
snip and save section ---
Back to the WuJo: Brain
much for this morning's normally light-hearted look at the days
events. Time to get back in touch with the serious stuff
going on in George's WuJo.
you're new around these parts, this is where we follow the trail
of oddities that happen around me. For example, I
mentioned in a report last week about this really, really
strange dream in which I was dozing between 4 AM and 5 AM and I
had this odd dream where there was test - except it wasn't text
at all, it was more hieroglyphics - streams from upper right to
lower left and there was one symbol in particular which really
stuck in my head, depicted like so:
Besides the curious rolling text in the background - which was
moving down to the left like one of those "The Matrix" screen
savers, but titled and monochromatic, this dream was also
notable in that it wasn't my usual 'fill immersion screen' -
normally, I dream is a kind of iMax format. This one was
framed and about the same aspect ratio as a piece of paper.
check with Cliff at HPH and sure enough, there are a lot of
reports popping up around the net about people that are having
odd flashes of graphic symbology - seemingly spontaneously - in
either deep meditation states (e.g. Cliff) or too lazy for that
dream states (like mine).
people are reporting scattered incidents - like this one:
"So weird, George! I posted on the Bots Forum about two
weeks ago that I was seeing these symbols, as you described.
It started just like yours did. I was lying in bed, going to
sleep. I was looking at the wall and these vertical lines of
characters were cascading against a black background. I
couldn't discern them because they were moving rapidly. I
started seeing this on a daily basis. It kept slowing down
until I could clearly see the symbols. Some of them were in
a different color (neon) and seemed to project out from the
rest of the characters, which were gray or white. But always
cascading, like ASCII. I posted it on the Hyperchroniacs
thread. I guess we're all going insane together!
Seriously, George, I felt like
there was a message there. I wish I could get them to stop
long enough that I could draw them. I'm not an artist, nor a
scientist. Which makes me wonder why they wasted the energy
to send anything like that to me. Now I'm thinking it's to
confirm what you're seeing. You can look on the
Hyperchroniacs thread and prove that I posted this at least
two weeks before you wrote about it. Ha! Maybe they
accidentally sent it to me and then figured out that it
needed to go to someone like you that has a half-chance of
figuring it out. Whatever the case, I definitely feel that
there is an important message there. So get on it, George!
You're definitely the man for that job. Good luck.
Our best guess is that this is the
'human equivalent' of crop circles. They may have a point
to their creators - or they could just be a kind of
inter-dimensional direct mail piece - I really don't know.
Maybe it's designed to give people new neuron connections so
that later on when this goes mainstream (next summer-ish it's
due to spread in the linguistics) it will all become clear.
Once 100,000 people report the same phenomena, well, remember
where you read about it first.
Is it a government psy-op (since
project Blue Beam was outed, maybe this is its replacement being
tested. Or, is it something from elsewhere/elsewhen that's
bleeding through the dimension barrier as we get closers to
not just 'symbol dreams' - also an uptick in things like
sightings, too, like this one in California a couple of weeks
this the mental equivalent of crop circles? Hmmm... the
evidence is quite good that many crop circles are not
explainable as hoaxes - which means one theory a student of the
woo-woo could posit is that the source
of the cross circles (corn creasing) may be giving up
trying to communication with 'corn consciousness' and maybe have
moved on to see if they can establish some kind of conscious
connectivity with the humans that run around planting the corn
and grains, burning lights, starting wars and fighting with one
another over food, borders and who 'owns' that Lexus over there.
Why do these people trade zeros on paper, again?
speculates - and I have to admit it's not far-fetched - that it
may all be related, but it's too early to tell for sure - and he
hides from my favorite question "Why?" "That goes to
intent..." And in fairness, whatever the intent of crop
circles of the non-human kind is seems a bit obscure for now...
it's just my brains reaction to the name of Dan Brown's new
The Lost Symbol
...but what is that strange looking symbol that looked like a
hybridization between the number '7' and a boomerang? How
does that fit into things? Do I have so little going on in my
head that I can now leisurely make up symbols to fit book
titles? Can I do something a little more productive maybe
- like, oh LOTTO NUMBERS? Nope.
comes an interesting concept: What if - and I might as
well mention it now, but don't expect to see it cropping out of
the mainstream for 5-8 more months, but it's out there: People
on something approaching a mass basis seem likely to start
'seeing' this kind of stuff going on in their dreams.
Cliff's brush with it, it was whole pages of symbols - and since
he's got lots of experience with flashed pages from his research
which led to the Vortex Reader patent - he said it went on for
some number of minutes, interrupting a nice meditation and he
was physically tired after all of it.
Question: Is this an 'information planting" - is it
something like a mental 'crop circle'; - or is this a class of
'not-from-here' four gen warfare? Sorry, no answers on
that till the end of 2010 or maybe even as late as early
2011, but by maybe the end of next spring this ought to pop into
the mainstream and hopefully someone will be able to figure out
what it is other than the psychotic monkey mind beating on the (ascii)
typewriter in semi-sleep.
Speaking of crop circles, our high-powered programming friends
are about to launch a really high-powered version of the crop
circle 'spinning' software; maybe later this week.
reason that I'm anxious awaiting the release of the software is
that it will let a person 'spin' graphics in multiple dimensions
at up to 12,000 frames per second - faster than your monitor can
keep up with (especially since the refresh times on a decent LCD
is still down around 200 frames per second (5 ms. is 5/1000th's
of a second, OK?).
Chatting with project leader Chris Monday it occurred to me that
ignoring crop circles for a moment, I would sure like to 'spin'
some plain old pictures of scenes that I fine especially
for example a pleasing picture or a sailboat at anchor on a
sunny morning with Mount Rainer rising in the background taken
from the shore at Blake Island State Park in the Seattle area,
to pick one image, while another might be a picture of Franklin
Falls up on the way to Snoqualmie Pass taken on a foggy morning.
Spin the two images and see if there is something
compositionally similar between them - some 'resonance' visually
when spun, since its possible that the way people store
data in their heads is not static and might actually involve
some ongoing movement...but that'
bit deep for breakfast time, isn't it?
just wait for the software release and give you the link when
ready - but there may be applications that go beyond spinning
crop circles about. Might be a whole new branch of
psychology/brain analytics based on commonality of spun/rotated
maybe it would just be a high tech version of phrenology.
Just don't know without trying it...
Also from the WuJo
getting emails from people who are noticing that the '15
percenters' are really starting to differentiate as a group -
which is useful since the PTB seem like they are about ready to
pop with the active memeering to get them to come over to the
blue bloods and royals side, where they will naturally be second
class superiors but should be interesting to see how they work
a typical email from one of the 'gets it' people:
now know that wife and I are not the only ones.... I have
been in the fire service for over 20 years. Those I work
with have may be 10 years at the most. My fellow workers
would ask in passing "whats the latest"? I explain what is
going on and end with "But What do I know, I'm The Crazy
Captain" where I work. I advise them to go to your site and
start there. Then I warn them, "once you open the door,
there's no going back". No one has taken the advise. They
tell me "I like my life". I reply with "yeah, people are
living in their bubbles, and don't want it popped". "They
(like carriage horses); have blinders on". I also metion
this to some of my Chiefs as well. I probably won't be
promoted anytime soon (LOL). I guess when it starts to
happen, I won't be as crazy as they thought. Thanks for
listening george. You and Clif are doing an awesome job.
Curious, huh? A kind of internet-based self organizing
collective forming around this and a number of like minded web
another wujo related email:
"First, I want to say I read your stuff first thing every
morning- love it. Here's a little woo-woo for you. Thought
you might like it cuz you mentioned a Jung book. I saw some
of that vid of the guy from the "Aware & Awake" thing (Mr.
Green?) and he said we can come out of this better using
intent, and I thought of McTaggert and Sheldrake, and the
FIELD. So, here's the thing: As a kid, I saw a movie on TV
(I'm 57), and it was called "The Power" or something like.
Michael Rennie was the bad guy, George Hamilton was the good
guy, and Aldo Ray had a part. The gist of it was- The bad
guys recruit these people, telling them that some humans
have special mind powers, so they do group experiments,
trying to spin something on the table using their intent.
Well, George has the power, so they single him out. The rest
of the movie, he's learning to use his powers to fight the
bad guy. In the end, he wins.
Now, here's my point: Some time
ago, I had a renewed interest in that movie. I searched
video records under each of the three main actors, and none
of them had that movie under their names, maybe cuz TPTB
don't want people to see it and get any crazy ideas about
using intent against mind control. I'm just saying. "
If you have details on the name of
this movie please send 'em along. Wonder if it's just in
some film vault somewhere...
Subscribers to Peoplenomics will be interested to know as a
follow-on to the week before this one's article about NAS
Patuxent that there's a dandy article about "New
directed energy center to impact future weapons for naval and
joint forces" which is opening up right near guess what?
just have to speed up my particle accelerator construction
plans, I guess.
"Please scrub any “markers” from this message, but….a few
years ago I had a cousin who was a S.E.A.L. and a Green
Beret buried now at Arlington. They even made a movie about
him. Anyway….he told me about this stuff. I won’t go into
details at all, not that he really gave me a lot. But there
as been no real divergence between your material over the
last few weeks and his material. Whatever Zeus can dream up
is probably real. They have had it for decades."
Speaking of Zeus the Cat...
Around the Ranch:
I noticed that since I got my drum set up and have taken to
periodically bashing on it during the day (or in the morning if
the news flow is slow) Zeus the Cat is not spending nearly as
much time in my office. Where in the past, the word's
"Here Zeus" would bring him running and purring a greeting,
since the crash-ride cymbal has been bent in, the words "Here
Zeus" have approximately the same impact as a neutron bomb...
Not sure why that would be - perhaps his taste in rudiments is a
little more finely honed than my my weak comprehension of
quarter-notes, which I continually adjust for inflation and
Nevertheless, I am amazed at how many otherwise smart people I
know do not have drums around the office.
Short Management tale: At one company where I was head
of sales, the company president maintained a coyote head (dead,
sun bleached, found in the desert) a couple of native rattles
and drums and a 'shaman stick' in his office. Every once
in a while when something wasn't feeling 'right' in the office,
he would go around the office doing made-up dances, chants of
who-knows-what, banging on the drum, shaking the rattle,
gesturing with the stick...and it worked! Engineers who
were previously having energy blocks found new inspiration,
marketing projects that were boring me to tears became a little
more interesting and the company prospered.
get me wrong, this was no 'dark ritual' stuff (no blood
sacrifices, etc.) just having some fun, letting off energy and
rebalancing to get back into harmony with Universe. Chanting
gibberish in a meeting? That's what I'm talking about...
this to a friend of mine who is a successful Long Island broker
(also a famous author) and he didn't seem to familiar with it.
Yet having been from around 'high tech' I can tell you that when
people spend more time having fun, the quality and the quantity
of their work explodes. Why does Google have great
employee morale? Is it the er...restaurants, pet groomers,
massages, or naps? Does it matter? The company
cognizance of the fun factor at some level helps to offset hours
and hours of code and meetings. Like Traveling Software's
1996 climb of Mount Rainer just to do the web live from up
there... fun stuff, you know?
explained to my Long Island friend that if he was in an office
setting where people were not banging on drums, paying attention
to the feng shui of the building, ad libbing product development
demon exorcisms, or just having as great time and throwing love
and positive energy about, he was working for a dark ages
Honestly, I think he was skeptical. I could almost hear
him thinking "George, we can't have traders doing that
kind of stuff." Well, argue for limitations and
they will be yours, I think is how Richard Bach put it in one of
that's why I can't put up with extraordinarily serious
accountant-driven management styles. Can't tell you how it
happens, but most ( thankfully not all) accounting degrees come
with an operation that removes what R&B fans call the 'soul' of
a manager. Some companies 'rock', others are more like
'easy listening' and then there's some that just 'give you the
blues', know what I'm saying? (Might have made more sense
on a Monday, fer sure...)
if more companies would put drum sets around the office that
we'd have a happier and more productive workforce.
why China out produces us? Fireworks and dragon dancing.
Oh sure, prison labor, too, if you insist then.
Quotes of the Day
knew what we were doing, it wouldn't be called Research."
Einstein had that one right.
Corollary: "If anyone knew more about economics than me, why are
there so many poor people?"
theory is crazy, but it's not crazy enough to be true."
I Knew This Would Happen!
has an 'Urban word of the day' email you can sign up for.
Today's is catchy: "Tattoo Remorse" which they define as:
"Looking back on a tattoo you got when you were younger, or
thought would be cool at the time, you realize the tattoo is
stupid and wish you had never gotten it in the first place.
mention this because my kids (20's and low 30's) got tattoos?
You mean when dad said "You know, there will come a time some
day when dad's going to remind you - when you want to borrow
money - that you had so much money you could spend it on
tattoos....when you could have bought a gold coin or a fair bit
of silver for the same money. You can only spend it
Would I do that? Why
September 28, 2009
Now That The Top's In?
Didn't seem like the Dow dropped 155-point last week did
it? There was so much meandering about that it lost any
sense of meaning. Yet the number to watch this week will
be that 1035-1040 area on the S&P because ifs that's taken out
in a serious way, then all those born-again Bulls who have been
moving their upward targets upward may have been hornswaggled
(which is what you do to bulls) into looking less prescient and
more foolish than usual.
Futures are up a tad right now, but for the week ahead?
Hard bet to place.
The markets have a way of moving in ways that make the large
number of people wrong, it seems, and thus moves the large
amount of dough from the hands of the weak into the arms of the
strong who in turn laugh all the way to the bank.
Shanghai and Hong Kong were down about 2% in overnight trading,
while Japan was
as measured by the Nikkei 225.
Global market linkage being what it
is, the European markets were down a bit (under 1% though in
most cases, apparently hoping that some news would come along
this morning and give investors reason to part with sensible
cash to buy more electronic chits, which when you think about it
is an even dicier proposition than buying paper with zeroes on
it because they all depend on the power being on. That's a
good bet most time - but this isn't most times, is it?
To be sure oil is down in the
$65-$66 range waiting for this week's number-junkie fix of
economic data, but we try not to get too excited about such
numbers because they are indicative of water long under the
bridge. The real numbers to watch are unemployment,
inflation in the production pipeline and reports (even if just
well-founded rumors) that more layoffs are in the works.
We're also in a fine window to
'test the MainStreamMedia (MSM)'s ability to report factual
news. A couple of weeks back, we had tea-party, small
government demonstrations in Washington with (pick your own
favorite number here) anywhere from 50,000 to 2-million people
marching in the streets, and little coverage
by the MSM.
Yet this weekend, a little
about 5,000 showing up at UC Berkeley to protest tuition
increases, teacher furloughs, and staff layoffs is getting
plenty of coverage, at least out west. Not to minimize the
beefs at Berkeley, but compare the coverage that 5,000 are
getting compared to the bigger (by an order or magnitude) event
in Washington and how the neutered/out-of-touch press
underplayed it as part of the grand social engineering powers
invested by the PTB in their press-control mechanisms.
Yeah, makes the internet a dangerous thing, doesn't it?
At an overarching level, we see how
events which favor the corporate track get played up while
challenging events get played down.
Not nearly so dangerous as turning
control of the nation's money over to a private group of bankers
and calling them 'federal' but that's another story which we can
save for a later date in these times of revolutionary change.
When you read headlines in the Wall
Street Journal online edition that "China
likely to keep stimulus measures for 19 Mos - JP Morgan",
you have to wonder how it is that the PRC and their PLA business
buddies can move with more foresight than the bulwark of
Unless, of course, we are no longer
the...er...well, you know. The checkbook coup d' etat
however has for sure slowed things down and while
we wait for the unemployment extension to be voted on, my
frustration with the 'bankers to the front of the line' approach
in Washington becomes all the more disgusting.
Notice how TARP got shoveled
through will all kinds of Hanky panky in a New York (bankster)
second while things like last week's House approval of 13-more
weeks of benefits takes its own sweet time, deliberations and
dump trucks full of 'deliberating'?
Don't know about you, but this
rolling out the procedural red carpet treatment for the usury
crooks, many of whom should be in jail for their hijinks while
people are still facing mass foreclosures, well it is a
little much for the patient patriots who support the
Constitution but notice that there's nothing in the Constitution
about corporations and other non-human legal entities have
any rights, let alone superior rights to flesh and
A letter in the
NY Times p/Ed section this weekend summed the growing
disgust with corporation this way:
have evolved to have the narrow interest of maximizing
returns to their investors and to their executives, often
denying the rights of their employees and the small
stockholder. To allude to their control, or behavior, as
being representative of the stockholders, or the will of the
people, is delusional.
They aggregate great wealth, and
use this exclusively to advance toward more wealth. And,
when applied to influence legislation, they are devoid of
personhood. To give them new rights would show that they
have bought a place in our government, at the deepest level,
the Supreme Court."
is the kind of thing your average working family will spend
exactly zero time considering because corpgov media has
gone to great lengths to promote the left vs. right political
facade as being how the political decision-making process works
that might have been true back in the glory days of the
American Whig Party whose sensible approach favored a strong
Congress, modernization and economic protectionism - goals still
of high value today, don'tcha think? - only level-headed
Libertarians seem to grasp the concept while the democons and
republicrats keep soaking up all the dough that goes with being
checkbook pawns of the corporate coup d 'etat.
periodic mention that we could fix America in no time with a ban
on all interstate political spending except for the office of
the Presidency isn't going to get anywhere; with that kind of
limits on the phat cats we wouldn't see the Boyz in Connecticut
buying defeat of budget saving propositions in California so
they can profit in bond defaults and the list just goes on and
your Wheaties down for a second:) Maybe what we need is for
sensible people in America to hold a "National Puke In."
We'll meet up and swallow bottles of Epicac syrup and when the
inevitable result follows, we'll name each wretch after a
particularly greedy member of Congress who went to Washington
poor and who has now become mysterious rich (in the millions in
many cases) and at guess whose expense? Oh...here comes
one for special interest group _____.
maybe we none too subtle news laws on the books regarding
finance. Remember that in the days of the Wild West, horse
thieving was a crime and someone could be strung up in a
nearby oak tree if caught stealing another mans horse or
livestock. Yep, oak trees and a vigilant public were much
less expensive that the corporate criminal justice system which
has now processed something like 15% of the adult population of
America at some level.
not bring back a little old-fashioned American justice and make
economic crimes over a certain dollar figure ($50,000 would be a
good number, I'm thinking) capital offenses. Anyone
guilty of deliberate theft at that level (or above) would get
treated the same as a murderer. And we could extend the
policy to those who abuse consumers at any level, whether
multilevel marketing that cedes too much revenue to the top,
dumping known defective products, or generating computer viruses
that cause that much economic disruption. Theft of credit
card account information, too.
course, it will never happen. there are just too many
lawyers around to ever allow such a thing, too many judges to
accept plea bargains, and yet somewhere in the back of my head,
I wonder who does more damage to society: The unemployed
fellow who sells a couple of baggies of home grown weed to rich
drive-by businessmen, or those businessmen who swindle Americans
out of most of their 401(k) accounts?
the long arm of the law put a few more in the ground" goes a
Toby Keith song lyric ("We'll raise up our glasses against evil
forces sayin' whiskey for my men, beer for my horses"..).
I've been in East Texas a little too long. But it just
seems to me that the answer to financial crimes ought to be to
be the same brand of swift justice (and terminal consequences)
as horse thieving. It's no different whether in old days a
man's horse was his livelihood, or when his 401(k) was his
livelihood in advanced years, as I see it. If the retreads
and hacks in State Legislatures and Congress aren't
willing to stand up to the banksters and the corporate coup,
they sure as hell are not worth voting for a second time, and
weren't the first time either.
Something to think about the next time you see a multi-billion
dollar swindler living the phat life on the grounds that he's
too important to treat like a 'common' criminal. When it
comes to criminals, I'm all over equality. It's
either Riker's Island for 'em all, or condos for 'em all.
That's where equality matters.
weekend's Peoplenomics report is about taking back American
Democracy. It's working title: "How to Vote
With Your Wallet Every Day."
David Copperfield has thought about a career in politics?
I figure he'd be a hit in Washington for sure. And at
least with Copperfield, we'd occasionally get something back at
the end of a trick. It's no small point: with the
now crowd appearing daily at the three ringer inside the
Beltway, no one seems to get back what they started with...
March To War
we're now inside the 30-days period that leads to the 'hot date'
around October 25th, we can start keeping tabs on the set
piece moves in the headlines that seem likely to whip up the
public sentiments between now and then.
conducts third round of missile tests"
fires off long-range missiles in latest test" which some
media note could reach Israel. What they don't mention is
that the missiles with this range could also reach Russia,
the eastern border of China, the western edge of India,
Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, Ukraine, Romania, Yemen, Oman,
Pakistan...well, you got the spin-drift, right?
course we're not locked in to the October 25th period
signaling the equivalent of a Cuban Missile Crisis between
Israel and Iran, it's just that so many pieces would fit that
way. Of course, there's another concept that would fit -
the complete meltdown of global financial markets.
could get some complete wild card show up. How about India
announcing that it has an H-bomb or however close
200-kilotns of yield is to that? I love it when
someone says 200 kt. is a 'proper strategic deterrent'.
Makes attacking gun the gun collector hobby look a little
ridiculous, doesn't it?
Words and Headlines
once in a while we get to award a 'split decision' in terms of
linguistics hits. While we had been looking for diaspora
(dispersal of people) from the US Southeast from the September
15th on period, it looks like this has been more of a global
phenomemess. Not only has there been record flooding in
Turkey, the messy rains of Georgia, but now they're bandying
about words like
"Epic" to describe the flooding in the Philippines.
The Weak Ahead
Tomorrow morning we get the S&P/Cash Schiller Housing Index -
always a fine read. No, not to see that the numbers keep
dropping, but at least they have solid methodology and the
numbers are credible. Something that...oh, never mind.
Consumer confidence comes out about the same time.
Personal income on Thursday, Unemployment rate Friday. Bet on
the unemployment rate for what the NY Post calls "The Dead End
Kids" is now an astounding 52.2% Look for that 'un to
be buried, huh?.
Hedge Fun Death?
Death at a Caesars Escalator is being investigated.
Angela Merkel back in for round two as German Chancellor.
Pressing ahead with tax cuts. Das ist gut. Out of
vogue for now in in America, though.
New Conspiracy Theorist
"Bill Clinton: Vast right-wing conspiracy are 'virulent' as
ever" says a headline. Ah...that's what we like to
see: More promotion of the myth of right vs. left instead
of the real Up versus Down of it all. It's just a check
Social Security is being strained by early retirements, say
reports. Nice euphemism, that: "early
retirements." Wonder if that's the buzz-word for firing
people when they get to be 65 because they make more than young
people who will do the same job for less dough...
snip and save section ---
With the Other 85%
haven't read the latest (genuine)
report, not one of the modified ones floating around torrent
sites, you may not be hip to the great mental gulf that is
starting to really build among people. to sum it up in
short form, there seems to be about 15% of the population that
is quickly evolving an kind of higher consciousness. Maybe
it has something to do with connecting with other people on the
web who are like-minded, or maybe it's something else.
Whatever the cause, however, emails with notes like this one are
have been really struggling with hyperchroniacs lately. I am
having huge jumps in evolutionary consciousness. OK that
made no sense…let me try one more time. I feel like I am
living in a modern day Salem witch trail mentality. In
essence we have evolved to an extent that those witch trail
times seem so back wood ignorant. I feel like I am living in
a world of ignorance...not like I am intellectually smarter
…not by a long shot…rather I feel surrounded by un-evolved
humans. I don’t like it at all. Not a feeling of superiority
over less evolved humans but, a feeling of loneliness as I
wait for the world to catch up. And it seems I am pulling
away instead of the world getting closer. Deep breath…………"
Yup...looks of readers are starting to get that feeling.
When you can read a "Shape of Things to Come" report, then pop
by here and see how the dots are lining up to get from here to
there, it does take a certain amount of the stress out of day to
day living. Maybe it's the detachment that develops when
you have a decent sense of what's coming.
mean, take this October 25th period. We hit some kind of a
big emotional turn that day, so lots of readers are going to
read whatever the mood-shifting headline is (around that period
plus or minus a couple of days) and go "Oh, so that's what it's
going to be, eh?" And then they will promptly get on with
the next thing on their task list for the day and that will be
that. Puts the event into the background.
other hand, the people who aren't getting it - who buy in
to the old right/left paradigm and the 'news can't be known in
advance" belief sets - will see whatever the headlines
are around then and will become hypnotized (foxnotized?) and
will waste huge amounts of energy glued to the
teevee, calling their friends to say "MG did you just see on
teevee where..." and they will get all caught up in the shock
and awe of the moment. For them it will be a huge
you're looking ahead, wondering when the shock and awe machine
will be turned on after that, you might also pencil in sometime
after December 21 to not later than around March 21 for North
Korea to go nutzo and either seriously threaten or
actually do the deed of lobbing a couple of nukes into
the South. We had been looking for that about four weeks
after the October 25th event's unraveling, which best I can
figure would put us into the early part of January.
present bet is for the October 25th event to be the start of the
countdown to bombing of Iran with something like an Israeli
ultimatum by the 25th plus or minus a few and then the airplane
diplomacy. Figure it's about 2/3rd's that possibility and
one third market collapse. All subject to change.
But, in any event, we have some sense of the bounds of that set,
so it will just be a matter of seeing which one pops into
reality out of the quantum foam level.
still go shopping the next day, the lawn will still get mowed,
the goats fed and watered and no, we won't be taking part with
the other 85% in the "OMG did you see where..." discussions.
Fat waste of time and 15%er's have other things to do.
Bankruptcy Surge in Two
Richardson and Jarod Huggins on the local "Urban Survivalist"
radio show this weekend do a good job of summing up what seems
like a high probability of a bankruptcy filing bubble to come in
about two weeks. The driver, as I told you to expect last
week, will be those thousands of small businesses who haven't
filed their 2008 income taxes and are about to run out their
second extensions for filing. Having gambled - and lost -
on the idea that green shoots in 2009 would pay 2008 taxes, lots
of businesses have lost.
More on the YouTube video fo this weekends show.
Starts about 3:30 into the 7:57 clip.
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for
'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on
the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in
the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept
several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet
Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely,
it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers
and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as
you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our
charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it
shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with
the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close
replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you
were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929
deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the
truth be told.