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the pope was knocked down by a woman as a Christmas Eve mass
is interesting since it comes only shortly after the attack on
Italian prime minister Berlusconi 10-days ago. The pope got up -
apparently unhurt but a cardinal was injured and
this turns out to be the same woman, according to a CNN report,
that attacked last year.
woman behind the knock down will be getting
what's called 'necessary treatment' in hospital, but just
what that is we don't know.
Healthcare as the WPA?
really thought about it in these terms, but with president Obama
healthcare is the most important piece of 'social legislation
since the 1930's" I get to wondering if it will be as
far-reaching as the Works Progress Administration or the
Civilian Conservation Corps of the previous depression?
sure, the statistics as we end the decade sure support my view
that we're in the Second Depression. The Atlanta
Journal-Constitution is carrying the Wall Street Journal story
about how the "Last
decade was the worst ever in the stock market". I get almost
daily hate mail from people who don't like my pointing it out -
like I had anything to do with making it. As usual,
the messenger and message are hard to distinguish for some
reader - Bullish Bob - sent me a nice foam plastic bull which
now adorns my office wall. It serves to remind me that
some people actually make money being long stocks, but I've
always had better luck on the short side.
Iran Runs Clock
of the year deadline for Iran to reach a nuclear deal is
apparently going to arrive with no deal if I'm following reports
on Iranian media and satellite feeds right. And this will
reckons "The Hill" cause some real problems for Obama and
in the Mideast "US
drones wipe out top al Qaeda leaders in Yemen" Thursday -
and killing more than 30 in the process.
Worries are becoming more pronounced today that the world's
second largest economy -
Japan - is in trouble and headed for worse amidst reports
that deflation of of consumer prices are nearing 2% while
unemployment is over 5% and climbing.
what's the government there planning? Oh,
how about spending their way rich - or at least trying such -
apparently figuring if it can work elsewhere, why not in Japan?
course, as I point out religiously, the proof is not in yet
because economic developments tend to move at subglacial
Hugo Chavez is taking on Toyota - threatening to kick them out
of Venezuela if they don't make a 4-by-4 for public
transport in poor areas.
Why not call it a Volkstrucken? No? How about
Hugomobile? no? How about....
More Tax Dollars
suppose it will be painted as good news that the "U.S.
promises unlimited financial assistance to Fannie May, Freddie
Mac" but somehow it just feels like another tax hike in the
promoters and insiders have often been accused of 'pump & dump'
schemes so I wonder if things like how the financial crisis has
developed could be characterized as 'lax and tax'?
speaking of your tax dollars - keep sitting on your wallet: "Congress
raised debt ceiling to $12.4 trillion." Which is
almost up to one year of GDP ($13-14 trillion).
Tough Life Department
Obamas are spending Christmas in Hawaii...which means a good
chunk of the White House press corp ought to come back looking
tan in a week or so. Can't blame 'em: Washington's cold
and rainy with rain & snow showers later in the week.
snip and save section ---
This Did Not Compute
Assuming you know that a DDoS attack is a distributed denial of
service attack on big computer systems, then you might get a
grin out of how bad the DDoS attack on Wal-Mart, Amazon and
other sites went this week:
very poorly from the perp's point of view.
BBC reports on a ..."YouTube
video suggesting "face recognition cameras installed in HP
laptops cannot detect black faces has had over one million
views..." The the WSJ blog site followed with "Critics
of H-P Software Soften Their Stance."
been looking around for a new computer - I buy one after
Christmas often and try to keep abreast of technology - and you
know what the least important feature is? Face ors
thumb-print capability. More important to me? i7
processor, 8 GB and 1TB and a 1333 FSB - know what I mean?
A lot of us in Texas use these old-fashioned external 9 MM
course when to buy the computer becomes a problem if you're
looking at a laptop because there are so many cool innovations
in the pipeline. For example, Panasonic has a new battery
that in the home version could power a Japanese home for a week
- not sure how much power they use, but it's all part of
Panasonics acquisition of Sanyo - and you know as power/density
figures ramp up with evolving technology that will extend laptop
run times. First of the home powering batteries due in
2011 but can I wait on a new computer that long?
there's the matter of should I wait until Microsoft pops with
Office 2010? I hear it's in beta now and you saw where Microsoft
lost a patent case and may have to tweak Office 2007 to conform.
Has something to do with XML features that I never use.
Office 2007 is still on sale until January 11th with the old
ComputerWorld cites a ChangeWave report that "High
Windows 7 satisfaction spurs corporate IT spending.".
Story quotes 93% satisfaction with 7 - and I have to admit -
after I put it in a few months back not a single problem
here and not even one
Down at the WuJo
place where woo-woo and science gather on the mat of public
debate, there's a good read over at the Divine Cosmos website
"Disclosure Endgame: free ebook" if you've got a little
unallocated/non-manic time to burn. Covers a lot of recent
ground, discussions and disagreements within the PTB and even
the spiral lights over Norway recently. Eggnog helps.
Around the Ranch:
at the ranch we got what passes in East Texas for a white
Christmas: exactly 17 flakes of snow mixed in with passing rain
showers. But then it turned cold overnight down into the
low 20's and cool for the next few days but clear. Along
about the time George II leaves, we are due to get snow or ice
pellets in this coming week, but nothing like the rest of the
on the National Weather
Service's site, the upper Midwest is in blizzard warning
morning's column is a little shorter than normal for a Friday -
not as much going on. As soon as I hit 'publish' this
morning, we start putting the turkey together - and then snooze
while it cooks and then eat, snooze, eat, snooze, eat, watch
movie, snooze...typical American routine.
next update here will come Monday morning...by which time I
figure to weigh about 5-pounds more than I do this morning.
The Saturday Peoplenomics report will be posted tomorrow on
schedule and the Sunday in-depth report deals with the migration
to high-density language and some of the implications of that.
Most interesting line of inquiry there.
safely if you can't avoid it, relax and have fun. Odds are
good that Life's only 18,000 days long - and each morning you
burn another one. Best I can tell, the idea is to make
each one memorable. If you get through life with good
memories, good friends, and love...hey! That's even better
Send your comments
The UrbanSurvival Mall:
Peoplenomics This Week
Short Term Values, Capital
Several readers have asked me for an update to the
Peoplenomics report (#418) in which I expressed growing skepticism
of the rally which was then in the are of Dow 9,544. What is
difficult to find in investing are clear signals when one should flee
from a particular investment and see something else. So this week
I'll pick on a couple of markets (gold and stocks) and show you just how
close I think both are to the 'fight-or-flight' technical level.
Along the way, some discussion of an indicator that very few people seem
to use anymore - exponential curves. Before we can do that,
however, a little
and long-term perspective is necessary. Not hard stuff - unless
you were math-averse in school - in which case we'll make this as
painless as possible. As usual, this is not trading advice,
and I assume you've read
disclaimer here. True, that's like holding you a lit stick of
dynamite, and saying "Now - you hold this....while I go hide behind that
rock..." But, that's how today's litigious world operates, isn't
it? So we'll start with you holding a chart and me lighting it
To Subscribe, CLICK HERE
Been a while since I've updated you on how many cookies and web
bugs have been removed from my main computer by the Maxa Cookie
Manager from Maxa Tools: 1,602 web bugs and 54,131 cookies
so far. It's amazing.
Take it for a free test drive by downloading it. To
upgrade to full functionality will set you back $35 bucks, but
Christmas is coming... Is your privacy worth it?
Once you try it out, click the
upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35
unlock to get it to remove even those nasty and highly intrusive
'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer
may run faster.
Attn: Mac Drivers: MCM
does support the Safari Browser, but that does not mean it is
compatible with Mac OS. Maxa-Tools only support the Windows
world....so far. Given Jens and the other engineers
"Live on $10,000" A Year
another round of layoffs due to start later this month...a round
which will start to axe many of the middle managers who have
managed to avoid the HR grenades...might I suggest a preemptive
tactical move? Voluntarily dropping your lifestyle back a
bit, since we're all being marched down that road by either
circumstances or some out-of-control-PTB types who write checks
to Washington lobby and to anti-reformers in California! A
good starting point, at least if you've still got $10-bucks is
my e-book "How to Live on #10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic
download. It's written in an information dense style: The
whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of
how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up
the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left...
Click here for the index and details.
My commodity broker JB Slear and I
have written a simple book to get you started on high density
hydroponics. It's an example of how someone with a little
creativity, access to a few 'dollar stores' and willing to try
out some new farming techniques can grow an amazing amount of
produce sin a very small space - like even an apartment balcony
(if it gets some sunlight). Sound interesting? It's
just $10 bucks here...
Pass It On
business model of this website is base Simply
and send a link to this site to everyone on your distro
list...Nothing more dangerous than sharp, clear-thinking
upstarts who ask a lot of questions, eh? Unless you
believe WTC-7 fell over on its own, of course....
week's report is here. For
back issues of this site, click here. (Goes back to
"If you ain't paranoid,
you ain't payin' attention!"
Thursday December 24, 2009
Healthcare Deal Done
doubt there will be challenges on Constitutional grounds to
the healthcare bill was passed today at a cost of $871 billion.
If you're thinking this is the best and worst of
politicks,. the case could be made either way since "Every
state got special treatment" in some way or other to get the
deal this far on the one hand and it forces everyone in the
country to pony up dough at some level for mandatory
healthcare, but on the other we wonder what ever happened to
'powers not specifically delegated shall remain with the States?
step for the bill is
conference to iron out major differences between the House and
Christmas present, huh?
Stock futures are pointing higher, so Santa's still working his
Whistling Past the Graveyard?
Job growth should resume by springtime". Oh?
And pray tell what might the new engine of economic growth
be that's going to appear that will create jobs?
Healthcare employment, maybe?
Housing States fail to halt Santa Claus rally" in
Wednesday's session headlined Fox, but stock market action is
seldom a reflection of reality; most times it's a contrary
indicator since in a perfect world for investors there's zero
employment, high disposable income and runaway growth. Kinda
like today's cell-packing
mollycoddled kids in grade school. But happen for the
broader economy? Yeah sure, you bet'cha.
Durable & Jobs Data
other hand, there is something good in today's new advance
report on Durable Goods from the Census folks:
New orders for manufactured durable goods in November
increased $0.3 billion or 0.2 percent to $166.9 billion,
the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the second
monthly increase in the last three months. This followed a
0.6 percent October decrease. Excluding transportation, new
orders increased 2.0 percent. Excluding defense, new orders
decreased slightly. Computers and electronic products, also
up two of the last three months, had the largest increase,
$0.9 billion or 3.7 percent to $25.7 billion.
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in November, up
three consecutive months, increased $0.5 billion or 0.3
percent to $175.9 billion. This followed a 0.7 percent
October increase. Machinery, up two of the last three
months, had the largest increase, $0.4 billion or 2.0
percent to $22.6 billion.
Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in November,
down fourteen consecutive months, decreased $4.9 billion or
0.7 percent to $724.5 billion. This was the longest streak
of consecutive monthly decreases since the series was first
published on a NAICS basis in 1992 and followed a 0.6
percent October decrease. Transportation equipment, down
thirteen of the last fourteen months, had the largest
decrease, $5.2 billion or 1.2 percent to $418.1 billion."
October data was revised upward, too. But, it seems like
every time I just starting thinking bullish that's almost
always the short-term top in market, know what I mean?
Some folks even write in about The Ure Indicator, LOL.
shutdown of Arrow Trucking leaves an interesting question
about whether we're about to witness a dominoes like collapse of
the trucking biz... forget what I said about bullish.
Here's another reason not to be a screaming bear - the weekly
the week ending Dec. 19, the advance figure for seasonally
adjusted initial claims was 452,000, a decrease of
28,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 480,000.
The 4-week moving average was 465,250, a decrease of 2,750
from the previous week's revised average of 468,000.
The advance seasonally adjusted
insured unemployment rate was 3.9 percent for the week
ending Dec. 12, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised
rate of 3.9 percent.
The advance number for
seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week
ending Dec. 12 was 5,076,000, a decrease of 127,000 from the
preceding week's revised level of 5,203,000. The 4-week
moving average was 5,233,000, a decrease of 90,000 from the
preceding week's revised average of 5,323,000.
The fiscal year-to-date average
for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment for all
programs is 5.673 million.
expectation for today? A rally early and then people
exiting trades ahead of the long weekend for a decline toward
the close. Not advice, just a dart throw.
EPA, Drugs, and Water
often joke (well, maybe joke isn't the right word) about
what comes out of Washington DC when I ask "Is someone putting
stuff in their water back there? So it's in this context
that I read the AP's report "Feds
mull regulating drugs in water".
course, I don't expect them to open up the fluoridated water
debate, but there are plenty of folks who are dead set against
fluoridated water for a host of reasons not the least of which
Neurological Effects: studies show there may be grave
implications for Alzheimer's, Dementia, Attention Deficit
Disorder, reduced IQ in children".
hey - don't let too much science get in the way lest adding
things to water be reconsidered. It's an industry, you
return of TARP money removes pay caps" which ought to make
for a Merry Christmas for those at the top of that operation.
Ditto out west as "Wells
completes TARP exit".
peaches & cream? No, not hardly as "Large
numbers of TARP recipients skip dividend payments" - in fact
55 of them by some counts. Your tax dollars at work.
New Middle East Plan
Well-respected Middle East news source Debka.com is reporting
today that "Egypt,
Saudis secretly draft Palestinian statehood motion for Security
Council." Gist of it is they'd get land within
pre-1967 war borders which will likely not be embraced by
If They're Out Friends
Russia is really friendly and now a capitalistic country and
all, why am I reading headlines like
"Russia to work on new nuclear missiles" Medvedev"?
way of thinking, it's like walking into the home of a supposed
pacifist and noticing a table full of Glock parts and a bottle
Hoppe's #9 cleaning fluid, a spray can of
gun lube and a couple of blocks of hollow point ammo, then
talking about peace, know what I mean?
You are What You Read
Say...here's one that oughta get you to dusting off your old
- an Ed Bayley piece on how
folks that sell e-books keep track of what you read and then
market to your interests. Having been a long-time
marketing guy in corpland I really, really like the concept.
But, then again, it's a record and the way the legal
system works anymore, that means it could be used against
you if there's anything
untoward, prurient, or to anti-establishment in your
--- snip and save section ---
The Cashless World Ahead
Been doing a lot of thinking about
macro-trends lately - the Big Picture stuff that is slow-moving
and yet when you get out a few years into the future, it's these
topics which will shape our world into it's new direction.
One of these is the future of money.
If you're a long-time reader, you
may recall our
coverage of the story that the
Council on Foreign Relations house magazine carried an article a
couple of years back on the concept of "The end of National
Currency". Since thinking of the CFR has a way of
showing up in life some years after being kicked around, I've
been watching the international scene seeing whether the concept
is taking root, or not. And just a few weeks back, you saw
Gulf Oil Producers were considering a regional currency.
Seems to me that the single global
currency concept has merit at some levels, but fails at others.
One of the things it would accomplish would be smoothing the way
for corpgov to complete the move to take over the entire world,
something that was derailed temporarily by the Climategate leaks
and the subsequent falling apart of the Copenhagen agenda.
Not saying it's good, but let's call it what it is.
The danger of a one-world currency
is that it would soon become apparent to people in other
countries how well they are doing compared to folks in
If, for example, you're an American
software developer and you have hired some programmers in India
to develop a new program and you are playing them 35,000
Rupees per month, the $120,000 per year US programmer who
doesn't get that job will probably not take the time to figure
Rupees to Dollars and be ticked off at your American export of a
good (and except for the Twinkies and coffee which fuels C++
writers) nonpolluting at that. (The Indian programmer
would make about $745 a month, BTW.
So the first thing that a global
currency would do is reveal that there's about a 12-15 to one
cost saving to hire non-US programmers and when that kind of
buzz got traction on the net the US programmers would see why
their jobs are going overseas on the one hand and there would be
some leveling effects over time. Not a good thing, if
you're en employer because competitive edges come from chiseling
some expense or other down to near nothing.
The other thing that a one-world
currency would do - and again this is neither bad nor
good...it's just is - is that it would end the foreign
exchange trade business. Billions change hands daily on
currency swings and for international stock market investors
it's a key thing. Often, I've been able to trade in a
foreign market and even if the trade blew up, the currency swing
can save money. Or, to put it another way, with currencies
swinging about, it's like buying a scratch ticket with two
chances to win: Once on the underlying stock or whatever and
then a second time on the currency swing. Of course, they
can both run against you...so due caution advised.
Although I've been looking for a
'one world currency' I don't see it happening for a good long
while because of these kinds of trip wires.
On the other hand what is
going on is the diminishing value of cash and even
cash equivalents are being phased out.
Some examples? Well, to start
with much of Ireland is abuzz today over the report that "National
Irish [bank] moves to cashless banking". Not that
people in Ireland have given up on paper money - at least yet.
They will still be able to get it from ATM's and such.
But underlying there are some
interesting moves afoot which you might want to be aware of:
Indeed some interesting things to
ponder. While there's no obvious conclusion to where
things are going, I keep collecting data points. Clearly,
cash use is declining to the point where if you have more than a
certain amount of cash on hand in your home, it
may be legal but it's also highly suspect and if ever
confiscated, you'd probably have to hire a lawyer to get it back
- and you might not...
Cash has a dicey future ahead -
just like old-fashioned hand written checks. Something to
think about: How do people remain free if government
controls the means of free exchange? Or, is that the whole
How much time are you spending on
the net weekly? "Average
Net user now online 13 hours per week".
Breaking the Mold
Got a great email from a reader
down in the South Pacific worth sharing:
I have been reading Urban
Survival for a couple of years now, and started building my
boat about three years ago. A Wharram Tiki 31. As far as
being an economist goes, i have NO qualifications
whatsoever. But, i can sense danger when i see/smell it, and
so, sold up the house and have taken my two boys 12 and 14
out of school and we have taken to the sea to take our
chances in the coming years. Have just returned from a six
month "adventure" with my boys up and back down the
Queensland coast. Fantastic experience in a lot more ways
than one. When we started out i had very little experience
and my boys even less. But through a careful eye on the
weather, and never letting the fear of appearing stupid
preventing me from asking questions from more experienced
sailors, we did it. Not only that, but with all the humility
that the ocean commands, have become quite competent. The
lads also. If ever anything should happen to me "while we're
out there", they can quite competently heave to, MOB,
navigate, operate the vhf and sail the boat with experience
in winds up to 35 knots. We also have a store of three
months worth of food and have made a note of several places
where we can "run to" if/when the need arises. Why do i
mention all this? Well i know you love sailing for one, and
should you decide to post this? I know from my own
experience, i like reading what others are doing in an
attempt for there and there loved ones future survival. I'm
also looking for places with "higher ground" for 2012. Not
sure where that will be yet? NZ? Maybe? What i am writing to
you about though, is an interesting correlation i have
become aware of over the last couple of months. All the
people i know, and most people i meet, (for a half decent
period of time) I raise the subject of our current and
future plights. What I have noticed is. That people who when
using there mobile/cell phones, either hold the phone away
from there head, using speaker phone, or plug in head
phones/blue tooth because the use of the phone, heats there
head, or causes headaches. These people seem more receptive
and open to discussion. The people who seem closed to any
such discussion, also don't seem to feel any heat or suffer
any headaches from the use of their phone. Is there anything
in this? I have no scientific evidence to back it up, but i
will continue to observe and see if the pattern repeats.
Have a great Xmas with your
Yep, nice to see some folks get off
the treadmill and go have a life.
Meantime, Down at the WuJo
My First New Years Resolution
Not sure how I am going to go about this, but I've made a
decision to involve myself in a past life regression in the
coming year. And with a very specific purpose.
I'm starting a search to find the best possible past life
regression expert in East or Central Texas because I've been
reading a fair bit in psychology and seems to me that while some
of what goes on in 'part life regressions' may be made up by an
overly active subconscious, one litmus test would be to do some
regressing and try to bring back skills learned in other
I am especially interested in skills in areas like music and
math. I absolutely love music - find it very
soothing and fun. But, for whatever reason, the way my
brain is presently wired I have a very difficult time telling my
right hand to do one thing while the left does another.
Gross motor skills aren't the issue, just I'm hard wired that
The way I have it figured, if I have any musical background in a
past life, it would be cool as hell to bring those former lives
skills forward into this one.
Don't know if it would be a way to revolutionize education, but
worth giving it a try. If I can bring back really good
music skills, then an exploration of past lives might bring
other skills to the fore in things like medicine, machining,
cooking, and what have you. Maybe having instant language
fluency in some other tongue would be a plus...you know....get
hypnotized and wake up with fluency in Spanish, German, or
French kind of thing.
Not sure how to proceed, or if there anything in the literature
about this, but sure seems like it would be an interesting
experiment... suggestions are, of course, welcome.
Wednesday December 23, 2009
Secret Jails & 'Disappeared'
the past eight or nine months I've been pondering one of the
most troubling parts of the
predictive linguistics reports - specifically the parts where
around the first of the year and going forward the existence of
secret jails and rounding-up and 'disappearing
people' by the authorities would come to light.
comes a new report in The Nation under the title
"Americas Secret ICE Castles" which shows that Immigration &
Customs Enforcement (ICE) has been operating up to 186 secret
jails where people suspected of being illegal aliens are
shuffled around without customary minimum stands. A
particularly chilling part of the linguistic fill deals with
extra-legal operations described in The Nation's report:
you don't have enough evidence to charge someone criminally
but you think he's illegal, we can make him disappear."
Those chilling words were spoken by James Pendergraph, then
executive director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement's
(ICE) Office of State and Local Coordination, at a
conference of police and sheriffs in August 2008..."
it's not the whole expectation set, it nevertheless points to an
undercurrent of 'secrets revealed' having to do with the
nation's power structure going beyond Constitutional bounds and
seemingly throwing due process to the wind.
it looks like another predictive linguistics 'hit' is in the
making as the potential for further abuse of process seems
likely as the scabs are peeled back on this story. If you
were wondering what the contemporary version of "First they came
for the gypsies..." would look like, this certainly seems to be
The full facilities list is here.
Personal Income & Other
numbers out from the Bureau of Eggnog Analysis this morning on
personal consumption and expenditures:
income increased $49.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, and
disposable personal income (DPI) increased $54.1 billion, or
0.5 percent, in November, according to the Bureau of
Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)
increased $47.9 billion, or 0.5 percent. In October,
personal income increased $33.6 billion, or 0.3 percent, DPI
increased $50.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, and PCE increased
$63.5 billion, or 0.6 percent, based on revised estimates.
Real disposable income increased
0.2 percent in November, the same increase as in October.
Real PCE increased 0.2 percent in November, compared with an
increase of 0.4 percent in October."
know, you're thinking "Say, George, with all those people
homeless and all the folks with unemployment running out, and
the unemployment rate still up around 10%, how do these people
the hell outa me. But if anyone from BEA drops by for a
hit of Christmas cheer, I got a pee cup out so we can send out
more of the myth:
"Private wage and salary disbursements increased $16.1
billion in November, compared with an increase of $3.2
billion in October. Goods-producing industries' payrolls
increased $0.4 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $2.0
billion; manufacturing payrolls increased $1.6 billion, in
contrast to a decrease of $2.4 billion. Services-producing
industries' payrolls increased $15.7 billion, compared with
an increase of $5.2 billion. Government wage and salary
disbursements increased $1.7 billion, compared with an
increase of $2.8 billion."
thing I can figure is they over weighted the number of banksters
in their sample, skipped the underpasses and didn't talk to the
folks in line at the food banks. But wait! The
real punchline to this statistical joke is what?
"Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $525.1
billion in November, compared with $516.7 billion in
October. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable
personal income was 4.7 percent in November, the same as in
sure, you bet'cha. Banker over-sample again?
Home sales due out in a while. Santa rally is like a
couple of hits of ecstasy down on Wall Street where they have
more uppers lately than a...well, you know.
Future's so bright, gotta wear shades kind of thing.
wonder if inspectors general ever audit this stuff, or if they
just keep their noses down on the credit card slips from govt.
Eye of the Beholder
to put up charts - you know, a picture worth a thousand words
kind of thing. So here's the delayed Mass Layoffs report
for the month in my handy-dandy chart:
leaves me in a three-way debate with myself. Part of me
says "Dang! Things are improving!" Then
another side of m e says "Naw...probably the WH figured out how
to lean on the BLS folks..." And the third side says
"Everyone is out of benefits, so of course the mass layoffs end
at some point..." Then the three voices start arguing
violently and one picks up a rock, another picks up a stick, and
I get a headache.
Christmas Presents for
those thoughtful good-old boyz in the senate - about
to spring the healthcare bill and a hike in the federal debt
limit on us. One size fits all...except for the
elected rulers who have their own healthcare bill and if
this was really such a great deal why are they
excluded from it?
not understand clearly how global fascism is rolling, huh?
this in your "Good will toward men" file as an "Out
of Control Crowd at JFK" didn't like the delays and got
Meantime, more evidence of the joke to "We're from the
government and we're here to help" as the Department of
Transportation is "Promises
big fines for long tarmac delays..." which sounds good until
you read how the clock doesn't start for three freakin hours.
course, we get what we get. Kinda like all those
"executive comp limits' enacted in the financial community until
- after a flurry of TARP pay-backs suddenly they largely
disappeared once the real 'bone us' season showed up.
Funny how that works, isn't it?
an American Airlines plane overshot the runway down at Kingston,
Jamaica last night in a heavy rainsquall? 40 reported
injured and looks like the gear collapsed at the end of the
runway which ends in the Caribbean.
Continuing on to Grandma's house, if you weren't flying over the
river and were simply planning to drive through the woods,
gasoline was up a penny a gallon in the latest reporting
week, but more could be coming since
oil is up to $74 now. Crude of me to mention it, but
our writers & editors are on vacation this week...
"Arbeit Macht Frei" Redux
Poland correspondent sends this bit of follow-up:
"Again, not always the most obvious reasons for things
happening are these real ones. As our polish portals proudly
state, guys who stole this (in)famous sign from former
Auschwitz camp were not just hools or thieves trying to
prove something to someone, but freelancers working for
"mad collector", probably from Sweden
Yeah...somehow a couple of guys doing the heist on a lark didn't
sound right...wonder who Mr. X with the dough will turn out to
be? A NWO'er or one of the guys from jackboots are us?
There might be a distinction there, but it's blurred, for
sure. We shall see...maybe....
79 dead in sub-zero temps in Poland...which gets us on to...
Globull Warming, Redux
reader wants to know (WRT the "NASA
shows quiet sun means cooling of earth's upper atmosphere"
that was linked yesterday and I guess to state the obvious,
again here this morning):
"The mention of CO2 in there will still get the Global
Warming bobble heads up in a tizzy even though the jist of
the article is low sun spots equals climate cooling lots of
sun spots equal warming duhhhh..."
Yeah...well...there you go thinking again. Knock it off
and for God's
sake, whatever you do, don't
read the Robinson, Robinson, and Soon paper from the Oregon
Institute of Science & Medicine because it's only 12-pages long
and lays out some really ugly charts if you are still swallowing
the climategate laced numbers hook, line, and sinker lest you
have to reconcile pictures like this one:
Nice of them glaciers to anticipate carbon use, huh?
Obviously, I'm not the only one (NASA and the OISM
guys just to name two groups) who is looking at the solar cycle
and the temps and seeing a correlation, but I suppose I've beat
this point pretty well to death. Good news in CO2
climbing? Sure...trees are growing 30% faster...and with
that I'll tell you how I know this to be true... (you're
braced for the worst pun of the week, right?) I've been
keeping a log....
ROFLMAO... Didn't I warn you?
Still only two sunspots
today when we should be in the 5-10 range at
"Climate change alliance crumbling" says the Financial Times
and oh, so sorry about your plans to become a carbon
gazillionaire: the FT also reporting that "Carbon
prices fall in wake of Copenhagen" for reasons that we hold
I see where the Washington Examiner is asking "Who
is more respected: Sarah Palin or Al Gore?" Since most
UrbanSurvival readers are bright enough to figure out that the
whole myth and legend of Right vs. Left politicks is nothing
more than a put-up job by the PowersThatBe to keep us all
distracted and sharpening our pitchforks to use against their bought & paid
for minions instead of them , I won't remind you that my
editor, Zeus The Cat consistently polls higher than both Palin &
Gore combined... since he spends his time on Bing looking
at the gray literature for papers like the OISM one...but then
again he doesn't have eyes on the White House or carbon
Who took my eggnog?
snip and save section ---
While You Were Sleeping, 2
thing in the coping department this morning I'd draw your attention to an article by
Giordano Bruno called "While
You Were Sleeping...the Economy Collapsed." Not only
are the facts lined up much as we try to line them up around
here every day, but the theme is the same - a kind of "Go
out and yell at the sheep wandering by..." which passes as
entertainment when you're living in the East Texas Outback.
Yelling "Sleepwalking into 2010!" has a nice ring to it,
although if this is more than your fifth or sixth visit here,
you no doubt have that developing sense, too.
Christmas Eve Eve, and hardly anyone left will commit to
getting a package out in time to play Reindeer Driver, there is
still one gift you can give - the gift of awareness.
that I can tell you how, or where, to deliver it. Anymore,
even within my own family, I've become a bit of an outcast for
my incredibly practical and well-reasoned views. People
just don't have much interest in those since it's so much
easier to go along with the spin and float down the river of De
sets the whole world up for a second major leg down in the
economy is a bullish consensus and with headlines about like "World
market up again on US economic hopes" I wonder how close the
live in a world where stories like "Report
says 225,000 Haiti children work as slaves" are
reported without going
deeper into the modern context of slavery. You know: The
kind where 306-million (less old, young and unemployed leaving
about 155-million workers in the USA) work as wage slaves.
Give a man a Lexus and he's slave to an gasoline bill, give him
a big screen and he's a slave to the power company, etc.
Give a man an office, he's slave to the PTB...etc. Give a
man a home and the PTB can repo it...
Runaway materialism is a hard addiction to beat, but like Bruno
writes, "While you were sleeping...the economy..." is dying.
Or, as Rogoff & Reinhart's book This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly
hint's in its title, people on the treadmill have a hard time
envisioning a different reality.
But we seem poised to enter 2010 in a headlong rush to discover
it ain't really any different this time, either. Think
I'll go back to bed; I may be suffering reality-induced depression depression,
know what I mean?
The Razor's Edge
friend of my visiting son was chatting with us last night about
cell coverage here in the Outback and the subject of "What's the
best cell phone?" came up. My son's phone is an iPhone in
a ruggedized cover while hers was a Razor. Since both kids
are in the emergency response field the discussion about "How
many bars for what kind of signal" came up and turns out that
our guest's observation is that Razor's have a very good rep for
working in low signal strength areas among local LE & fire
types...something I thought I'd pass on.
least with ham radio gear we measure ultimate sensitivity
(I kinda like -137 dbm or better myself). Wish they would
report features like minimum sensitivity but no, what do we get
specs on instead? Pixels! MP3 capacity....number of
The Great Escape
couple of readers have sent in the article from New Scientist
this week titled "Engage
the x drive: Ten ways to traverse deep space ". Not
sure why anyone would want to leave this rock that we're
in the midst of destroying with resource-stripping consumerism,
especially if there ain't no tax collectors in the rest of the
galaxy, but that's a topic for a different day, I 'spose.
always loved Star Trek which manages to have very little
'economic content' but I imagine that if you have
a holodeck it would be hard to keep an economic con game
going, wot? Of course that has set a lot of brainpower in
motion trying to actually
build a holodeck.
get one working, invite me over...better still: Sell one to the
government so they can save money printing our way out of the
current financial mess...save some trees, yada, yada....
Marketing, marketing, marketing: I see where the NY Post
has done something a little different than the usual boring
countdown of the "Year's Top Stories". They've come up
with the "2009
Best Lingerie Images".
sure, for the more serious-minded, there's
Project Censored's "Top 25 Censored Stories for 2009" but
where's the Christmas cheer let alone eye-candy in that?
were 30-years younger and single it'd be a simple choice to pick
#12 from the Post list instead of #12 from Project Censored
Profiteers Collect Billions From No Child Left Behind"), but
on this side of 60 the choices become more difficult.
few more years and I'll be at the next great intersection of
Life: Where IQ, speed limit, and age all converge.
Tuesday December 22, 2009
Global Warming Delay
Opps...seems the snow/global warming powder that dumped on
Washington this week screwed up the scheduled Mass Layoff
"Announcement Due to the weather-related closure of the
Federal Government on December 21, 2009, the publication of
the Mass Layoffs: November 2009 news release scheduled for
issuance on December 22 at 10:00 a.m. has been postponed. A
rescheduled release date and time will be announced once it
current rate, if I just sit here and drink coffee till it comes
out, I stand to blow out a kidney...
home buying is reported as "soar 7.4%" in November.
Although the dollar seems to have initially ticked a bit higher,
you'll have toi pardon me if I don't get all hot & bothered with
this morning's update to the Q3 GDP Estimate which is as
gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services
produced by labor and property located in the United States
-- increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the third
quarter of 2009, (that is, from the second quarter to
the third quarter), according to the "third" estimate
released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second
quarter, real GDP decreased 0.7 percent.
The GDP estimate released today
is based on more complete source data than were available
for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second
estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.8 percent (see
"Revisions" on page 3).
The increase in real GDP in the
third quarter primarily reflected positive contributions
from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports,
private inventory investment, federal government spending,
and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by
a negative contribution from nonresidential fixed
investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the
calculation of GDP, increased.
The upturn in real GDP in the
third quarter primarily reflected upturns in PCE, in
exports, in private inventory investment, and in residential
fixed investment and a smaller decrease in nonresidential
fixed investment that were partly offset by an upturn in
imports, a downturn in state and local government spending,
and a deceleration in federal government spending.
I've pointed out, with a long-term (like since 1913) deflation
of purchasing power of dollars clicking along at 3.24% per year,
a 2.2% annual growth rate is negative. Sure, this is based
on 'chained 2005 dollars' which is supposed to
approximate 'real' dollars, but give me a chance to pick a
different base period and care to guess how I could jigger the
numbers? LOL - you don't want to know.
there's a new home sales report due out which is all roses
if the buzz is right. Word that these may hit the
highest levels in three years sound...oh, you know....kind of
Nevertheless, Santa is still in down and stuck in the financial
district which is why working people don't get gazillion dollar
bonuses, I guess.
Tomorrow morning, we get personal income and expenditures and if
you need a homework assignment to keep you off the hooch or keep
from watching seasonal reruns on TV, go write the definitive 3-4
paragraphs on how personal income figures treat housing prices,
foreclosures, and so forth and how that screws up perceptions of
how savings are going for the rest of the country that doesn't
have a house in Connecticut or out on Long Island.
points awarded for the best short monograph on how working folks
are paralyzed by the complexity of the financial system.
Christmasy Mass (Layoffs) Due
in the spirit of the season, you should plan on dropping by here
for a second-visit around 10:30 AM Eastern time for the Labor
Department's Mass Layoff report. I'm expecting to see an
improvement not so much because the economy is improving, but
because there are so few people left to fire...
Let's Make a Deal
Although mainstream wisdom has been that the
healthcare bill is headed for passage, the abortion issue keeps
creeping back in and may scuttle it yet.
nice thing about all the bidding and favoring that has been
going on is that it allows the alert to start putting down "Who
has what price" in Washington.
Reminds me of an old joke that begins "You you have sex with XYZ
for $500-million dollars?" and ends with "We've already
established that you're a prostitute, the only detail is your
Washington Post article on how $100-million of "Health
bill money for hospital sought by Dodd" figures into the
bill debate is worth reading.
Sometimes readers send in notes saying "Damn, George, you're one
cynical SOB..." but others fault the view saying "George that's
just how politics works."
brings me to observe that the difference between America today
and America of revolutionary times is the ratio between
representation on the one hand and outright bidding on
the other. Once upon a time bidding was a small part of
the job. Today seems to be the whole point -
especially when one looks at things like the Dodd (House
Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs chair) whose top
contributors in the latest reporting period over at
just under $7.5 million dollars in campaign dough from 2005-2010
as of September 30th. Which is what?
About 7-times what Nancy Pelosi has raised in the same
time period, but she hasn't made a ghost-run for the
presidency, either. What a great way to bolster
that's just campaign dough on top of his $100-million hospital
then gets me around to a discussion of term-limits and power of
committees and such, but we don't have all day. Maybe I
should just go shopping. My lousy vote isn't going very
far against that kind of dough but it underscores why so many
hedge fund and sovereign wealth dudes live in the state of
have a stogie and let's talk about Cuba's reaction to the
Copenhagen gathering: Seems
they count president O as "imperial and arrogant" and they're
not very pleased with how small countries are being kicked
around by the large in the climate debate (see next
article). Well, gosh, imagine that!
Power/Money-crazed Western economies taking whatever they can
grab on a real-or-not issue in order to start up a new back-room
financial craps game in carbon trading. Look shocked! Or,
at least try and look surprised.
The countries like
India that are deliriously happy with the climate talks since
they managed to skate on binding emissions limits.
Anbd since so much 'once-U.S.-based' industry is there, that's a
plus for the financial sharks, too...
Sunspots & NASA
noticed that this morning the
www.spaceweather.com folks have a conventional sunspot
picture up although with the conventional view, one of the
sunspots has disappeared.
assume you know never to look at the sun directly, use a smoked
glass or a really dark welding shade, or use a pin-hole
projector, right? But I wouldn't bother - since these
sunspots are so small as to not be noticeable with the naked eye
at least if your eyes are as bad as mine.
yeah...and I keep forgetting to mention the NASA press release
that backs up my claim of a linkage between climate and
sunspots. Go read their press release titled "NASA
Shows Quiet Sun Means Cooling of Earth's Upper Atmosphere"
"HAMPTON, Va., Dec. 16 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- New
measurements from a NASA satellite show a dramatic cooling
in the upper atmosphere that correlates with the declining
phase of the current solar cycle. For the first time,
researchers can show a timely link between the Sun and the
climate of Earth's thermosphere, the region above 100 km, an
essential step in making accurate predictions of climate
change in the high atmosphere.
Scientists from NASA's Langley
Research Center and Hampton University in Hampton, Va., and
the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder,
Colo., will present these results at the fall meeting of the
American Geophysical Union in San Francisco from Dec. 14 to
Gee...imagine that... George tells you something for months and
along comes the scientific proof of the claim yet not a
single apology from people who don't get it. How about
that? This happens with all too much regularity around
Rube Goldberg Meets Climate
know if you are a fan of the famous
Rube Goldberg cartoon series, but if youi have missed that,
it's one of life's little pleasures to be savored.
Goldberg, you see, was a cartoonist who would make up
fantastic machines that when you study they actually look like
they should work. But, of course they are a
completely circuitous way of making something happen, which is
their design pattern beauty.
mention this because of the proposal now making the rounds that
a huge hose be hoisted up into the upper reaches of the
atmosphere which would release chemicals in order to combat
global warming. It's an amazing idea...and maybe the
science isn't completely far-fetched.
first forecast of things to look for in 2010 let me table "Wild
ideas to deal with global warming". It's clearly the most
difficult solution to change our high-consumption lifestyle
paradigm, so sure, why not come up with fantastic schemes, huh?
Why Behind Berlusconi
reader sends in this interesting speculation as to why Italy's
Silvio Berlusconi may have been attacked:
The reason that I am writing you is because it seems that on
Dec, 11 an article came out on the MAINSTREAM ITALIAN news
in the newspaper that is OWNED BY THE BERLUSCONI family.
Well George you won't believe this but is seems that the
article is explaining who controls the world basically.. The
article is in Italian, translate it and read this!!!!
(link to translate page courtesy Google's Translate site)
THE names /banks /etc.. are all in the article!! this
article was published on friday Dec., 11 th and and Sunday
Dec 13 th ( notice the number dynamics there :-) )
Berlusconi was attacked during a public appearance. Now
there is lots of information going around about this
proposed fake attack.... maybe to have some time to hide
from someone??? Believe me George that article tells people
who are sleeping , some hard facts... If you ask me there is
definitely some clash of titans going on!!!!
is not an endorsement of the writer's views, but rather a
report, yet the kind of claim made in this article (machine
translated) includes things like...
"The Bank of Italy is by no means' the Bank of Italy, "that
is ours, the Italians, but a private bank, like other
central banks including the European Union, which are owned
by large banks, while taking deliberately misleading the
people bearing the name of the State for which to produce
the money. Ha cominciato la Federal Reserve (che si chiama
così ma che non ha nulla di «federale»), banca centrale
americana, i cui azionisti sono alcune delle più famose
banche del mondo quali la Rothschild Bank di Londra, la
Warburg Bank di Berlino, la Goldman Sachs di New York e
poche altre. He started the Federal Reserve (which is called
this but there is nothing "federal"), U.S. central bank,
whose shareholders are some of the most famous banks in the
world such as the Rothschild Bank of London Warburg Bank of
Berlin, the Goldman Sachs in New York and a few others. "
is stuff that was covered in Conspiracy 105 in your freshman
year of awakening. Still interesting to read something
like this being fed to the [Italian] mass and then the attack,
another data point if you've building your own home version of
the "PowersThatBe Map" and sharpening your pitchfork.
Undeclared War Department
Houthi rebels have been reported kills in Saudi air strikes into
North Yemen. Ok, so the Yemen central government isn't
complaining and the Saudis aren't saying much. Which gets
me to rewriting "If a tree falls in the forest, but there's no
one there to hear it, did it really fall?" to something a little
more contemporary: "If there's bombing of rebels, but government
on neither side complains, is it really war?" Auuuummmmmm.
Something Fishy Goes to Court
to keep Asian carp out of Great lakes reaches Supreme Court."
is a hard one to figure out unless you have lived in
The South where once upon a time there were no fire ants.
Those were a product of international trade, too. They
just never got a day in court; what's more, carp ain't gonna
bite you on the golf course or ruin your garden, know what I'm
Article on the
Explains how the Supreme Court has mashed what little remained
of freedom into the ground by making it easy for government to
declare people "enemy combatants" which then means no due
process...which guts the once-proud Constitution. Fine
experiment while it lasted, though. Which gets us around
Global Police Powers
saw where president O has signed
an executive order which expands the reach of Interpol inside
the US? The
discussion on the Ron Paul forums is enlightening.
Reader Blowback: Chavez
reader in Florida takes me to task for expressing such
"un-surprise" - if that's a word - at Venezuela setting up a
national police force...
"Yes, George, But Chavez's police force in the past (Cuban
Thugs) were caught on camera by Telemundo in Miami (channel
51)... shooting at anti-Government demonstrators in Caracas"
and I can turn on the satellite and dial in Middle East
(non-corpgov) media and see American contractors killing
people in any of several countries pretty much any old
snip and save section ---
With Crimes & Times
story in the UK's Mail Online under the headline: "Thou
SHALT Shoplift: Priest tells congregation it's better than
robbery or prostitution..." Whilst father Time Jones
may be in hot water with the local gendarmerie and pols, it
certainly gets some world attention on the kind of planet we
like it all starts with the problem of ownership.
You know: owning food, owning land, owning
air, owning natural resources...that problem.
never spent much time on that one, but I have to imagine that if
you could gather up a whole lot of smart people and get them to
studying it, the notion of property would turn out to be
central to every conflict in the world. Way I have it
figured if there was an alternative to property and
ownership as deeply held social beliefs, the world would be
a whole lot better off than it is now.
Instead of evolving from scratching out food and a living and
then going into 'getting smart so we could figure out the next
move" we humans have gone from "Scratching out living into kill
for possessions of all stripe - which in turn gives birth to
money and gunpowder as the international way of "diplomacy".
don't have a grand and glorious answer yet, but at least the
framing and context are there should anyone want to deal with
the most dangerous four-letter word in the world: "Mine!"
recent UFO sightings and that spiral over Norway was it?
All get me to wondering if humans will ever evolve to the point
where getting off earth would be more than a major threat to the
whole Universe. you know - humans as fire ants or Asian
carp kinda thing we were talking about a minute a go.
you think that things on Earth and above its surface are
going in more and more interesting direction?
Few days ago we had a copy of mr Khufu's tomb floating
cheerfully over big bear's den and now we can read about
(Shields up on this link!- G)
meteorite falling not too far from Beijing to pass it
over just shrugging, doncha think?
or it's just me seeing things:)
Thanx for your hard work of helping people to better
understand what's going on.
many columns I've referred to this hunk of rock as "Ant Farm
Earth" and the latest from UFODigest "Alien
UFOs and our Astronaut Heroes" that recounts astronauts
breaking their nondisclosure agreements to reveal what they can
has resulted in the press raking them over the coals or
marginalizing them doesn't undermine that framing.
me wander off pondering how much human development would have
been if the operant word behind the scenes wasn't "Mine" but
"Team" or "Family" without the conventional boundaries.
not Mayan...I'm talking about
the volcano blowing and flowing in the Philippines...
December 21, 2009
Sleepy Week Ahead
Although published in early 2001, Robert Kaplan's book The Coming Anarchy: Shattering the Dreams of the Post Cold War
sure seems prescient as I click through one of my morning
routine searches. Just like 'back in the day' I go through
a reporter's 'beat' comprised of search words that help me get
what I think is a good sense of where the world's going.
Take the word 'riot' for example.
good news (since I'm just full of Christmas cheer today) is that
a potential flare-up between Iraq and Iran has been chilled as "Iraq
takes back oil well, OKs separate oil deal".
on the positive side is that "OPEC
set to leave output limited unchanged" as they meet this
This puts oil stable around $73.
positive side for the market, there's some evidence that the
Fed's massive intervention has worked and "TIPS
give way to inflation as deflation yields drop".
enjoy it while you can since according to the
validation spiders, we're starting to get 4-6% linguistic 'fill'
on the expectation of 'context shift, economic' as no less than
four Chinese officials have said that as the US current account
deficit shrinks, that will mean less Chinese buying of
"China Central Banker says harder to buy U.S., Treasuries" although
that should come as no surprise.
this sets the stage for in early 2010 is a slowly emerging
realization that the US could end up buying huge UK debt issues
with the UK in return buying ours...a kind of symbiotic Ponzi
deal. Which will do fine - maybe - for the January
Treasury auction, but after that, someone's likely to figure out
the new circular-reference game. I mean besides us.
Futures up...Santa's rally continues?
Will Anyone Notice?
Federal government in DC will be closed today as the
Northeast digs out from under two feet of global warming.
Can those of us who don't work for Uncle also get a freebie day
off, too? Oh, not part of the ruling class? So
One thing making headlines in the snow:
A DC cop in hot water for drawing his gun at a snowball fight.
Somehow, It's a Story
I just love to see stories like this one because they
underscore how Americans have been desensitized to our own
reality. I refer to the headline that "Venezuela's
Chavez launches new police force". A little reading
around the net and you can pick up on the further demonization
of Chavez on this. "Why he must be a dictator
to do something like this..." is the thinking.
Like we don't have a national police force in the US?
Pray tell, what are the FBI, US Marshalls, and NORTHCOM?
Get a grip, Ovis.
Christmas Behind Bars
In order to make sense of the headline
"Midlands prisoners get better Christmas Menu than brave British
Soldiers" it helps to know that's a large UK prison.
Care to bet the TV offers more choices inside, too?
Headline in the UK Mail online "Was
Berlusconi attack faked?" Conspiracy theory YouTube video
becomes overnight sensation..." Say, you don't think
one of the PTB would do that do you?
Urge To Merge
Sanofi-Aventis sucks up Gold Bond skin products-maker Chattem
for $1.9 B.
The London Stock Exchange "LSE
takes 60 percent stake in Turquoise platform" in case you
wonder what the LSE is building in the way of a dark pool
platform. Not that you'll ever
trade in that pond...
Sign of the Times
I mentioned in Saturday's report to subscribers that the sign on
the entrance to WW II death camp Auschwitz had been stolen.
Today, word's out that
the sign has been recovered and five people have been arrested.
Not neo-Nazis, either. Just run-of-the-mill crooks looking
to score some cash, according to the reports.
See Spots, See Spots
www.spaceweather.com you can see how there are supposedly
three sunspots going on, which you'd think would allay some
of the concerns of people like me who have been looking at the
data wondering where have all the spots gone? We should
(by earlier forecasts) be up in the range of 5-10 sunspots
But here's my question, OK? Are the claimed spots visible
to the naked eye, OR only with a special filter on...in
which case it would be data-cooking, wouldn't it? We shall
Hungry New Year
Go read "2010
Food Crisis for dummies" - interesting and why we've been
harping on home gardens for how long?
--- snip and save section ---
Been Nice, Santa
Why is it that I get the feeling that Santa has unloaded his
best on the world well before Christmas this year?
Could it be that the last few minutes of 2009 will leave
investors munching some unsavory figures on Mass Layoffs (due
out this week), continued soft home sales, dropping personal
incomes and so forth? Or is there a more subtle message about
what's ahead when a Car & Driver blog talks about the newest "Mercedes-based
10,000 liter Water Cannon"?
But who would want such an item under their tree? I means
besides Germany ordering 78... When I see reports like
this I have to pause and ask myself: "What would Germany
ever need 7 8 water cannon on the street for
except....except...." My mind seizes up and the words
"Civil Disorder" come to mind.
And it's not like the mood is all season and harmonious as the
'net is still reverberating with a report in Hand Gun Magazine
that Homeland Security has inked a deal with Winchester to buy
200-million rounds of .40 S&W ammo finished with
135-grain hollow points.
You probably missed the report in the San Francisco Chronicle's
site that "S.F.
cop-training tear gas sickens people, dogs" when the wind
blew the wrong way.
Not that police don't have to train - they do. And it's
actually pretty cool that
San Jose cops are going to be testing body cameras.
But somewhere between the 'routine' tear gas and camera stories
on the one hand, and the 200-million rounds and new water cannon
on the other, there's what sure feels like a moving line...and
it doesn't seem to be moving in the direction of Peace on Earth
- Good Will Toward Men; know what I mean?
That sense of foreboding is further reinforced by reading the
Janet Daly column in the UK Telegraph: "There'll
be nowhere to run from the new world government" although
says the author global thinking t'ain't necessarily going to
work out as planned..
The global alignment of national governments is set to continue
full-speed ahead now that
a key senator (Bill Nelson, of Nebraska) got enough payoff in
terms of additional funding for his state to swing
his vote into the "Yes" column when this is pushed through in
the next couple of days.
On the plus side of healthcare, it may extend coverage to a few
more citizens - a good thing.
On the negative, alarmists around the net claim it sets up the
groundwork for a national health computer system and I keep
hearing talk in the worry-forums on the net that RFID chips,
incarceration for people that don't buy insurance, and authority
for federal health officials to mandate treatment, whether it
runs counter to your personal beliefs or not is part of the
I'm not so much worried about that (although don't get me wrong,
it's bothersome). Instead what I keep looking at is a
design pattern under which numerous moves are underway at a
global level to pave the way for 'One World Government."
When I see another that "Gulf
Arab States mover closer to single currency" the list of
'alignment efforts' of the PowersThatBe/Globalists comes into
pretty clear focus:
Nationalize US healthcare - give it a day or two.
Buy more civil control tools (water cannon and ammo)
Push a global tax system via Climate Change & carbon taxes
Melt currencies into regional blocks
The 'Surveillance State" emerges not only in the US and UK
as police camera salesmen hit their stride, but also in
places like India where "Smart cameras all over as traffic
Promote international food safety standards as a precursor
to control (Codex
Quietly honor newly issued "Super passports" (not
by a issued by a country ) to international agencies
Maintain a constant "State of Emergency" (the flu emergency
is still in force, BTW) so that Posse Comitatus is
And keep the best and the brightest of America's patriotic
sons and daughters out of the country in the sand box
defending the heroin production center of the world.
Taken as a whole body of shifting contexts, this is not meant to
radicalize; only to inform that there's a wholesale
grab-and-run-with-it by a central government that seems intent
on forgetting that States retain powers not specifically
delegated to the federal government. Of course, the only
place such an issue would get a fair trial is in a state
court and the only place that an interstate issue comes up
is a federal court so due process has been handed a
blindfold and cigarette from the get-go.
I'm a huge believer in exponential growth rates and I find
'exponent-seeking' a dandy way to look at life. As I told
Peoplenomics subscribers this weekend almost no one will stand
up and tell you straight out that the average inflation in
America since the founding of the federal reserve system has
been a shade over 3.2 percent - and that includes periods when
deflation was occurring. So if you're not making at least
3.2% on your money, you're not even keeping up with inflation.
Which gets us to the core problem: The world is
super-saturated with consumer goods, yet the only way to
maintain "growth" is to sell more stuff. And how
are we going to do that? At some point the world needs
some really serious production destruction from which to
rebuild, or a new kind of socioeconomic system that can handle
zero-growth (or even negative growth) without falling
Can global socialism do that? I wouldn't bet on it...that
that seems to be the path we're now on, like it or not.
A few moments of appreciating freedom and personal industry, the
results of a year's hard work and plans to work harder in the
future and climb the materialist rungs of society used to
be the model. But that's all going bye-bye.
When my EMT son comes down to the ranch this week for Christmas
we'll be picking up a conversation started last week.
"Dad...I'm really becoming a real minimalist..." What
I'm not clear on is how he'll answer the question "From where
comes the motivation to progress if you're a minimalist...in
other words, where's the quid pro quo, the bigger rewards for
bigger effort?" I'm fuzzy on how that works.
Since I'm not into clubs, trance & hip-hop music, dating
drop-dead gorgeous women, and doing long-distance bike rides
should be an interesting answer, but what I suspect is going on
is that he (and younger generations than boomers like me) have
been 'reframed' to think of the world as running out of
everything so minimalism takes root. I just can't figure
where's the motivation in that kind of world....besides personal
excellence, but again, from whence cometh it?
I'll let you know how it comes out...but it might be a very,
very long discussion.
Speaking of Stocking
My son sent down one of the gifts on Saturday: Don't know
if you have seen the new
"Paracord Survival Bracelets" on eBay but they range from
about $6-12 - depending on if you want to hang around for an
auction end, or just click 'Buy It Now" and be done with it.
They're bracelets that are made up of anywhere from 18-30 feet
of cord, depending on your wrist size.
Also of note: a place where you can
get a rifle
sling made out of braided cord - just the thing for Mssrs.
AK and Mossberg.
Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for
'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on
the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in
the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept
several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet
Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely,
it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers
and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as
you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our
charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it
shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with
the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close
replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you
were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929
deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the
truth be told.