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Published Monday
- Friday about 8 AM Central Time ....some typos are fixed by
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Busted Trades - But Hold The Meat Wagon Professionals in the public safety field have an expression - if a little 'gallows humor' is not out of line, and I think not, since a data entry error is being blamed for the market dropping almost a grand's worth Thursday. Against this backdrop, the gullible are expected to believe that this was all become someone entered an order wrong. What kind of idiots do the PTB that us for? In fact, so obvious was the intervention/spinning of yarns that my friend Robin Landry sent out this note to colleagues in the profession after the close Thursday:
BUSTED TRADES Of course Thursday did see some huge market disruptions - so big that the NASDAQ is busting all kinds of trades...7 pages worth of symbols for a 20-minute panic window! All the while saying (to quote the NASDAQTrader.com website - emphasis added by me for clarity)
No, none of my trades got busted, since I was out properly timed. But one could argue that by busting trades, the markets are keeping those who were properly positioned for a major downside move from profiting from it.
I asked Robin Landry about that issue this morning and he astutely observed "Markets have never been fair, George..." He then went on to explain how size really matters most and yep, that much is sure clear from the Thursday action.
And so the overnight picture isn't too bad. In Asia Japan was down 3.1%, while the Hang Seng dropped a mere 1% leading some cynic off in the outback of East Texas to wonder if China's apparent slight insulation from decline (1%) means that this is the first empirical evidence that China is becoming a 'Flight to Safety" destination which would make it (insert collective gasp here) the new world reserve currency as a co holder of that distinction with the US. --- Urpp-Yup...I mean Europe was only down about a percent in Germany and France, and even less so in the UK which gets us to our third story which we'll get to in a second. Third things first, second things third on Fridays, I always say...
The Dow closed last week at 11,008 and change. I expect there will be a full court press on today to get the Biggest Average to play Lazarus (rise from the dead, got it?), but an intelligent guess - and this is only a guess, is that the thousand point drop will be enough to make the case that Primary Wave 3 off the nominal market high in 2007, or even the purchasing power market high of 2000 is now about to unfold.
If you're zoomed way out and look at the aggregate values (like I do) the purchasing power high was 2000, the purchasing power low was either early 2002 or March of 2009 (too lazy to pencil that) and now we're just be breaking the P2 (The Big LaBounsky) off either one of those lows with this week's action.
While this is not trading advise I suppose in the interest of full disclosure I should admit I took all my put positions off around the height of yesterday's panic and my plan is now to wait until the Bulls come back for more abuse...and I'd give them (and so does one of Robin's counts) to the 10,900-10,950 Dow kinda range before another "entry error" (ROF-LMAO) causes the market to do what markets always do: They go down and then they go up. And then they go down...and then they go....yada, yada, yada.... --- "So what was the 'meat wagon' reference about, Ure?"
Oh, that. Well, one of the ways law enforcement types, paramedics, firemen, and ambulance-chasing newscasters keep their professional 'tough as nails' exterior demeanor on (shields up) is by wrapping themselves in gallows humor. Granted, its a temporary reprieve until a couple of shots of whatever after work show up...but for many it's a coping mechanism for doing the world's worst (but very occasionally most rewarding) of jobs.
"Get me a medic
unit!" means to do just that...get an EMT/Paramedic on scene
right now. Market is in that conditions which is why
the President's Working Group on Markets stands in the
background ready to throw in another lifeline. No, dear
reader, the existence of
the Plunge Protection Team is not some urban myth. It's
all laid out in Executive Order 12631 and it's why the [not
really] Federal Reserve get so preoccupied with their phrase
that pays...put your hands on your computer and repeat after
me "FINANCIAL STABILITY, HALLELUJAH!" Yesterday, the financial Paramedics got to the scene on time. If you knew where to look, you could hear their sirens coming when the market passed the 'down 500 level' so with a deft click/poof, off go 30 of George's put options on a major financial stock and happily I then ran off to the sidelines to count cash.
Over the next day, week, or month(s) I think we'll work our way back up to the 10,900 and maybe (small chance, but gotta list it) we could kiss the bottom side of 11,000 on the Dow. (Sounded kinda kinky, for which which I apologize...or nearly so...)
If, or to my thinking when. the market does that, yours truly will go as we say in poker here in Texas "All IN!"
This time the Paramedics worked, but not too well, as the recovery was only partial. Next time? I'm afraid we'll have to call the coroner.
And what does the coroner's office drive? - as all LEO's, firefighters, and newsmen know?
The meat wagon.
Payback's a Bitch and other Warnings Another thought: With financial reform pending in Washington, (and you saw in the NY Daily News how "GOP regulation plan is show down by White House" Thursday and then market dumps?) you don't suppose this was the PTB firing a warning shot not to 'Mess with us or we'll crash your economy!" do you? No, who would do such a thing but a bunch of miscreant pricks who worship at the Church of the Almighty Dollar.
Want another one? Also, the Bill which would call for Congressional Audits of the Fed died a quick death in the Senate. Praise the Lord and pass the Big LaBounsky...it's all a co-inky-dink! I swear (More often than I should, too.) --- More? Is there no end to your curiosity? Well then, remember all that hate mail I was getting about how "You and Cliff and that predictive linguistic stuff you do you're all full of crap on your May 6th call about changes of fortunes...you're Charlatans!".
Uh...sure dude, whatever.....We've been talking about the May 6 turn for how long? --- Did I mention May 6th was the date (in 1937) that the Hindenburg (LZ 129) crashed at Lakehurst NAS in New Jersey? I should mention that in passing, I suppose... --- Greek rioting continued yesterday and this morning the lower house of the German parliament decided to back the bailout of Greece. I suppose if they don't what would start to rip the Euro apart, but fundamentally nothing has changed in the markets. We still have a runaway gusher a mile under the Caribbean, a market that's on crack (or worse) and Britain's governance is up for grabs thanks to those...
Well Hung Brits With any luck, the British have started to come to their senses about being led by a pack of ninnies like Gordo the Gold Seller as "Conservatives make sweeping gains across England."
Now, what the world needs to propel GlobalRev along would be several countries casting out political duopolies and replacing them with multiple parties since the duopolies invariably feed at the same political paymaster troughs. Time to get independent and pro human...but I suppose it's a little early for that although that's where GlobalRev leads as any student of French history knows. Now, in other noose...
Unemployment Goes Up: 9.9% Besides mentioning the futures are up a tad (duh) the next biggie that people will be thinking about -- since the oil gushing into the world's oceans at a planet-killer rate -- is getting to be old news...and may be until our long awaited Diaspora (from the Gulf) starts to pop up in a few weeks. But, we get ahead of things. Let's back up to this morning when we can safely report...
The usual comments on the three most important numbers number to look at. First is the workforce number which we saw this month was 805-thousand which feels OK. Stock futures seem up a tad. Of course, let's not forget how many people were hired to do Census work and how long is it before those gigs run out?
Next, we go on to the CES Birth/Death Model which purports to accurately estimate how many jobs were created in various industries. For example...this morning's report says there were 188,000 jobs estimated into existence. 73-thousand in leisure and hospitality, which pardon me for saying this, sounds a little suspect for April, don'tcha think? Up 63-thousands in business services? Maybe...but doesn't smell right.
And 22,000 more construction jobs when we have a 103-montyh oversupply of existing housing stocks? Hand me that pipe?
And then last but not least, we wallow around in the numbers of the U-6 Alternative measures of Labor Under Utilization and notice that on a seasonally adjusted basis, underutilized labor is up to 17.1% from last months 16.9%...
Notice how "Productivity increased at a 3.6 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2010" earlier this week but the unemployment picture has gotten worse?
There are only two possible truths - Oone or both of these must be true:
Hate to tell it so harshly, but that's the real deal, plain as daylight to the aware class of humans. Both of us.
But gosh, this gives us an opportunity to give government and even bigger share of our income in the form of taxes to help feed the people that corpgov policies put out on the streets while repo'ing their homes which were pandered by immoral banksters and their shills to people who had no business owning them using any kind of reasonable metrics of incomes to outgoes.
Comes home to roost, or so I seem to notice.
Spill/Blood You know all those references to the oil slick in the GOM looking like Blood? Here's a NY reader note worth pondering:
Send the Horsemen pictures if you catch any, too...
--- snip and save section ---
Coping: Hyperchronism At the WuJo DeLuxe Friday I sometimes actually pull down voicemail from Monday and go through the inbox. Like this one:
Gotta reread that post earlier this week about 'time tracks' because it seems that when alternative futures bust apart and they come back together again (after being apart a while) there is the potential for a pretty good-sized time difference - in your case, 16 minutes worth.
Also on topic in this particular email filter:
I've noticed, that will a little practice I seem to be able to synch up with kairos some mornings...like this one. When I get in this state not only do I find time seems to slow down (in a martial arts experience sort of way) but it also leaves me an amazing amount of time to do other stuff. It's only three hours, but on days like this it seems like a whole day happens and I even have time to stop and much down a couple of piece of leftover shrimp pizza, play with the cats, jot down some coding notes for the national Dream Center dbase and still as I write this it's a half hour before the Employment numbers come out. It's just flat-ass weird. Hell, I may even proof-read today's column...OMG that's a lot of time to have on hand.
Wait! I've got it! I'm experiencing something that's really quite common! Just slipped my mind. Of course time moves slowly today -- It's Friday! Everyone knows time is slow on Friday. It sometimes takes 3-4 weeks worth of time on Friday to get from Lunch to Miller Time.
OK: Another sample out of this same email filter yields an account of not two but three 'natures of time' experience:
Uh huh...
"Irwin's" Latest Dream George had another one of those vivid dreams last night - of the same 'flavor' dream-wise as the one I posted the day before the big blowout in the Gulf.
This one went something like this: I was with a group of workers in some kind of an industrial plant - oddly, even got the sense that it may have been a nuclear power plant or some kind of chemical plant. Anyway, suddenly, there was a lot of smoke...not blue smoke, more a dark gray smoke and I remember people being urged to 'Run outside" and as people came out of the building, there was someone else yelling.. "run into the wind...the smoke is poisonous!"
Well, that's kinda strange, but given that I haven't been thinking about chemical plants, poisonous smoke, or running into the wind to get away from killer smoke lately, and since it had that same kind of dream quality, I thought I'd mention in just in case something pops up in the headlines in the near future...up to three weeks out if I've got this borderland between predictive linguistics and dreams even close to figured out, although I doubt I'll have to wait that long.
Oh...also got the strong impression that the person who was being viewed was a young to middle-aged woman, maybe early 30's. Strange , huh?
Send your comments to george@ure.net Shop Till You Drop Department: Peoplenomics This Week Twilight of the Jets As we've got the remnants of that oil spill lapping at the mouth of the Mississippi River, and no doubt a reaction to near-shore oil drilling will follow close on its heels, could it be Universe is dropping serious hints about ways we need to change our modes of transportation? This week we ponder whether a planned vacation this summer will ever come to pass since since outcomes and 'changes of fortune' are already in the air (and water) in a serious way and we're not even to the changing fortunes period. Time to start front running 'restrictions on travel"? More For Subscribers To Subscribe, CLICK HERE Need Logon Assistance? Click here.
Cookie Video The folks at Maxa Research have put together a short video (sound track by guess who?) that shows the Maxa Cookie Manager. You can see it here.
I don't usually get all whipped up about software, but this is one of those dandy tools that just simply works great. First thing I put on my new computer when I got it was Avira Anti-virus and Maxa Cookie Manager (MCM). Either follow the on-screen download instructions of simply click:
Once you try it out, to upgrade to the fully functioning version, just click the upgrade button (!) on the upper right hand side for the $35 unlock to get it to remove even those nasty and highly intrusive 'non-browser specific' cookies. Bonus: You computer may run faster.
"Live on $10,000" A Year Having a hard time making ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on #10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic download. It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too..... Click here for the index and details.
MyGroPonics My commodity broker JB Slear and I have written a simple book to get you started on high density hydroponics. It's an example of how someone with a little creativity, access to a few 'dollar stores' and willing to try out some new farming techniques can grow an amazing amount of produce sin a very small space - like even an apartment balcony (if it gets some sunlight). Sound interesting? It's just $10 bucks here...
Pass It On A different take on things - that's what you'll find here most mornings. If you know of anyone who might also like our content, simply click here and send a link to them. Or, if you hated what you read, send the link to all your 'worst enemies'. Like they say in Burbank, "Ain't no such thing as bad press..." ---- Last week's report is always here.
Thursday May 6, 2010 P3 Underway!!?? Unless we get one hell of a rally today, P3 - primary Wave 3 from the all times highs is possibly underway with the Dow briefly down more than 900 points. At the moment, it's back over the 10,400 'line in the sand' but tensions are ratcheting up all over the place.
Not to say: "I TOLD YOU SO!!!" But did you happen to notice the date? (Hint: May 6th sound familiar?) and we were expecting a major 'change of fortunes" about now?
You satisfied yet? Marvelous stuff this predictive linguistics out of HalfPastHuman, huh?
I've just sold my short portions and will reload for another leg down after we rally off the collapse down more than 900. May have to drag out that pre-Revolution Cuban Cigar on this one...
The only question is whether we ultimately bounce off the March 2009 low (6,627 on the Dow) as the year wears on, or we go right to the 4,400 level. A close over 10,400 would infer a good bounce - I'm guessing to the 10,950 area, but otherwise, how do you like your toast? --- In the first Depression the market was said to be a "grinder" - just when people thought it was safe to get back in...Wham! And whatever they put in was taken back from them once against by the bankster class.
Same thing - in slightly slower motion is going on now...but you see the point? Our strategy to be only a small percentage (like 1%) of our net worth in any kind of paper asset really is 'showing its stuff' now. Because, as my friend Robin Landry is so fond of saying: In this kind of market it's not whether you'll make a return on your money, but if you'll see a return of your money.
Always trim sails early, and beware of irrational exuberance, eh?
And update at the close. Keep your shirt on if you can and don't go losing it off your back.
Global Competitive Devaluations Now we're really into the fun part of Depression 2.0...the "What Next?" part. Futures are indecisive. Jobs?
Been slow getting off to a start - why it's been more than 10-years since the Dow hit its all-time high. That is, if you have enough presence of mind to apply even the (not really) Federal Reserve's reporting of inflation. On this basis, the nominal peak of the Dow in October of 2007 was nice, but no cigar on a purchasing power basis: On purchasing power the Dow has never been higher than the early part of Y2K. Sucks, but that's where your retirement maybe went bye-bye.
After going through a couple of rounds of papering-over, including the Housing Bubble which what's his Al, we come now to the part where there's not much left to puff up and there's a shortage of jobs for sure, and with a reasonable system of Tariff's to make offshoring America jobs less profitable, about all that's left is global competitive currency devaluations.
What's this? A CNBC story that "European Union, Currency are Headed for Collapse: Gartman." Gee...where have I heard that before?
Answer: Jim Sinclair of www.jsmineset.com years ago. It's tough being right so far ahead of time...people don't respect those who get things right early...just those I guess who get the timing closest before the event. Go figure. Einstein wasn't the first with e=mc2 some argue. But his timing was impeckerble. --- After three dead in the burning bank incident in Greece yesterday and no doubt more riotous behaviors coming (it is a GlobalRev after all) the headlines that the "Greek government ready to "walk" austerity" seems belated.
Like anyone in the US should talk about financial sanity, pardon me... LOL. Here we are with slapstick governance, the greatest country on earth winning by default through the insanity of others - and pure luck - near as I can tell. We run as big a numbers game here and as long as the public doesn't think through the numbers too deeply, everyone is happy. Today's example? The envelope, please....
Productivity Soars This is one of those headlines I was able to write well ahead of events because given that the people in Washington are spinning the "Recovery Myth" no reason why anything other than an increase in productivity could be reported. Lemme see here...ah yes...
Just as a local but very clear-cut example of the "soaring productivity" mythos, step into the UrbanSurvival News Operation Center:
You'll notice how much more productive I have been with my columns here over the past year. Going from 4 GB of RAM tied to a Core-Duo Vista machine to 12 GB of screaming i-7 1333 FSB DDR3 quad crossfire video, four monitors instead of just two and Windows 7 has not changed my typing speed or accuracy one iota. But I'm more productive...I'm sure of it! Just can't see any evidence of it...probably neither can you. Maybe the quad core i7 runs cooler or something I'm not measuring?
Slip, Sliding Away The MSCI World Index has gone negative for the year with markets declining globally...some shock that, huh?
Polarization in Media Depending on who you read, the MSM may be somewhat discerned by looking at coverage of the International Atomic Energy Agency's latest discussions of proliferation.
Some example headlines:
"Nuclear watchdog urges united international pressure on Iran" says a Reuters story. But, on the other hand, "IAEA chief focuses on Israel" says an AP story. And somewhere in the middle, China's Xinhua comes up with "UNSC permanent members talk up Mideast nuclear ban."
I'll take the economic stir-fry with a side of deuterium, please. --- Iran's holding war games starting today. Israel held some a few weeks back if I recall. Don't see a happy outcome to this.
Universe's Wry (But not Dry) Humor Sometimes you have to look carefully to see how Universe works and reveals a really strange sense of humor.
Let's take this one step at a time in headlines so you can follow what I'm getting at: "Concord (Mass.) fires first shot in water battle" headlined the Boston Global Saturday. And along about then, along comes the huge water main break in Boston. 15 miles from Concord. Although "Turns out Boston-area water was OK to drink all along" says a report this morning. --- Meantime Universe was having other water problems over the weekend in what USA Today calls "Splashville!" Tennessee.
So this morning over our coffee, we read from the Book of Crash Test Dummies...3rd Verse of "God Shuffled His Feet"
Amen. Universe seems to have water issues...why, I can find other examples going all the way back to The Flood.
Voting in the UK Will today see the end of Gordo the Gold Seller Brown's run of British politics? If he wins, we'll go back and read CTD Verse 3 again...
"Final polls point to hung Parliament" is a curious headline. Not sure whether it's a report or call to action?
The Nervous PTB Dutchy queen goes to Remembrance day ceremony and someone yells something unintelligible... 30 people end up getting injured in resulting confusion/fracas.
$64-million dollar question: What was yelled? SciFi novel plotline: Was it "The Word" that decloaks reptilians maybe?
Ever wonder why aristocrats/aristocratettes are called 'blue bloods'?
Plug In, Cheer Up Dept. Say, here's an interesting little science note: "Depression treatable by electromagnetic therapy: study."
The way they're doing this, says the article is "known as repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS)."
Around the ranch here, we use a different type of electromagnetic therapy. We turn the TV news off.
National Day of Prayer "Ruling won't stop National Day of Prayer this year" says a CNN headline about today which is the National Day or Prayer. Good. My list is pretty short:
Notice I didn't mention anything having to do with Water?
--- snip[ and save section ---
Coping: Another 'Irwin Allen' Dreams There I was having one of my 'Irwin Allen' dreams - so called because they are spectacular - in the grand thriller/adventure of a lifetime that made a whole genre of films by Hollywood's legendary 'master of disaster' Irwin Allen so famous.
My latest spectacle was interesting in that it had started in a battlefield somewhere and the soldiers on my side knew they were engaged in a war that was supposed to be deadly serious, but when the brass weren't looking, they were having fun with it - dropping out of the regimentation that goes with ground armies...been around this particular battlefront before in dreams and didn't seem to be much changing. But suddenly a jump cut and and I was presented two boxy looking trucks - one black, and the one on the right was red and I was viewing both from the back. Somehow I knew one of the trucks had a nasty habit of somehow 'throwing their drivers'. It was almost like a rodeo sense about them. Truly odd.
Then another jump cut and the scene flips over to three garbage collection workers involved in another situation. Strangely, all were wearing those ubiquitous blue rubber gloves and we all somehow got to debating what to do with all the spoiled milk, both regular and chocolate that had to be dealt with. All of which seemed to have something to do with the flooding up north in Tennessee...so I made a note to watch for issues related to the cleanup of Nashville and in particularly stories about dairying and spoiled milk....yada, yada, yada...
And then things got weird.
I awoke with a full bladder and as I returned to bed Elaine said "I just got this really strong impression of a box on the outlet by your wall being hot - like it might try to catch fire...we have to check it later today....I remember seeing scorched and very hot...."
Hmmm... after touching the wall wart plugged in to power my shortwave radio (warm but certainly not hot and dismiss everything as "Just Elaine having an odd thought...)" the phone rings. Here's where things get freaky...it was my son George (II) calling...
Too damn strange! My two trucks, the throwing people, Elaine's concerns about scorching/fire potential from my 'outlet' and then to have my son call and tell me about shooting fire video? I mean withing 5-minutes!
And get this off the KOMO-TV news site (which also has picture of the fire BTW) "A box truck and a camper were destroyed in the blaze, witnesses said." Hmmm...my two trucks"? --- Several readers have asked whether I was aware that Google's venture group is putting money into a project which will attempts to 'tell the future' by scanning the Internet. Yep. One in particular asked whether we felt this was somehow a rip-off of all the work that has gone into the web bot project. I can't speak for Cliff, but I expect that anyone who's interested would find we've already gone prior art in a huge portion of the use of the internet for predictive purposes, so in terms of IP, been there, done that.
Longer answer? Time's short enough (given what ahead in November) that such things may not matter. What does matter is that humans (omnihumanity as Cliff calls it) needs to do a better job of tapping into our collective future in order to be best prepared for whatever it is that's coming.
Let me put this into even clearer perspective. A review of the literature says that there is a continuum of access to future events. When an event is years - if not centuries out into the future - it is somewhat like a very, very weak radio signal. Might be accessible only by using a specially tuned receiver (human) and there use of oils, fumes, vapours, drugs, skrying devices may indeed help people like Nostradamus, just to pick a familiar one.
Then as a Big Event gets closer, we know from the 13-year lead we've got on the Johnny-come-lately types that the closer an event come both temporally (e.g. in time) and the more impacting on the number of humans, the more lead-time there appears to be.
Just before events pop, the probability of an event arising out of the quantum foams (or if you were around 5,000 years ago, it would have arisen from the kalapas) we get into an area of nonlinearity where strange things begin to foreshadow future events. People make subtle changes in their use of language without even knowing it. That's the basis of the whole predictive linguistics project. ("Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery" comes to mind about the johnny-come-lately types.)
Beyond this, as an event gets even closer, there gets to be a period where a big/widely impacting event starts showing up in people's dreams as was the case when on Monday April 19, I wrote up one of my "Irwin Allen dreams" which was experienced the Night of April 18/19 and preceded the Oil Rig accident in the Gulf by about 20-hours or so.
Having a vivid dream with aspects of the future event - and then noticing how Elaine and I both caught 'aspects' of the phone call from my son before that fire under the Ballard Bridge phone call...all served to remind me that there's much more work to be done in the area.
As a result, I've noodling a Provisional Patent Application in the mail describing a system and method note only for predicting the future based on the work Cliff's done, but going further and building a full-up time scope by combining the underlying SQL meta sets that Cliff's work produces and running the meta sets against a large SQL database designed to capture aspects and attributes of people's dreams.
"Ah...interesting stuff...but where you gonna get this SQL database of people's dreams that you'll be able to use as the additional stage of 'tuning' to improve the predictive linguistics work?
Good question. I'm building it.
See www.nationaldreamcenter.com. building it on the fly. Should be up and running shortly. Weeks - depending on workload and the availability of my programmer for the SQL backend work. Just a sketchpad of how I intend to go about the collection process - data elements are defined, so it's really just a matter now of writing and coding and that shouldn't be terribly difficult. We're talking a couple of SQL tables, a registration system, and some basics like that. --- The National Dream Center will have an independent output (based strictly on dreams collected from others who have this "Irwin Allen Disease'. And then, with a simple API, we can cross connect the meta sets off Cliff's work and likely improve accuracy on major events; certainly at the national level, but more likely even down to the city level.
To put the analogy into existing electronic terms, think of how a super heterodyne radio works.
In the case of the 'superhet', a single antenna input is used. In what I've set off build, we'll be using a free-running 'receiver' in predictive linguistics against another free-running receiver (dream collection).
The idea of letting
two databases 'run against one another' is what humans already
do to a large extent. It's more than thoroughly described
in Julian Jayne's great work: The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind Bottom line: I'm pretty sure that having two independent input databases (predictive linguistics running against National Dream Center data) would result not only in a much greater resolution into future events, but may also form the basis for breakthroughs in machine consciousness. After all, the human brain has two hemispheres for different inputs (math, science (left hemisphere) and logic in one 'database' and 'art, poetry, music' in the other (right hemisphere)).
It's just that in humans, the 'moderation' between hemispheres is bounded by repetition of social programming. In the case of machine moderation, we can tweak that moderation all over hells half acre.
Am I disappointed that our prior work (mostly Cliff's but a bit from me) hasn't/wasn't recognized by the deep pocket folks? Duh.
However, since most of the technology is well enough described so that someone sufficiently skilled in the art could cobble it up, there's not likely much in the way of IP to be had now. It's all been well described (so it's prior art) on this site, in Peoplenomics, Cliff's reports out of www.halfpasthwuman.com and now the whole heterobase concept is out there for AI types to ponder...yeah two databases in free-running mode, differentiated input streams, moderated by a bounded randomizer looking for best rule fits and testing against future desired outcomes/goals...pretty much what humans are, whether we think of that part of ourselves in those terms, or no.
Who'd you say is making what in who's image here?
Wednesday May 5, 2010 Laughing at Disaster Stock stock market opens this morning a mere 77 points from partial disaster. I say partial because crossing under Dow 10,850 is like a suicidal person stepping out onto the ledge of a very tall building. No, they haven't jumped to an inevitable conclusion however many floors down, but the odds of getting them safely back from the ledge are lower.
The place where they are leaning out and at the point of losing it completely is slightly lower: down around Dow 10,600-10,700. A kind of large range, but necessarily so since the slight gust of [financial] winds can push people off even if they have a sudden change of heart at the last minute.
Not a perfect analogy for the markets, but close enough for home use - and besides - this isn't trading advice. European markets are still out on the ledge, too, but about even; more'n likely waiting to see what the rest of the world does and watching to see who will step up to save Greece.
In Asia, Japan as a bounce to the upside last night, but the 800-pound gorilla (the Hang Seng) down another 2.1% so the risk of global 'contagion' is far from over.
The good news (such as it is) may come with even smallish footnote kinds of financial stories; anything the bulls can spin into another great 'Recovery is coming - everyone get long!" yarn. Not that noisy floor variations in the ADP employment report, the ISM data, or crude inventories can single-handedly save us from collapse, but tomorrow and Friday will be the telling days.
Thursday will have the initial weekly claims figures out, not that this should change much - too early for all those Census part-timers to be coming back on the roles yet. But productivity numbers is another problem of the 'rock and hard spot' variety. If Productivity is up, it may seem like good news. But, the way the economy is perched on the ledge, it simply means consumption may be returning to 'normal'
The problem with extremes of productivity are that with business 100% efficient, there's no need for humans to be involved in automated processes. Once upon a time, higher production meant at minimally more warehouse workers. Today with automated pick & pull systems, a/k/a Warehouse Management Systems, it's can be just a minor code tweak.
On the other hand, if Productivity drops a lot then it could mean fewer humans that way, too. There just won't be a 'right answer' except for a bounded solution that's not too high or not too high. Like the Three bears porridge, the answer will try to be "Just right..."
Friday's Unemployment Report will be a biggie, no matter how it happens, but as usual, we'll be watching the behind-the-headlines jiggering that goes on. First, we'll watch the workforce number. If the number of workers is about the same, then reducing the available workforce is a fine way to puff up the employment rate (and consequently understate unemployment).
The other thing to watch is the Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization (U-6) report which shows the number of seriously under employed people. Ugly number that really doesn't get its due in the limelight of the bought & paid for CorpMedia/MSM because it might require more than 10-seconds to explain and God knows, we can have that let loose in the wilds of "Sound Bite World'.
Late in the Friday session, the Consumer Credit Report will be released by the (not really) Federal Reserve. That's where we see how well the sheeple are responding to the hype and going further into debt. If the Debt is increase...ooops, sorry credit is increasing, that means collapse will be slower. Declining consumer debt (or credit if you're a bankster) is bad as it will be a continuation of the very short term tendency of people to reign in spending on stoopid products that break anyway.
After the close Friday, the next FDIC report will come out and as I'm sure you're aware, there has been an increase in the rate of closures/reorganizations that past month, or so, and that last week 175 branches of seven banks including three in Puerto Rico were marched to the wall.
Year to date, I count 622 branches as being reorg'ed or close versus 159 in the same period of of 2009. So, we could say without bending truth more than our leaders that "On a branch basis, bank failures are running 3.9-times the 2009 rate...).
Of course, the PR Department of the bankster coalition I'm sure would argue that just counting institutions, the run rate is only 2.2 times 2009'[s rate.
All of which leads to a good belly laugh because over time, more and more people are figuring out that food prices are coming to the USA and when coupled with high gas & oil prices (skip this morning's noise trading down to $82 a barrel). As major clues in case all the predictive linguistic work point toward food shortages and outright famine wasn't enough headlines in the US that "Store Prices highest since January" and food specifically was up 2% for the month which thanks to the magic of compounding is north of 26.8% annualized.
Food price reports out of India should be further incentives to roll out of useless paper assets and into some person farm land...where food price inflation has eased to just 16.7% annualized in March.
"Can't happen here in the good ole USA, though..." you may be thinking. But, only if you haven't been following the flooding in Tennessee which has screwed up everything from farming to Opryland Hotel accommodations.
If your brain has been kicked into compound low by the morning shot of coffee (except perhaps in Boston, where boiling water due to a water main break has caused coffee sales to trickle) you might start wondering in here "What the hell did George mean about laughing at disaster in this morning's headline?"
Ah...back to that are we?
Well, I don't know for sure, but I expect there will be enough happy talk about the economy generated that the market should maybe slow its collapse and take a good, hard bounce off the 10,850 range. Futures are lower early on and that might me we'll go out and kiss the ledge and then rally nicely.
Wild-eyed options players (like me, I suppose) might look at a 3-month chart and figure that a decline from 11,250 to down around 10,850 would be a 400-point decline and a short-term rally into options expiration that ran a perfect Fibonacci 61.8% could lead us back north of 11,000 to say (just guessing and this is not trading advice) 11.113.2.
Nice chance to unload some shorts, play a very short-term long game, and then load up on the shorts again around the options expiration rally. Nope, not a bad strategy to pencil out...besides if it doesn't work out (as these things seldom do) we'll still be able to laugh as disaster. After all, it's just paper anyway.
Yes My Sun Got an email alert just in:
Oh, frigging dandy - so in about 3-days or so, the magnetosphere may get whacked again, so put "Watch for earthquakes popping" between today and Sunday, or so...
Deadly Riots "3 Dead during Greek Riots" is only the latest evidence of what I refer to as GlobalRev.
Of course, the Blame Game is one of the highest rated of all PTB/MSM pastimes and no shortage of 'riotous' material today... "Police blame May Day riot on anarchists" in Santa Cruz.
Even mainstream revolutionaries are having problems as Hugo "Chavez losing support of Venezuela's blue-collar workers" not that a little help from some alphabet agencies probably doesn't somehow figure into this.
Riot police are clashing with journalists in Cameroon.
I would have marked World Press Freedom Day - but as long as internet sites (like this one) are blocked by corpgov monitors and ISP's at whim, it ain't free. The imminent death of net neutrality will finish it off, I figure.
Blame Games Oh boy, here's a fine way to look at the news with a useful reality filter: You saw (presumably) that the Obama administration is blaming the Emirates Airlines for dropping the ball and letting the Times Square bomber suspect board?
Then we have "Republicans reject 'blame game' on oil spill." Of course the republicorps which torpedoed the nation with the housing bubble, Alan Greenspan and a couple of wars (did I mention hellacious deficits?) is always blameless.
My friend Howard Hill likens the difference between the (alleged) political parties as being like comparing the Mafia to a disorganized group of shoplifters. Criminals either way I point out...but his point is well taken.
By the way, not to steal his thunder, but go look at the 30+ days delinquent mortage rate chart on Howard's Tuesday posting.
Bugged So, turns out this week we find "Mosquitoes inherit DEET resistance". Why, that's nothing! People in Washington inherit accountability resistance.
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Coping: Hyperchronism Down at the WuJo There's been much popping in modelspace recently about Hyperchronism - a kind of odd behaviors of time bit bucket around here. Cliff's got a dandy explanation of it on the HalfPastHuman.com site here.
I've been keeping an eye out for 'time anomalies' and they are showing up with increasing frequency. Like this report:
Don't want to break the news to you, but this is what Hyperchronism is about - these odd jumps. If I were a betting man, I'd say that either 1) there is a parallel universe increasing intersecting with ours, and as the intersections become more and more frequent, as we get closer to 1011/201, then the incidence of this type of event should increase exponentially OR my second guess 2) is that Hugh Everett's work on the Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics has another aspect of it...namely, divergent tracks in time coming back together.
Let's consider some of the implicates here: One might be that prayer (or mental conditioning/meditation or simply 'seeking right path' puts a person on a given track through life. They keep bouncing onto parallel (but pleasant!) side trips that come back into the overall timestream.
On the other hand, people with negative energy, bad outlooks, bad karma, or whatever, may for whatever reason persist in taking bummer side trips to the land of thievery, jail, drug/alcohol abuse, and throw in whatever else in the way of bummers.
It may even be that these side trips are why each of us is still alive today -- because had we not chosen to co-create this particular day/circumstance with Universe, we could just have easily been on a (poor way of putting this) dead-end that when split Universe(s) come back together may not include the same people - or they may be dead...that kind of thing; the implicate of taking a 'wrong turn' in the co-creation of your life.
This conscious 'pathing' process may explain how power of prayer and positive thinking works. Not saying it does for sure, but in all our study of time it's apparent that what we think of as here/now is really just an intersection of energies (the kalapas) and at some level, we all help call our reality into existence and the magic of this time/space stuff is that it makes it all possible very much in The Matrix type fashion, but different.
I had another one of these events to share involving cell phone time and stove time, which got accidentally erase, so if that reader would resend it, I'd appreciate it. I'd like to share that because it was along the same lines as the phenomena described by this reader.
The good news / bad news is that this all contributes to what is meta layered as "surreal" in modelspace so if we picture a future were the Obama administration gets a couple (two) more oil rig-sized beyond-government-control/ability to fix problems going, and we have food shortages, a sense of GlobalRev among people rebelling against corpgov and the PowersThatBe - and toss in a good number of people going through the stuck drooling state trying to reconcile surreal Hyperchronism events, than that's the kind of future we have to look forward to this year.
I can't help but notice that there are some new projects popping up around the net to try and get to where we've already gotten in our project...but we've got lots of prior art in this. And, I'm busily working on the next iteration in humans-seeing-what's coming...should be ready to launch in a month, or so. I'll keep you apprised of that as developments warrant and I get the project moved along into the coding stage.
WuJo Wednesday, Part Tew While bending time may seem a bit head-trippish, like the old lsaying goes "But wait! There's More!"
A long time reader (who also raises goats, by the way on a 600 acres spread up northeast of us a state or two) sent this:
Ed Grimsley's site is over here. And while you may be satisfied that what's been seen are ultra high altitude bees, that wouldn't explain why they'd be shooting light beam at one another, would it? Just checking...
Around the Ranch Sore as the Dickens from tractoring and I can hardly wait to get everything done around here that needs doing. It'll never happen, of course, as that's the nature of farms and ranches - there's always one more thing that can be improved upon.
Latest problem is a wild rabbit who has taken to coming into the garden and ripping up this, or that, and Zeus & Puscilla, the supposed guard cats have not been earning their flea powder or Catheria shots.
Missed the local ham radio club's hamburger feed last night (damn!) but sore enough I can still hardly move...eating aspirin and coffee may be hard on the gut but any port in a storm
Will be on the Jeff Rense radio show tonight where we've cover whatever happens in the market and the longer term outlook - 8 PM Pacific.
Reminds me to send CoastToCoast editor Lisa Lyon a note today for fine radio programming lining up the 5/5/ George Noory show with an economic development expert for a couple of hours of bummer economic talk (like we dispense here) and then following up with an hour of discussion of a new book and research on happiness. Our kinda humor.
Biggest item on tap today: Due to talk to a west coast owner of a large steel offshore sailboat. Been thinking we might want to have a backup to the backup plan so why not a 50 foot steel offshore boat? How does life get better? I mean besides a winning Power Ball ticket?
One serious ranch note: Since the installation of my fancy new electronic weather station a couple of weeks back we have had a whopping 0.04" of rainfall. The closest reporting station up north of us in Tyler, Texas reports we're almost 5 inches behind on rainfall this year and that's a bit worrisome.
Just want to mention this is advance just in case a bunch of local cattlemen come by trying to blame my weather instruments for what could turn into drought if we don't start getting a little rainfall...Besides the AK I have printed up a set of driving instructions on how to get to Nashville.
Tuesday May 4, 2010 50 Points to Disaster Robin Landry my long-time friend who is a broker who left the fast lane long ago and lives up in Shawnee, OK, sent an advisory out to his colleagues in the industry who follow his technical analysis work, which he kindly allows us to share:
This is the same start of P3 down possibility I've been mentioning in the weekly Peoplenomics.com reports. As usual, this is NOT trading advise. However, I think it worth mention that the Dow Transport Index was down more than 4.3% and under Dow Theory that's tantamount to disaster. Guess I can't gripe too much with the invested portion of my personal account is up 10% for the day - so far. Sort of makes up for the sluggish performance (and losses occasionally, too) at other times. If I can win 75/25, good enough for me.
Oil Impact Tuesday "How bad is it going to be?" readers have been asking for almost a week, now that the impacts of the oil rig sinking in the Gulf are coming into focus? Tough question, that, since this is a problem that will no doubt weigh on the Gulf for some time to come. A friend down in Houston (in the industry) writes:
So one of the impacts may be a slow-motion Exodus of US oil rigs which really plays badly when it comes to US energy independence thinking. It also near as I can figure, may hint that terrorism (at least from al Qaeda or the Taliban (or other Islamic groups) may not be involved at all. My reasoning? Sure: If you read the transcripts of interviews with Islamics, you'll find one of their complaints is with how the West has intervened in there local resources (oil) and how they would like to reassert control.
This accident will in the long run increase incentives for US-serving oil companies to up spending in other parts of the world.
Several readers have also asked about stories that go to the idea that this is somehow the result of a 'North Korean torpedo attack" which is about the most ridiculous thing I've seen in print in a while.
To be sure, holes in the federal response are starting to become apparent with headlines such as "Despite plan, not a single fire boom on hand on Gulf Coast at time of oil spill"
Containment efforts are continuing with the NY Times report that "...BP readies dome to contain spill" which may allow some of the escaping oil to be recovered, but this is surely one hell of a mess. --- How all of this impacts financial markets remains to be seen, although the AP reports that "BP weights on (England's) FTSE as Greek worries linger" and Bloomberg/Business week notices that Oil has dropped below $86 on US supply data.
Now of which stopped the Dow from putting on a screamer of a Monday rally Monday - up 143.22 points. These 'jam 'em up Monday's' are all too predictable lately.
A call to my friend Robin Landry underscored that there's still some risk the market could go on to new highs and even perhaps into summer.
He notes that although what I keep calling the Big LaBounsky may have been hit last Monday (4/26/2010 intraday 11,308.95) what we ought to be looking for would be exceeded the highs of last Thursday and Friday: 11,232.54 and 11,235.94.
If we get action above those levels intraday, and especially if we trade over the 11,308.95 intraday level, then I'm going to have to give up coffee so as not to execute my 'load the boat' on long-term short positions on financials. Robin was kind enough to remind me that patience is the hardest skill of all to learn if investing. Those that don't learn it are called traders.
Zooming back to our limits of perception, the expectation remains that 1) this is Obama's first KatRita-sized problem and 2) this is only first of what promises in linguistic modelspace to be three situations of this magnitude which will occur between now and November which will underscore that Government at all levels is no match for Nature and Universe when push comes to shove. Or, is that push comes to tax?
Futures are lower but gold is up nearly $10-bucks.
Baja Humbug Say, not to keep mentioning this, but what if - and this is only an IF - the series of quakes that is continuing down the the upper reaches of Baja are setting up for a sinking of land that would flood the $1-billion a year of foodstuffs that come from the (below sea level) Imperial Valley?
The sighting of a 4.6 quake in the region this morning has me wondering if this might not be one of those two remaining "KatRita-scale problems yet to come this year that government would have a hell of a time responding to...
Know why this comes to mind? A reader email about the September 9 shape of Things to Come report:
Hmmm...maybe this is why I keep watching the quakes around Mexicali...elevation: 0 to -49 feet.
Germany: Merky Finance German's chancellor Angela Markel ought to be in sales. The idea that she will be able to convince normally level-headed Germany to toss €22.4 (just under $30-billion USD) at Greece seems absurd.
Not that she's not the 'princess of sales' and won't be able to get this through. But what's out there on the horizon is the pending collapse of other European big-spenders (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Spain, and if Gordo Brown comes rises from the grave [polls, we can toss in the outposts of the royals, too.
Our Luxembourg trader/source points out the article in Monday's Spiegel online (Germany) which figures it about the same way: "Huge National Debts could Push Euro Zone into Bankruptcy."
With such glaring pessimism, the few friends I have who are currency traders are making all kinds of bets on what to a longer-term thinker is just more Merky finance. --- Could that mean the US will have to raise rates sooner than later? Maybe.
I can't think of too many other reasons why "Hedge Funds: Very Short 10 Year Treasuries" would be popping up in scans.
NY's Terror Bust While some (including hizzoner mayor Bloomberg) were initially saying there was no evidence that NYC's failed Times Square bombing attempt was the work of al Qaeda, we can now toss out excessive political correctness.
Oh, sure, people on the net often go on and on about the Patriot Act's excessive powers, but with this bust (of a suspect) it will be interesting to learn over time how much of this arrest was facilitated by provisions of the Act, versus how much was attributable to just damn good police work. My suspicion is that police work matters most...
Readers on the other hand have continuing questions:
A bit like finding the crashproof passport at the 9/11 site isn't it?
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Coping: Debating Practical George I am a huge fan of Mountain House pouches of freeze-dried emergency food. Call me spoiled, but many a 72-hour kit has 'food bars' that all taste the same. Either click on the ad (bottom ad in the right column above, or go here directly.
Let me think: A pile of similar-tasting bars or an assortment of beef stew, beef stroganoff, chicken teriyaki....well, you get the comparison. --- Although we haven't stocked up Elaine's car (or the screaming red demon either, come to think of it) my excuse is pretty simple: We don't go anywhere. And, when we do, the range upwards of 30-40 miles which is within easy ham radio (or cell phone) quick response from whoever's at the ranch.
However we're planning a vacation now, and as a result, I've been pondering what's the most efficient what to 'gear up' a car so as to be ready for anything that may come along?
The first - and most obvious- is to travel with other folks from the around your area who are going on similar trips. Convoying just makes sense.
The second part of major trip planning seems like it ought to be turning the car into a mobile survival platform, so that task is now underway. Looking at food, water, basically wants to have 7-days worth of supplies in the car and enough other goods that if we ever bogged down somewhere along the way, we could get back to the ranch.
This is a far out kind of exercise, but what IF we were on a cross-country trip and there was an EMP attack on the country? We have no way of testing our electronics 'hardening' of the car's electronics (which should work in theory) but even if you've got a car that runs, something like am EMP event would almost certainly shut down the grid such that whatever you have in your gas tank would be IT until you could find a gas station with an emergency generator. Oh, and it would need to have been hardened, too.
Which gets me back to trip planning. What's reasonable prepping? Oh, sure, joining Triple A is a no-brainer. And their travel planning services are most excellent, I hear.
But what about some "out of left field" kinds of event - like that oil rig accident in the Gulf? What if something like that happens when we're 2,300 miles from our relatively safe and well-equipped home?
Then Rational George shows up and starts asking the hard questions:
Well, just seems to me that the car should be considered a survival pod...you know...food, hiking gear, outdoor clothing, everything you'd want to have to start over if we got caught out someplace like eastern Wyoming, or something...
Hmmm...well...one way to look at it, sure. On the other hand, wouldn't a First Aid kit be sensible?
Well, what about a simple 72-hour kit for two people...
OK, then what about a few upgrades to that kit so it's really useful?
Oh, take the little wire saw that comes in most kits. Most of them have rings and if you needed it, after a couple of small branches, that would get terribly uncomfortable....so I was thinking upgrading that to the kind with wrist straps...more practical, you know?
Maybe...but what if the economy implodes completely while we're on our trip? Then what? What if people stop taking cash? Then I'd need the 72-hour kit and as long as I'm doing that, why not step up to the better Mountain House pouches and a few other things, too...you know, bring the serious walking/hiking shoes?
Well, I suppose.
Uhhh..chukka boots...
Flat tire, maybe?
Well...er....not lately, I guess.
I don't care: I'm getting a 72-hour kit for the car anyway. Upgrading it too. I know the odds of actually needing it during a very short window of a vacation are very low. But what about needing to bug out? The stuff lasts forever, or near enough. Gas main leak, tornado, or something like that - you know - disaster not advertised in advance? Besides, we will be going near Yellowstone and the kits come with masks...
Actually, I did. Main reason for the trip is to meet with Cliff but as long as I'm near Seattle, Ivars is my real destination.
Readers' Writes A fine email to ponder:
Yep. Makes it all seriously interesting to watch: The line up of multiple pathways of prophesy, prediction, dowsing, skrying, astrologizing, and...well, you know the list...all coming together makes for what should be interesting times directly ahead.
Still there are readers who adhere to the other view...that this is just (as one wrote) another 'false alarm like Y2K and on the other side of it, say 2014, you'll all look like idiots for wasting so much effort on such thoughts when all we really need is better engineering and more hard work..."
Jury's out on the holistic viewpoint which embraces rather than subjugates, nature, Who are these people that pass paper promises off as 'valuable' and then debase the promised labor and value behind it through inflation and other confiscatory means?
Besides, if it's just harder work and better engineering that's needed to make the whole planet 'right' again, you think maybe there's a point coming from the Gulf?
Monday May 3, 2010 Rising Tension Week This is the week when we are supposed to 'feel' (as much as read in headlines) a transition into 'rising tensions' which should carry us forward to July 11th-ish period, which will mark when we should see a saw-tooth kind of period of 'release language' begin; ultimately we get to the biggest release events we've ever seen in modelspace (drawfing 9/11, the KatRita Hurricanes, China quake, Banda Aceh, and all the rest combined. Should be quite a show. Barf bags and aspirin at the ready kind of thing.
If you have no clue what this means, run (don't walk) over to www.halfpasthuman.com with $10 and get the "Shape of Things to Come" report which is a 50+ page 'light reading' of how language has been changing over time and signaling astute readers about future events. It won't help you feel any better but at least you'll have a clue what we're talking about as we natter on about rising tensions, emotional release events, modelspace happenings and the movement of events/linguistics hints within modelspace.
We're in a period of so much 'building tension' right now that about all we can hope to do is list the 'rising tension' events - those events which bring massive lifestyle change in slow-motion. Today's short list:
The list can go on and on, but taken as a whole, this is a world where the heat is being slowly turned up on the world and we're scheduled (linguistically) to see increasing tension and polarization build like this through July in stair step fashion.
Best advice I could give anyone along in here is: Eyes open to your local surroundings, turn off those talk-radio shows that try to whip up emotions on one side of an issue or the other and just chill out. Own your own feelings, keep MSM media out of your life as much as you can and remember that every time the MSM hits an emotional 'hot button' they are doing it for one agenda, or another, and they're not right out front with who owns them, why they are pushing for this or that, or why.
"My, This is Curious Department" Department Iran's PressTV agency carrying the headline "UN calls for worldwide press freedom" strikes me as kind of...oh...curious, I guess is the best word.
Nuke Face Off --- As an egalitarian sort of fellow, seems to me there's an agenda working here since there's huge pressure on Iran over the NPT (no-proliferation treaty) but in descending order less on North Korea, and then less on Pakistan, then way less on India and virtually none on Israel.
Seems like selective enforcement against those not aligned with the Western Master's the Universe Globalist Paradigm...I mean if I were just guessing.
Out Jonging Kim Jong-Il is visiting China. More than a trip for Chinese food? I'd try the oyster sauce beef over noodles, myself...but more'n likely, subs are on the menu. Yeah, like that South Korean sub recently sunk...
Government For the Government Dept. Remember when governments at least made some pretext thyat they were By the People and For the People? Guess that clown suit is coming off as Max Keiser writes "Australian Mining Share Tumble on new 40% Tax on Resource Firms to Fund Increase in Government Employee Wages..."
At some point as the government expansions continue globally, all the governments get together and there comes a global slave class...those who don't work for government but must labor away their lives paying for it.
Until the revolution of the workers, which has happened before in places like France...
But not to worry, the ACLU has been tracking the "Constitution-Free Zone and it doesn't yet cover the whole country. Just most of it.
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Coping: Craigslist Murders You may remember the case a while back - Boston I think it was, but a more recent murder/home-invasion robbery up in the (Seattle) Tacoma area brings me to a common sense point about listing things online.
I shouldn't need to remind you of this, but if you're listing something valuable on Craigslist (or any other online site) use some common sense if you have something valuable to sell. Or, that's why eBay may be safer since the user/buyers are traceable and you can deal with people in faraway places who don't need to come to your home.
Or - better still - just give stuff to Goodwill or a local shelter which can use things like old TV sets and stuff...or deal with a reputable jeweler...know what I'm sayin?
Vacation Planning I love to ride trains - my most favorite so far? The switchback out of Cusco Peru that then heads down into the upper reaches of Amazonia to stop at Machu Picchu. But here's one a little closer to home and one that's on my list for this summer:
Of course, I'd be kicked out of Anderson County (Texas, and stand up[ when you say that) if I didn't mention our local Texas State Railroad - which after more than 7-years of owning property here I still haven't gotten around to riding. Go figure...
Bot Miss? No... Several times a week, a reader will send in a note saying "Where's that "Global coastal event" you guys kep talking about? And what about "Sea level" write others.
If the oil mess (now underway in the Gulf) isn't enough, there are hints other places about the sea level change making quiet headlines like the recent "Pair of Bering Sea earthquake may cause West Coast seal level changes". No, doesn't seem like much, but patience please, we only get the headline/emotion hits right. Whether it's a fraction of an inch now or hundreds of feet later, it's better than any other directional indicator on where to be looking for future news that I'm aware of...
A few people now and then say "What about Terrence McKenna's TimeWave Zero work?
Yeah, good stuff - and touches on some of the timing closely, but the key thing is is that TWZ doesn't get us down to the entity level of events. In other words, TWZ gives a good indiction of "here comes a big hit of novelty" but it doesn't say by sea, by air, or the ground is moving. Just stuff to ponder.
Matters of Taste A reader was kind enough to send in a screenshot last week that suggested the daily UrbanSurvival.com report was a great read, and all, but occasionally, due to the vagaries of how different browsers work, the last letter of a line would run over and spill into the right-hand column which got to be hard on the eyes.
So what I did this weekend was hired a team of Margin Police who weren't doing anything (they could have been defending the US-Mexico border, but weren't) and hired them. If the site looks a little 'cleaner' its because there is a tad more whitespace around the edges. If the resulting increase in glare is a bit much for Monday, I apologize in advance.
Before the chart, a little background: Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 9½ year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, I'm sure...
Write when you get rich,
George Ure, The People's Economist
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along the way for construction issues...you'll be fine.
What is it with over planning everything. Is
that like...oh...you know...a disease or something?"
