The Site They Don't Want You To Read Which Outs the Big Game.

 

Powered by subscribers to Peoplenomics.com

Subscriber Entrance

Customer Service Dept 

 

Home

Scanners

Last Week

News Links

Consulting Services

Archives & Library

Submit a News Tip

Peoplenomics Independence Journal 2011    Site Disclaimer Elliott Wave View as Blog

Saturday, September 24, 2011  07:55 AM  CDT  Visit our FAQ      

Subscribe to UrbanSurvival's Daily Financial Post by Email 

This site is supported by subscriptions:  For additional content, please subscribe to Peoplenomics.

Content mirrored at: http://www.independencejournal.com/,      View as Blog  (.MOBI) version

 

Mr. Ure Shoots Fish...

Yep: Like shooting fish in a barrel now.  Why?  It's not too often that all my indicators can be seen as synching up in a perfect trading period, and while I'm only going to outline what I expect will happen this fall in general terms, this is one of those periods which I'm as confident of the outcome as I was when I bought a boatload of UAL puts prior to the 1987 collapse.  In other words, my sense is that this is a second chance of a lifetime to make some pretty good money in the market since charts, wave counts, predictive linguistics. and underlying trends in the news flows seem to all point toward a predictable, tradable, nevertheless scary period just ahead.  So though it's subject to change without notice, this is a mostly excellent fitting of a wide range of data sources.... Oh, and the PTB may wasted gas going to Denver.  But suppose we start there...

 

More for Subscribers                       To Subscribe, CLICK HERE

                    Need Logon Assistance?  Click here

 

Slow Motion Collapse of the Check Book Republic

Say, this has been quite the week, huh?  Dow seems to be heading down just as some folks (...er...like me....) told you it would.  And chatting with Robin Landry yesterday, he's still not sure if this is a 5th wave down of the large Elliott 1 down off last summer's highs, or whether this is Wave 3 beginning with the recent rally being a Wave 2.  But it doesn't hardly matter and we'll just stay 50% short, 50% cash until the wave count clarifies.

 

One thing we continue to watch with horror is the Federal Reserves money-printing binge.  The annualized creation of M1 is up another tick in yesterdays after-the-close H.6 Money Stocks report to a whopping 36.8 percent while M2 is holding at an annualized 23.3 percent.

 

To those worried about hyperinflation, the keep thing to remember in here it the Fed/Treasury can print money all day long, but if the velocity of money continues to crater (down to 1.5715 now, compared with 1.64'ish at the 2009 market lows) you can print money until the Second Coming and not see secular inflation.  Money in dark pools of capital doesn't press prices.  Simply accrues to the Rich.

 

That said however, when it eventually does show up, it's gonna be awful.  Still, we continue expecting gold to drop in the gulch here down to around $1,425 $1,450 before going up to $2,000 but like Pappy used to point out, "Price only matters when you buy and when you sell..."  Indeed.

---

Hardest hit among the Asian markets was Korea where stocks were down almost 5-3/4'ths percent.  They seemed to have a mini bank run, which was presaged by regulatory action against seven banks last week.

---

And there could be some sour Krauts in Germany next week if the September 12 lows get taken out...we're verging on that with the DAX hovering just over the 5,000 level.

 

Prague was showing down more than 7% and the MICEX was showing down more than 12½ percent.  If you look up the word "Ugly" in the dictionary, don't be surprised if you find something like "See European Union and Former Soviet Union."

 

Keen Insight Department

Moody's downgraded eight Greek banks this morning.  NSS.

 

Those G20 Whizzes

Struck out again after trying to happy talk their way out of dropping to those levels.

 

Oh, and you saw where oil ($81 this morning) is working its way down toward my $65 target, which just increases further the chances that the Palestinian Homeland issue in October will push us into an Arab Oil Embargo, since most of the OPECkers have a $90 break/even point for their national budgets.  And Arab Spring is not when you want to go missing revenue targets, now, is it?

 

Oh...also:  Headlines like "Solyndra failure puts solar industry on defensive" all get solved with an Oil Embargo, too, don't they?  Check me on this...

 

A Troubling - or Inspired - UCC Filing

While we've been collectively wondering what's going on that's making the whole world so wonky here lately, we happened to be pointed in the direction of a very - I mean extremely odd little filing in the Uniform Commercial Code (UCC) filings in the State of Maryland.

 

It's a UCC Financing statement  (File #0000000181425776) AMENDMENT which was done on August 12th of this year.  And you know who the debtor and secured parties are?

Name Address

 

THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 20TH STREET, N.W. WASHINGTON, DC 20551

 

E PLURIBUS UNUM THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 1500 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW WASHINGTON, DC 20220 U.S.

 

DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE FINANCE AND ACCOUNTING SERVICES 1400 DEFENSE PENTAGON WASHINGTON, DC 20301 - 1400

 

COMPTROLLER OF MARYLAND 1101 WOOTON PARKWAY ROCKVILLE, MD 20852

And the Secured Parties?

Name Address

 

THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY 1789 (Assignor) 50 MARYLAND AVENUE ROCKVILLE, MD 20850

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATER AND POWER ALLIANCE (Assignor) 1400 DEFENSE PENTAGON WASHINGTON, DC 20301 - 1400

 

U.S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE (IRS) (Assignee) 600 ATLANTIC AVENUE BOSTON, MA 02106

And if you click over here to the underlying document, what's the amount involved in this UCC filing?   How about just north of $14-trillion dollars?

 

This "Agricultural Lien" seems to add the Comptroller of Maryland.

 

So what's the change here all about?  If you have any clues as to just what the hell this is about (the data seems to live on a server of Towson University which is according to it's web site:

"Founded in 1866, Towson University is recognized among the nation's best regional public universities, offering more than 100 bachelor's, master's and doctoral degree programs in the liberal arts and sciences, and applied professional fields. "

Oh, and part of the University System of Maryland.

 

First question is whether this is a "real deal" UCC filing, or if this is some kind of elaborate hoax.

 

As our tipster's email points out:

"Could it be? The Forum dudes have been busy !!! I haven't done any analysis on this. Apparently the lien is NEW... ( the $14.3 trillion UCC filing in Maryland against Debtors: The Federal Reserve System.........) Can we say wacky? Who can possibly eat that many $$ worth of pie?

---

ok, you have officially phreaked me out. if you plug in that document number and hit search (archive) you get the original filing. which as far as i can tell pledges every person and all real land in the usa as collateral against a $14.3 trillion dollar loan. the owner of record on that property (every person and all real land) is the irs. and finally attached is a brochure for the nawpa which talks about 1000 miles of tunnels and weather engineering and climate control and utilizing the magnetosphere.

omg. it's like someone filed the definitive document to prove all those way out in left field totally unbelievable conspiracy theories. someone please read this and tell me i'm interpreting it wrong."

Yes, wouldn't we all like to know!  So do research and have it in my email by Sunday - we'll post follow-up Monday morning.

 

But say, wouldn't this be a reason for all them Big Wigs to be out of DC when news of this leaks out?  I mean if it's what we think it could be...

 

On the other hand, since one of the parties on this is listed as the North American Water and Power Alliance and this was (to quote Wikipedia)

 

Of course it could be a joke...but someone went to a lot of trouble to do up very official-looking address stamps on the underlying document...

"...conceived in the 1950s by the US Army Corps of Engineers as a 'Great Project' to develop more water sources for the United States. The planners envisioned diverting water from some rivers in Alaska south through Canada via the Rocky Mountain Trench and other routes to the US and would involve 369 separate construction projects. "

What IF - and this is only an IF here - this is going to become suddenly real shortly and turn into a massive redevelopment project to stave off the Second Depression, just as the Works Progress Administration and Civilian Conservation Corps were rolled out to counter the effect of the (first) Great Depression?

 

Wow!  Hell of a story, huh?  And would that be why all the Big Wigs are converging on Denver?  Could announcement of something this BIG be an Obama September Surprise next week?

 

Popcorn and Tums at the ready, ViseGrips, too.  If this is a hoax, it's a peach.

 

And you do know, from Cartography/Topology 301 class that the drought-parched portions of Texas and Oklahoma, New Mexico and so forth is down hill from the proposed project?  What a sweet deal for corporate agriculture!

---

Hope I haven't blown someone's plans for a big whoopdie press conference and cheerleading session with this...

 

Readings from Colleagues

Two goodies on (coauthor) Howard Hill's site worth your time:  In his post "Contagion" he explains how financial calamities (like the one in play now, yeah?) are really cause & effect critters

 

The other note on Howard's site is his experience of actually getting an Annual Percent Rate correction in his favor on a credit card bill.  I may suggest he do an article for Ripley's Believe It Or Not on that one.

 

And from Bob Bronson came an email advising: "Don't be fooled into missing a bullish technical set up":

Chart patterns for an overall stock market must be reconciled with sector patterns, especially if they are divergence as they certainly are currently.

The DJ-Wilshire U.S. Total Stock Market Index is a capitalization-weighted index of all exchange-traded U.S. common stocks. It can be bifurcated mainly into the NYSE Composite and Nasdaq Composite indexes, which have mutually exclusive traded securities. And currently very important, they each reflect different chart patterns for the near five-month decline since their May 2 highs, as explained and illustrated below.

The NYSE Composite, which includes the relatively weakest stocks in the financial sector, is likely ending a bear market downleg that reflects an ideal 12345 Growth Cycle pattern. Notice how it perfectly fits our inequality algorithm fully explained and illustrated on page 7a here: A Forecasting Model That Integrates Multiple Business and Stock Market Cycles

So if I seem a bit hair-triggered on my exits from the short side (only 50% short now) it's because I see something similar, and the next wave up will be dramatic and fast when it gets here.   

 

Robin Landry's presently looking at a possible completion from Dow 10,336 down to 9,563.  Depends on which wave count is in play, but if this is just the finish for the larger 1 down from the summer high,  I may go long down in there.

 

Hell, anymore could be just a couple of hours of trading.

 

Political Drivel

If you care about Rick Perry's road to the White House, might want to read here.  If not, since I think he's been twice blessed by the build-a-burgers and only one last interview to go, it's already a foregone conclusion he wins, so politics is just a giant time-sink to watch.  Don't you have something better to do, really? 

 

Oh...sorry...forgot:  Some people are still mesmerized by the two party myth.  There is only one party and that's the Money Party.  They have 2½ franchises operating in America presently.

 

Consumer Alert

From our reader in Arkansas...

"Please forward this information about how **** Bank credit cards work. I have a disagreement with a very large satellite TV provider. They are charging me more than they said they would. Because they are on an auto pay system from my credit card I have been unable able to stop the monthly levy.

Now you ask, Why don't I just call the bank and have them turned off?

The bank will tell you that they will only stop the levy at the request of the service provider. The service provider has taken two months payment after their service was unplugged and replaced by a new provider. How do you like that? We will file a contested payment form. Do you think we will get our money back? Ha.

Had to report my credit card "lost" last week. Think that will slow them down, new number and all?

Think I will start wearing clothes that have tire tracks on them so as to demonstrate how corporations treat us.

Say, did you get your invitation to the revolution yet?

Seems paradoxical, but one really can be a patriotic pro-America, constitutionalist and still harbor revolutionary thought, it seems.  It's just the MSM doesn't like to let on, but with billions in ad dollars held hostage, who's got the goanies to call BS on how corporations act?

 

MSM Buries Occupy Wall Street

Speaking of media coverage here in the Check Book Republic, it may seem like a hard read of things, but how much MainStream coverage of the Occupy Wall Street demonstrations this week have you seen?  Bet'cha most people haven't even heard of it. 

 

You need to read up on this movement here (check the pictures, too).

 

Oh, and as one of the TP posters noted, this is what life could be like whent he US Post Office goes banko.  Peachy, just frigging peachy.

 

Oh...and I assume you've been following the "little accident" Yahoo had - censoring emails about the event?  Funny how those filter accidents happen...

Einstein Toast?

A little notice was posted in the Irish Examiner this morning that "Scientists overturn Einstein's speed of light law."

 

Not sure what to make of it, but as I'd remind my colleague who's the biophotonics researcher: "Quantum physics is nothing to make light of..." (no groans, please...)

 

Nevertheless, inspection of the article notes this breakthrough came by pumping tiny particles from Switzerland to Italy.

 

And therein may lie the answer to the apparent paradox since, as anyone who studies economics knows, Italy is a kind of black hole these days....

 

OMG: Operation Mountain Guard

Curiously timed FEMA drill up in Denver today:

"Operation Mountain Guardian is a terrorism-based, full-scale emergency exercise scheduled to take place in numerous locations in the Denver metro area on Friday, September 23, 2011. The exercise will involve first responders from 81 different agencies**, will be conducted at ten separate locations and will include loud noises, simulated weapons, smoke, emergency vehicles and other equipment that will be audible and visible throughout the day."

Oddly timed indeed.

 

You talk about Patriots:  My consigliore offered to guard Breckenridge, once they've got 10-inches of fresh powder...

 

You see someone trying to steal a mountain in Denver today, ya'll be sure and call FEMA, hear?

 

There Be Pirates Department: Jackmice

Remember our discussions recently about how the web bot project runs into something of a brick wall in mid 2013?  One more idea I've had recently is that so many web sites could be shut down that data collection would be meaningless drivel from only corpgov blesses sources.

 

So what would that look like?  Well, in Italy, there's work being done on what PC World headlines as a "one-Strike' anti-piracy Law."

 

Sure fits with the "hard corporate fascism" outlook.  Oh, and in this Italian nightmare to come, a user of the internet could be disconnected over an allegation alone!  No finding of fact, no trial, zip, bupkis...kaput.

 

OMG have we evolved as fascistas, huh?  Jackboots of hard regimes in the past are morphing into the coming sick era of industrial repression via...what shall we call them?  Aha!  Jackmice.

 

 

More after this...

 

 

Coping: With Proton Flux Events

Remember how the movie 2012 began?  I keep coming back to this because as our source up the ladder of the PTB some ways told us a long time back "The Movie is the message..."  In the lead-in to the movie, scientists in India, working in some old mine, notice an increase in some particle or other coming off the sun.

 

So whenever I get notices from the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center, I par attention, especially when president Obama et al are up in Denver (thinking high ground, eh?) on the 27th.  Made all the more interesting because a coronal mass ejection will be hitting earth Sunday:

The proton flux measured by the GOES satellite has been increasing since the long duration X flare event yesterday. The ~10MeV threshold may be crossed later today, especially if the proton flux is reinforced by other possible events from Cat 72 (NOAA 1295) or Cat 82 (NOAA 1301). As more data is now available, it becomes clear that the CME associated with this X-flare is a large scale event. PROBA2/SWAP difference images show a global EUV wave. STEREO A and B chronographs imaged a clear halo CME. SOHO/LASCO suffers from a data gap, but also suggest a halo CME. Speed estimates based on COR2 data lead to a CME speed between 620 (based on STEREO A) and 900 km/s (based on STEREO B). We expect the earth to receive a glancing blow from this CME, probably in the morning of september 25.

None of which is to suggest a big earthquake is imminent next week, but it wouldn't surprise me.  Clif keeps mentioning the West Coast sure has been quiet in a strange/foreboding sort of way.

 

All of which wouldn't be worth mentioning except that Oilman2 had a little time on his hands yesterday and has come up with a new way of looking at earthquakes, using a kind of graphing system used by oil-types for certain kinds of engineering problems....I think of it as a kind variant of the electronics Smith charts I'm familiar with, but without the log scale, but here's where this eventually leads...the cool email from Oilman2:

"OK – I made the chart since it is a slow day here.

Just thinking that there is lots of movement in the eastern half of the planet when compared to the western.

I put Cascadia and New Madrid longitude points in for reference – one quake in Cali last year, but it was in southern Cali where the fault slides more easily. Everything else is under a 6.0 and doesn’t map here, where only 6.0 and above are plotted….

What would be more interesting, but I don’t have the time (pun intended) is to map the dates and see if there is resonance across the globe with the quakes…"

  All of which is pretty interesting.  It's also why there is some urgency to getting our plane out of the shop.

 

Plane Crazy

Rather than wait for a slow supply chain to come up with two more regular cylinders for the magic carpet, we've decided to do chromed cylinders as Mark the Mechanic continues slogging his way through my squawks list which will eventually wind up with a complete TOH being done. One of my research projects this weekend if reading up all the pros and cons on how to best break in chrome cylinders.

 

The good news?  Don't have to buy a new TSO'd altimeter...which would have been a further $1,000 hole in the wallet

 

 

The Friday Funnies After This...

 

 

The Friday Funny: Medical

Came in this email from a reader in Manila, Philippines:

Hi George, Do do keep up the laughs. They make my day. Hope you like this one, no source for it.

Your Peoplenomics of Wednesday was spot on for us here in Manila as our gas prices are on a steady rise.

We have one of the highest gas prices in the world and it seems that we are headed for more rises in the future.

[reader in] Philippines

The Psychiatrist and The Proctologist

Best friends graduated from medical school at the same time and decided that, in spite of two different specialties, they would open a practice together to share office space and personnel.

Dr. Smith was the psychiatrist and Dr. Jones was the proctologist; they put up a sign reading: "Dr. Smith and Dr. Jones: Hysterias and Posteriors".

The town council was livid and insisted they change it. So, the docs changed it to read: "Schizoids and Hemorrhoids". This was also not acceptable, so they again changed the sign. "Catatonics and High Colonics" - No go.

Next, they tried "Manic Depressives and Anal Retentives" - thumbs down again. Then came "Minds and Behinds" - still no good. Another attempt resulted in "Lost Souls and Butt Holes" - unacceptable again! So they tried "Analysis and Anal Cysts" - not a chance. "Nuts and Butts" - no way. "Freaks and Cheeks" - still no good. "Loons and Moons" - forget it. Almost at their wit's end, the docs finally came up with: "Dr. Smith and Dr. Jones - Specializing in Odds and Ends".

Everyone loved it.

Prepper Shopping List

A reader who thinks there's something coming around October 24th, based on the Tech N9ne "Lost Cities Tour" (see buildings and graphics on the poster here) did send us a goodies toward the end of his note:

Crapola: crayons for the surviving kids, after the shit hits the fan.

And odds are pretty good it's on fire already prior to hitting said fan.

 

Sex Education

And we end on this statistical note:

Global Facts About Sex At Any Given Moment:

FACT: 79,000,000 people are engaged in sex - right now.

FACT: 58,000,000 are kissing.

FACT: 37,000,000 are relaxing after having sex.

FACT: 5  old people are reading UrbanSurvival.

Why?  We just know we're screwed....we're just working on our timing.

 

More tomorrow on the www.peoplenomics.com site, otherwise, come back Monday for another harsh order of reality with a side of humor and a cuppa Joe...

 

Send Ure comments (and jokes!!!  PC and PG-R17 only please, thanks) to george@ure.net


Reader Action Department:   


Visit:  The UrbanSurvival Amazon store.  Books, computers & S/w and outdoor gear.

 

Now on our premium content site:  Peoplenomics.com

Sizing Up Disruptive Technologies

Almost six months ago, we pondered  - in Peoplenomics Issue # 504-B - the possibility of a new and highly disruptive technology appearing.  We speculated  there could be ripples throughout the economy should a new technology show up that dramatically extends a product life and simultaneously creates a massive wave of unemployment.  Camp, as it is, to talk by the Kurzweil "Singularity" the adherents of every-accelerating change reveals they have their heads up somewhere (go ahead and guess...) because they overlook two axioms of  fast change:  Unemployment and capital that demands a return on investment (ROI).  All of which would be fine if disruptive technology was just theory.  The bad news this weekend is a disruptive technology is now showing up...

 

More for Subscribers                       To Subscribe, CLICK HERE

                    Need Logon Assistance?  Click here

 

Taming Cookies

Computer cookies have a purpose in life - they facilitate things like online banking and stock trading.  But there's a vicious side to them:  They can be used to track your web use without you even knowing about it.  And even more dangerous are the 'cross site' cookies which can install malware on your computer without you ever knowing it.

 

The answer?  Maxa Cookie Manager, MCM.

 

Take it for a free test drive by clicking here - and it you like it, activation is easily done. If you're a heavy web user (who ain't?) you may find like I do that you've accumulating a hundred or more cookies per day.  Only a handful need to be white-listed, like your brokerage account or your bank.  The rest?  Software designed to spy on you that robs you of computer performance.   Been using it for several years and pleased as the Dickens with it.

 

The "Do Drop Inn"

Amazing gardens in about 2 square feet of floor space: www.mygroponics.com.  And remember our saying at MyGroPonics:  It's OK to be a vegetable... 

 

Strange Dreams?

Post your weird dreams to help our research along into what goes on at night in people's heads: www.nationaldreamcenter.com

 

"Live on $10,000" A Year

Having a hard time making ends meet?  (Like who isn't, right?)  A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on $10,000 a Year...or less!"

 

 Buy Now

 

It's an automatic download.  It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left.  A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too.....  Click here for the index and details.

 

Pass It On

Please pass along word of this site to your friends by simply clicking here to send 'em a short email.  - Thanks!

----

Last week's report is always here.

 


Thursday, September 22, 2011 

The 9,500-10,400 Problem

The question is not whether the market is going down this morning, it's how far down will it go?  Blowing off more than 280-points is one thing, but in the larger picture, as we've been warning for weeks, the real tale will be told closer to the 10,000 level.

 

Bernard Grover checked in from our Indonesia Bureau overnight with this:

Yo chief! We got hammered today. Jakarta exchange lost 8.9% alone, and the rest of Asia was only slightly less bloody. Dow futures are looking grim again, while Europe’s open is hack and slay. See what happens when you take a day off? If this keeps up, I’d have to call it a bot hit. The SOTTC pegged 9/21/11 as the end of the beginning of the end. Happy shorting!

Yup, happy indeed.  My portfolio is now 48% higher than it began the year and some of my 'crackpot' ideas seem to have been vindicated as Japan was down about 2% overnight, and China's Hang Seng dropped more than 4½ percent.  Glad I don't do this for a living.

 

Europe, never especially quick to come to their senses is also broadly down with the French down almost 5%, the Germans down 4.3% and the Unemployed Kingdom down 4½%, too.

 

Still, being the conservative greedster that I am, I took profits on the close yesterday and will wait for a bounce before re-entering on the short side.  If the market loses another hundred (or so) today, I can then apply some basic Fibonacci bounce expectations and dollar-cost average into another short position for the next leg down should one come.

 

How far this goes will answer the big question:  Is this wave 1 down of a larger three?  In that case, look for an acceleration to the downside.  Or, what seems to me more likely (but this ain't investment advice!) we could turn today, do our retracement, and view the chart of this as the beginning of (5) down of the larger 1.  If that's the count, then we might turn today, then bounce through the rest of the week (where I might re-enter a short position) as that would be a smaller (ii) of (5) of 1, and then take some more chips off the table next week and thereafter when we go down in (iii) of (5) of 1, if that's the count.

 

Either way, plenty of money to be made, or, if you're a cowardly capital preservation type, the wisdom of being in fixed incomes of some sort would become apparent rather soon.

 

May favorite count at the moment is leaning toward a turn today and bounce for to indicate (ii) of (5) of 1 is the count and then DCA in and let 'er rip.

 

Under that count, we'd scream down to 10,400 or so in a week to week and a half, then rally like there's no tomorrow.  (There ain't one...)_ and then do the really big declines in October as Clif's report suggests.  But once we hit the 10,400 to 9,600 kind of range, there is a potential for a huge rally which I'd like to be on the correct side of.

 

As always, we shall see, but so far, this is an interesting little adventure.  If you're not OK with the market going down another thousand Dow points, bonds or money markets might be placeholders, but this is between you and your financial advisor.  Or spouse.

 

That Oil Embargo This Fall

...seems to be shaping up.  Mind you, this is a hare-brained trading scheme only at this point, but without going into the details that we did in yesterday's mid-week Peoplenomics report, we read this morning how the "Palestinians denounce Obama's speech opposition their bid for UN recognition."

 

As I explained in the Wednesday Peoplenomics report (depending on how much dot-connecting juice you'd sucked down) the two factors moving us toward an oil embargo are the rising Arab Spring tide (and the Palestinian issue is part and parcel of that) on the one hand.

 

On the other is the declining price of oil, which dropped significantly again overnight.  As the Wall Street Journal reports this morning that is "Good news on price price for Europe's refiners" but the key line in that report is that the OPECkers need to keep oil over $90 to balance their budgets and what's one way to do that?  I mean harnessing the power of Arab Spring and all?

 

Oil Embargo.

 

You really, really need to reread the history of the 1973 to 1974 event, in particular.  Falling prices, punishment for a US Middle East move (resupplying Israel during the Yom Kippur War) bippity-boppity-boo: It rhymes!  Notice the dates in 1973, too:  October to March. 

 

Banda-bing.

 

Did I mention the stock decline won't be nearly over until gold's been down in the $1,400's and starts to rise?  Looong ways to go down.  I may go short on any strength this morning again...

---

Say, you seen that four-parter investigative piece "Meltdown: The men who crashed the world" which Al Jazeera has up on streaming?

 

Is Tokyo Fook'ed? 

Say, here's another one to toss into the blender for this fall:  Since Fukishima is still spewing, how soon before the MSM/lamestreammedia gets around to talking about the abandonment of Tokyo?  Worse than Chernobyl...

 

Unemployment Data

This was just put out in the past few minutes by the Labor Department:

In the week ending September 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 423,000, a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 432,000. The 4-week moving average was 421,000, an increase of 500 from the previous week's revised average of 420,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.0 percent for the week ending September 10, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending September 10 was 3,727,000, a decrease of 28,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,755,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,742,000, a decrease of 6,500 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,748,500.

Want to hear an oldie but goody?  "Green shoots."

 

Leading Economic Dart Toss in an hour.  I'd try to do an update with those numbers.

 

Getting Them Bushistas Speculation

You notice where form SecDef Don Rumsfeld has been reportedly stripped of immunity by a 7th Circuit Court decision in the case of two US contractors who were tortured in Iraq?

 

Whether Rummy will show up in Boston next week will be interesting.  He's out promoting his book Known and Unknown: A Memoir due out in April in paperback.

 

In the meantime, you might understand our attitude toward Rumsfeld and his ilk by reading Alexander Cockburn's book Rumsfeld: His Rise, Fall, and Catastrophic Legacy.  No kidding?  You mean like aspartame?  Or, you talking Rummy's roll in 9/11 and Top Secret America: The Rise of the New American Security State?  But what's a missing pallet of hundreds, huh?

 

Naw, maybe it's just the hijacking of America's foreign policy by them neocon dudes who are working it even now...

 

Coping: With the "Missing Dream"

Time for a "Strategic-Living.net" kind of long-term viewpoint discussion because we're seeing a new consensus about where America and the world) is heading develop right before our eyes.  To fully appreciate it will require patiently wading through a fair bit of background, but getting this vision right is critically important to making optimized personal planning decisions for at least the next half decade.

 

A more or less constant theme around here is that long wave economics work I've been involved with since way back when persuasively argues that contrary to the hype and BS pushed by the MainStreamMedia/MSM, the world really is in a major economic depression which is likely to surpass even the misery of the 1930's.

 

Depression is a word with two meanings; one - the economic - has to do with the depth and length of a major recession.  The second - psychological - deals with a mental state which can be most personally distressing. 

 

Curiously, an economic depression brings about a kind of psychological depression at the national/international level.  It's a time when people become poor in spirit and outlook.   Backing up a step, what causes this is an excessive period of recession that grinds and grinds such that people begin to lose that most magical of human qualities: Hope.

 

If there was a single human attribute that I had to pick out as a predictive metric of where a nation was heading, it would be some kind of Hope Index.  The problem is, obviously, that the Hope Index doesn't exist because that would be too simple.  Instead, economists use proxies for Hope.

 

One really good indicator of Hope are two statistics which tell the aware observer a lot about where the future is heading.  One is the birth rate (and we'll get into that in Saturday's Peoplenomics a bit in our "Losing the Sex Race?" discussion.

 

The second, and there's some new data out on this Wednesday, is the state of home purchases.  Noticed an interesting piece in The Christian Post overnight about how experts (if economists can be considered such) expect "No Housing Recovery through 2015, New Survey Says."

 

This dimming view of the future was also voiced, if you read (or watch) into the story a ways in the remarks for former president Bill Clinton who is quoted in an article here as saying "...the nation could be struggling for the next five years or more to emerge from its economic slump."

 

With this as background (and I suppose we could toss a few other bricks on the scale, like the collapsing velocity of money which typically accompanies the collapse into Hard Times), the point I'm getting around to is that young people are are speaking in very harsh terms, not only about the future, but those of us who are becoming "the grays" who had lived a phat life and expect to be able to push off the tab onto the young.

 

Last weekend, Oilman2 was up to the house - he and the missus are bailing out of the high-density Houston area where he's be a fixture in the oil biz for years - because he wants to develop a more self-sufficient homestead kind of place so that his kids will always have somewhere to come back to, and where he can use his considerable engineering skills to do much of what we've been up to here in the outback:  Develop an ultra-low operating expense survival platform.

 

In our discussions, one of the key things we got into was the outlook held by kids.  As I related the experiences of our kids in the Seattle area (all over 30 and only one owns a home (25% home ownership) and none of which are family forming/baby-making, we got into how there's just not much out on the socioeconomic horizon that would give a young person much Hope.

 

Oilman2 sent me an email a couple of days later which summed up where his kids - who are in much the same boat - are headed.  This came right after he finished reading through Clif's latest Shape of Things to Come report...

"Well, it mostly fits with the mindset of my kids in one way or another.

I have a lawyer son who hates the corrupt legal system, and refuses to overbill his clients. They keep him because he is the only one that can work the SQL for retrieving email data in large cases and has a law degree. But he hates it, thinks it incredibly corrupt, and wants to change careers. “Wish there was something I could do to fix this broken system…” is a frequent lament of his. He craves change.

I have a daughter who is beer/wine manager at local grocery chain. She hates the PTB because of their corruption. She believes in the system and in people, but that is being eroded due to watching people steal, seeing butt-kissers get promoted who have no ability, and the usual broken system reasons. She is a liberal who now thinks O is a joke. She wants a new system that is fair and where she can make a difference.

Youngest daughter just got her first double-speak about jobs. Told there was no money to give her a raise that was promised, and then watched her boss hire two of his cronies into new positions with no responsibilities. She has to deal with 65 kids, and they have to deal with 10 each and get paid twice as much. Her anger and disgust is palpable, and she sees no options in her future even with her marriage coming in November. And she has that 4-year degree too.

Youngest (20) has his friends over in evenings. They play video games, but also talk. This bunch is completely disabused of any hope for progress in the current system. They have minimum wage jobs and are going to school, but there are zero job prospects. If their shit falls apart, they would be willing to work for room and board outside the system and try something new. They have actually approached me about this, as they feel there is no reason to continue working as they are – better to have a shot at something – they smell winds of change.

Boss is a complete right-winger, and tends to blame O. And yet at the same time, waxes on about the systemic corruption and dreams of a tidal wave or hurricane plastering Maryland…. Has bought place in (near Landry's digs in OK) with cash and has plans to just exit the system and exist local up there.

Shop guys are all about self-sufficiency and living on less. All hunters and firearm friendly, and every one of them thinks the state and local systems are totally corrupt. They all want some major changes, particularly in wage distribution and banking – where they keep getting hosed by the credit card and mortgage people.

All agree that any national election will be a choice (in South Park terminology) between a Douche and a Turd Sandwich….

The restlessness and impatience with the PTB is increasing rapidly, and we haven’t even gotten to the market shock or the Mideast thingy or the ice or EQ yet.

I would say the powder is very dry and ready all around us. What the MSM and PTB are NOT seeing is the anger and weariness that most people have for being lied to at every turn. There is absolute distrust of everything that comes across the news outlets for the typical American these days. The “investor class” (those with money to invest) seem to be the last ones with hope and at least a rudimentary belief in the system. But the guys in my shop? Well, about half of them no longer keep their cash in the banks after the 2008 crash. They are all 110% disgusted by politics and governance, and would gladly climb aboard any change train passing through the ether we live in.

Just what I am seeing personally – the revolution meme fits the mindset all around me. Will not take much to engage the mechanism."

As I explained to Peoplenomics readers (with more logic and less emotion) yesterday:  I think there's a chance that we could have a new trumped up crisis this fall because the PowersThatBe/Were  (PTB/W) are going to be backed into a corner by a growing sense of global rebellion which, in case you missed the morning's news sampling above, is alive and well and growing.

 

So I'm considering a couple of lottery tickets - out of the money oil call options for early next year delivery on the theory that with falling oil prices and increased tensions in the Middle East, what the world needs about now is a good-sized energy crisis and the whole Palestinian Homeland mess seems custom-designed to fit exactly that outlook.

 

Higher gas prices, a sudden resurgence in alternative energy, a kind of holy crusade for domestic energy development.  Oh, and the OPECkers would get to quadruple their oil prices which while it would cause a darned big recession/depression in the West would restore their financial vigor and would allow them to buy off the Arab Spring agitprop.

 

If you see a collapsing dollar, gas lines, and shooting in the Middle East this winter, don't be too surprised: It's one of the  few scenarios that would meet most of Clif's major 'deal points' outlined in the predictive linguistics and which would cause enough turmoil and provide a rationale for more extension of government into the private affairs of citizens.

 

For now, this is only a general trend in daily events, but we'll be watching this extremely closely, since it could cause all of the events seen in the Shape report and would likewise pave the way for the Bond Collapse this fall, too.

 

The missing antidote for all this?  Hope.

 

An email this morning about the Shape report from a young man sums it up this way:

George,

Interesting new report on half past human. I am 27, soon to be 28. Worked in red lodge mt( as I recently quite ). So I am recently unemployed. I also spent several years in boulder co. School cu and naropa, but long story short I am in Montana, family reasons undisclosed, but in the nature of breaking. Anyway, I have to say it's a shot in the arm to read the report. I've already planned a trip to south America for reason other than feeling it's time to get to a new place(planned this long before your report FYI). It's not unthought in my mind, as I've traveled throughout the world, Peru only 3 months ago but it's time to stash some cash and go. Things are getting to that point, as you know Obama will bring troops home by years end. Wonder why? Also the short recommendation is right on. Excellent stuff, keep it coming.

Send us a postcard.  We've been looking at the globe a bit to...got quite an enclave of readers in Ecuador and other spots in the Andes.

 

Hobbies: Plane Speaking

Speaking of high elevations, you may notice that I haven't been regaling you with adventures flying hither and yon in our new (1966 vintage) airplane.  Simple reason for that:  Took it down to Mark the Mechanic at KDKR since I knew one cylinder was had slightly low compression when tested and wanted him to check it out.  Well, turns out another cylinder was also discovered bad in the process of testing and so forth, so the next decision became "If I'm doing two cylinders, why not do the other two and have a complete Top Overhaul (TOH) and then the engine should be good to at least 2,000 hours (it's around 1,300 hours now...)

 

Since we're planning to do a good bit of lazy cross-country flying, we went with the whole top end...four cylinder worth...so plane is down for another week to 10-days while parts come in.  I'm day-trading like mad to make up the spread.

 

Found out something else, too:  the altimeter in a certified aircraft may have roughly the same specs as what's in an experimental category plane, but the price difference is $925 for the one versus $389 for t'other.

 

On the pleasant side, discovered most excellent customer service from Ram Mounts when I needed a part for the iFlyGPS yoke mount.

 

All of which is leading to a modification of Ure's Axiom of Airplanes:  Have at least 40% more than plan cost handy in ready cash to get everything up to snuff.

 

The Axiom had started at 10% (August 22 estimate) and soon it will have been cheaper to jump right into a very old used Lear or WestWind.

---

Seems like one of my big lessons or learnings in Life will be which is most expensive?

a. Blondes

b. Brunettes

c. Porsches

d. Sailboats

e. Airplanes

f.  Ham radio

g.  Hi-fi/stereo music

h.  Rv'ing

One old-time hobby that has gotten dramatically cheaper is photography, but tried that too with an old 2¼ X 3¼ Speed Graphic with sheet film.  Camera got to be worth half the price of a car at one point.  I sold.

 

After the airplane (age 65+ I'm hoping) we will move on to RV'ing.  If there's a world left and something to run one on.

 

Adventures in RSS

Got an email from a reader who was miffed (I think that's what #$%^& YOU) means, that I put a link to the Peoplenomics update on the RSS email feed (link top of page).  Reader figured it was misleading to mix the daily update pointers with the pointer to Peoplenomics.

 

So let me know if I should (or should not) put a note out when the Peoplenomics site is updated.  Major rules on this.  Otherwise, the RSS feed will be ONLY four times a week for UrbanSurvival and won't mention the other content and what's in it.

 

Sheesh...blind stumbling around on this stuff....send comments.

 

Others With  PR Issues

Seems I'm not the only one with 'issues' on how to use the net right/proper-like.  Got an email from the CFTC this morning  telling me...

You are subscribed to Events for CFTC.gov. This information has recently been updated, and is now available.

Anxious to see what they were up to I immediately clicked through (Maybe they were actually going to do something on metals prices, I thought...who knows, right?)

404 Page Not Found

Makes me feel a bit better.  No, make that worse.  No.....

 

The Thursday Funnies

May have to start a new "Little Walter" category, since our Little Larry stories have been running a bit light here later. 

 

But here's a peach of a Little Walter story...

President Obama goes to a primary school to talk to the kids to get a little PR. After his talk he offers question time. One little boy puts up his hand and Obama asks him his name.

"Walter," responds the little boy.

"And what is your question, Walter?"

"I have 4 questions:

1. why did the USA Bomb Libya without the support of the Congress? 2. why do you keep saying you fixed the economy when it's actually worse?
3. why did you say that Jeremiah Wright was your mentor, then said that you knew nothing about his preachings and beliefs? and
4. why are we so worried about Brazil drilling for oil, but we aren't allowed to?"

Just then, the bell rings for recess. Obama informs the kiddies that they will continue after recess. When they resume Obama says, "OK, where were we? Oh, that's right: question time. Who has a question?"

Another little boy puts up his hand. Obama points him out and asks him his name.

"Steve," he responds.

"And what is your question, Steve?"

Actually, I have 6 questions.

1. why did the USA Bomb Libya without the support of the Congress? 2. why do you keep saying you fixed the economy when it's actually worse?
3. why did you say that Jeremiah Wright was your mentor, then said that you knew nothing about his preachings and beliefs?
4. why are we so worried about Brazil drilling for oil, but we aren't allowed to?
5. why did the recess bell go off 20 minutes early? and
6. what the hell happened to Walter?"

Well, look at that would you?  Time for us to recess, too.  We'll reconvene this here kangaroo court tomorrow at 8 AM Central, more of less.

 


Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Schedule Change

This is the day we move Wednesday reports to our www.peoplenomics.com site.  $40/year for subscribers.  This way, I keep up the flow of high quality information and still get a day off!   Here's what's going on over there:

 

If You THINK a Crashing is Coming...

Later on today, the Fed is expected to offer another one of those finely crafted word collections (Fed Statements) that will read as though prescient 6-months from now regardless of what happens.  As usual, we'll review overnight events, but first let's look at the biggest question of all: When (or if)  to sell metals. Then we size up the odds of another oil embargo in  light of the upcoming Palestinian homeland issue and push some numbers around on that topic....which might fit some of the panic/fear/global crisis language in Clif's report out Tuesday. 

 

More for Subscribers                       To Subscribe, CLICK HERE

                    Need Logon Assistance?  Click here

 

Free access report will be back - as always - tomorrow.

 

Bot Run Out: Up the Down Elevator?

While our government spends who knows how much on their Open Source Indicators project and while various academics are tripping over their petchewzelwhackers trying to invent predictive linguistics, we're pleased to announce that Clif has posted the link to the new Shape of Things to Come report over on his website.

 

A careful read of the bottom of page 9 will clear up my "watch for smoke" reference, but beyond that, many larger issues are cropping up like this reader question:

"Hi George,

Just got my HPH report and deflation appears to be on the horizon. You've been hinting at deflation, too.

But in a deflation, isn't cash king? But if the dollar is crashing? So, should I empty the mattress or stuff it with more? (I've already got my food and my 1 ounce silver round.)"

This is indeed the hardest part of what's ahead to wrap your head around, since orderly inflation has been de rigueur for most of us since birth.  The idea was that a person could invest in ownership of something like a house and thanks to the changing purchasing power of money (reduced value of money = inflation) pay the home off with cheaper money.

 

Now, however, as we have been stridently warning, with the collapse of monetary velocity, the money is becoming more dear.

 

While I hit near-panic when I realize that of nine children between Elaine and me, less than half own homes and we're talking kids in their 30's and 40's!

 

But they may be geniuses and here's why:  Say they had purchased a home for $180,000 in 2008 at the very top of the bubble.  That home today might be worth only half that amount.  So they would have paid twice the home's value.

 

What's worse, wages have been pretty much flat.  And with other prices going up, the little money they would have becomes more dear (precious).

 

Now let's push this out a bit:  What's the world like where people continue to have a house debt that's big and unemployment keeps rising (no new jobs, after all) and consequently, wages continue to erode. 

 

Wages eroding will then stabilize prices and actually bring some down.  That's what happens in deflation.

 

And where did all the money go?  Into dead pools.  All quite natural when the ratio of M2 (going up at a 3-month rate annualized) 23.3 percent and GDP is flat to declining slightly.

 

Which is why Peoplenomics this weekend is tackling the two biggest questions out there:  When is the right time to bail out of gold and silver (if ever) and concurrently, what's it mean when George writes "We're losing the Sex Race"?

 

Gold and silver are likely to continue gaining real purchasing power, but only to the point where government confiscates like they did with gold and silver in the 1930's.  But in terms of wages?  They really can fall.  And housing prices?  You know the answer to that one.

 

I've said it before but it bears repeating: We're in a huge deflation now.  The proof is in the Fed/Treasury hyperinflation which is almost completely gobbled up by the falling prices.  Leaving 4% apparent inflation but behind the scenes velocity is still crashing and it will have the inevitable results when the market comes to its senses.

 

Power of the Hype

I get up every stinking morning and tell you for years about how the American Dream is toast.  Does anyone pay attention?  Not so far as I can tell.

 

But let old Slick Willie come out and say "The American Dream is under Assault!" and somehow that's news.

 

No, make that hype.

 

Classless Congress

The old GOPsters have stuck their foot in it and they don't even see it yet.  Calling the idea of a balanced budget Class Warfare

 

If you ever needed proof that the republicorps are lap dogs of the corpsters in the back room who write checks to both parties, here you go.  The world corp-you-lent comes to mind.

 

Told you:  Should have let them fail.  Teach them corporate debt pigs that there's real risk involved in finance and the American public isn't going to go the route of Germany - getting stuck with the bill for Europe's wild spending - without a fight.

 

Just a matter of whether it takes place in congress with gentlemen's rules, or in the street.  Wonder is them big lobbying outfits are 'getting it'?

 

Throw 'em all out next election, is how I'm voting.  The straight Save America Ticket.

 

Housing Starts

Ah, remember the "good old days"?  When we used to have a housing industry?

newest out this morning from the Census Bureau covering August activity:

BUILDING PERMITS

Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 620,000. This is 3.2 percent (±1.0%) above the revised July rate of 601,000 and is 7.8 percent (±1.4%) above the August 2010 estimate of 575,000. Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of 413,000; this is 2.5 percent (±0.9%) above the revised July figure of 403,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 178,000 in August.

 

HOUSING STARTS Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 571 000 This is 5 0 percent (±10 6%)* below the revised July estimate of 601,000 and is 5.8 percent (±12.0%)* below the August 2010 rate of 606,000. Single-family housing starts in August were at a rate of 417,000; this is 1.4 percent (±10.3%)* below the revised July figure of 423,000. The August rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 148,000.

 

HOUSING COMPLETIONS Privately-owned housing completions in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 623,000. This is 2.7 percent (±12.7%)* below the revised July estimate of 640,000, but is 2.6 percent (±13.2%)* above the August 2010 rate of 607,000. Single-family housing completions in August were at a rate of 477,000; this is 0.2 percent (±10.2%)* below the revised July rate of 478,000. The August rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 143,000.

Unfortunately, the Census press release doesn't go back very far, and it's here where we dig into Excel a bit to come up with a comparison.  In 2007, the announcing housing start rate was 1,046,000 homes (annual rate).

 

With starts this month at an annual of 571,000, we're pretty comfortable alleging that we're running 54.6% of where we were four years ago.

 

It Ain't Over....

Yes, our bets are still on for a collapse of the EuroMess.  Here, you hold the camel steady and I'll put another straw on his back.  How about this one?  Italy's credit rating has been cut by S&P.

 

Asia Bank Runs

Say, you see where seven troubled banks have been suspended in South Korea?

 

While the headlines are about saying hopeful things like "Banks avoid massive withdrawals" this seems to be a little bigger than just another straw on the old camel's back.

 

Railroad tie is more like it, and a wet one at that.

 

More Straws - Quick!

EU banks may be needing more money to make it through the crisis says this report.  Siemens was rumored to be rolling their dough out of some French banks.  No problems for us, says BNP Paribas

 

One hell of a strong camel, huh?

 

Cargo Stat

We talked last week about the general small slowing of imports via West Coast ports.  Got an email from the Port of Tacoma folks with new cargo stats - exports up a bit but check this:

"Full import container volumes are down 2 percent. The lack of U.S. consumer confidence, due to economic uncertainty, is also contributing to the decline of Asian imports up and down the West Coast. In August, the U.S. consumer confidence level was at its lowest point since February 2009."

Baltic Dry Index is rolling over and we're hearing that the scrappers/ship breakers are getting ready for a lot of work to cut down on over capacity in ocean shipping.

 

Paying Off the Palestinians

$200-million from the Saudis to the Palestinians to quiet down the tone of things.

 

 

Check Your Brain at the Counter

What next in marketing?  People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals is reportedly looking at launch of a porn site to raise money.

 

Sexploitation in the name of veganism?  Right up there with killing people to prevent murder...sometimes I just stare at a story for hours...

 

Coping:  With Online Video Games

Every so often, the question of what's ahead for the world comes up around here and one of the most frequently recurring issues is "What will people do once the internet goes down?"

 

Although the hopeful answer is Get Local, Get Smart, Get Organized, the more likely answer is that humans will find new and creative ways to waste time.

 

Not all time wasters are created equal, however.  Some of really, really interesting.  One of my all-time favorites was an early Macintosh game called "Balance of Power."   Published in 1985 this is a marvelous game if you ever get a chance to play.

 

If you want a good idea for a book to write, try this one on:  A history of humans based on the games they were playing at the time.

 

The basic theme might be "So, you think this is a joke?" and then a review of the various games that were typical of living conditions of people here and there throughout history.  I'd buy one of the first copies...

 

Monopoly is pretty interesting game since it actually has its roots in economics and the rent / single-tax theories of Henry George (and his believers in Georgism, no relation).   That game was first published as "The Landlord Game" in 1924 and gained lots of followers in the US during the Great Depression.

 

All of which is a longish way of getting around to our first major brain-firing of this the morning: The discovery of a dandy online game which may become a kind of  "statement of the times" - in game form - much as Balance of Power defined the dangerous balance of the Cold War or the way Monopoly defined an earlier test run of the PowersThatBe.

 

This one is called Budget Hero, and although it's been out for a while as part of American Public Media's "Engage 08" series, and honestly, I think I did pretty well in my first turn at budget whacking since the game reported:

  • Debt's no match for you:  You reduced the debt from 75.5% of GDP to 63.1 percent.

  • Your kids called to say thank you!  You delayed the budget bust pushing it from 2031 to 2034.

  • You're a downsizer!  You shrank the size of government from 25.9% to 24.5% of GDP.

Mind you, this was my first pass through it.

 

Given that the economics can actually be penciled out, why all the hijinks in Washington is just beyond me.  Math tends to be pretty inflexible stuff.

 

Still, the point of simulations is that they reach mathematically justified conclusions, unlike the congressional budget process which is, in an odd way, divorced from the reality of math.

 

Would be kinda cool if a nonpartisan group (Congressional Research Service comes to mind) which would simply attach to any budget bill an updated outcome of the agreed upon financial model.

 

Of course, that would be too simple.  Don't know if you remember the comments last November of once Reagan budget director David Stockman, but there's a high correlation between what he's saying and what we've been saying for a couple of years.  Serial bubbles and the whole lot.

 

"This is about cleaning up the mess, the morning after...."

 

And if it takes something as clear as a budget "game" scorecard being attached to each Bill in Washington so the weasels at the helm can't say later "Well, I didn't know that would occur..." the proof will be incontestable.

 

So not only are we living in a kind of Matrix where 95% of people are hypnotized by the non-real righty-left charade, but off in the back room, The Grunch is writing checks like there's no tomorrow.

 

And on our present trajectory, there won't be.  Anyone who has studied Gaming 101 knows that answer.

 

A Note to the PC Police

A couple of readers sent in notes yesterday accusing me of a racial slur by referring to "a coon's age" as a time reference.

 

It was not.

 

Perhaps I should explain that here in the South, especially the rural environs thereof, raccoons were once thought to have a long life.  An old raccoon might have lived 15-years or longer.  As research later showed, most raccoons don't make it past six months of age, due to the coyotes and other hazards here in the Outback.  That's about the last time we had significant rain here in Drought Land.

---

I've often believed that a writer should reflect their current circumstances and Saturday I spent some time with a couple of friends in the oil industry.  Colloquial speech all over the place.  Worse, before the storm came through with our much-needed rain, Zeus and Puscilla were fighting on the screen porch with a juvenile raccoon. 

 

Just as in Clif's work where speech tells us what's coming next, so too, the choices of words we each make (and analogies used) will reflect our most recent interactions with the rest of the world.

 

So, if I lapse into a Southern term here and there, you may properly assume I have been enjoying the company of genuine Southern folk.  Similarly, if I fret and stew about financial matters a bit more, it's because the repair bill on the airplane keeps going up.  (Another story...).

 

Going sailing/boating shifts my language a bit, too, arghhhh.

 

Anyway, that's how brains and language work:  Recent influences dictate choices of words.  And if you think a coon's age (6-months to whenever) is a racial slur, time to get out of your shell and see the world a bit, bubba.  There's three definitions ahead of #4, and I'm too ADHD to make it past #2.

 

By the way, having live in three of America's four corner areas, and in the middle, too, has been incredibly useful in writing dialog for my great American novel project.  Maybe that's why great writers tends to live in many places, or be well-traveled:  because depth in language provides better writing.

 

Typos and proofreading issues aside, of course.

 

Down At the WuJo: The Bleed-over Future

Since we're skirting around how "things" work, I suppose you have seen some of the recent work suggesting that humans may actually "run" (as in think and live) on a 4-6 second time delayed basis.

 

A Stanford site has a good discussion of the "specious present" problem here.

 

You know how the old-fashioned tape recorder worked?  Tape moves across a record head and is then played back by the playback head?  Well, the 'routing' of temporal perception may be along the same lines.

 

The key thing, however, is in a tape recorder, the distance between heads and speed of the tape is fixed such that the offset is constant.

 

Seems it's relatively so, in humans, but not entirely.  So it's with some interest in the India earthquake this week that I'm now able to go back to our National Dream Center and look up prescient dreams about earthquakes.  Here's one in particular which was posted on March 3 of this year:

I had two meditational type dreams recently. One was showing me a massive earthquake..maybe 10+. in or around the himalayas. That quake completely destroyed part of the mountains. People and villages could not be found and were missing. Could not tell the time of the event. I could not tell whether this was above Afghan, Pakistan, Kashmir or India.

The other was in California I think in march - April. I tried my best to zero in on the center. The best I could see it was in or near Bakersfield. The picture in my head showed cracks going out from the epicenter. The cracks also generated quakes. The words "for two years" appeared above the map I was visioning. Alot of the cracks went toward Los Angeles through the canyon country, but some went east toward Lake Isabella. One crack went toward fresno and some went down the san andreas toward Victorville.

I pray for none of the events to happen unless needed to reach the higher age!

So lets look at some of the elements here.  Death toll from the quake is up to 83 now, by the way.

  • Location in dream:  In or around the Himalayas.   Yup, that's the Himalayas, alright.

  • People and villages?  We should find out about that sooner or later, so keep an eye on the missing villages part.

So was this "predictive"?

 

More recently, we have a reader who apparently loses a dog in an upcoming major quake.  Not surprising that if there is a strong emotional tie-in that would tend to 'bleed back' into the past a good bit, depending on closeness emotionally receptivity.  Either that, or it was a one-week delay on watching an earthquake movie, but maybe not...

 

A dream in mid July foresees an earthquake in Java/Indonesia that will put Krakatau to shame, but not many hints on timing.

 

The problem with forecasting earthquakes is you can always make a forecast and always be right.

 

The Tuesday Funnies

Next time you go out for food...

Last week, we took some friends to a new Indian restaurant, '*****'s Place,' and noticed that the Indian waiter who took our order carried a spoon in his shirt pocket. It seemed a little strange. When the busboy brought our water and utensils, I observed that he also had a spoon in his shirt pocket. Then I looked around and saw that all the Indian staff had spoons in their pockets. When the waiter came back to serve our soup I inquired, 'Why the spoon?'

'Well, 'he explained, 'the restaurant's owner hired ******* Consulting to revamp all of our processes. After several months of analysis, they concluded that the spoon was the most frequently dropped utensil It represents a drop frequency of approximately 3 spoons per table per hour. If our personnel are better prepared, we can reduce the number of trips back to the kitchen and save 15 man-hours per shift.'

As luck would have it, I dropped my spoon and he replaced it with his spare. 'I'll get another spoon next time I go to the kitchen instead of making an extra trip to get it right now..' I was impressed.

I also noticed that there was a string hanging out of the Indian waiter's fly.

Looking around, I saw that all of the Indian waiters had the same string hanging from their flies. So, before he walked off, I asked the waiter, 'Excuse me, but can you tell me why you have that string right there?'

'Oh, certainly!' Then the Indian waiter lowered his voice. 'Not everyone is so observant. That consulting firm I mentioned also learned that we can save time in the restroom. By tying this string to the tip of our you-know-what, we can pull it out without touching it and eliminate the need to wash our hands, shortening the time spent in the restroom by 76.39%.'

I asked quietly, 'After you get it out, how do you put it back?'

'Well,' he whispered, 'I don't know about the others, but I use the spoon… ' !!!!!

(rim shot)

 

And from our third layer back-up law firm up in D we received this fine insight to start the day:

"I refuse to believe that corporations are people until Texas executes one."

I think the old saying is "Your lips to God's ears..."

 


Monday, September 19, 2011

Ma Nature's Monday

Two biggies this morning, but let's start with the home front development first.  It rained in East Texas last night, and depending on where you're talking about, it was a pretty good soaking.  We have almost an inch and a half in the rain gauge this morning.

 

Started around 10 PM when Elaine came in and said "You have to go see the lights off to the northwest..."  "Sure it isn't northern lights?" I'd been asleep up till then...

 

A look outside confirmed that it was lightning off in the distance 330-50 miles northwest and eyes on the NEXRAD showed major cold front was sweeping down from the Dallas area.  Outside in a flash to bring down the crank-up ham radio tower which was up at 60-feet.  No point inviting the lightning to drop by.  By the time the tower was down, the wind from the north had cooled noticeably and by midnight the rain finally showed up in earnest.

 

The National Weather Service reported their Avalon station showed 2.79 inches, Lake Limestone had 2.53 inches while one Dallas station had 2.33 inches in the 24-hour period ending at 4 AM.  Tyler, Texas through midnight had 1.24 inches.

 

The front has moved down into the Houston area this morning, and by the end of the week, highs will drop below 80 for the first time in a coon's age.

 

Despite the blessed rain, we still have a ways to go.  We're down 17 inches year to date from "normal."  Even after the overnight soak.

---

Shakes and Quakes continue, too.  Several people have been killed in that Sikkim, India quake which popped 6.9 on Sunday.

 

More than one reader sent along a note admitting there may be something to this 188-day quake cycles we talked about last week. 

 

Oh, and a reader sent this, though I don't know how much stock to put in it:

"Western California and New York City will be destroyed by the Earthquake mentioned in the Revelation of John sometime within the next several days. I cannot be more specific.

This is the Vision that I saw on January 1, 1975 and December 27, 1976."

Hopefully that will be a shaking out in markets only. Futures point guess where...

'

Bot Run Due Tomorrow

But maybe not early in the day...Cliff's still got the space goat stuff to get finished up today...  If I tell you "look for smoke," it will make sense when you read the report. Check www.halfpasthuman.com  tomorrow.

 

"Check's in the Mail" Department

It's probably not politically correct to call for drug testing of the entire government of Greece, but when I read headlines like "Greece promises primary surplus in 2012, despite deepening recession" I start asking myself "Are people in Euro really dumber than people here?"

 

Why, that hardly seems possible, especially after listening to a few minutes of talk radio after the Cowboys win in overtime last night.  Same old stuff here in the USA:  People have been sliced and segmented into idiots right, idiots left, while the corporations continue fleecing the sheep.  A good eye-opener on the real goings on here is the documentary "Casino Jack and the United State of Money"  which is making the rounds on NetFlix now.

 

Notwithstanding comparative voter IQs, we noted this morning that the British market was down about 2%, France was down about 2½% and the Germans were down almost 3%.  Yahoo Finance updates the disaster in the works here every couple of minutes.

 

Not that the US will escape the same fate, particularly come next spring, but I'm going to bite my tongue until the next predictive linguistics report comes out tomorrow (or Wednesday) from www.halfpasthuman.com.

 

What Kind of Week?

Robin Handler's Options Signal Service, which scored a mighty gain in street creds with last week's spot-on Big Rally Alert we posted, is sizing this week up in three words: "Duck and Cover."  Unless you're loaded to the gills on short positions, which I happen to be.

 

I talked with Robin Landry on Friday and he's still looking pretty much the same direction; what he's telling colleagues in the investment community who follow his work is that we need to get a little further into the current move since there are two possible endings which I think I can summarize this way:

  • If the Dow does somehow make it up to the 12,000 and beyond level, then we may have concluded the large Elliott 1 down from the highs this summer.  That would imply that the next move would be dramatically down and could hit somewhere like Dow 8,100 enroute to possibly the retest of the March/April 2009 lows.

  • The alternate outlook is that we march smartly down from here and put in a low of between Dow 10,400 down as far as maybe 9,400 to complete the (5) of the larger 1.

Not that it should be hard to follow along.  A more detailed discussion of the possibilities is in the Peoplenomics ChartPack posted Sunday, but you should get the idea here.  How hard is "duck and cover" to understand? 

 

As usual, this is NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE but my personal play money in the market is about 9 % on the short side at the moment.  That remain little bit is to dollar cost average my short cost down a bit in case we don't head down instantly, but a thousand points down before we break out in happy talk hives wouldn't surprise me. 

 

The wild card is that if this is (5) or the larger 1 completing, there's been a tendency in the past 20-years for collapses to happen in the 5th wave down - just like happens often in commodities trading.  So we'll just watch, but the headlines were crossing two hours before the open that the "Stock index futures signal sharp losses."  Why quick!  Look surprised...

 

The Weak Ahead

Main feature this morning will be the short term bond announcements this morning.  Tomorrow's main event will likely be Housing numbers, but more than anything Wednesday will be the pivotal day as the Fed announces it's doing nothing, but the weasel-wording in the announcement of nothing is what will be taking up gallons on ink and pixels.

 

Thursdays' anagram day:  Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) which can be respelled...oh you are awake, aren't you?

 

Middle East: On Simmer

With more due this week in the debate over a Palestinian homeland, we are pleased to report that so far this morning, things are "normal" in that part of the world:

"George I am about five miles from Bethlehem in a large Israeli settlement as you know. Today I am seeing nothing unusual, the Palestinians are tending their fields in the center of the city as normal (They sold the bare stony hilltops to Jewish developers in the 80's), Arabs are at normal work in the grocery store and at construction sites. They are driving in and out with heavy construction equipment and cement trucks, traffic in general seems calm. The only unusual thing at all was some medium altitude full military power training by some F-15's that I have not heard nearby for most of the summer. Hope all is well with you Your man in Israel"

Hope he's able to tell us when people don't show up for work...that's when I'd start to get worried.  You can read about the "fixing to get ready" footwork here.

 

My Kind of Socialists

Say, here's a dandy one that just might restore some of your faith in "socialists" but not of the Washington stripe: "Dutch Socialist Party has asked the Secretary of the Treasury for the whereabouts of the Dutch Central Bank’s gold."

 

Question #2 they're asking is particularly good: "Why are gold and gold loans stated as one line item in the annual report 2010 instead of mentioned as 2 separate items? "

 

Of course, over here in the land of the brave, home of the hidden sausage, we already know the answer to this one.  It does make me wonder if there's some kind of a special school banksters and politicos go to where they learn to lie by telling the truth.  Depends what you mean by...stuff.

 

Self Congrats of Tinsel Town

The LA Times has good coverage of the Emmies if you still need it.  If someone asks, I simply say Emmy's? Nah....  (say it fast a few times...dare you...)

 

Coping:  With Taxing Thoughts

The report that president Obama is planning a $3-trillion deficit reduction program and that half of it will come from (partially) tax hikes on millionaires essentially, is already being decried as a bad thing in some media.  This is astounding.

 

The New York Post this morning goes to some lengths explaining "How the 'Buffett tax' will kill jobs" but a careful read of the Charles Gasparino (of Fox Business Network) article leaves me scratching my bald spot.

 

If I follow his logic correctly, Gasparino's main thrust, which comes after six paragraphs of which read like Buffett-bashing, is that if we take money away from the people who still have disposable incomes, then it will only make the jobs situation worse. 

 

Hogwash.  Solvent government ain't free, even to the people who've been buying its favors in eBay-like auctions for congressional votes!

 

For a guy advocating the 'little guy' position, Gasparino's hanging out terms like "class warfare" while describing Buffett as a "limousine liberal" sets off the BS detector.

 

Economics is pretty simple stuff.  All you need to do is extend any argument to the extreme to see how it plays. If the tax rate on the millionaire class is not raised...then we will likely see a further concentration of wealth into the hands of the ultra-rich, and not just Buffett...try the Rothschilds and let's talk real money.  Or how's about that off-shore, transnational money...like those newspaper magnates from down under wield.

 

The US is already up with Greece in terms of accumulated debt to GDP, but even as the foundations of America are creaking under the debt burdens, the corporate media outlets are still razzling and dazzling readers with the myth of republicorps good guys versus democrop bad guys and most talk radio listeners don't have the mental acuity to see through the crap and realize what Buckminster Fuller called "the Grunch of Giants" is really what's behind the clockwork politics run by corporations and the ultra rich that own them.

 

I am deeply disappointed that the NY Post would publish such an apologist piece that only benefits the richer-than-stink.

 

If keeping America solvent means the Buff has to ride last year's Gulfstream, oh well.

 

Unfortunately, since no one is looking at economic reality, the fact of the matter is that there is no longer any economic justification for an exceptionally low capital gains tax.  It made sense only so long as there was a shortage of capital formation.

 

Since wealth concentration in the hands of the rich is at the highest levels in history, don't suppose you've noticed that, but we've got capital in dead pools all over the place.  Sucking up interest with virtually no risk, since government is hogtied to write checks to the too big to fail corps.

 

If the Obama administration had any real balls, they'd end preferential capital gains treatment for the rich and call it what it is:  Ordinary income.  But since Bucky's The Grunch is writing checks to both groups of poor actors, democorps and republicorps, the bulks of Americans will swallow the swill served up by corporate-owned media which panders to the rich.

 

'Specially in places like NYC.

 

If the NY Post was a leader in journalism, they'd be calling out both parties and getting the tide of wealth concentration amongst the rich under control.

 

Still, I'll keep reading the Post, and similarly superficial politic-selling media which means one of two things:

  • I'm either a complete optimist

  • or I'm a complete idiot.

Oh, wait, who owns the Post?

 

Stop Wining

...and start liqueuring...over at Backdoor Survival  Gaye's been working up recipes for turning fresh fruits into whatever people use liqueurs for...toppings on ice cream and such.

 

Since I've gotten back into flying, blood sugar management has really become something I watch (in addition to blood pressure, etc.) so if alcohol doesn't cook off something, I'm not especially keen on it.  Still, I can see where a NYC-style cheese cake with a drizzle of raspberry.....

 

Change Week

Time to embrace change.  Starting on Wednesday or this week, Peoplenomics is going to a Wednesday/Saturday publishing schedule.  I will put up a few headlines on this site on Wednesday, but the main content will be at the www.peoplenomics.com website. 

 

The main reasons for this are two-fold:  The first is I have been working 7-days a week for a couple of years now (and no sick time, in case you missed that part) and it would really be nice to have a day off on the weekend to go places, relax, and so forth.

 

The second reason is that the Wednesday session for subscribers may be a bit more heavily weighted in the direction of financial analysis and net worth protection strategies.

 

Over time, I'd like to get to a "normal" 5-day a week schedule, but what I'd do with all that play-time isn't clear.  But I just know Elaine could come up with something to fill it in, lol.

 

Note that if you forget to check in here for your daily dose of reality, there's a link up at the top of this page, or just click here, so you can sign up for email delivery of update notices.

 

Plane Update

Our lil ol Beech will be in the shop all week; turned out that two cylinder heads need to be replaced, not just one that we'd planned on.  No biggie since we are planning to do some long-distance traveling and the last thing I want to be doing is flying up over Great Salt Lake enroute Seattle for meetings and have a snarfy engine. 

 

I mentioned this on the Peoplenomics site Saturday and was flooded with (ok, two then) emails explaining how an airplane is like a boat - which is a hole in the sky into which you throw money.  Save your pixels.

 

Dumbest Phish of the Day

Phishing emails are often pretty interesting if you have 2-ounces of economic brainpower.  Here's one this morning that has the subject line: Transfer Rejected.

 

Then it has a copy of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and then it explains:

The outgoing Wire fund transfer , recently sent from your checking account , was not processed by an intermediary or beneficiary bank. Please click here to view report ________________________________________

This service is provided to you by the Federal Reserve Board. Visit us on the web at http://www.federalreserve.gov.

And the return email was from  office@westernunion.com

 

This does bring us to two important matters:  First, the people who sent out this BS crap phishing message should really get some schooling because putting the Fed's name on this automatically makes it suspect.

 

Two, even if it were from the Fed, they don't have any real money, anyways.  It's all just paper, right?  Sheesh!

 

Guess I shouldn't be too harsh on 'em.  After all, if they were the really smart criminals, they'd hold office...

 

The Monday Funnies

A couple of variations of this one have been going around, but this latest retooling is pretty good:

A cowboy named Bud was overseeing his herd in a remote mountainous pasture in California when suddenly a brand-new BMW advanced toward him out of a cloud of dust.

 

The driver, a young man in a Brioni® suit, Gucci® shoes, RayBan® sunglasses and YSL® tie, leaned out the window and asked the cowboy, "If I tell you exactly how many cows and calves you have in your herd, will you give me a calf?" Bud looks at the man, who obviously is a yuppie, then looks at his peacefully grazing herd and calmly answers,

 

"Sure, why not?" The yuppie parks his car, whips out his Dell® notebook computer, connects it to his Cingular RAZR V3® cell phone, and surfs to a NASA page on the Internet, where he calls up a GPS satellite to get an exact fix on his location which he then feeds to another NASA satellite that scans the area in an ultra-high-resolution photo.

 

The young man then opens the digital photo in Adobe Photoshop® and exports it to an image processing facility in Hamburg, Germany. Within seconds, he receives an email on his Palm Pilot® that the image has been processed and the data stored. He then accesses an MS-SQL® database through an ODBC connected Excel® spreadsheet with email on his Blackberry® and, after a few minutes, receives a response.

 

Finally, he prints out a full-color, 150-page report on his hi-tech, miniaturized HP LaserJet® printer, turns to the cowboy and says, "You have exactly 1,586 cows and calves."

 

"That's right. Well, I guess you can take one of my calves," says Bud. He watches the young man select one of the animals and looks on with amusement as the young man stuffs it into the trunk of his car.

 

Then Bud says to the young man, "Hey, if I can tell you exactly what your business is, will you give me back my calf?"

 

The young man thinks about it for a second and then says, "Why not?" "You're a Congressman for the U.S. Government", says Bud.

 

"Wow! That's correct," says the yuppie, "but how did you guess that?"

 

"No guessing required." answered the cowboy. "You showed up here even though nobody called you; you want to get paid for an answer I already knew, to a question I never asked. You used millions of dollars worth of equipment trying to show me how much smarter than me you are; and you don't know a thing about how working people make a living - or about cows, for that matter.

 

This is a flock of sheep. Now give me back my dog."

And in our Humor from the Barricades department:

A driver was stuck in a traffic jam on the highway outside Washington DC. Nothing was moving. Suddenly, a man knocks on the window. The driver rolls down the window and asks, "What's going on?"

"Terrorists have kidnapped Congress, and they're asking for a $100 million dollar ransom. Otherwise, they are going to douse them all in gasoline and set them on fire. We are going from car to car, collecting donations."

"How much is everyone giving, on average?" the driver asks.

The man replies, "A gallon would be good."

And, the email tagline of the day:

"I'd rather be happy than right any day."

Which may be the best health advice we've seen...

 

 

 

Google

               The Web UrbanSurvival Only

Chart of the Week!

Before the chart, a little background:

Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug.  Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?"  "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.

 

So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track.  Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.

 

No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes.  So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:

 

 

"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest. 

 

Why sure it is...you bet.  A 11-year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, we're like SO sure...  (Shhh...don't tell anyone that major Depressions are two-part coupled affairs like the linkage between 1920-21 and 1929, OK?  Damn, dude...don't spoil it for the sheep...)

 

Oh...don't forget to "Write when you get rich!"

 

George Ure, The People's Economist

 

Member of:

 National Society of Newspaper Columnists

 

Society of American Business Editors and Writers

 

 

Please Visit:
    Peoplenomics

   LiveonTenThousand.com

    Half Past Human

    Independence Jrnl

    BOTS: Explained

   Bots:  NE Power Outage

Solari

  "Trader Jim" Goulding 

 Our Favorite Tool:

Minneapolis Fed Inflation Calculator

   

Our Suppliers:


   Commodity Trading

   www.fortwealth.com

 

   Web Hosting

   www.emwd.com

 

   Emergency Food Stores

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

  

 Tequila

   http://www.eldontequila.com/

 

 Organic Heirloom Seeds:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New Reader Notes

This is a Free Financial News and economic information site updated daily except Sundays. 

If you can not get to http://www.urbansurvival.com/ from your corpgov workstation, please try our mirror site: http://www.independencejournal.com/ . This site is also available at www2.urbansurvival.com  and www3.urbansurvival.com  which may not be blocked.   Hey www.urbansurvival.co works, too!

·        Bulletins are posted as our work schedule permits and as events warrant. 

·        I try to publish Monday-Saturday by 8 AM Central Time/ 9 AM Eastern with 7:55 Central pretty normal.  If you're easily offended by the occasional typo, then check about 8:15 Central  we usually proofread and spell check after the first post.  We've had some amusing typos in the past... Sometimes a Saturday issue will be dropped due to projects & chores on our ranch.

·        Financial and news judgments of the publisher are not to be considered "advice"

·        Please read and understand our disclaimer

·        All original content © 1997-2010 by George A. Ure except sources as linked.  Very short extracts are occasionally used under 'fair use' but never entire articles without permission. That would be beyond 'fair use'.

·        Copyright of all linked articles is cited under fair use as this is a topic specific site (long wave economics and humanistic economics, which we call "Peoplenomics"

 

Our premium service, which contains more in depth reports is available on a $40/year subscription basis.  Details at www.peoplenomics.com/subscribe.htm.

 

The "web bot project" indicates a reference to the time predictive technology embodied in the "Asymmetric Language Trend Analysis Intelligence Reports" technology pioneered and operated by Tenax Software Engineering for http://www.halfpasthuman.com/.  An intro to the technology is here. Extracts, when used, are with exclusive permission and any references on other web sites must contain a link to both this site and HalfPastHuman's main page: http://www.halfpasthuman.com/.

 

Site Contact: george@ure.net  

  
This site is formatted for viewing at 1024 X 768, Firefox or MSIE 6.0 or later and a current version of the free Adobe Acrobat Reader for certain linked articles, available free from Adobe.com at URL: http://www.adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep2.html

 

© 2011 Copyright Notice: The author(s) of this site requires that any links or use of  material from this site include the author's name and a link to this site. All links included in our material must also be included in citations.  Address questions to: george@ure.net.  Copyright infringers will be pursued, and please note that Fair Use requires identification of the author/source and we require a link  which when you think about it is really minimal recognition of our works and the works of those who are quoted herein.