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Friday
February 10, 2012 07:55 AM CST Visit our
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Greek Bailout In Limbo Yeah, I know, you thought Limbo was in the Caribbean, or on cruise ships, but it's late in the week, and creativity burns low, so go with me on this. The reason for the limbo label is that violence is breaking out in Greece as people in that country are not happy about the bankster class dictating their national future, at least in such of obvious manner.
There's some weakness in gold this morning, a touch of flight to dollar safety, while we wonder if now that we're past one possible turn date, the market will head south.
The "Inside Indicator" Well, there are two actually. One is the rate at which the founders, directors, and other well-connected insiders are dumping stock on the market as this Mark Hulbert MarketWatch report outlines.
The other is the Baltic Dry Index which is making a might run at 700...but that still leaves open the way to lower prices after the current bounce is spent.
March to War In our semi-daily coverage of an expected outbreak of hostilities in the opening week of March, plus or minus 3-4 days, here's a report that while not exactly a NYT caliber source, is nevertheless typical of buzz-change going on. --- By the way, a reader note implies that looking at the Vinson (the carrier in Hormuz) may not be where the {Vincent, Venicia} bit of language comes from, recalling this:
All of which may, or may not, be meaningful...we shall see in March, but Universe has a rotten sense of wryrony on this kinda thing. --- Heavy fighting is going on this morning in Syria's second largest city, Aleppo, not to be confused with the dog food.
Imbalance of Trade Updated this morning by Census:
So, class, if you're paying attention, if you Jobjack America, export our jobs, the hole we have to borrow just keeps getting deeper. My, what prescience of economic thought, huh?
Bot's Europe Cold Snap Review "How cool is that?" we ask, as we delve back into our "progressive" coverage of the cold snap in Europe by covering the story before it happens. As a reader notes:
Now that reality is catching up to Clif's forecast, we read how the "legendary weather" stuff is likely to last until the end of the month (or longer), the cold snap is one of the reasons perhaps for the recent rise in crude oil prices, and it's being blamed in the Unemployed Kingdom for keeping the price of gasoline high.
While the cold snap is causing the Danube (often called blue) to turn white with some ice, it's now moving into Asia. Snow is no stranger to China, the Koreas, and such, but 3-meters deep in Japan is a bit much.
Still, it's holding to Ure's Theorem, which says the farther ahead of events the archetypes swell up in netizen language use, the bigger the event will be. Still, my "wild dreams" which would be the Maraschino cherry on the event hasn't arrived, though it was never in the reports: I think it'd be cool if someone would open a rope tow for skiers of those seven hills of Rome.
Housing Fallout in Oz We read often enough about housing going on the cheap in foreclosures here in the Land of the Free (yada, yada) but it's not often we hear about deals elsewhere. This story out of Australia about a mansion going for $1,000 is therefore worthy of study...
If you happen to spot a waterfront mansion in the south of Chile, or Patagonia for, oh, says $2,000, you would let me know, wouldn't you?
Secrets Revealed Dept Wow! Wired's coverage of "FBI file on Steve Jobs notes use of LSD, dishonesty."
Deeper read question: What was going on at Pixar that required a Top Secret clearance? That's the thread to follow...
Currents of Death If you've been wondering if alternating current (Westinghouse, et al) was doing some kind of medical damage compared to what DC power (Tesla, et al) would have done if developed instead, you might want to check out this report out of SoCal claiming "Unexplained illness in Southland neighborhood may be linked to stray voltage..." --- Hmmm...do I file this under current affairs, or should it be under shocking disclosures?
Health Notes: You're Sick, I Tell You An eclectic mix of health items pop up today. For one, there's a new report out, sayeth Fox News, that "Shyness, grieving soon to be classified as mental illness." I can hardly wait for the disarm Americans crowd to get a hold of this one to they can add shyness and grieving to things like even a suggestion of combat stress as a reason to deny Constitutionally guaranteed rights to residents (formerly citizens) of this great Nation.
Leaves being a bold, heartless bastard as healthy behavior, near as I can figure it. Speaking of ice running in the veins... --- My doctor's office called in my cholesterol levels this week from my latest lube, oil, and filter check. They want me to think about taking a drug to lower it a bit.
I told them
I'd think about it, but honestly, not long. I'm now reading Ignore the Awkward.: How the Cholesterol Myths Are Kept Alive
Look at the thick crude flowing in the veins of the Swiss...still some of the lowest heart attack rates, compared with the low cholesterol of Australian aboriginals with their rising heart problems....so it could be inferred that genetics are a bigger factor than dietary fats. "You are what born you"....seems to be as much in play as You are what you eat." That, and stress. Oh, and the crap in junk food being a source of cardio issues, but no money from drug makers (Big Pharma, center of the captive regulator universe) in that kind of stuff... --- Speaking of changing medical stuff and things, young George II who is going through his EMT annual recertification's thought I should mention that the new guidelines out of the American Heart Association for heart attack response is no longer ABC (Airway, Breathing, Compression). It's been updated to C-A-B (compressions first, then airway, and then breathing). --- G II is not a doctor and this isn't medical advice, but the thinking among his friends who are docs (and thought my 12-lead was normal) was that evidence seems to be mounting that heart attacks (myocardial infarctions if you must) seem more closely tied to inflammation and the body over-reacting... also told me specifically not to take Ibuprofen because in his (non-doctor, get 'em in the box and transport 'em quick) view, there's some suggestion that high dose Ibu's make cause enough dilation to cause a heart attack.
More reading over here at the National Institutes of Health site, but you may want to rethink taking Ibuprofen and other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs(NSAIDs) if you're an old fart (or fartette, I suppose would be the other gender, though "squeaker" is sometimes heard) and you have pain. Aspirin and talk to your doc about anti-inflammation regimens might be reasonable.
I suppose one more note about sicker and ticker as long as we're wading into this corner of the newsroom: There's been discussion since last fall about just where the "sweet spot" is for vitamin D use that you might want to stay current on, too. If I read this article right, high D levels are a risk elevator if taken with calcium supplements...but not without...and oh, this gets complicated.
Might want to consider Magnesium...I take 'em, but that ain't medical advice, any more than my taking L-Arginine is advice. Just stuff to look into, or take a good multi-vit (organic, please) and call 'er good. I do fish oil twice daily, too, BTW, figuring if I have high cholesterol, it might work better thinned down to about WD-40, but that depends what I can sell those drilling rights on my arm for...
In the meantime, I feel great and so does my wallet...but I'm sick I tell yah..
More after this:
George on Marketing: Selling the Fear Yesterday I was complaining about the (create employment, pander to fear) plans to launch up to 30,000 drones over the USA in the next seven years but this morning we've come across a report about how the Los Angeles Police Department is planning to build a high tech war room.
Building war rooms (and things like those fusion centers) is illustrative of a very curious shift in our society, so if you'd hand me a microscope slide....
What used to be a simple narcodollar battle ground was first militarized about 10 years ago (Afghanistan) and now, the Department of Homeland Security and the TSA (and the "security industry") are on a slow-motion language change to redefine "terrorism."
It's not that difficult to do, apparently, because mainstream Americans (except us'ns around here) aren't particularly overwhelming in their precision of language equal precision of thought (POLEPOT).
Still, for those of us who understand that words are things and picking the wrong words is like picking up the wrong screwdriver, "terrorism" has traditionally been the "use of violence and intimidation in the pursuit of political aims" or so the web informs us now...
Since law enforcement (looking at this as a marketing paradigm) is the current emerging product getting check-writing-to-solve problems, the definition is (and keep watching because these things move at semi-glacial speed) being broadened out. That's why here lately, the FBI concern (and warning) about people who might (being normal prepper types) be buying MREs for cash at military surplus stores, and so forth is so doggone interesting.
No, I don't know of a single case in America where MRE buying has been a tip-off about a would-have-been terrorist event, but the other side of it is that buying large sealed boxes of ammo and being secretive about it could be meaningful, so I'm not being excessively critical. They have a job to do, yada, yada...
I do, however, note that there is an ongoing slide here to be watched closely. For while it's (for now) perfectly OK to differ at the voting box, it's not OK to do anything more than non-violently protest and officialdom is acting extremely fearful in this regard. The difficulty for us free-thinking, question everything types is trying to understand the motivation: Is it a genuine concern for finding terrorists (36, was it in the past three years?) or, are we seeing mission-creep to where it has becoming an instrument of public (employment and economic) policy?
Difficult questions, these. The LEO's being caught in a curious kind of mental cross-fire: Defending the Constitution and Republic against all enemies, foreign and domestic on the one hand, while not getting carried away with a wide-open checkbook which the burgeoning "security industry" has hornswaggled out of Washington.
Another dimensioning of the changes might be something like this: "Tired of good-old fashion, but sometimes slower good police work? Well, just put on this here military/counter-terrorist suit and don't play by the old rules..." Strip 'em of citizenship and send them away, isn't it in the new NDAA?
I'm pretty sure all normal Americans support their local police. But, as police morph into garrisons and troops? You're gonna see marketing fall-out in any re-positioning campaign.
And that fall-out, disagreeing with the underlying politics then turn into the problem they were out to prevent in the first place, which is why migrations into police states do become self-reinforcing at some point along their evolutionary path. Widen the definition of any problem far enough, and that's the risk we face. Get Kafka on the line, would'ja?
It's why today having a visible copy of the Constitution and Bill of Rights in your car is likely to get you a much longer traffic stop than if you have cheeseburger wrappers and empty pop cans strewn about instead. I'll let you make up initials for RSW/RFW, but the hint is two of those are four-letter words.
We recall from the controversial "Report from Iron Mountain: On the accessibility and desirability of peace" this concept: People will only accept government as long as there is a threat of some kind. No threat? Who needs government?
thus, at the highest level, fear marketing can be seen as going through cycles. Before and during World War II, fear was "The Hun" and "The Japs." The next macro fear marketing efforts were the Cold War with "duck & cover!". Once the face-off toe-to-toe on the field of Armageddon was done there (and money from Cold Warrioring threatened to dry up) Nuwars came along (Iraq, Afghanistan, etc.)
Now, we're well-into product introduction time with a new line of creative solutions to the employment/economic equation. Our bogeyman of the decade is what? Terrorism! And, what better product to market, since the labor force available will be conveniently military trained, as The Wars throttle down.
I have to admit it's a graceful, although perhaps unintended product migration. Maybe history just presents us with this kind of systems development life cycle, or SDLC for short.
My hypothesis is that the US economy has been beset with a curious sequence of era-specific marketing programs perhaps best seen by listing out some of the positioning statements which were used:
Admittedly, I have an odd way of thinking about history, a disease brought on by the study of business administration and marketing. It'd be easy to pass me off as a nutjob for even suggesting this, except for one ugly fact folks don't like to think about:
It fits.
"Drone's Disease" Feedback From a reader who is more knowledgeable than most..
And as additional comfort to pilots (including moi) our highly informed reader suggested I read version 2.0 of the "Unmanned Aircraft System Airspace Integration Plan." But, I politely informed him that I don't touch version 2.0 of anything, and I restrict my reading of documents to versions 3.0 and two service packs or above. --- Freedom Rocker Chris Ross has indicated he may lay tracks of down "Drones, Drone's on the Range" and if he does, we'll put a link to the YouTube up. Also, there's a group up in Kansas City that's planning to perform it, too. I'd go watch, but my consigliore (who in real life is a (gulp-) tax attorney) is sketchy on whether that'd be a business use of the plane.
On hearing that bad news, I then asked him if there were any EEOC regs on hiring a really short person (part-time) to stand outside the hangar down at the Palestine Airport to point at our flying son of a Beech and say "Dee plane! Dee plane!" so throngs of fans could fine it (thinking I might be able to charge for tours) but his phone mysteriously died. How odd....
Reader's Writes This one's an interesting "Hoping for the best in March" kind of view:
What's the old saying? "You lips to God's ears..." isn't it? But I've been thinking Universe needs a hearing check-up here lately.
Another bet on March?
Yeah, a couple of other readers had suggested something similar: World gets into the position of starting to blow itself up, and suddenly dozens of huge UFOs park themselves over big cities - not intervening per se, but to visually slam home that we are not alone.
Once again, being a hard-headed, data-driven dufus, I have to head to the
bookshelf and whip out a couple of books to explain where this "savior from
space" stuff may arise from: The God Virus: How religion infects our lives and culture
One of these days I've thought about sharing some thoughts on how all major religions can be analyzed as intangible product marketing campaigns (which Allstate does brilliantly with their long-term invest in the "You're in good hands with Allstate" positioning which aligns beautifully with many religionist beliefs or that strain of virus...
It's hard to do, but whenever I see a story with a theme like this (God, his representatives, UFOs or any other external authority figure) showing up, I try to remember to go begin with "Where's the supporting data?"
So when you watch challenging videos on YouTube, like this one, the difficulty is sorting out difficult questions like "Is this another manifestation of a religion gene being activated, or is is just another sale coming with a marketing program?" Not easy questions, these.
Writes On: Dangerous Bread That story about salt in break got us some well-reasoned feedback, too:
Don't tell reader/writer KP this, but I envy him, and all bakers very much. In fact I've contemplated going to school to learn finer nuances of the baking arts so that I too could become a professional loafer... (groans)
Lingo-Lango, We Go So, as we ponder what it would be like to be run by a runaway computer programmed by suspicious programmers, most of whom we're not even aware of, it's comforting to know that our language plays large into this cauldron of confusion. We have, for example, a reader in the Philippines who has been refining her skills are recognizing odd-double meanings of the language and she's sent a fresh batch of examples to kick off the weekend...
(rim shot)
To go with her musings, the I-Ching inbox provided this link beginning with...
And so it goes around here, coarse and worse until Monday, anyway. Unless you're a Peoplenomics subscriber in which case in the morning (with charts and more)...and with that, we go...or, in the long lost language of CB radio "We gone..."
Write when you break even: george@ure.net Reader Action Department: Visit: The UrbanSurvival Amazon store. Books, computers, software, and outdoor gear.
Now on our premium content site: www.peoplenomics.com: Reading Ben and Timing War Say, there's a chipper and cheerful sounding side order to wolf down with breakfast this morning. I had an insight last night into how to read Ben Bernanke's Fed confessionals to Congress and we have lots of movement in the Middle East to ponder, plus the usual charts but before we get into that, how about another round of good old-fashioned divisive, us-against-them politics?
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Safer Computing: Swearing Off Cookies It has been a while since I roared the praises of the Maxa Cookie Manager which you can download and install for a free test drive by clicking here.
To upgrade from the demo to full working is still less than $50 and one heck of a bargain at that, if I do say so.
I am a high-reliability computing kind of guy - and near as I have it figured, the road to a hassle-free computing experience is (like flying an airplane) a matter of going through a proper checklist before popping onto the web:
Like anything in computers, updates are critical so before work every morning, the computer does its update ritual - Check of Maxa (5.3.02 is current) Avira, and Malware bytes.
Toss in a good bit of common sense (example: Don't open email purporting to be from UPS, IRS, the US Post Office, or anything else that even has a hint of fishy odor to it) and first thing you know, the internet's actually a useful tool.
"Live on $10,000" A Year Having a hard time making ends meet? (Like who isn't, right?) A good starting point to better match up income with outgo is our $10 e-book "How to Live on $10,000 a Year...or less!"
It's an automatic download. It's written in an information dense style: The whole thing runs about 65 pages, but it gives you a vision of how to not only live on the cheap, but also how to migrate up the economic foodchain if you have a little hustle left. A bonus section called "How to Build Anything" should instill confidence if you've never taken on a home improvement/home creation project before, too..... Click here for the index and details.
Do Tell Please pass along word of this site to your friends by simply clicking here to send 'em a short email. - Thanks! ---- Last week's report is always here.
Thursday February 9, 2012 The Exciting Game of "Dough-Go" Word that a national settlement is near on the recent - years long - problems in the mortgage industry can be taken with a grain of salt, I'm afraid. While it's perhaps a good thing that New York and California may join in the proposed $25-billion settlement, I'm not sure how this makes up for the damage already done.
I'll use an example I know of in the Phoenix area: House payments was a key part of a breakup of a marriage and the house repo'ed and then ugly just kept on coming for a while.
So is the proposed settlement worth it? Here's your chance to be a "citizen reporter": If you know of a case where the $25 (or is it $32?)-billion actually patches up some family's life, please let me know. I haven't heard of any yet, but hope's what we live by around here lately.
Meantime, the amount that actually goes into loan modifications for
delinquent homeowners is only $17-billion and for the already foreclosed?
Hmmm...how much is bupkis?
Near as I can figure it, today's just another round of the exciting taxpayer-funded game of (where'd the) "Dough-Go".
Taking Out Syria It's looking unfortunately prescient, Clif's expectation for big doings the first couple of weeks of March. Already the headlines are that "International militarisation of Syria" is in the works. Isn't that special?
It's already a done deal if this Debka report is believed: British and Qatari troops are fighting on the rebel side.....which puts them opposite the Assad loyalists and perhaps Russians...
Elsewhere headlines are up that the "US military beginning review of Syria options" which isn't bad...since the military has had its eye on Syria since the Russian aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov dropped into southern Syria for a port call last month. This chess game is already well into the decision-trees.
A check of the US Navy site reveals time is not this week for hostilities, since three of those presumably eastbound amphibious assault ships are still showing as in the Atlantic.
Still, there are two ways the supposed split between the US and Israel over tactics could be read: One way would be to assess the discord as real in which case the Obama administration really is trying it's dead-level best to keep us out of a war which could scaled global thermonuclear before summer vacations. The other is that it's all an elaborate subterfuge designed to give Washington's warmongering crowd plausible deniability when Israel strikes.
A reader pointed out - after reading in the predictive linguistics (and here) about the possible critical role of the Carl Vinson, the US aircraft carrier now in Iran's back yard, "You do remember this was the ship which disposed of the body of Osama bin Laden at sea, don't you?" High risk platform, I'd say...and we certainly don't want to be right in the words-based expectation.
Curiously timed: The Pentagon is planning to lift some of the restrictions on women in combat.
Food for Thought: Is Syria being ramped up as a cover for an Iran hit?
"Historical Winter" Well, besides the predictive linguistics call a year ago for "skiing the seven hills of Rome" and now reports of Venice's canals having patches of ice, we are also hearing other snips which won't sit well with the global warming side:
Unemployment Filings Down From Labor:
Not exactly the crack monkey blow-off top in the market, yet. Futures are up
only 10 points on the Dow. Say What? Department CBS TV up in Chicago is reporting researchers are planning to develop smart phone technology to spot when people are getting depressed.
I'm not sure that'd be a hard one to develop. Just set off alarms when people go to their online trading accounts, look at their banking portal online, or when their "friends" and "likes" sag on social media. Seems to me an easy feature to develop...
Besides, I'm sure the government social network mapping and email scanning could be just piped in...but no one asked me. Just trying to be helpful...
Proof We're Crazy File Los Angeles County has approved a $1,000 fine for throwing a football or Frisbee on any beach in LA County.
If you want to read 37-pages of how to do it (it's shorter than the Patriot Acts) hats off to CBS for putting it online here.
On the other hand, I see where section 17.12.360 baring "Nudity and Disrobing" has been struck. Way cool....warm up the plane....
Coping: Drones Disease and Security Mania Scared of Bird Flu? Clogged arteries? Hemorrhoids? Tell you doctor, this could be a sign of a serious condition stuff? Well, we've got one more to add to the pile this morning: Drones Disease.
Although it's not a disease recognized by the World Health Organization, yet, it seems to have been concocted by economic terrorists who are trying to pander to the public fear of "terrorism" by creating a job-laden bureaucratic empire that doesn't make sense.
For example, a report in the Washington Times says there are likely to be as many as 30,000 unmanned law enforcement drone aircraft in American airspace by 2020.
Last time I checked, in the whole past three years, the number of suspected "terrorists" rounded up was less than 36 - and even those cases seem to often involve a government informant who is on a pay-for-play deal, where their compensation is based on whether the feds get a case to file. OK: two numbers: 36 and three years.
Now, let's go Wiki the Transportation Security Administration and see what their budget for 2012 is. Ready? $8.1 billion dollars. But that doesn't begin to touch what's likely to be a similar amount of dough which goes into counter-terrorism expertise at the Department of Homeland Security and this latest pitch to wind up public paranoia in order to cost-justify up to 30,000 drones.
I appreciate that drones are more than model airplane. In fact, I have been eyeballing a few and minimally, a good-sized drone is in the area of $20,000 for a stripped down model with a basic radio package. Want to add GPS for accurate positioning? More dough. An add-on for live video beyond tiny frames? That'll cost you more...lots more, since to handle hi-def, high frame rate streaming you need to update not just the ultra lightweight camera, but the whole backend via the avionics gets pricier for the the additional bandwidth.
And then there's the matter of range and duration.
But wait! What about the piloting requirements for this stuff? I
haven't seen one, but I'm sure the FAA will need to add people to their
Flight Standards field offices who have their hands full with general
aviation and commercial aircraft, in order to deal with 30,000 additional
drones. And I have this really, really ugly technical question which none of the security state marketers seems to mention: If I go out and fly my little Beechcraft with friends and they pay me, then I'm a commercial pilot. Have to do ugly spin recoveries and aerobatics like and have the rating and the plane has to be kept up to an even higher maintenance standard.
Here's the gotcha: Do all the people throwing money around (which we don't have since Social Security is under constant threat of cuts, as are military pensions - all people who to my way of thinking should be first in line for dough dispensed by Washington that we all sent there in the first place) think they can put remote controlled aircraft into the air without having a commercial pilot rating for all these air-drivers?
And worse. because I'm sure some spreadsheet jocks in the military are already doing this - where's the FAA approval for any of these grounded stick jockeys to fly more than one aircraft at a time? Limited hours for saijd commercial pilots?
I'm getting a little off track here, but I've got a point to make: I'm guessing that by the time we toss in all the cost of Security Mania, the Terrorism and related tab, with that $8.1-billion of TSA's, I expect we're well north of $20-billion all in.
Do I have a spending alternative? You bet! Abso-frigging-ltely!
First I would take all these terrorist suspects and I'd let them split $100-million of TSA savings. One provision: Get caught in America again and it's death on site. So stay in Yemen, or wherever and living happily ever after with your 2.77 million...and good luck finding the 46-virgins or whatever. Stay out, or die and here's an allowance. Got it? Stay out or death on sight.
Now, that leaves me, oh, let's say $20-billion. Well, if I lay that on top of the $38-billion budget request for Social Security's budget and retired military, I'm guessing I'd have enough to pay my consulting bill and still give retirees a 50% increase in benefits. Maybe I could hire Newt Gingrich's outfit to work this...
But the uglier realization is that no one in Washington can seem to do math. In return for rooting out 36 "terrorists" (and we're not sure of even that many, if you back out government government agent provocateurs/entrapment specialists) TSA alone pencils out to $225-million per charged suspect.
And now we're going to throw another $600-million at drones? Which, besides blowing up wedding parties and the occasional no-goodnick in the Middle East is about as wrong-headed as tasering people.
As I see it, we shouldn't be investing so much in new and improved ways to kill and maim. How about fiber to every home, curing AIDS, cancer, and the common cold? Supporting small farms, banning GMO foods at the local level? More parks, put some of that dough into offsetting the pending assault on the checkbook for mandatory fattening of the insurance cartel? My list goes on, but you get the idea.
Don't mean to start off on such a rant early in the day like this, but I will probably go flying this morning and there are enough risks as it is from things like bird strikes, mechanical failures, and so on.
But this is another example where it could be argued that terrorists are winning:
They've (so far) correctly figured we could be spent into oblivion. Believe me, if spreadsheets and PowerPoints (and now drones) could solve our problems, we wouldn't still be up to our ass in the Middle East money pit would we, with a nuwar due as early as next month?
The misnamed War on Terror always has been (and always will be) about spending money and keeping people employed...and it's been founded on false assumptions. WMD's in Iraq, remember? Facts aside - like none found - the rabid radio right is still running the bankrupt policy put forth by the Project for a New American Century - which best I can recall, didn't mention shredding the constitution or terror-mania. We are down to the last two countries on that list, though, Iran and Syria, and those ought to be gone (at horrible cost) shortly. ---- At a policy level we've been had and we're about to get bent over again - this time with Drones Disease.
I've told you since 9/11 that the War on Terror is the modern equivalent to the Civilian Conservation Corp of the 1930's, or the similarly tasked Works Progress Administration. 30,000 drones? Fly 'em over every traffic stop...the missing ticket formation, perhaps?
Next thing you know - once they get this boondoggle through - the next step will be to add armaments to the drones. There go outdoor weddings, huh? Nothing big - flying tasers to 100-kilotons oughta be a workable range. I mean WTF?
I'd ask "Has America gone crazy?" But I already know the answer to that one. Being crazy myself is solid comfort in times like these.
Instead of worrying about it, I've decided to suggest to my Freedom Rock friend Chris Ross a new song I've been working on: Sung to the tune of Home on the Range. Ready?
Trust Chris, this one goes to the top of the charts. Just give the website a plug. --- Maybe I'm looking at this all wrong: Wonder how much I could make with a commercial ticket and a joystick?
Thursday "Warm Bowl" Ponder Our Indonesia Bureau chief spied the "Before It's News" headline "World's Pyramids beaming energy to mysterious space cloud..."
I don't suppose that cloud smells something like burning lawn clippings, does it? Tuesday February 7, 2012 March to War: 25 to Go? "That's be two eggs, over easy, hash browns, bacon, and oh, yeah, a side of global thermonuclear war..." That seems to be the menu this morning as global forces are being put into place for a huge showdown in early March. But, let's begin at the beginning.
Since 2001, my friend Clif has been wondering about the "data gap" which has been visible in predictive linguistics since 2001. It's a period which we were hoping would be just a widespread internet outage, or something like that. Imagine a situation later on this year where solar flares, or EMP attack, or attack on America's telephone switching networks takes down the internet. Another though was that if he could just "tunnel through" the massive pile-on of immediacy events from March into summer, there would be enough data on the far side to give a picture from the future (looking back) that could hold some hints about what lays in our immediate future.
After publishing his "Future Recent History 2020" report, Clif has continued to run the data while he can, and the results of his further refining can be read in his report posted yesterday: "The Last 26 Days of life..." Not exactly the kind of outlook that makes us want to jump out of bed, and go work toward our glorious future, to be sure. --- As you read his report, two things to keep in mind. First is that Clif is always quite precise in his use of language and Zionist to him is not a religion (Judaism), the distinction being one is a policy of territorial expansion while the other is a religion/belief set.
The second is that his modelspace is comprised of words and so when he looks up all the word primary meanings, aspects, and attributes, his learning of history leads him to couple those words with past historical evidence of "false flag" attacks which have been used historically to justify large wars.
Although he makes reference to the case of the USS Liberty, a subject exhaustively covered in the BBC Documentary "Dead in the Water", the events surrounding a 1967 Israeli attack on a US electronics laden spy ship was described by one survivor this way: "If it was an accident, it was the best planned accident I've ever heard of."
But the USS Liberty is not the only case of maritime provocation being occurring. Let's recall that it was not until 2010 that the murky historical record, which includes the tacit admission that the supposed August 4, 1964 on a US ship never really took place. But then-president Lyndon Johnson used the false pretext as a reason to sends hundreds of thousands of America's best and brightest into combat in South Vietnam.
Worse, this false flagging (or its first cousins forgery and deceit) haven't occurred in isolation. A more recent example can be found in the Niger uranium document forgeries, another cornerstone of American involvement in Iraq.
These are only three readily-remembered examples, but there are many more, but rather than mention missing "weapons of mass destruction" and other allegations, or wondering why, when all Americans were barred from flying, closely-connected Saudis were able to fly over America...and some folks are still wondering "If all those hijackers came from Saudi Arabia, how come we didn't go there to kick some butt?"
Fine questions, indeed, but only if you fail to comprehend that what was one represented to be statecraft is really economic imperialism in disguise; often not very well-disguised, at that.
In each of these examples, and we fear in the coming debacle - which hopefully will be no more than an artifact of some code module gone wonky instead of those bright flashes of light that vaporize things - will similarly be caused for a multiplicity of economic reasons.
There. An answer to the flood of emails I've received claiming we're crazy (no argument) and that all we report is gloom and doom. Not really. In fact, I go out of my way to point out that these predicted future events could just be blips in language-use. They don't have to be exactly as described, although the "ship of state" with the sinking of the Concordia was eerie, to say the least.
Often, though, timing in wrong, since predictive linguistics is anything but perfected. Still, here's an email just in this morning about an unfilled data set reported a year or two back:
Well, yes, sometimes the stuff really works out. Other times, it doesn't. I figure the project's hit rate is about 15% overall, but that's so far ahead of "chance" as to not even be funny. And higher on big stuff; 9/11, anthrax attack, Banda Aceh quake, NE Power Outage, economic downfall in 2008, return of kids to living at home with parents, and that damn "ship of state" business, which just got filled.
For now, Clif is going into semi "off line" mode. Igor is moving, the servers are going down, and the earliest we could take up the linguistics again would be in late March and by then it may not matter, since there's a chance (15%??) that what's coming will be obvious by then, even if Clif's timing is off.
My role has been rather like that of Dr. John Watson, trying to chronicle the adventures of Sherlock Holmes. Still, there's a pattern here now, and more could become evident in future weeks. But while we wait, I'll try to keep on mixing up equal doses of sardonic and humor to come up with a very different take on things than you'll likely find elsewhere.
My inbox has been flooded with emails like this one: "Has Cliff gone off the deep end? ... So, what is it George? We really facing some sort of extinction event for a few billion people just three weeks away? I urge you, and Cliff, to be responsible, first so those that need to be prepared can do so and secondly so you do not look like a gigantic fool if nothing happens."
By now you'll need a warm-up on that coffee before we go back to the classroom where the present is being rolled out before us...
The simple answer is this: Clif looks at data. I look at headlines but I consider his data seriously as it oftentimes (but not always) is right. I tend NOT to issue conclusions or make dire forecasts. What I do instead is try to look at the headlines and publicly available trends. Which gets us "heads down" and into this morning's batch of data to ponder...
War in Syria Something about the ongoing fighting in Homs isn't right. True, the US has closed its embassy and has pulled people out. And sure, on the other side, Russia has sent in more envoys, so the diplomatic dinners won't completely end, but there's something else: Too many rebels, too well-armed, too well-coordinated. It's like, under cover of Arab Spring, the West has determined to take Syria which puts us on a collision course with Russia.
But wait! Is the Western (MSM) media way off base? Very easily could be since the well-regarded (and we hear headed by a retired general) reports in part at the K-Force website that...
And who would profit from such publicity? Why those industries which make money building weapons for wars, of course. FTM: follow the money.
Peace in Somalia? Our news analyst up in Winnipeg wonders...is this an Anglo-Ottoman opportunity?
Iran Watch Some fancy footwork going on around Iran this morning, too. For one, Iran's president has been summoned by the Iranian parliament to account for, among other things, how the country's economy is doing...which is not so well. Which is understandable, given the economic sanctions. Alternatively, it could be to discuss the Iranian parliament's apparent willingness to cut oil exports to the EU.
So far, Iran's putting on airs like it won't have much if any impact other than being antagonistic. --- And reader, following all this has a comment on point:
Maybe Iran's strategy is to let Syria take the hit...which is why there have been reports of Iranian aid to Syria being troublesome...
Best Gov't Money Can Buy, Dept. Seems like the Obama fund-raisers are having to "dig a little deeper" and that means they are moving toward accepting so-called Super PAC money.
While the theory of this constitutional democratic republic is that the people elect the leaders, the new reality is that our leaders are bought and paid for by special interest groups. Laughably, the money goes into the pockets of the mainstream media, mainly: But TV and Radio ads, those full page spreads to come in newspapers.
Like, or not, there is a crooked relationship between the media - which profits mightily from the billions spend on campaigns - and the interests of the public in holding government to its original intent: by and for the people.
Proof again: We the People have been outbid.
Constitutional Showdown? The leadership of the Catholic church are headed for a showdown with the Obama administration over provisions in the healthcare bill which deal with payment for birth control.
Sovereigns a Danger? The FBI is out with a warning that anti-government "extremists" opposed to taxes and regulations post a growing threat to local law enforcement.
While the FBI is correct in pointing out violence against police is unacceptable, the incidence of such cases in 2011 (18 by their figures) puts the risk at (grabbing the calculator) less than 6/10th's of one in a million of population. Too high, to be sure, but has it ever been zero?
So two ways to read it: The conventional way is to warn of a real danger to police. But at another level is it a warning not to get too serious about questioning authority? I seem to remember that's the one thing governments rely on it their authority and if questioning (or failing to participate in that paradigm) gets too out of hand, you end up with outcomes like Egypt, Libya, and Syria, now in play...we do all have to agree to play nicely together at some level.
I'm no big fan of taxes and regulations, but it's better than anarchy which seems to arise regularly from the disappearance of government when the semi-parental authority figure it represents goes missing. Outbreaks of socioeconomic tribalism don't seem very pretty, the ones I seen...
The Day Ahead Expect the market to remain more or less even-keeled this morning, until around 10 AM Eastern when Ben Bernanke will be up on the Hill testifying.
Later on, at 3 PM Eastern, we'll get the new Consumer Debt number. That will be the first thing into the blender tomorrow morning for Peoplenomics subscribers who get the Wednesday (expanded) content. Dow was down about 30 points in the pre-open when I looked...like we care about 30 points...
Got the Shakes? A couple of important items here. This is the morning of the Great Central US Shakeout being run by FEMA. If your spouse says something like "I felt the earth move..." it may just be subliminal suggestion at work.
On the other hand, in the latest earthquake data analysis from our reader whose initials are Tony Ring, we are seeing a very interesting decline in small earthquakes since about 2006, or so....
Versus an almost corresponding increase in earthquake activity in the 7.0 and greater chart...
If the (5th order polynomial) trend line is extended out 3-years, the 7.0 quakes will be happening at a four-a-month clip. Which doesn't seem likely, but then neither did Newt Gingrich.
Latest official quake data is here.
Coping: So Long, Anti-Gravity A couple of people have written to me asking "What happened to that video of your anti-gravity work?"
Funny you should ask. I took the video down yesterday because I understand now what was going on. It's a dandy example of science at work.
First, since it was apparently a materials problem, I got seriously into a study of the metallic flakes used in paints and discovered that some are paramagnetic.
In other words, they will react in a strong magnetic field in one way, but will tend to lose their magnetic properties when out of the field.
So I set about measuring with more sensitive instruments whether or not the metal flake paint can top showed even weak magnetism...and it did!
That was both good news - and bad. Good news in that I was finally able to disprove my own results - so on to the next method which involves both fixed magnets and pulsed electro-magnets at different frequencies (after the purported Philadelphia Experiment case) but it has dropped way down the list of priorities around here.
Eating and making money have moved back to the fore... still, tantalizing hints come flowing in like this one:
We're still trying to figure out where 3 grams of weight from Vince's test rock (tapped with repelling magnets) went...food first, play second.
Tuesday at the WuJo Say, here's a good one, speaking of the Philadelphia Experiment, time travel, dimensional warping, and all that...
Don't break the china hutch!
Prepper TV New series starting up tonight on the National Geographic Channel called "Doomsday Preppers." --- People frequently ask me about "being a prepper." Frankly, I don't think of myself that way. I think more along the lines of self reliance.
To me, life is a "hands-on" series of events. Some people decide to engage life and learn all they can about the world around them, how it works, and go off on some serious adventuring and learning about this world in order to better appreciate it.
To be sure, there are lots of web site on self reliance - and a few very good publications like Self Reliance Illustrated which is pretty good..
There's more to it... a wider view...and that's what Gaye Levy and I are working toward over at www.strategic-living.com.
Reader's Writes Interesting batch today...
Another writes: Don't think so...not a high enough body count. Speaking of which...
Where There's a Will, There's a Lawyer Dept. Talk about a non-fun project...ironing out details of a will. Yuck!
But, since we are the ages we are...and since March is March...and since we do fly around in our plane a bit....time to get these done. The immortal part of me doesn't like dealing with the details of the mortal part, though, no way around it.
Why it's almost as much fun as straining a back muscle, an appendectomy, paying bills, or dealing with a car accident. Can't speak directly about pain of it compared to childbirth...
Not that it relates in any way, shape, or form to what may or may not show up in March. But the timing is interesting.
So was the arrival of this email...
What was it I was saying this morning? Oh yeah: "That's be two eggs, over easy, hash browns, bacon, and oh, yeah, a side of global thermonuclear war..."
If we miss connecting with our immortal side at times like these, that must be the whole point of the illusion, I suppose...
Monday February 6, 2012 Sliding Deadlines - War to Come? As we slip and slide toward whatever that linguistic stuff the first half of March means, we notice that Greece is also playing the old "slip-and-slide" this morning with yet another (made-up) deadline coming and going.
One aspect of what's ahead is the public version of events, which is what the passing headlines mean. But the knowledgeable observer knows there's the other side of the libretto, written at times in invisible ink, but which shows up now and again at the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, so we continue watching their press release postings here. That will determine to some measure whether Greece defaults or simply does a credit restructuring. Who gets stuck for the (free lunch tab) is in play.
While this drags on, the talks are back on, after being off...and if the deadline has passed, seems to be a fair question to ask "What are they talking about?"
Why is it, I get the uncomfortable feeling that the outcome of Europe future will be decided later this month, and in Archduke Ferdinand fashion, will be the event that triggers WW III/IV? Except this time, instead of a person getting shot, it will be an economy...
False Flag Ahead? Interesting developments in the predictive linguistics over the weekend, now alluding to the possibility of a false-flag attack in the opening days of March being "on."
We have not been able to confirm it, but seems there're some reports of moving US military units out of the US and purported issuance of travel passes to the outbound troops which will allow, upon their return for travel to different regions within the US...but as I said, no confirmation. Still...sometimes where there's smoke....
What makes this such an interesting bit of buzz to be picket up on the net is that there are a series of international events being moved into position which could become the nominal cause for global war, and which could be seen as a way to hide the massive financial scandals yet unresolved - and besides the bankruptcy of Europe, the pending Dollar disaster as our federal budget goes nonlinear, there's all that disappearing money from the likes of MF Global...
A war, especially a large one, deliberately sewt in arsonist-fashion would be an all-too-convenient way of burying (or vaporizing) the evidence. Think of 9/11 replayed on a global scale. Not a happy thought to begin the week.
Which gets us to how those pieces are being moved around on the board...
Deadly Syria Bombing and urban fighting continue in the Syrian city of Homs where rebellion against the Assad government seems centered.
Meantime, Russia, which has an aircraft carrier just off Syria, last we heard, has decried the US/West for being hysterical over their positioning of forces and support for the killer regime in Damascus..
Iran War Drums Beat Israel has announced a new boss for its air force, and no surprise here: He figures Iran is his top concern.
President Obama says that our country and Israel are still hoping to solve things diplomatically.
But more and more pressure is being brought to bear by the conventional press/ MSM, which are running op-ed pieces suggesting things like "A nuclear Iran would put us over a barrel..."
As one of our readers puts it, looking at the other side of things:
It would, for sure, end their oil exports to China... --- The whole world situation is looking more and more like a massive spreadsheet with a massive circular reference involving 50+ cells...
Rambling Gamble After Mitt Romney waxed Newt Gingrich and others in Nevada this weekend, seems like Gingrich hopes of pulling one over on America....I mean making it to the Presidency...ought to be declining. In the collection of national political stories, we're reading how Newt's big money raisers may be talking to Romney folks now, how Ron Paul had only 18.7% (Romney scored 50%) in the Nevada showdown.
The New Red Light District What's the payback on one of those auto-cop video cameras? Three million bucks of one in the Bay Area...and that's so far...
Coping: Betting on What March Brings It's become something of a part-time job around here keeping track of all the various things readers are proposing/supposing for the dramatic shit into predictive linguistics "release language" come March. To give you an idea, here's a list of possible candidates - in no particular order, by the way:
One could actually toss in a lot of smaller events, but they wouldn't have the global impact since whatever March brings with it in modelspace is all about global effects. So, for example, Newt Gingrich dropping out of the run for the White House wouldn't even move that meter.
Lots of readers have come with their own spins on things. Here's an example:
Yes, these are technically feasible, but frankly, the probabilities are extremely low. The reason? The UFO disclosure stuff hasn't happened yet in all of human history (although there is a case to be made the bible was really a UFO/extraterrestrial off-world intervention in human affairs) so why now?
And on the "white hats" idea, sorry, but that one is just so near to a zero chance it might as well be off the table, too. Despite the resurgent interest in living a moral like - examples include Oath Keepers and others - the idea that there will be a sudden resurgence of "doing what's right" has about the same odds as me winning the Texas Lotto.
So that's where we are this morning...so with about four weeks to run until we get into the whatever-it-is falling out of language change studies, we ought to have the answer to the big "What is IT?" question soon enough.
Anti-Gravity Research The YouTube video that I put up showing a reduction of more than 7½ percent in apparent mass continues to get lots of comment.
Daughter Denise tells me that one reason it has less than 2,000 views as of this morning is that it's too long to go viral. So, she suggested, I need to do a one-minute edit of it and show the set up, results, and do a faster-paced edit job so people will be more inclined to watch it... One more thing on the to-do list, eh? Just what I need...
Our Indonesia bureau chief, Bernard Grover, offers this thought:
Well, there's a whole slew of addition research and using both pulses magnetics (DC to daylight range) is on my agenda; first with one magnet fixed (permanent) and operation with one pulsed, and if that works, then we'll move along to multiple pulsed magnets and see what we shall see...
For now, real work intrudes...which means it must be Monday.
Around the Ranch: Super Bowl Sunday "George, how could you pretend to write a news column and get almost all the way through it without mentioning the Super Bowl?"
Well, there is that, I suppose. OK, here is my take on it.
1. Since I didn't gamble on it, there is no money on the table, so I quickly lost interest in watching it. My life - even on Sundays - is a non-stop work festival, although Sunday I slacked off a bit and only did 12-hours worth. True, I did suggest to Elaine that we watch at least the last two minutes worth, so I could claim I actually watch football on TV, but a roll of her eyes and a glance at what was streaming off Netflix, which included views of an appealing and somewhat melony Griffith in a Western series and watch a bunch of men I don't know fighting over a ball suddenly made less sense.
I'd get the final score later, I figured. Sure enough, there was a final score (21-17) and one of the teams (like it matters?) won.
2. Still, it could be argued that watching Super Bowl would make sense for a marketing guy like me, since there is huge interest in the ads during the event. I figure the good ones will show up on YouTube.
2. That said, I did devise a new way of determining the age of a US male based on their recall of the event:
As confessed, I'm a mature male, but not an football fanatic. No hangover, although in a great show of solidarity with all males, I did eat three slices of leftover pizza for breakfast. What's cantaloupe? --- Recycle, Re-use, Repurpose: Instead of watching the game, I was getting a set of French doors installed in the shop. Yeah, I know..."Say, that's a little quirky, ain't it Ure?"
Well, perhaps. And how could it take so long to do? Well, these are special French doors. Story goes that Elaine and I went to a local yard sales here a couple of years back and there was this set of French doors that were for sale. Unfinished, but not in a frame. Missing one hinge....well, you got the picture...a few water stains, but perfectly good. The folks selling them were asking $75, but it was late on sale day, and I could sense the people wanted them gone (they're heavy!) and so I got the two of them for $25.
Such a deal, huh?
OK, still doesn't explain how they could be so hard to install. But I'd remind you the shop is in our big shop/office/etc building, and this structure is a pole building.
Since poles are never the same diameter, and have only a very approximate idea of what the word "vertical" means, this wall has no dimension which is level, vertical, or here's a good joke word: square. It's got so much unconventional geometry I was tempted to look up some local Mason's to give me a hint or two about how to solve some of it, but I thought better of the idea.
Then there's the matter of the floor, which like the rest of the building is a kluge and the word level can't be applied even approximately to it.
In the end, the doors had to lean outward about 1.25" (bottom to top hinge) in order to clear the higher part of the nowhere-near-level floor behind. But that's OK...since they are now self-closing, which is a good thing.
And they're wide enough so I can still get the lawn tractor in to work on it, and if any service needs to be done on the big Kubota (still have a magnetic fuel device to install on it) that can be done under the carport.
That, and framing up a window and installing it on that wall...and getting it installed...well, that's where the afternoon went.
Before the chart, a little background: Once upon a time, a long while ago, I observed during my quest for 'truth' in economics, that the PowersThatBe, the talking heads on the teeve, and the other information sources that actively engage in the programming of humans not to think, had conveniently swept several trillions of dollars that disappeared in the Internet Bubble's bursting (since spring 2000) under the rug. Surely, it wasn't unnoticed by the thousands of people who called brokers and said "Where is my money?" "Gone, but hang in there as you're a long term investor!" was about all they heard back.
So one of our charts for Peoplenomics subscribers oughta be widely circulated - it shows that if you line up the peak of the Dow in January 2000 with the peak in early September of 1929, we're on a very very close replay track. Much closer than even the chart shows if you were to back out inflation, and put in the effects of 1929 deflation, but that'd be real work, and I'm sort of lazy if the truth be told.
No, it's not a perfect replay of 1929, but history doesn't repeat exactly, it only rhymes. So think of this as the rhymes and the crimes chart:
"George, that's only a coincidence!" your monkey-mind will protest.
Why sure it is...you bet. A 11-year long coincidence...yessir....just a coincidence, we're like SO sure... (Shhh...don't tell anyone that major Depressions are two-part coupled affairs like the linkage between 1920-21 and 1929, OK? Damn, dude...don't spoil it for the sheep...)
Oh...don't forget to "Write when you get rich!"
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