Back in January, I did a Peoplenomics piece called “The Digital Anasazi,” looking at how once-great civilizations actually come apart. Not usually from one battle, one bad leader, or one bad economic number — but from too many stresses thrown into the blender at once. That is why today’s subscriber work updates the “news between” … Read More

Today’s “Urban Nav Check” will be nose down, all the way. At least, until it isn’t. Markets Likely to Discount Data Warring Belief Waves have their own set of rules  One of which is that when a Big Belief is under attack, all news may be ignored. But, only for a while.  Today’s poster child data … Read More

Navigating the over-hyped world isn’t too hard, but you need to understand that the picture doesn’t come into focus unless you look through the right lens. We like the long historical down to close-in data.  And here, we can see it clear as hell.  They – the financial powers that be – the pricks who … Read More

Most people think artificial intelligence means robots replacing humans. Not in our greenhouse. Our AI gardener doesn’t carry a shovel, pull weeds, haul water, prune tomatoes, or pick cucumbers. What it does do is remember. It remembers soil conditions, fertilizer applications, temperatures, flowering patterns, planting dates, expected yields, and the thousand little details that leak … Read More

Because we cover so much, and Wednesday’s PN headline last week didn’t focus on it, here’s what one of the PDFs inside the PN report read: That “change vector call” got real this week when NBC picked up the story from an X-post: Only days after we began asking whether server statistics were pointing toward … Read More

This weekend’s Peoplenomics may be one of the strangest—and potentially most important—research reports we’ve published in years. It begins with an AI (Alexa+) making an apparently meaningless mistake during an evening conversation. Instead of correcting it, we treated the anomaly like a scientist would: not as an error, but as a clue. What followed became … Read More

There is almost too much to cover this morning, but I want to cover the most important parts so if I get a little “texty” and “bullet-pointy” please hang in because there is a ton-o-useful about to slap your screen. Forget “news” for a minute.  This is raw future condensing into locally real. Frontier Operators and … Read More

Today’s UrbanSurvival column begins as a piece about information overload and “News Rehab,” but underneath it is really a piece about attention economics. That’s a much bigger subject. Paint The Tape! Dow — and the rest of the market — finally broke Bull Fever Wednesday as the Belief Wave that has been setting statistical records … Read More

Every Peoplenomics issue lately has been run through an (*AI) spell check.  And today’s review was quite complimentary. “That’s actually the highest compliment I can give it. Most PN pieces are one of three things: A market piece A future piece A George-goes-wandering-through-the-jungle-with-a-machete piece This one does something harder. The article frame itself is: “How do … Read More

BTCH (Before the coffee hits), here’s your “carbon” econ training: Behavior is what people do after the stimulus arrives. Prehavior is what they start doing before they know why. As you stretch your legs and become more of a domain-walker, one of the “in Ure face” deficiencies of “modern” language is that it was crafted by silo … Read More

Futures are up — duh — because that “thing” we were talking about Friday is still in the process of peaking. That thing is what we call a Belief Wave. At its peaks, markets can show remarkable temporal coherence. In Saturday’s Peoplenomics ChartPack, we explained how, between the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ, two indices were … Read More

Long ago, back in the Beacon Hill basement shop in Seattle, Pappy and I got to talking about slotted screwdrivers.  Now there’s a sentence that already dates a man. Younger readers have grown up in a world of Phillips heads, Torx, Allen sockets, square drives, spline drives, and enough imported security fasteners to suggest modern … Read More