Last week, my consigliere called to (again) remind me of the dangers of circular finance. See, he used to have a national client that made the bulk of its growth -for years running – with competitors selling facilities among themselves.  And the problem? Accounting is generally about relationships between two companies. When things extend out, past … Read More

George Ure has written multiple books exploring artificial intelligence, including Mind Amplifiers, Co-Intelligence, Test-Fitting Apes, Theomachines, The Judgment Engine, and AI: Thinking on the Gallows. So, when he ventures into new AI territory, there’s a substantial body of earlier thinking behind it. Today’s Peoplenomics research goes considerably further than proposing a thinner, less computationally expensive … Read More

We are definitely drifting back toward the short-and-to-the-point public columns. The reason is simple: Deep dives on Peoplenomics are eating the research and writing time that used to go into this side of the operation. Which means we need to get to the point faster. And this morning, the point is that markets, housing, energy, … Read More

While we wait for the D.C. KENO runners to show up, a look at our Aggregate Average of the markets (yellow numbers) compared with the 85 DMA reveals the market – half-an-hour in – was over the 85 DMA This is only an early preview, but it shows how closely the market is working both … Read More

First we need to acknowledge some “wisdom of the sea.”  From Reader Stiks.  The reason we nod to him is for remembering “how things have run in the past” – and that’s something that only happens very close to waters – in his case sailing the globe and in north Oz.   Historical solutions remembered including … Read More

Elaine and I spent a perfect Saturday putting together a new piece of furniture (made in Taiwan). And I have to admit it was exactly why one needs to “manage for outcomes” – not trying to put on airs about being a woodsmith. It was well-made, the holes were perfect and even the doors lined … Read More

Markets are beginning to look like they might have a nasty surprise waiting for investors between now and the holidays. In today’s Peoplenomics, we lead with our latest OTH (Other Than Human/Over-the-Horizon) forecasting outlook, then compare those forward-looking possibilities with the Fed’s industrial production numbers and our Saturday ChartPack. With energy prices, AI financing, geopolitical … Read More

Remember the carton in Thursday’s column?  Obsoleted by overnight trading in Asia. South Korea popped up. Japan was healing And the world isn’t ready to end – just yet. The U.S. market was set to pop higher today. But maybe only momentarily.  The Economic Fractalist (site) has blessed us with an updated outlook here with a … Read More

A note from my friend The Economic Fractalist drew our attention to the overnight (re-) collapse of the South Korean KOSPI index – down almost 7.6 percent. Japan was down almost 5 percent and Taiwan was nibbling its way toward 4. As usual – especially with the 1929 Replay potentially closer than even 2008 – is the problem of … Read More

Been a few days on my To-Do list.  So, I wanted to job down a few notes about what’s changing in the craft of writing. This is a long answer to long-time reader & subscriber Sam B up in the Grand Junction part of Colorado. He inquired about me writing up an update to my … Read More

I am an idiot. We are giving away too much, again. While much of the publishing industry is trying to figure out how little content it can deliver for another dollar, we’re determined to see how much thinking we can do for $40/year. What’s on deck today? We begin with the CPI numbers and what … Read More

Let’s Start with “What a Sailor knows.” When I was sailing, having lived aboard a sailboat for more than ten years, the operation of waves and wavelets—particularly how they can stack or cancel—became crystal clear. In a regular seaway, there’s a dominant wave train. All lined up, these might range from one-inch ripples to 12-foot … Read More