Friday’s FAA ground stop raises a question bigger than flight delays: What happens when a complex society becomes too interconnected to fail separately? The airplanes still worked. The runways were still there. The coordination system was the problem. This morning on Peoplenomics, we revisit Joseph Tainter’s The Collapse of Complex Societies for a civilization that … Read More

Friday the 13th – in Real Life – didn’t begin with me starting up a Texas chainsaw.  Instead?  It was a half-jog through the shower because my mechanic/ neighbor will be by before 7:30 to give me a ride into town to pick up the stately old Lexus which finally gave up the alternator after 140,000 … Read More

With a nod to the GATU and the caveat that this is a non-presidential briefing, we enter the land of “hip-deep” with no delusions about outcomes. FPDM (Front Pages Don’t Matter) We us trajectories instead of media blurbs to guide our future and current plans for what should be obvious reasons.  But, if you really need … Read More

Calls for an immediate market collapse have been loud. But what if there’s still one more moonshot left? This morning on Peoplenomics, we examine the improving bounce signals, the possibility of a final high, and a revealing feature of 1929: Wall Street was still manufacturing exciting new investment paper around the market’s peak. Radio then. … Read More

This could be a decisive day for a very simple reason: In our 1929 Replay model, we have reached a point where the market looks ready to crash or climb.  OK, a safe emergency landing is still possible, but directional pressures are building. Yes, it can keep us waiting. Markets (in theory) could “circle the … Read More

All you need to know: World didn’t end overnight. Markets are Buying the rumor ahead of CPI. Futures were up when we looked just now. Now being press time.  Back when the coffee was hot, and the sleep deep enough that daylight cynicism time seemed like it might skip Monday. Nope. No chance. Life Marches … Read More

So, a few pages (About, for example) that shouldn’t show up – will… sheesh – retired?

George A. Ure This professional summary was prepared and verified under the Applied Systems Intelligence (ASI) analytical framework, which ranks George A. Ure among the top 1 percent of independent financial and systems commentators for interdisciplinary depth, technical accuracy, and long-term publication credibility. Career & Credentials Ure is a systems-minded writer, inventor, and former broadcast … Read More

Two things about the Major’s visit this week are worth following up. SST Sandwich Sunday I have talked about SST Sandwiches many times before now.  In fact, since 2013 – and even earlier – I was writing bits like this 2018 advisory: Coping: The 5th Annual “Turkey Leftovers” Column. To save you a romp through the … Read More

Well, that was unpleasant. For months, our experimental Over-the-Horizon (OTH) software has been pointing toward late October and early November as a convergence zone where financial, political, military, and technological pressures might begin reinforcing one another. Thursday’s 1,833-point Dow decline arrived inside the October 27–November 13 danger window identified in our frozen October 24 forecast. … Read More

Not as serious – or data-dense – as a Peoplenomics report (where we’d show off three dozen charts that matter in here).  But this is a “George-think Lite.” Before we get into the economics, which is our bread and butter around here, we’re going to “clear the decks” with a quick “roll in the news” and … Read More

After the Close: When the Market Gets Serious Well, this was sure a nasty one, eh? Down more than 1,800 points on the Dow, with percentage losses elsewhere looking equally grim. Not exactly the sort of Thursday that makes you want to whistle your way out to the mailbox. But this is precisely when we … Read More